Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 25–28 November 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.9% | 16.9% | 15.5–18.5% | 15.1–18.9% | 14.8–19.3% | 14.1–20.1% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 10.8% | 11.8% | 10.6–13.2% | 10.3–13.6% | 10.0–13.9% | 9.4–14.6% |
| Democraten 66 | 15.0% | 10.9% | 9.7–12.2% | 9.4–12.6% | 9.1–12.9% | 8.6–13.6% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1.0% | 7.8% | 6.8–9.0% | 6.5–9.3% | 6.3–9.6% | 5.9–10.2% |
| GroenLinks | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.4–8.6% | 6.2–8.9% | 6.0–9.2% | 5.5–9.7% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6–7.5% | 5.3–7.8% | 5.1–8.1% | 4.7–8.7% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.8–6.7% | 4.6–7.0% | 4.4–7.3% | 4.1–7.8% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 2.4% | 5.7% | 4.8–6.7% | 4.6–7.0% | 4.4–7.3% | 4.1–7.8% |
| Socialistische Partij | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.8–6.6% | 4.5–6.9% | 4.3–7.1% | 4.0–7.7% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 9.5% | 5.3% | 4.5–6.3% | 4.3–6.6% | 4.1–6.8% | 3.7–7.3% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.1% | 2.2–4.3% | 1.9–4.7% |
| Volt Europa | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.1% | 2.2–4.3% | 1.9–4.7% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.6–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.4% |
| DENK | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.6–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.4% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 5.0% | 1.3% | 1.0–1.9% | 0.9–2.1% | 0.8–2.3% | 0.7–2.6% |
| Bij1 | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9–1.8% | 0.8–2.0% | 0.7–2.1% | 0.6–2.4% |
| Belang van Nederland | 0.0% | 1.2% | 0.9–1.8% | 0.8–2.0% | 0.7–2.1% | 0.6–2.4% |
| 50Plus | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.3–1.1% | 0.3–1.3% | 0.2–1.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 34 | 23 | 22–29 | 22–29 | 22–29 | 21–31 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 17 | 18 | 16–20 | 15–20 | 14–20 | 14–21 |
| Democraten 66 | 24 | 17 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 14–19 | 13–21 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1 | 14 | 10–15 | 9–15 | 9–16 | 8–16 |
| GroenLinks | 8 | 12 | 11–14 | 10–14 | 8–14 | 8–15 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 9 | 7–10 | 7–11 | 7–12 | 7–14 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 6 | 10 | 6–11 | 5–11 | 5–11 | 5–11 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 3 | 9 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 7–11 | 6–12 |
| Socialistische Partij | 9 | 8 | 7–9 | 7–10 | 6–11 | 6–14 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 15 | 8 | 8–10 | 7–10 | 6–10 | 6–11 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 5 | 4–7 | 3–7 | 3–7 | 3–8 |
| Volt Europa | 3 | 4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–6 | 2–6 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 1–6 |
| DENK | 3 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–5 | 1–5 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 8 | 2 | 2–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 0–4 |
| Bij1 | 1 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–3 |
| Belang van Nederland | 0 | 1 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 0–3 |
| 50Plus | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 22 | 16% | 99.5% | |
| 23 | 33% | 83% | Median |
| 24 | 2% | 50% | |
| 25 | 24% | 48% | |
| 26 | 5% | 23% | |
| 27 | 6% | 18% | |
| 28 | 2% | 13% | |
| 29 | 9% | 11% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 31 | 2% | 2% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 5% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 16 | 8% | 95% | |
| 17 | 37% | 87% | Last Result |
| 18 | 6% | 50% | Median |
| 19 | 4% | 45% | |
| 20 | 40% | 41% | |
| 21 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 14 | 25% | 99.1% | |
| 15 | 1.1% | 74% | |
| 16 | 20% | 73% | |
| 17 | 33% | 53% | Median |
| 18 | 16% | 20% | |
| 19 | 3% | 4% | |
| 20 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 21 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 9 | 5% | 99.5% | |
| 10 | 27% | 95% | |
| 11 | 5% | 68% | |
| 12 | 9% | 63% | |
| 13 | 2% | 54% | |
| 14 | 17% | 51% | Median |
| 15 | 32% | 34% | |
| 16 | 3% | 3% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 2% | 97% | |
| 10 | 2% | 95% | |
| 11 | 34% | 93% | |
| 12 | 26% | 59% | Median |
| 13 | 5% | 33% | |
| 14 | 27% | 28% | |
| 15 | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 19% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 11% | 81% | |
| 9 | 59% | 70% | Last Result, Median |
| 10 | 5% | 11% | |
| 11 | 3% | 6% | |
| 12 | 2% | 3% | |
| 13 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 7% | 100% | |
| 6 | 4% | 93% | Last Result |
| 7 | 3% | 88% | |
| 8 | 29% | 85% | |
| 9 | 2% | 56% | |
| 10 | 21% | 53% | Median |
| 11 | 33% | 33% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 39% | 99.1% | |
| 8 | 5% | 60% | |
| 9 | 34% | 55% | Median |
| 10 | 18% | 22% | |
| 11 | 3% | 4% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 13 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 6 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 35% | 97% | |
| 8 | 51% | 62% | Median |
| 9 | 2% | 11% | Last Result |
| 10 | 6% | 9% | |
| 11 | 2% | 3% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 13 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 14 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 6 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 7% | 97% | |
| 8 | 47% | 90% | Median |
| 9 | 18% | 44% | |
| 10 | 25% | 26% | |
| 11 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 3 | 6% | 99.5% | |
| 4 | 38% | 93% | |
| 5 | 19% | 55% | Last Result, Median |
| 6 | 26% | 36% | |
| 7 | 9% | 10% | |
| 8 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 3 | 28% | 99.2% | Last Result |
| 4 | 25% | 71% | Median |
| 5 | 43% | 46% | |
| 6 | 3% | 4% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 2 | 21% | 99.2% | |
| 3 | 11% | 79% | Last Result |
| 4 | 66% | 68% | Median |
| 5 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 85% | 98.6% | Median |
| 3 | 7% | 13% | Last Result |
| 4 | 2% | 6% | |
| 5 | 4% | 4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 6% | 98.6% | |
| 2 | 70% | 93% | Median |
| 3 | 23% | 23% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 15% | 98.7% | Last Result |
| 2 | 82% | 84% | Median |
| 3 | 2% | 2% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Belang van Nederland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Belang van Nederland page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 54% | 98.9% | Median |
| 2 | 12% | 45% | |
| 3 | 33% | 33% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 49% | 100% | |
| 1 | 51% | 51% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 86 | 64 | 0% | 63–71 | 63–74 | 62–74 | 61–74 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 87 | 62 | 0% | 59–70 | 59–70 | 59–70 | 59–72 |
| Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 70 | 57 | 0% | 56–61 | 56–62 | 53–63 | 52–67 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 78 | 52 | 0% | 52–60 | 52–62 | 52–62 | 49–62 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – Forum voor Democratie | 77 | 56 | 0% | 54–61 | 54–61 | 53–61 | 49–62 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 54 | 0% | 50–57 | 50–57 | 48–57 | 46–57 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 67 | 49 | 0% | 45–55 | 45–55 | 45–57 | 45–59 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 73 | 48 | 0% | 47–55 | 47–55 | 47–56 | 45–57 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 51 | 0% | 48–55 | 48–55 | 47–55 | 46–56 |
| Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 61 | 49 | 0% | 49–53 | 48–53 | 43–55 | 43–59 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 58 | 41 | 0% | 38–45 | 38–45 | 38–49 | 38–49 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 61 | 37 | 0% | 37–43 | 37–43 | 36–45 | 34–46 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – Forum voor Democratie | 60 | 37 | 0% | 36–43 | 36–43 | 35–44 | 34–45 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 35 | 0% | 33–39 | 33–39 | 32–40 | 31–41 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 43 | 34 | 0% | 29–37 | 29–38 | 29–40 | 29–42 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 57 | 34 | 0% | 33–39 | 33–39 | 32–39 | 31–40 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 48 | 34 | 0% | 32–35 | 32–36 | 32–38 | 28–40 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 49 | 32 | 0% | 31–37 | 31–37 | 31–37 | 29–39 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 39 | 25 | 0% | 24–26 | 23–26 | 23–28 | 20–28 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 29 | 21 | 0% | 21–25 | 20–25 | 17–26 | 17–28 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 24 | 17 | 0% | 16–19 | 16–19 | 14–20 | 14–22 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 61 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 62 | 1.3% | 98.7% | |
| 63 | 35% | 97% | |
| 64 | 17% | 63% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 46% | Median |
| 66 | 0.7% | 46% | |
| 67 | 2% | 45% | |
| 68 | 2% | 43% | |
| 69 | 26% | 42% | |
| 70 | 4% | 16% | |
| 71 | 2% | 11% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 10% | |
| 73 | 0% | 9% | |
| 74 | 9% | 9% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 59 | 16% | 99.6% | |
| 60 | 0.8% | 83% | |
| 61 | 32% | 82% | |
| 62 | 3% | 50% | Median |
| 63 | 2% | 47% | |
| 64 | 24% | 45% | |
| 65 | 3% | 21% | |
| 66 | 2% | 18% | |
| 67 | 3% | 16% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 13% | |
| 69 | 2% | 13% | |
| 70 | 9% | 10% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 72 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 53 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 56 | 32% | 96% | |
| 57 | 18% | 65% | |
| 58 | 2% | 47% | |
| 59 | 5% | 45% | Median |
| 60 | 0.4% | 40% | |
| 61 | 34% | 40% | |
| 62 | 2% | 6% | |
| 63 | 3% | 5% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 67 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 48 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 49 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 51 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 52 | 48% | 98% | |
| 53 | 1.1% | 49% | Median |
| 54 | 0.3% | 48% | |
| 55 | 28% | 48% | |
| 56 | 3% | 20% | |
| 57 | 4% | 17% | |
| 58 | 2% | 13% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 11% | |
| 60 | 2% | 11% | |
| 61 | 1.3% | 9% | |
| 62 | 7% | 7% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 2% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 53 | 2% | 98% | |
| 54 | 32% | 96% | |
| 55 | 3% | 64% | Median |
| 56 | 17% | 62% | |
| 57 | 7% | 45% | |
| 58 | 4% | 38% | |
| 59 | 8% | 34% | |
| 60 | 0.9% | 26% | |
| 61 | 24% | 25% | |
| 62 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 2% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 98% | |
| 48 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 50 | 33% | 97% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 65% | Median |
| 52 | 2% | 64% | |
| 53 | 2% | 62% | |
| 54 | 22% | 60% | |
| 55 | 11% | 38% | |
| 56 | 2% | 28% | |
| 57 | 25% | 26% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 16% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 84% | |
| 47 | 0.8% | 84% | |
| 48 | 24% | 83% | |
| 49 | 31% | 59% | Median |
| 50 | 1.1% | 27% | |
| 51 | 2% | 26% | |
| 52 | 6% | 24% | |
| 53 | 3% | 18% | |
| 54 | 1.5% | 15% | |
| 55 | 9% | 14% | |
| 56 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 57 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 59 | 2% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 46 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 47 | 17% | 98% | |
| 48 | 32% | 81% | Median |
| 49 | 26% | 49% | |
| 50 | 2% | 23% | |
| 51 | 2% | 21% | |
| 52 | 5% | 19% | |
| 53 | 0.9% | 13% | |
| 54 | 2% | 13% | |
| 55 | 8% | 11% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 57 | 2% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 46 | 1.4% | 99.6% | |
| 47 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 48 | 31% | 97% | |
| 49 | 3% | 66% | Median |
| 50 | 1.1% | 63% | |
| 51 | 21% | 62% | |
| 52 | 1.0% | 41% | |
| 53 | 13% | 40% | |
| 54 | 0.9% | 27% | |
| 55 | 25% | 26% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 3% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 97% | |
| 45 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 46 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 95% | |
| 48 | 2% | 95% | |
| 49 | 47% | 93% | |
| 50 | 3% | 46% | |
| 51 | 1.2% | 43% | Median |
| 52 | 3% | 42% | |
| 53 | 34% | 39% | |
| 54 | 2% | 5% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 56 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 58 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 59 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 38 | 17% | 99.5% | |
| 39 | 0.5% | 83% | |
| 40 | 32% | 83% | Median |
| 41 | 3% | 51% | |
| 42 | 0.8% | 48% | |
| 43 | 6% | 47% | |
| 44 | 28% | 41% | |
| 45 | 9% | 14% | |
| 46 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 47 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 49 | 2% | 3% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 35 | 1.4% | 99.0% | |
| 36 | 2% | 98% | |
| 37 | 49% | 96% | |
| 38 | 1.2% | 47% | Median |
| 39 | 4% | 46% | |
| 40 | 2% | 42% | |
| 41 | 4% | 40% | |
| 42 | 25% | 36% | |
| 43 | 8% | 11% | |
| 44 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 45 | 2% | 3% | |
| 46 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 35 | 1.5% | 98.9% | |
| 36 | 18% | 97% | |
| 37 | 32% | 79% | Median |
| 38 | 3% | 47% | |
| 39 | 2% | 43% | |
| 40 | 5% | 41% | |
| 41 | 25% | 37% | |
| 42 | 1.0% | 12% | |
| 43 | 8% | 11% | |
| 44 | 2% | 3% | |
| 45 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 31 | 1.1% | 99.6% | |
| 32 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 33 | 32% | 97% | |
| 34 | 2% | 65% | Median |
| 35 | 16% | 63% | |
| 36 | 2% | 47% | |
| 37 | 4% | 44% | |
| 38 | 28% | 41% | |
| 39 | 9% | 12% | |
| 40 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 41 | 2% | 2% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 16% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.5% | 84% | |
| 31 | 0.7% | 84% | |
| 32 | 31% | 83% | Median |
| 33 | 1.1% | 52% | |
| 34 | 28% | 51% | |
| 35 | 4% | 23% | |
| 36 | 4% | 18% | |
| 37 | 8% | 14% | |
| 38 | 3% | 6% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 41 | 2% | 2% | |
| 42 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 31 | 1.1% | 99.5% | |
| 32 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 33 | 33% | 97% | Median |
| 34 | 17% | 64% | |
| 35 | 0.8% | 47% | |
| 36 | 4% | 46% | |
| 37 | 28% | 42% | |
| 38 | 2% | 14% | |
| 39 | 10% | 12% | |
| 40 | 2% | 2% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 31 | 1.3% | 99.2% | |
| 32 | 20% | 98% | |
| 33 | 26% | 78% | |
| 34 | 41% | 52% | Median |
| 35 | 3% | 11% | |
| 36 | 4% | 8% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 38 | 2% | 4% | |
| 39 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 30 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 31 | 47% | 98% | Median |
| 32 | 3% | 50% | |
| 33 | 4% | 47% | |
| 34 | 5% | 44% | |
| 35 | 25% | 39% | |
| 36 | 1.5% | 13% | |
| 37 | 10% | 12% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 39 | 2% | 2% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 98.6% | |
| 22 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 23 | 3% | 98% | |
| 24 | 26% | 94% | |
| 25 | 51% | 69% | Median |
| 26 | 14% | 17% | |
| 27 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 28 | 2% | 3% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 3% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 19 | 2% | 97% | |
| 20 | 2% | 95% | |
| 21 | 53% | 93% | |
| 22 | 2% | 40% | Median |
| 23 | 8% | 38% | |
| 24 | 1.4% | 30% | |
| 25 | 26% | 29% | |
| 26 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 27 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 28 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 14 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 15 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 16 | 26% | 96% | |
| 17 | 38% | 70% | Median |
| 18 | 3% | 32% | |
| 19 | 25% | 29% | |
| 20 | 2% | 4% | |
| 21 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 22 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 25–28 November 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1040
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.10%