Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 27–30 January 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 21.9% 18.5% 17.0–20.1% 16.5–20.6% 16.2–21.0% 15.5–21.8%
Partij voor de Vrijheid 10.8% 11.2% 10.0–12.6% 9.6–12.9% 9.4–13.3% 8.8–14.0%
Democraten 66 15.0% 9.8% 8.7–11.1% 8.4–11.5% 8.1–11.8% 7.6–12.4%
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 9.5% 7.1% 6.1–8.2% 5.9–8.6% 5.7–8.9% 5.2–9.4%
Juiste Antwoord 2021 2.4% 6.8% 5.9–7.9% 5.6–8.2% 5.4–8.5% 5.0–9.1%
GroenLinks 5.2% 6.7% 5.8–7.8% 5.5–8.1% 5.3–8.4% 4.9–9.0%
BoerBurgerBeweging 1.0% 6.5% 5.6–7.6% 5.3–7.9% 5.1–8.2% 4.7–8.7%
Partij van de Arbeid 5.7% 6.2% 5.3–7.3% 5.1–7.6% 4.8–7.9% 4.5–8.4%
Partij voor de Dieren 3.8% 6.1% 5.2–7.2% 5.0–7.5% 4.8–7.8% 4.4–8.3%
Socialistische Partij 6.0% 5.1% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.4% 3.9–6.6% 3.5–7.1%
Forum voor Democratie 5.0% 3.5% 2.9–4.4% 2.7–4.6% 2.5–4.8% 2.2–5.3%
ChristenUnie 3.4% 3.1% 2.5–3.9% 2.3–4.2% 2.2–4.4% 1.9–4.8%
Volt Europa 2.4% 2.6% 2.1–3.4% 1.9–3.6% 1.8–3.8% 1.5–4.2%
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 2.1% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.6%
DENK 2.0% 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.1% 1.1–3.4%
Bij1 0.8% 0.7% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.4% 0.2–1.7%
50Plus 1.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.1% 0.3–1.2% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 34 30 26–30 26–30 26–30 25–34
Partij voor de Vrijheid 17 18 17–19 16–19 15–21 14–21
Democraten 66 24 15 13–15 13–15 12–15 12–17
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 15 11 9–14 9–14 9–14 9–15
Juiste Antwoord 2021 3 10 9–11 9–12 7–13 6–13
GroenLinks 8 12 10–13 10–13 9–14 8–14
BoerBurgerBeweging 1 8 7–10 7–10 7–10 7–11
Partij van de Arbeid 9 8 7–10 6–10 6–10 6–11
Partij voor de Dieren 6 9 8–10 8–10 8–10 7–12
Socialistische Partij 9 7 6–8 6–9 5–9 5–9
Forum voor Democratie 8 5 5 4–6 4–6 3–7
ChristenUnie 5 5 4–7 4–7 3–7 3–7
Volt Europa 3 5 4–5 3–5 3–5 3–6
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 3 3 2–4 2–5 2–5 2–5
DENK 3 3 2–3 2–3 2–4 1–4
Bij1 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 0–2
50Plus 1 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.2% 100%  
24 0.1% 99.8%  
25 0.2% 99.7%  
26 12% 99.5%  
27 32% 88%  
28 0.6% 56%  
29 4% 55%  
30 50% 51% Median
31 0.2% 1.3%  
32 0.5% 1.1%  
33 0.1% 0.6%  
34 0.5% 0.6% Last Result
35 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Vrijheid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.2% 100%  
14 0.4% 99.8%  
15 4% 99.5%  
16 5% 95%  
17 9% 90% Last Result
18 46% 82% Median
19 32% 36%  
20 0.3% 4%  
21 3% 3%  
22 0% 0.2%  
23 0.2% 0.2%  
24 0% 0%  

Democraten 66

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100%  
11 0.1% 99.8%  
12 4% 99.7%  
13 38% 96%  
14 4% 58%  
15 53% 54% Median
16 0.5% 1.2%  
17 0.3% 0.7%  
18 0.3% 0.4%  
19 0.1% 0.2%  
20 0% 0.1%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0% Last Result

Christen-Democratisch Appèl

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 42% 99.9%  
10 4% 58%  
11 36% 54% Median
12 6% 18%  
13 0.4% 12%  
14 11% 11%  
15 0.6% 0.6% Last Result
16 0% 0%  

Juiste Antwoord 2021

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0% 100% Last Result
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 2% 100%  
7 0.2% 98%  
8 1.1% 97%  
9 33% 96%  
10 44% 64% Median
11 12% 20%  
12 4% 8%  
13 3% 3%  
14 0.3% 0.4%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.4% 100%  
8 0.2% 99.6% Last Result
9 3% 99.3%  
10 36% 96%  
11 4% 61%  
12 9% 57% Median
13 45% 48%  
14 3% 3%  
15 0% 0%  

BoerBurgerBeweging

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0% 100% Last Result
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 41% 100%  
8 10% 59% Median
9 3% 49%  
10 44% 46%  
11 1.5% 2%  
12 0.3% 0.4%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 8% 100%  
7 2% 92%  
8 44% 89% Median
9 9% 45% Last Result
10 36% 36%  
11 0.2% 0.6%  
12 0.3% 0.4%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Dieren

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.3% 100% Last Result
7 0.8% 99.7%  
8 47% 98.9%  
9 42% 52% Median
10 9% 10%  
11 0.7% 1.3%  
12 0.5% 0.6%  
13 0% 0%  

Socialistische Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 3% 100%  
6 36% 97%  
7 41% 61% Median
8 11% 20%  
9 9% 9% Last Result
10 0.4% 0.4%  
11 0% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Forum voor Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 1.4% 100%  
4 4% 98.6%  
5 86% 94% Median
6 7% 8%  
7 0.7% 0.9%  
8 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
9 0% 0%  

ChristenUnie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.1% 100%  
3 4% 99.9%  
4 46% 96%  
5 16% 51% Last Result, Median
6 3% 34%  
7 31% 31%  
8 0% 0%  

Volt Europa

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.5% 100%  
3 8% 99.5% Last Result
4 15% 91%  
5 75% 76% Median
6 1.1% 1.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.2% 100%  
2 39% 99.8%  
3 12% 61% Last Result, Median
4 41% 48%  
5 7% 7%  
6 0% 0%  

DENK

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.8% 100%  
2 11% 99.2%  
3 84% 88% Last Result, Median
4 4% 4%  
5 0.3% 0.3%  
6 0% 0%  

Bij1

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 66% 98% Last Result, Median
2 32% 32%  
3 0.2% 0.2%  
4 0% 0%  

50Plus

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 56% 100% Median
1 44% 44% Last Result
2 0.5% 0.5%  
3 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie 86 71 0.2% 68–72 67–72 64–74 64–75
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 77 66 0% 64–66 63–70 63–71 60–71
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 87 66 0% 66–69 66–70 62–70 62–72
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie 74 62 0% 62 61–65 61–68 58–68
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie 78 58 0% 58–60 57–61 54–63 53–64
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 66 57 0% 57 56–60 56–62 52–64
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie 70 57 0% 56–60 54–61 52–61 52–61
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 73 54 0% 51–55 51–56 51–57 49–59
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid 67 51 0% 49–53 47–53 47–53 47–57
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus 61 48 0% 46–49 46–53 46–53 44–54
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 60 48 0% 45–48 45–52 45–53 44–54
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 61 51 0% 49–52 47–52 46–52 45–55
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid 58 47 0% 46–51 46–52 44–52 44–54
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus 58 44 0% 44–47 44–48 41–50 41–50
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie 57 44 0% 43–46 43–47 41–50 41–50
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 49 39 0% 38–42 38–42 36–44 36–45
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid 43 38 0% 34–38 32–40 32–40 32–42
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid 48 34 0% 32–35 32–35 32–35 31–39
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 39 24 0% 24–27 24–29 24–29 22–29
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 29 25 0% 21–28 21–28 21–28 21–28
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid 24 20 0% 17–21 17–22 17–22 17–24

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.1% 99.8%  
64 3% 99.8%  
65 0.3% 97%  
66 1.0% 96%  
67 0.6% 95%  
68 32% 95%  
69 0.2% 63%  
70 3% 63%  
71 45% 60%  
72 12% 16%  
73 0.1% 4% Median
74 3% 4%  
75 0.6% 0.7%  
76 0.1% 0.2% Majority
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100%  
58 0.1% 99.9%  
59 0.1% 99.8%  
60 0.3% 99.8%  
61 0.1% 99.4%  
62 0.3% 99.3%  
63 4% 99.1%  
64 35% 95%  
65 9% 60%  
66 41% 50%  
67 3% 9% Median
68 0.1% 6%  
69 0% 6%  
70 3% 6%  
71 3% 3%  
72 0.3% 0.3%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Majority
77 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.3% 100%  
62 3% 99.6%  
63 0.2% 97%  
64 0.1% 96%  
65 1.1% 96%  
66 52% 95%  
67 0.5% 43%  
68 31% 42%  
69 4% 11% Median
70 5% 7%  
71 0.8% 2%  
72 0.9% 1.3%  
73 0.2% 0.4%  
74 0.2% 0.2%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Majority
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0% 99.9%  
56 0.3% 99.9%  
57 0% 99.6%  
58 0.3% 99.5%  
59 0.3% 99.3%  
60 1.0% 99.0%  
61 5% 98%  
62 87% 93%  
63 0.3% 6%  
64 0.1% 6% Median
65 3% 6%  
66 0% 3%  
67 0.5% 3%  
68 3% 3%  
69 0% 0.3%  
70 0.3% 0.3%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0% 100%  
52 0.1% 99.9%  
53 0.5% 99.9%  
54 3% 99.4%  
55 0.2% 96%  
56 1.1% 96%  
57 4% 95%  
58 72% 91%  
59 4% 19%  
60 8% 15%  
61 3% 7% Median
62 0.7% 4%  
63 3% 3%  
64 0.4% 0.5%  
65 0.1% 0.2%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Majority
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0% 99.9%  
52 0.4% 99.8%  
53 0.1% 99.5%  
54 1.2% 99.3%  
55 0.5% 98%  
56 4% 98%  
57 87% 94%  
58 0.8% 7%  
59 0.1% 6% Median
60 2% 6%  
61 0% 3%  
62 2% 3%  
63 0.5% 1.1%  
64 0.6% 0.6%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0% Last Result

Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0% 99.9%  
50 0% 99.9%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 3% 99.8%  
53 0.2% 97%  
54 2% 96%  
55 0.1% 95%  
56 43% 95%  
57 34% 52%  
58 0.8% 18% Median
59 4% 17%  
60 4% 13%  
61 8% 9%  
62 0.1% 0.4%  
63 0.2% 0.3%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0.1% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 99.9%  
48 0.2% 99.9%  
49 0.3% 99.8%  
50 0.3% 99.5%  
51 35% 99.1%  
52 0.4% 64%  
53 3% 63%  
54 45% 60%  
55 9% 16%  
56 3% 7% Median
57 3% 4%  
58 0% 1.3%  
59 0.9% 1.3%  
60 0.4% 0.4%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 9% 99.9%  
48 0.2% 91%  
49 3% 91%  
50 34% 88%  
51 5% 54%  
52 4% 50%  
53 44% 46% Median
54 0.1% 2%  
55 0.5% 2%  
56 0.6% 1.5%  
57 0.6% 0.9%  
58 0.2% 0.3%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.1% 100%  
41 0% 99.9%  
42 0.1% 99.9%  
43 0.1% 99.7%  
44 0.3% 99.6%  
45 0.5% 99.3%  
46 34% 98.8%  
47 0.4% 64%  
48 49% 64%  
49 7% 15% Median
50 2% 8%  
51 0.2% 6%  
52 0.8% 6%  
53 5% 5%  
54 0% 0.5%  
55 0.3% 0.5%  
56 0.1% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.1% 100%  
41 0.1% 99.9%  
42 0% 99.7%  
43 0.1% 99.7%  
44 0.4% 99.6%  
45 32% 99.2%  
46 3% 67%  
47 0.2% 64%  
48 56% 64%  
49 1.2% 8% Median
50 0.8% 7%  
51 0.6% 6%  
52 2% 5%  
53 3% 3%  
54 0.5% 0.5%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0% Last Result

Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.1% 100%  
41 0% 99.9%  
42 0% 99.9%  
43 0% 99.9%  
44 0.1% 99.9%  
45 0.4% 99.8%  
46 4% 99.3%  
47 0.4% 95%  
48 0.2% 95%  
49 43% 95%  
50 0.2% 51%  
51 37% 51% Median
52 12% 14%  
53 0.8% 1.5%  
54 0.2% 0.7%  
55 0.3% 0.5%  
56 0.1% 0.2%  
57 0.1% 0.2%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.2% 100%  
43 0% 99.8%  
44 3% 99.8%  
45 0.2% 97%  
46 8% 97%  
47 42% 88%  
48 32% 46%  
49 4% 14% Median
50 0.1% 10%  
51 5% 10%  
52 4% 5%  
53 0.4% 1.1%  
54 0.7% 0.8%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.3% 100%  
40 0.2% 99.7%  
41 3% 99.5%  
42 0.6% 96%  
43 0.1% 96%  
44 72% 96%  
45 10% 24%  
46 0.3% 14% Median
47 7% 13%  
48 3% 6%  
49 0.8% 4%  
50 3% 3%  
51 0% 0.5%  
52 0.1% 0.5%  
53 0.3% 0.3%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.1% 100%  
39 0.2% 99.9%  
40 0.1% 99.6%  
41 3% 99.5%  
42 0.5% 96%  
43 31% 96%  
44 42% 64%  
45 9% 22%  
46 7% 13% Median
47 3% 6%  
48 0.6% 4%  
49 0% 3%  
50 3% 3%  
51 0% 0.4%  
52 0.3% 0.3%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0% 100%  
34 0.3% 99.9%  
35 0.1% 99.7%  
36 3% 99.6%  
37 0.5% 96%  
38 33% 96%  
39 41% 63%  
40 12% 22%  
41 0.1% 10% Median
42 7% 10%  
43 0.2% 4%  
44 2% 3%  
45 1.0% 1.1%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 8% 100%  
33 0.1% 92%  
34 3% 91%  
35 0.2% 88%  
36 0.6% 88%  
37 34% 88%  
38 45% 54% Median
39 3% 8%  
40 4% 5%  
41 0.6% 1.2%  
42 0.4% 0.6%  
43 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
44 0% 0%  

Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0% 99.9%  
29 0% 99.9%  
30 0% 99.9%  
31 1.2% 99.9%  
32 41% 98.7%  
33 7% 58%  
34 39% 51% Median
35 11% 13%  
36 0.1% 2%  
37 0.4% 2%  
38 0.7% 1.2%  
39 0.2% 0.5%  
40 0.2% 0.4%  
41 0% 0.2%  
42 0.1% 0.2%  
43 0% 0.1%  
44 0.1% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0% Last Result

Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.1% 100%  
20 0% 99.9%  
21 0.1% 99.9%  
22 1.2% 99.8%  
23 0.3% 98.6%  
24 79% 98%  
25 4% 19%  
26 3% 15% Median
27 3% 12%  
28 0.3% 10%  
29 9% 9%  
30 0.1% 0.2%  
31 0% 0.1%  
32 0% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0% Last Result

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 44% 100%  
22 0.5% 56%  
23 2% 56%  
24 4% 54% Median
25 9% 50%  
26 3% 41%  
27 6% 39%  
28 32% 32%  
29 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
30 0.1% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 41% 100%  
18 4% 59%  
19 2% 55% Median
20 12% 53%  
21 36% 41%  
22 4% 5%  
23 0.4% 1.1%  
24 0.7% 0.7% Last Result
25 0% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations