Opinion Poll by I&O Research, 11–14 November 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.9% | 13.6% | 12.7–14.6% | 12.4–14.9% | 12.2–15.1% | 11.7–15.6% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.7–12.6% | 10.5–12.8% | 10.3–13.1% | 9.9–13.5% |
| GroenLinks | 5.2% | 9.1% | 8.3–10.0% | 8.1–10.2% | 7.9–10.4% | 7.6–10.8% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1.0% | 8.4% | 7.7–9.3% | 7.5–9.5% | 7.3–9.7% | 7.0–10.1% |
| Democraten 66 | 15.0% | 7.8% | 7.1–8.6% | 6.9–8.8% | 6.7–9.0% | 6.4–9.4% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 2.4% | 7.4% | 6.7–8.2% | 6.5–8.4% | 6.3–8.6% | 6.0–9.0% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1–7.5% | 5.9–7.7% | 5.7–7.9% | 5.4–8.3% |
| Socialistische Partij | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1–6.4% | 4.9–6.6% | 4.8–6.8% | 4.5–7.1% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.6–5.9% | 4.5–6.1% | 4.3–6.3% | 4.1–6.6% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 9.5% | 4.6% | 4.0–5.2% | 3.9–5.4% | 3.8–5.6% | 3.5–5.9% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.6–4.7% | 3.4–4.9% | 3.3–5.1% | 3.1–5.4% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.7–3.7% | 2.6–3.9% | 2.5–4.0% | 2.3–4.3% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4–3.3% | 2.3–3.5% | 2.2–3.6% | 2.0–3.9% |
| Volt Europa | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.2–3.1% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.4% | 1.8–3.7% |
| DENK | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.2–1.9% | 1.1–2.0% | 1.1–2.1% | 0.9–2.3% |
| 50Plus | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9–1.6% | 0.9–1.7% | 0.8–1.8% | 0.7–2.0% |
| Bij1 | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8–1.4% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.7–1.6% | 0.6–1.7% |
| Belang van Nederland | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.6–1.1% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.5–1.3% | 0.4–1.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 34 | 23 | 21–23 | 20–23 | 20–23 | 19–23 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 17 | 16 | 16–18 | 16–18 | 16–18 | 16–19 |
| GroenLinks | 8 | 14 | 14 | 14–15 | 13–15 | 12–15 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1 | 13 | 13–14 | 13–14 | 13–14 | 12–14 |
| Democraten 66 | 24 | 12 | 11–12 | 11–12 | 10–13 | 10–14 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 3 | 10 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 9–13 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 13 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 8–13 |
| Socialistische Partij | 9 | 7 | 7–8 | 7–9 | 7–10 | 7–11 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 6 | 8 | 8 | 8–9 | 8–10 | 7–10 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 15 | 6 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 5–8 | 5–9 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6–7 | 4–8 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 8 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3–5 | 3–6 |
| Volt Europa | 3 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| DENK | 3 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–4 |
| 50Plus | 1 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| Bij1 | 1 | 1 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| Belang van Nederland | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 20 | 5% | 99.2% | |
| 21 | 17% | 94% | |
| 22 | 1.2% | 77% | |
| 23 | 76% | 76% | Median |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 16 | 75% | 99.6% | Median |
| 17 | 3% | 25% | Last Result |
| 18 | 21% | 21% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 20 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 14 | 92% | 97% | Median |
| 15 | 5% | 5% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 17 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 12 | 1.1% | 99.6% | |
| 13 | 80% | 98.5% | Median |
| 14 | 19% | 19% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 20% | 96% | |
| 12 | 74% | 76% | Median |
| 13 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 14 | 2% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 10 | 80% | 99.1% | Median |
| 11 | 0.6% | 19% | |
| 12 | 16% | 19% | |
| 13 | 2% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 9 | 17% | 99.2% | Last Result |
| 10 | 3% | 82% | |
| 11 | 1.0% | 79% | |
| 12 | 2% | 78% | |
| 13 | 76% | 76% | Median |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 75% | 100% | Median |
| 8 | 20% | 25% | |
| 9 | 1.2% | 5% | Last Result |
| 10 | 3% | 4% | |
| 11 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 8 | 92% | 98% | Median |
| 9 | 2% | 6% | |
| 10 | 4% | 4% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3% | 100% | |
| 6 | 76% | 97% | Median |
| 7 | 0.7% | 20% | |
| 8 | 18% | 20% | |
| 9 | 1.5% | 1.5% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 99.1% | Last Result |
| 6 | 96% | 98.7% | Median |
| 7 | 2% | 3% | |
| 8 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 95% | 99.9% | Median |
| 5 | 4% | 5% | |
| 6 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 94% | 97% | Median |
| 5 | 2% | 3% | |
| 6 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 25% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 75% | 75% | Median |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15% | 100% | |
| 2 | 79% | 85% | Median |
| 3 | 4% | 6% | Last Result |
| 4 | 2% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 78% | 81% | Median |
| 3 | 3% | 3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 84% | 99.8% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 2% | 16% | |
| 3 | 15% | 15% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Belang van Nederland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Belang van Nederland page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 94% | 95% | Median |
| 2 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 86 | 61 | 0% | 60–61 | 59–61 | 59–61 | 57–62 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 87 | 60 | 0% | 55–60 | 55–60 | 54–60 | 53–60 |
| GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 70 | 58 | 0% | 56–58 | 56–58 | 56–59 | 54–61 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 53 | 0% | 53–55 | 53–55 | 53–55 | 51–56 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 49 | 0% | 49–51 | 49–51 | 49–51 | 46–52 |
| GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 61 | 51 | 0% | 48–51 | 48–51 | 48–51 | 47–53 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 67 | 48 | 0% | 41–48 | 41–48 | 40–48 | 38–48 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 45 | 0% | 45–47 | 45–47 | 45–47 | 42–47 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 78 | 47 | 0% | 46–47 | 45–47 | 44–47 | 44–47 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 58 | 42 | 0% | 38–42 | 38–42 | 36–42 | 34–42 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 73 | 41 | 0% | 40–41 | 39–41 | 38–41 | 37–42 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 39 | 0% | 38–39 | 37–39 | 37–39 | 36–42 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 60 | 37 | 0% | 36–37 | 36–37 | 35–37 | 35–40 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 43 | 36 | 0% | 30–36 | 30–36 | 30–36 | 28–36 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 35 | 0% | 34–35 | 34–35 | 33–35 | 31–37 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 57 | 33 | 0% | 33 | 32–33 | 31–33 | 30–35 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 48 | 31 | 0% | 28–31 | 28–31 | 28–31 | 27–31 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 49 | 29 | 0% | 28–29 | 28–29 | 27–29 | 25–31 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 29 | 25 | 0% | 23–25 | 23–25 | 22–25 | 21–26 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 39 | 18 | 0% | 18–19 | 18–19 | 16–20 | 16–20 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 24 | 19 | 0% | 17–19 | 17–19 | 16–19 | 15–20 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 1.5% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 59 | 7% | 98% | |
| 60 | 16% | 91% | |
| 61 | 73% | 76% | Median |
| 62 | 2% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 4% | 99.3% | |
| 55 | 15% | 96% | |
| 56 | 3% | 80% | |
| 57 | 1.2% | 78% | |
| 58 | 3% | 76% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 73% | |
| 60 | 73% | 73% | Median |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 56 | 15% | 98.9% | |
| 57 | 6% | 84% | |
| 58 | 74% | 79% | Median |
| 59 | 3% | 4% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 53 | 78% | 98.6% | Median |
| 54 | 3% | 20% | |
| 55 | 16% | 17% | |
| 56 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 48 | 0.6% | 98.7% | |
| 49 | 78% | 98% | Median |
| 50 | 0.6% | 20% | |
| 51 | 19% | 20% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 1.3% | 99.6% | |
| 48 | 15% | 98% | |
| 49 | 8% | 84% | |
| 50 | 2% | 76% | |
| 51 | 73% | 74% | Median |
| 52 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 40 | 4% | 99.3% | |
| 41 | 15% | 96% | |
| 42 | 0.5% | 81% | |
| 43 | 1.3% | 80% | |
| 44 | 3% | 79% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 76% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 76% | |
| 47 | 3% | 76% | |
| 48 | 73% | 73% | Median |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 42 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 43 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 45 | 78% | 98% | Median |
| 46 | 4% | 20% | |
| 47 | 16% | 17% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 44 | 5% | 99.7% | |
| 45 | 3% | 95% | |
| 46 | 16% | 92% | |
| 47 | 76% | 76% | Median |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 36 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 37 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 38 | 19% | 97% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 77% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 77% | |
| 41 | 3% | 77% | |
| 42 | 74% | 74% | Median |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 1.4% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 3% | 98% | |
| 39 | 4% | 95% | |
| 40 | 15% | 91% | |
| 41 | 75% | 76% | Median |
| 42 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 5% | 99.2% | |
| 38 | 16% | 94% | |
| 39 | 77% | 78% | Median |
| 40 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 42 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 8% | 97% | |
| 37 | 88% | 90% | Median |
| 38 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 40 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 30 | 20% | 98.6% | |
| 31 | 0.4% | 79% | |
| 32 | 1.2% | 78% | |
| 33 | 1.1% | 77% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 76% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 76% | |
| 36 | 76% | 76% | Median |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 33 | 2% | 98% | |
| 34 | 18% | 96% | |
| 35 | 77% | 78% | Median |
| 36 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 37 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 1.4% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 2% | 98% | |
| 32 | 4% | 97% | |
| 33 | 92% | 93% | Median |
| 34 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 35 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 1.4% | 99.8% | |
| 28 | 18% | 98% | |
| 29 | 6% | 80% | |
| 30 | 0.4% | 75% | |
| 31 | 74% | 74% | Median |
| 32 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 1.2% | 99.2% | |
| 27 | 2% | 98% | |
| 28 | 6% | 96% | |
| 29 | 89% | 90% | Median |
| 30 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 31 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 21 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 23 | 15% | 97% | |
| 24 | 7% | 82% | |
| 25 | 74% | 75% | Median |
| 26 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 3% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 18 | 77% | 96% | Median |
| 19 | 16% | 19% | |
| 20 | 3% | 3% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 15 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 17 | 15% | 97% | |
| 18 | 7% | 82% | |
| 19 | 73% | 74% | Median |
| 20 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: I&O Research
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 11–14 November 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 2069
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.15%