Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 23–26 September 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.9% |
16.1% |
14.6–17.6% |
14.3–18.1% |
13.9–18.5% |
13.3–19.2% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
10.8% |
12.5% |
11.2–13.9% |
10.9–14.3% |
10.6–14.7% |
10.0–15.4% |
Democraten 66 |
15.0% |
10.0% |
8.8–11.3% |
8.5–11.7% |
8.3–12.0% |
7.8–12.7% |
BoerBurgerBeweging |
1.0% |
9.4% |
8.3–10.7% |
8.0–11.0% |
7.7–11.3% |
7.2–12.0% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
7.8% |
6.8–9.0% |
6.5–9.3% |
6.3–9.6% |
5.8–10.2% |
GroenLinks |
5.2% |
7.2% |
6.2–8.3% |
6.0–8.7% |
5.7–8.9% |
5.3–9.5% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.8% |
6.4% |
5.5–7.5% |
5.2–7.8% |
5.0–8.1% |
4.6–8.6% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
9.5% |
5.7% |
4.8–6.7% |
4.6–7.0% |
4.4–7.3% |
4.0–7.8% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 |
2.4% |
5.2% |
4.4–6.2% |
4.2–6.5% |
4.0–6.7% |
3.6–7.3% |
Socialistische Partij |
6.0% |
4.8% |
4.0–5.8% |
3.8–6.1% |
3.6–6.3% |
3.3–6.8% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
3.0% |
2.4–3.8% |
2.2–4.0% |
2.1–4.3% |
1.8–4.7% |
Forum voor Democratie |
5.0% |
2.4% |
1.9–3.1% |
1.7–3.4% |
1.6–3.5% |
1.4–3.9% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.3% |
1.8–3.0% |
1.6–3.2% |
1.5–3.4% |
1.3–3.8% |
DENK |
2.0% |
2.2% |
1.7–2.9% |
1.6–3.1% |
1.4–3.3% |
1.2–3.7% |
Volt Europa |
2.4% |
2.0% |
1.5–2.7% |
1.4–2.9% |
1.3–3.1% |
1.1–3.4% |
Bij1 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
0.6–1.4% |
0.5–1.6% |
0.5–1.7% |
0.4–2.0% |
50Plus |
1.0% |
0.6% |
0.4–1.1% |
0.3–1.2% |
0.3–1.3% |
0.2–1.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
19 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
20 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
21 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
22 |
1.1% |
99.2% |
|
23 |
39% |
98% |
|
24 |
6% |
59% |
|
25 |
4% |
53% |
Median |
26 |
9% |
49% |
|
27 |
39% |
40% |
|
28 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
29 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
16 |
0.8% |
99.1% |
|
17 |
10% |
98% |
Last Result |
18 |
16% |
89% |
|
19 |
29% |
72% |
Median |
20 |
36% |
43% |
|
21 |
0.8% |
7% |
|
22 |
6% |
6% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
12 |
17% |
99.3% |
|
13 |
1.2% |
82% |
|
14 |
29% |
81% |
|
15 |
7% |
52% |
Median |
16 |
38% |
45% |
|
17 |
6% |
7% |
|
18 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
19 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
11 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
12 |
7% |
97% |
|
13 |
43% |
90% |
Median |
14 |
7% |
47% |
|
15 |
2% |
41% |
|
16 |
35% |
38% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
4% |
|
18 |
0.3% |
4% |
|
19 |
3% |
3% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
9 |
57% |
99.5% |
Last Result, Median |
10 |
3% |
42% |
|
11 |
7% |
39% |
|
12 |
10% |
32% |
|
13 |
4% |
22% |
|
14 |
0.4% |
18% |
|
15 |
0.2% |
18% |
|
16 |
17% |
17% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
8 |
1.0% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
9 |
36% |
98.9% |
|
10 |
32% |
63% |
Median |
11 |
10% |
31% |
|
12 |
6% |
21% |
|
13 |
15% |
15% |
|
14 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.4% |
100% |
Last Result |
7 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
8 |
5% |
99.0% |
|
9 |
21% |
94% |
|
10 |
32% |
73% |
Median |
11 |
36% |
41% |
|
12 |
3% |
5% |
|
13 |
2% |
2% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
1.4% |
100% |
|
6 |
3% |
98.6% |
|
7 |
6% |
95% |
|
8 |
34% |
89% |
|
9 |
25% |
55% |
Median |
10 |
1.1% |
30% |
|
11 |
29% |
29% |
|
12 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
6 |
15% |
99.8% |
|
7 |
67% |
85% |
Median |
8 |
4% |
18% |
|
9 |
2% |
14% |
|
10 |
4% |
12% |
|
11 |
8% |
8% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
6 |
13% |
99.4% |
|
7 |
47% |
86% |
Median |
8 |
34% |
40% |
|
9 |
5% |
5% |
Last Result |
10 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
3 |
9% |
99.4% |
|
4 |
9% |
91% |
|
5 |
48% |
82% |
Last Result, Median |
6 |
1.0% |
33% |
|
7 |
32% |
32% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
11% |
100% |
|
3 |
30% |
89% |
|
4 |
55% |
59% |
Median |
5 |
3% |
4% |
|
6 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
57% |
97% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
13% |
40% |
|
5 |
26% |
27% |
|
6 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
20% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
9% |
80% |
Last Result |
4 |
66% |
71% |
Median |
5 |
4% |
4% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
2 |
46% |
99.6% |
|
3 |
52% |
54% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
2% |
2% |
|
5 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
40% |
100% |
|
1 |
53% |
60% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
6% |
7% |
|
3 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
4 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
60% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
33% |
40% |
Last Result |
2 |
4% |
7% |
|
3 |
2% |
2% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
87 |
65 |
0% |
63–69 |
62–69 |
61–69 |
58–70 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
86 |
63 |
0% |
62–67 |
61–67 |
60–67 |
56–69 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
59 |
0% |
58–65 |
56–65 |
53–65 |
53–65 |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie |
70 |
57 |
0% |
56–62 |
55–62 |
53–62 |
53–62 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
56 |
0% |
55–60 |
53–60 |
50–60 |
50–61 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
78 |
54 |
0% |
52–57 |
51–57 |
49–57 |
45–57 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
66 |
52 |
0% |
51–57 |
48–57 |
48–57 |
47–57 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
67 |
50 |
0% |
48–55 |
48–55 |
48–55 |
45–56 |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
61 |
49 |
0% |
49–55 |
48–55 |
47–55 |
46–55 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
73 |
48 |
0% |
47–52 |
46–52 |
44–52 |
41–52 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
58 |
45 |
0% |
40–52 |
40–52 |
40–52 |
40–52 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus |
61 |
41 |
0% |
38–47 |
38–47 |
36–47 |
36–47 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
60 |
40 |
0% |
38–46 |
38–46 |
34–46 |
34–46 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
43 |
36 |
0% |
32–43 |
32–43 |
32–43 |
32–43 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
38 |
0% |
35–42 |
35–42 |
33–42 |
33–42 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
57 |
37 |
0% |
35–41 |
35–41 |
31–41 |
31–41 |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
48 |
34 |
0% |
33–37 |
33–38 |
33–38 |
31–39 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
49 |
33 |
0% |
31–38 |
30–38 |
29–38 |
29–38 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
29 |
25 |
0% |
23–30 |
22–30 |
20–30 |
20–30 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
39 |
24 |
0% |
21–25 |
21–26 |
21–26 |
19–26 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
24 |
20 |
0% |
17–25 |
17–25 |
17–25 |
16–25 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
60 |
0.6% |
98.9% |
|
61 |
3% |
98% |
|
62 |
5% |
95% |
|
63 |
36% |
90% |
Median |
64 |
2% |
54% |
|
65 |
6% |
52% |
|
66 |
25% |
46% |
|
67 |
2% |
21% |
|
68 |
4% |
19% |
|
69 |
15% |
15% |
|
70 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
72 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
58 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
98.9% |
|
60 |
3% |
98.7% |
|
61 |
4% |
95% |
|
62 |
3% |
92% |
|
63 |
42% |
88% |
|
64 |
4% |
47% |
Median |
65 |
2% |
42% |
|
66 |
14% |
40% |
|
67 |
25% |
26% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
1.1% |
|
69 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
70 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
72 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
73 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
53 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
55 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
56 |
3% |
97% |
|
57 |
3% |
94% |
|
58 |
37% |
91% |
|
59 |
7% |
54% |
|
60 |
0.5% |
48% |
Median |
61 |
20% |
47% |
|
62 |
1.0% |
27% |
|
63 |
0.6% |
26% |
|
64 |
0.4% |
25% |
|
65 |
25% |
25% |
|
66 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
0.4% |
97% |
|
55 |
6% |
97% |
Median |
56 |
27% |
91% |
|
57 |
38% |
64% |
|
58 |
5% |
26% |
|
59 |
2% |
21% |
|
60 |
0.6% |
19% |
|
61 |
4% |
18% |
|
62 |
14% |
14% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
64 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
50 |
3% |
99.8% |
|
51 |
0% |
97% |
|
52 |
0.6% |
97% |
|
53 |
3% |
96% |
|
54 |
3% |
93% |
|
55 |
40% |
90% |
|
56 |
3% |
50% |
|
57 |
7% |
48% |
Median |
58 |
15% |
41% |
|
59 |
0.3% |
26% |
|
60 |
25% |
26% |
|
61 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
62 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
47 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
48 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
49 |
3% |
98.7% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
95% |
|
51 |
4% |
95% |
|
52 |
10% |
91% |
|
53 |
20% |
81% |
|
54 |
34% |
61% |
Median |
55 |
1.0% |
27% |
|
56 |
0.9% |
26% |
|
57 |
25% |
26% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
61 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
46 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
47 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
48 |
4% |
99.4% |
|
49 |
0.8% |
95% |
|
50 |
3% |
94% |
|
51 |
36% |
91% |
|
52 |
6% |
55% |
|
53 |
2% |
49% |
Median |
54 |
14% |
47% |
|
55 |
7% |
32% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
26% |
|
57 |
25% |
25% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.9% |
99.5% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
98.6% |
|
48 |
36% |
98% |
|
49 |
0.7% |
63% |
Median |
50 |
29% |
62% |
|
51 |
3% |
33% |
|
52 |
3% |
31% |
|
53 |
6% |
28% |
|
54 |
6% |
22% |
|
55 |
16% |
16% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
58 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
59 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
47 |
3% |
99.5% |
|
48 |
3% |
97% |
Median |
49 |
61% |
94% |
|
50 |
0.8% |
32% |
|
51 |
11% |
32% |
|
52 |
6% |
21% |
|
53 |
0.8% |
15% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
15% |
|
55 |
14% |
14% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
99.1% |
|
43 |
0.2% |
99.1% |
|
44 |
3% |
98.9% |
|
45 |
0.4% |
96% |
|
46 |
2% |
96% |
|
47 |
39% |
94% |
|
48 |
18% |
55% |
|
49 |
3% |
37% |
Median |
50 |
7% |
34% |
|
51 |
0.7% |
27% |
|
52 |
26% |
26% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
55 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
56 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
40 |
33% |
99.8% |
|
41 |
3% |
67% |
|
42 |
0.3% |
64% |
|
43 |
7% |
64% |
Median |
44 |
0.8% |
57% |
|
45 |
10% |
56% |
|
46 |
1.2% |
46% |
|
47 |
25% |
45% |
|
48 |
1.3% |
20% |
|
49 |
0.8% |
19% |
|
50 |
0.4% |
18% |
|
51 |
3% |
17% |
|
52 |
14% |
14% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
36 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
38 |
33% |
97% |
|
39 |
9% |
64% |
|
40 |
3% |
55% |
|
41 |
4% |
52% |
Median |
42 |
3% |
48% |
|
43 |
18% |
45% |
|
44 |
0.3% |
27% |
|
45 |
0.7% |
26% |
|
46 |
0.5% |
26% |
|
47 |
25% |
25% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
3% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
37 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
38 |
34% |
97% |
|
39 |
12% |
63% |
|
40 |
0.7% |
50% |
|
41 |
5% |
50% |
Median |
42 |
4% |
45% |
|
43 |
14% |
41% |
|
44 |
1.2% |
27% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
25% |
|
46 |
25% |
25% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
31 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
33% |
99.8% |
|
33 |
0.4% |
67% |
|
34 |
4% |
67% |
Median |
35 |
4% |
62% |
|
36 |
35% |
58% |
|
37 |
0.3% |
23% |
|
38 |
2% |
23% |
|
39 |
3% |
21% |
|
40 |
0.7% |
18% |
|
41 |
0.3% |
18% |
|
42 |
4% |
17% |
|
43 |
14% |
14% |
Last Result |
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
34 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
35 |
39% |
96% |
|
36 |
2% |
58% |
|
37 |
3% |
55% |
|
38 |
4% |
52% |
Median |
39 |
7% |
48% |
|
40 |
14% |
40% |
|
41 |
0.4% |
26% |
|
42 |
25% |
26% |
|
43 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
44 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
3% |
100% |
|
32 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
33 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
34 |
1.0% |
97% |
|
35 |
41% |
96% |
|
36 |
3% |
55% |
|
37 |
3% |
52% |
|
38 |
8% |
49% |
Median |
39 |
1.1% |
41% |
|
40 |
14% |
40% |
|
41 |
25% |
26% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
43 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
44 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
31 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
32 |
1.0% |
99.2% |
|
33 |
40% |
98% |
Median |
34 |
27% |
59% |
|
35 |
1.4% |
32% |
|
36 |
5% |
30% |
|
37 |
18% |
25% |
|
38 |
6% |
7% |
|
39 |
0.7% |
1.2% |
|
40 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
41 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
29 |
3% |
99.5% |
|
30 |
2% |
96% |
|
31 |
32% |
94% |
|
32 |
4% |
62% |
|
33 |
9% |
59% |
|
34 |
4% |
50% |
Median |
35 |
5% |
45% |
|
36 |
15% |
41% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
25% |
|
38 |
25% |
25% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
41 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
20 |
3% |
100% |
|
21 |
1.1% |
97% |
|
22 |
2% |
96% |
|
23 |
5% |
94% |
Median |
24 |
39% |
89% |
|
25 |
26% |
51% |
|
26 |
6% |
24% |
|
27 |
0.9% |
19% |
|
28 |
0.3% |
18% |
|
29 |
0.2% |
18% |
Last Result |
30 |
17% |
17% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
19 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
20 |
0.5% |
99.3% |
|
21 |
22% |
98.8% |
|
22 |
3% |
77% |
|
23 |
4% |
74% |
|
24 |
33% |
70% |
Median |
25 |
29% |
37% |
|
26 |
7% |
7% |
|
27 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
16 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
17 |
35% |
99.1% |
|
18 |
7% |
65% |
Median |
19 |
0.7% |
58% |
|
20 |
27% |
57% |
|
21 |
6% |
30% |
|
22 |
5% |
24% |
|
23 |
0.8% |
18% |
|
24 |
0.3% |
18% |
Last Result |
25 |
17% |
17% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 23–26 September 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1003
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.96%