Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 21–24 October 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.9% |
17.2% |
15.8–18.8% |
15.4–19.3% |
15.0–19.7% |
14.4–20.5% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
10.8% |
13.4% |
12.1–14.9% |
11.8–15.3% |
11.5–15.7% |
10.9–16.4% |
Democraten 66 |
15.0% |
10.3% |
9.1–11.6% |
8.8–12.0% |
8.6–12.3% |
8.0–13.0% |
BoerBurgerBeweging |
1.0% |
7.6% |
6.7–8.8% |
6.4–9.1% |
6.2–9.4% |
5.7–10.0% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
6.9% |
5.9–8.0% |
5.7–8.3% |
5.5–8.6% |
5.0–9.1% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.8% |
6.4% |
5.5–7.5% |
5.2–7.8% |
5.0–8.0% |
4.6–8.6% |
GroenLinks |
5.2% |
6.2% |
5.3–7.3% |
5.1–7.6% |
4.8–7.8% |
4.5–8.4% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 |
2.4% |
5.7% |
4.8–6.7% |
4.6–7.0% |
4.4–7.3% |
4.1–7.8% |
Socialistische Partij |
6.0% |
5.5% |
4.7–6.5% |
4.4–6.8% |
4.2–7.1% |
3.9–7.6% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
9.5% |
5.0% |
4.2–6.0% |
4.0–6.3% |
3.8–6.5% |
3.5–7.0% |
Volt Europa |
2.4% |
3.0% |
2.4–3.9% |
2.3–4.1% |
2.1–4.3% |
1.9–4.7% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
2.9% |
2.4–3.7% |
2.2–4.0% |
2.1–4.2% |
1.8–4.6% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.3% |
1.8–3.0% |
1.6–3.2% |
1.5–3.4% |
1.3–3.7% |
DENK |
2.0% |
2.1% |
1.6–2.8% |
1.4–3.0% |
1.3–3.1% |
1.2–3.5% |
Forum voor Democratie |
5.0% |
1.9% |
1.4–2.5% |
1.3–2.7% |
1.2–2.9% |
1.0–3.2% |
Bij1 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
0.8–1.6% |
0.7–1.8% |
0.6–1.9% |
0.5–2.2% |
50Plus |
1.0% |
0.5% |
0.3–0.9% |
0.2–1.0% |
0.2–1.1% |
0.1–1.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
22 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
23 |
21% |
99.5% |
|
24 |
3% |
78% |
|
25 |
7% |
75% |
|
26 |
4% |
68% |
|
27 |
43% |
65% |
Median |
28 |
10% |
22% |
|
29 |
8% |
12% |
|
30 |
0.2% |
4% |
|
31 |
3% |
4% |
|
32 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
33 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
16 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
17 |
4% |
99.7% |
Last Result |
18 |
20% |
96% |
|
19 |
4% |
76% |
|
20 |
20% |
72% |
|
21 |
23% |
52% |
Median |
22 |
6% |
29% |
|
23 |
1.5% |
23% |
|
24 |
0.3% |
21% |
|
25 |
21% |
21% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
13 |
3% |
99.8% |
|
14 |
7% |
97% |
|
15 |
35% |
90% |
|
16 |
26% |
56% |
Median |
17 |
27% |
30% |
|
18 |
2% |
3% |
|
19 |
0.2% |
1.3% |
|
20 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
21 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
22 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
9 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
10 |
22% |
96% |
|
11 |
31% |
73% |
Median |
12 |
3% |
42% |
|
13 |
21% |
39% |
|
14 |
8% |
18% |
|
15 |
10% |
10% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
8 |
13% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
2% |
86% |
Last Result |
10 |
27% |
84% |
|
11 |
46% |
57% |
Median |
12 |
10% |
11% |
|
13 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
15 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
7 |
9% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
32% |
90% |
|
9 |
11% |
59% |
Median |
10 |
4% |
47% |
|
11 |
4% |
43% |
|
12 |
38% |
39% |
|
13 |
1.3% |
1.3% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
7 |
6% |
99.3% |
|
8 |
23% |
93% |
Last Result |
9 |
52% |
70% |
Median |
10 |
5% |
18% |
|
11 |
8% |
13% |
|
12 |
4% |
5% |
|
13 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
6 |
1.3% |
99.9% |
|
7 |
48% |
98.6% |
|
8 |
15% |
51% |
Median |
9 |
18% |
36% |
|
10 |
10% |
17% |
|
11 |
4% |
7% |
|
12 |
3% |
3% |
|
13 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
6 |
1.1% |
99.3% |
|
7 |
27% |
98% |
|
8 |
31% |
72% |
Median |
9 |
13% |
40% |
Last Result |
10 |
8% |
28% |
|
11 |
20% |
20% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
16% |
100% |
|
6 |
32% |
84% |
|
7 |
41% |
53% |
Median |
8 |
3% |
11% |
|
9 |
5% |
8% |
|
10 |
3% |
3% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
3 |
10% |
99.7% |
Last Result |
4 |
40% |
90% |
Median |
5 |
32% |
49% |
|
6 |
16% |
17% |
|
7 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
8 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
3 |
10% |
99.8% |
|
4 |
38% |
90% |
|
5 |
30% |
52% |
Last Result, Median |
6 |
21% |
21% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
2 |
43% |
99.4% |
|
3 |
48% |
57% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
7% |
8% |
|
5 |
2% |
2% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
2 |
34% |
99.5% |
|
3 |
34% |
66% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
29% |
32% |
|
5 |
3% |
3% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
4% |
100% |
|
2 |
62% |
96% |
Median |
3 |
10% |
34% |
|
4 |
23% |
24% |
|
5 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
5% |
100% |
|
1 |
68% |
95% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
20% |
28% |
|
3 |
8% |
8% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
55% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
37% |
45% |
Last Result |
2 |
8% |
8% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
87 |
63 |
0% |
62–66 |
61–67 |
60–69 |
59–70 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
86 |
62 |
0% |
61–66 |
57–67 |
57–69 |
56–72 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – Forum voor Democratie |
77 |
60 |
0% |
55–61 |
55–63 |
55–63 |
54–65 |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
70 |
56 |
0% |
53–57 |
53–59 |
53–60 |
48–62 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
57 |
0% |
52–58 |
52–60 |
52–60 |
52–62 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
66 |
54 |
0% |
50–55 |
50–58 |
50–58 |
49–60 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
67 |
53 |
0% |
50–54 |
50–56 |
50–58 |
49–58 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
78 |
53 |
0% |
52–56 |
50–57 |
50–57 |
48–62 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
73 |
48 |
0% |
47–52 |
46–53 |
46–53 |
45–57 |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
61 |
46 |
0% |
44–49 |
44–50 |
43–53 |
40–54 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
58 |
43 |
0% |
40–45 |
40–49 |
40–50 |
40–50 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
61 |
39 |
0% |
35–42 |
35–45 |
35–45 |
35–45 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – Forum voor Democratie |
60 |
39 |
0% |
35–41 |
35–43 |
35–44 |
35–44 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
43 |
38 |
0% |
33–39 |
33–40 |
33–43 |
33–43 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
36 |
0% |
32–39 |
32–42 |
32–42 |
32–42 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
57 |
36 |
0% |
32–37 |
32–40 |
32–41 |
32–41 |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
48 |
32 |
0% |
31–35 |
31–36 |
30–38 |
28–39 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
49 |
33 |
0% |
30–35 |
30–38 |
30–38 |
29–38 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
39 |
22 |
0% |
21–24 |
21–25 |
19–27 |
19–31 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
29 |
22 |
0% |
19–23 |
19–23 |
19–25 |
17–27 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
24 |
17 |
0% |
15–19 |
15–20 |
15–21 |
14–22 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
59 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
4% |
99.0% |
|
61 |
1.4% |
95% |
|
62 |
7% |
94% |
|
63 |
44% |
87% |
|
64 |
24% |
43% |
|
65 |
7% |
18% |
|
66 |
3% |
12% |
Median |
67 |
5% |
9% |
|
68 |
0% |
4% |
|
69 |
3% |
4% |
|
70 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
72 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
2% |
100% |
|
57 |
6% |
98% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
93% |
|
59 |
0.6% |
93% |
|
60 |
0.8% |
92% |
|
61 |
37% |
91% |
|
62 |
23% |
54% |
|
63 |
2% |
30% |
|
64 |
12% |
28% |
Median |
65 |
4% |
17% |
|
66 |
5% |
13% |
|
67 |
4% |
8% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
69 |
2% |
3% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
72 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
16% |
99.3% |
|
56 |
0.6% |
83% |
|
57 |
4% |
82% |
|
58 |
8% |
78% |
|
59 |
13% |
70% |
|
60 |
45% |
57% |
Median |
61 |
4% |
11% |
|
62 |
1.0% |
7% |
|
63 |
5% |
6% |
|
64 |
0.5% |
1.3% |
|
65 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
50 |
1.0% |
99.4% |
|
51 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
52 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
53 |
35% |
98% |
|
54 |
1.0% |
63% |
|
55 |
10% |
62% |
|
56 |
39% |
51% |
Median |
57 |
5% |
12% |
|
58 |
0.8% |
7% |
|
59 |
3% |
6% |
|
60 |
2% |
3% |
|
61 |
0% |
0.7% |
|
62 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
52 |
16% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
2% |
83% |
|
54 |
1.4% |
82% |
|
55 |
7% |
80% |
|
56 |
10% |
74% |
|
57 |
30% |
63% |
Median |
58 |
26% |
33% |
|
59 |
2% |
7% |
|
60 |
4% |
5% |
|
61 |
0.8% |
1.4% |
|
62 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
16% |
99.0% |
|
51 |
0.3% |
83% |
|
52 |
3% |
82% |
|
53 |
9% |
79% |
|
54 |
28% |
71% |
|
55 |
36% |
43% |
Median |
56 |
2% |
7% |
|
57 |
0.3% |
5% |
|
58 |
4% |
5% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
60 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
61 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
50 |
24% |
99.3% |
|
51 |
9% |
75% |
|
52 |
13% |
66% |
|
53 |
23% |
52% |
|
54 |
20% |
29% |
Median |
55 |
5% |
10% |
|
56 |
0.6% |
5% |
|
57 |
0.8% |
4% |
|
58 |
3% |
4% |
|
59 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
46 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
48 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
1.3% |
99.1% |
|
50 |
6% |
98% |
|
51 |
1.0% |
92% |
|
52 |
18% |
91% |
|
53 |
45% |
72% |
|
54 |
1.1% |
27% |
|
55 |
15% |
26% |
Median |
56 |
5% |
12% |
|
57 |
6% |
7% |
|
58 |
0.3% |
1.2% |
|
59 |
0% |
0.9% |
|
60 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
61 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
62 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
44 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
1.0% |
99.8% |
|
46 |
8% |
98.8% |
|
47 |
22% |
91% |
|
48 |
38% |
69% |
|
49 |
4% |
31% |
|
50 |
4% |
27% |
Median |
51 |
12% |
23% |
|
52 |
3% |
12% |
|
53 |
8% |
9% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
1.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0.9% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
57 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
99.2% |
|
42 |
0.5% |
99.1% |
|
43 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
44 |
15% |
96% |
|
45 |
16% |
81% |
|
46 |
28% |
65% |
|
47 |
4% |
37% |
|
48 |
22% |
33% |
Median |
49 |
5% |
11% |
|
50 |
2% |
7% |
|
51 |
1.4% |
5% |
|
52 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
53 |
2% |
3% |
|
54 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
37 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
23% |
99.8% |
|
41 |
0.2% |
77% |
|
42 |
2% |
77% |
|
43 |
30% |
75% |
|
44 |
29% |
45% |
|
45 |
7% |
16% |
Median |
46 |
0.5% |
9% |
|
47 |
0.7% |
9% |
|
48 |
0.2% |
8% |
|
49 |
4% |
8% |
|
50 |
3% |
3% |
|
51 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
52 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
22% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
78% |
|
37 |
6% |
78% |
|
38 |
18% |
72% |
|
39 |
23% |
53% |
Median |
40 |
15% |
30% |
|
41 |
5% |
15% |
|
42 |
3% |
10% |
|
43 |
0.2% |
8% |
|
44 |
0.3% |
8% |
|
45 |
7% |
7% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
47 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
22% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
6% |
78% |
|
37 |
16% |
72% |
|
38 |
2% |
56% |
|
39 |
36% |
53% |
Median |
40 |
7% |
17% |
|
41 |
1.5% |
10% |
|
42 |
0.7% |
9% |
|
43 |
4% |
8% |
|
44 |
4% |
4% |
|
45 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
46 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
47 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
21% |
99.8% |
|
34 |
3% |
79% |
|
35 |
6% |
76% |
|
36 |
11% |
70% |
|
37 |
9% |
60% |
|
38 |
38% |
50% |
Median |
39 |
4% |
12% |
|
40 |
4% |
8% |
|
41 |
0.2% |
4% |
|
42 |
0.4% |
4% |
|
43 |
3% |
3% |
Last Result |
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
32 |
21% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
2% |
79% |
|
34 |
2% |
77% |
|
35 |
22% |
76% |
|
36 |
4% |
53% |
Median |
37 |
27% |
50% |
|
38 |
10% |
23% |
|
39 |
5% |
13% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
8% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
8% |
|
42 |
7% |
8% |
|
43 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
44 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
32 |
21% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
2% |
79% |
|
34 |
22% |
77% |
|
35 |
2% |
55% |
|
36 |
5% |
52% |
Median |
37 |
38% |
47% |
|
38 |
1.4% |
10% |
|
39 |
0.5% |
8% |
|
40 |
4% |
8% |
|
41 |
3% |
4% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
43 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
44 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
1.2% |
100% |
|
29 |
0.9% |
98.8% |
|
30 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
31 |
15% |
97% |
|
32 |
38% |
82% |
|
33 |
9% |
44% |
|
34 |
24% |
35% |
Median |
35 |
5% |
11% |
|
36 |
1.4% |
5% |
|
37 |
0.7% |
4% |
|
38 |
2% |
3% |
|
39 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
40 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
29 |
1.0% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
21% |
98.9% |
|
31 |
1.1% |
78% |
|
32 |
23% |
77% |
|
33 |
25% |
54% |
|
34 |
5% |
29% |
Median |
35 |
15% |
24% |
|
36 |
0.9% |
9% |
|
37 |
0.4% |
8% |
|
38 |
7% |
8% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
40 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
41 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
20 |
0.9% |
97% |
|
21 |
46% |
96% |
|
22 |
6% |
51% |
|
23 |
12% |
45% |
Median |
24 |
26% |
33% |
|
25 |
4% |
8% |
|
26 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
27 |
2% |
3% |
|
28 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
29 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
30 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
31 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
2% |
100% |
|
18 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
19 |
10% |
98% |
|
20 |
20% |
88% |
|
21 |
6% |
68% |
|
22 |
24% |
62% |
|
23 |
34% |
38% |
Median |
24 |
0.7% |
4% |
|
25 |
2% |
3% |
|
26 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
27 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
28 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
15 |
11% |
98% |
|
16 |
22% |
87% |
|
17 |
46% |
65% |
|
18 |
2% |
19% |
Median |
19 |
9% |
17% |
|
20 |
5% |
8% |
|
21 |
2% |
3% |
|
22 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
23 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 21–24 October 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1021
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.12%