Opinion Poll by I&O Research, 13–16 January 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.9% | 15.0% | 14.1–15.9% | 13.8–16.2% | 13.6–16.4% | 13.2–16.9% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.7–12.4% | 10.5–12.6% | 10.3–12.8% | 9.9–13.2% |
| Democraten 66 | 15.0% | 8.1% | 7.4–8.8% | 7.2–9.0% | 7.1–9.2% | 6.8–9.6% |
| GroenLinks | 5.2% | 8.1% | 7.4–8.8% | 7.2–9.0% | 7.1–9.2% | 6.8–9.6% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 2.4% | 7.6% | 7.0–8.3% | 6.8–8.5% | 6.6–8.7% | 6.3–9.1% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1.0% | 7.5% | 6.8–8.2% | 6.6–8.4% | 6.5–8.6% | 6.2–8.9% |
| Socialistische Partij | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8–7.1% | 5.6–7.3% | 5.5–7.4% | 5.2–7.8% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3–6.6% | 5.2–6.8% | 5.0–6.9% | 4.8–7.2% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.8–6.0% | 4.7–6.2% | 4.6–6.4% | 4.3–6.7% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 9.5% | 3.9% | 3.4–4.5% | 3.3–4.6% | 3.2–4.7% | 3.0–5.0% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.2–4.1% | 3.0–4.3% | 2.9–4.4% | 2.7–4.7% |
| Volt Europa | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.5–4.3% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.7–3.6% | 2.6–3.7% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.1% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.5–3.4% | 2.4–3.5% | 2.3–3.6% | 2.1–3.9% |
| DENK | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1–2.9% | 2.0–3.0% | 1.9–3.1% | 1.7–3.3% |
| Bij1 | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8–1.3% | 0.7–1.4% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.6% |
| Belang van Nederland | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.6–1.1% | 0.6–1.2% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.4–1.4% |
| 50Plus | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2–0.5% | 0.2–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 34 | 23 | 23–25 | 22–25 | 22–25 | 21–25 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 17 | 18 | 18–19 | 18–19 | 17–20 | 16–20 |
| Democraten 66 | 24 | 13 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 11–14 | 11–14 |
| GroenLinks | 8 | 13 | 12–14 | 11–14 | 10–14 | 10–14 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 3 | 12 | 11–12 | 11–12 | 10–12 | 10–14 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1 | 11 | 11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 10–13 |
| Socialistische Partij | 9 | 10 | 9–10 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 9 | 7–9 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 7–10 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 6 | 8 | 8–10 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 7–11 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 15 | 5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 5–8 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
| Volt Europa | 3 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 8 | 3 | 2–4 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 2–6 |
| DENK | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Bij1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| Belang van Nederland | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| 50Plus | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 21 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 6% | 98% | |
| 23 | 63% | 92% | Median |
| 24 | 5% | 30% | |
| 25 | 25% | 25% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 16 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 17 | 2% | 98% | Last Result |
| 18 | 77% | 96% | Median |
| 19 | 15% | 19% | |
| 20 | 4% | 4% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 15% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 4% | 85% | |
| 13 | 76% | 81% | Median |
| 14 | 4% | 4% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 4% | 100% | |
| 11 | 6% | 96% | |
| 12 | 14% | 90% | |
| 13 | 62% | 77% | Median |
| 14 | 14% | 14% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 8% | 96% | |
| 12 | 85% | 88% | Median |
| 13 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 14 | 2% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 10 | 7% | 99.8% | |
| 11 | 92% | 93% | Median |
| 12 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 13 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 9 | 28% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 10 | 66% | 71% | Median |
| 11 | 5% | 5% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 11% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.4% | 89% | |
| 9 | 81% | 89% | Last Result, Median |
| 10 | 8% | 8% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 5% | 100% | |
| 8 | 64% | 95% | Median |
| 9 | 19% | 31% | |
| 10 | 11% | 12% | |
| 11 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 5 | 67% | 99.9% | Median |
| 6 | 31% | 33% | |
| 7 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 8 | 2% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 14% | 100% | |
| 5 | 84% | 86% | Last Result, Median |
| 6 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 7 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 74% | 99.8% | Median |
| 5 | 20% | 26% | |
| 6 | 6% | 6% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.5% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 78% | 99.5% | Median |
| 5 | 21% | 21% | |
| 6 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 14% | 100% | |
| 3 | 75% | 86% | Median |
| 4 | 5% | 11% | |
| 5 | 4% | 6% | |
| 6 | 2% | 2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 73% | 99.8% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 26% | 27% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11% | 100% | |
| 1 | 83% | 89% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 6% | 6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Belang van Nederland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Belang van Nederland page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 29% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 70% | 71% | Median |
| 2 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 86 | 59 | 0% | 58–61 | 57–61 | 57–61 | 55–61 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 87 | 55 | 0% | 55–56 | 55–57 | 55–57 | 53–57 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – Forum voor Democratie | 77 | 53 | 0% | 53–57 | 53–57 | 53–57 | 50–57 |
| Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 70 | 55 | 0% | 52–55 | 52–56 | 52–56 | 52–56 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 49 | 0% | 49–52 | 49–52 | 49–53 | 46–53 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 46 | 0% | 46–50 | 46–50 | 46–50 | 42–50 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 78 | 46 | 0% | 46–49 | 46–49 | 46–49 | 44–49 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 67 | 45 | 0% | 45 | 44–46 | 44–46 | 42–46 |
| Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 61 | 45 | 0% | 43–45 | 43–46 | 42–46 | 42–47 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 73 | 41 | 0% | 41–44 | 41–44 | 41–44 | 39–44 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 58 | 37 | 0% | 37–40 | 37–40 | 37–40 | 36–40 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 61 | 35 | 0% | 35–39 | 35–39 | 35–39 | 34–39 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – Forum voor Democratie | 60 | 35 | 0% | 35–39 | 35–39 | 35–39 | 34–39 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 43 | 32 | 0% | 32–34 | 32–34 | 32–34 | 30–34 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 31 | 0% | 31–34 | 31–34 | 31–34 | 30–35 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 57 | 31 | 0% | 31–34 | 31–34 | 31–34 | 30–35 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 49 | 28 | 0% | 28–31 | 28–31 | 28–31 | 26–31 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 48 | 27 | 0% | 26–27 | 26–30 | 26–30 | 25–30 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 29 | 19 | 0% | 18–20 | 18–21 | 18–21 | 18–23 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 39 | 18 | 0% | 17–19 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 17–20 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 24 | 14 | 0% | 13–15 | 13–16 | 13–17 | 13–18 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 1.5% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 57 | 4% | 98% | |
| 58 | 4% | 94% | |
| 59 | 64% | 90% | Median |
| 60 | 14% | 25% | |
| 61 | 11% | 11% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 54 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 55 | 76% | 98% | Median |
| 56 | 15% | 22% | |
| 57 | 7% | 7% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 2% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 98% | |
| 52 | 0% | 98% | |
| 53 | 60% | 98% | Median |
| 54 | 0.4% | 38% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 38% | |
| 56 | 20% | 37% | |
| 57 | 17% | 18% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 11% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 19% | 89% | |
| 54 | 3% | 70% | |
| 55 | 60% | 67% | Median |
| 56 | 6% | 7% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 49 | 60% | 98% | Median |
| 50 | 0.2% | 38% | |
| 51 | 6% | 38% | |
| 52 | 29% | 32% | |
| 53 | 2% | 3% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 46 | 64% | 98% | Median |
| 47 | 4% | 34% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 30% | |
| 49 | 16% | 30% | |
| 50 | 14% | 14% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 44 | 1.5% | 99.7% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 46 | 76% | 98% | Median |
| 47 | 11% | 22% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 11% | |
| 49 | 11% | 11% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 44 | 6% | 99.2% | |
| 45 | 85% | 94% | Median |
| 46 | 8% | 9% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 11% | 95% | |
| 44 | 16% | 84% | |
| 45 | 62% | 69% | Median |
| 46 | 5% | 7% | |
| 47 | 2% | 2% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 39 | 1.4% | 99.6% | |
| 40 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 41 | 63% | 98% | Median |
| 42 | 24% | 35% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 11% | |
| 44 | 11% | 11% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 1.4% | 99.5% | |
| 37 | 60% | 98% | Median |
| 38 | 21% | 38% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 17% | |
| 40 | 17% | 17% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 35 | 60% | 98.7% | Median |
| 36 | 0.8% | 39% | |
| 37 | 18% | 38% | |
| 38 | 5% | 19% | |
| 39 | 14% | 15% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 35 | 60% | 98.7% | Median |
| 36 | 0.8% | 39% | |
| 37 | 19% | 38% | |
| 38 | 5% | 19% | |
| 39 | 14% | 15% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 31 | 1.5% | 99.5% | |
| 32 | 78% | 98% | Median |
| 33 | 5% | 20% | |
| 34 | 14% | 14% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 1.4% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 60% | 98% | Median |
| 32 | 5% | 38% | |
| 33 | 18% | 34% | |
| 34 | 13% | 15% | |
| 35 | 2% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 1.4% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 60% | 98% | Median |
| 32 | 5% | 38% | |
| 33 | 18% | 34% | |
| 34 | 13% | 15% | |
| 35 | 2% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 2% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 28 | 64% | 98% | Median |
| 29 | 6% | 34% | |
| 30 | 3% | 28% | |
| 31 | 25% | 25% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 25% | 99.5% | |
| 27 | 67% | 74% | Median |
| 28 | 2% | 8% | |
| 29 | 0% | 6% | |
| 30 | 6% | 6% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 18 | 11% | 99.9% | |
| 19 | 79% | 89% | Median |
| 20 | 4% | 10% | |
| 21 | 4% | 7% | |
| 22 | 0% | 2% | |
| 23 | 2% | 2% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 17 | 15% | 99.7% | |
| 18 | 68% | 85% | Median |
| 19 | 11% | 17% | |
| 20 | 6% | 6% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 11% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 65% | 89% | Median |
| 15 | 18% | 24% | |
| 16 | 4% | 7% | |
| 17 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 18 | 2% | 2% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: I&O Research
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 13–16 January 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 2489
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.16%