Opinion Poll by I&O Research, 13 February 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.9% |
14.8% |
13.9–15.8% |
13.7–16.0% |
13.5–16.3% |
13.1–16.8% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
10.8% |
11.4% |
10.6–12.3% |
10.4–12.5% |
10.2–12.7% |
9.8–13.2% |
BoerBurgerBeweging |
1.0% |
9.0% |
8.3–9.8% |
8.1–10.0% |
7.9–10.2% |
7.6–10.6% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
8.4% |
7.7–9.2% |
7.5–9.4% |
7.4–9.6% |
7.1–9.9% |
GroenLinks |
5.2% |
7.8% |
7.2–8.6% |
7.0–8.8% |
6.8–9.0% |
6.5–9.3% |
Democraten 66 |
15.0% |
7.6% |
7.0–8.4% |
6.8–8.6% |
6.6–8.7% |
6.4–9.1% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 |
2.4% |
6.6% |
6.0–7.3% |
5.9–7.5% |
5.7–7.7% |
5.4–8.0% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.8% |
6.2% |
5.6–6.9% |
5.5–7.1% |
5.3–7.3% |
5.1–7.6% |
Socialistische Partij |
6.0% |
5.6% |
5.1–6.3% |
4.9–6.4% |
4.8–6.6% |
4.5–6.9% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
9.5% |
4.8% |
4.3–5.4% |
4.2–5.6% |
4.0–5.7% |
3.8–6.0% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
3.3% |
2.9–3.8% |
2.8–3.9% |
2.7–4.1% |
2.5–4.3% |
Forum voor Democratie |
5.0% |
3.1% |
2.7–3.6% |
2.6–3.7% |
2.5–3.9% |
2.3–4.1% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.8% |
2.4–3.3% |
2.3–3.4% |
2.2–3.6% |
2.1–3.8% |
Volt Europa |
2.4% |
2.4% |
2.1–2.9% |
2.0–3.0% |
1.9–3.1% |
1.7–3.3% |
DENK |
2.0% |
1.9% |
1.6–2.3% |
1.5–2.4% |
1.4–2.5% |
1.3–2.7% |
Bij1 |
0.8% |
0.7% |
0.5–1.0% |
0.5–1.0% |
0.4–1.1% |
0.4–1.2% |
50Plus |
1.0% |
0.5% |
0.3–0.7% |
0.3–0.8% |
0.3–0.9% |
0.2–1.0% |
Belang van Nederland |
0.0% |
0.4% |
0.3–0.6% |
0.2–0.7% |
0.2–0.7% |
0.2–0.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
20 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
21 |
0.8% |
99.5% |
|
22 |
12% |
98.7% |
|
23 |
11% |
86% |
|
24 |
69% |
75% |
Median |
25 |
4% |
6% |
|
26 |
2% |
2% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
15 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
16 |
61% |
99.1% |
Median |
17 |
28% |
38% |
Last Result |
18 |
4% |
10% |
|
19 |
5% |
6% |
|
20 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
6% |
100% |
|
13 |
13% |
94% |
|
14 |
5% |
81% |
|
15 |
67% |
77% |
Median |
16 |
9% |
9% |
|
17 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
10 |
2% |
100% |
|
11 |
2% |
98% |
|
12 |
78% |
95% |
Median |
13 |
9% |
17% |
|
14 |
7% |
9% |
|
15 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
9 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
10 |
9% |
99.8% |
|
11 |
13% |
90% |
|
12 |
15% |
78% |
|
13 |
62% |
63% |
Median |
14 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
15 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
10 |
10% |
99.2% |
|
11 |
15% |
89% |
|
12 |
8% |
74% |
|
13 |
64% |
66% |
Median |
14 |
2% |
2% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
8 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
63% |
96% |
Median |
10 |
13% |
33% |
|
11 |
14% |
20% |
|
12 |
6% |
6% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
7 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
8 |
8% |
99.6% |
|
9 |
71% |
91% |
Median |
10 |
19% |
20% |
|
11 |
2% |
2% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
13 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
7 |
8% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
18% |
91% |
|
9 |
8% |
73% |
Last Result |
10 |
7% |
65% |
|
11 |
59% |
59% |
Median |
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
6 |
64% |
99.9% |
Median |
7 |
13% |
36% |
|
8 |
23% |
24% |
|
9 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
4 |
77% |
99.2% |
Median |
5 |
20% |
22% |
Last Result |
6 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
7 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
4 |
20% |
99.8% |
|
5 |
79% |
79% |
Median |
6 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
8% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
70% |
92% |
Median |
5 |
15% |
22% |
|
6 |
8% |
8% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
7% |
100% |
|
3 |
78% |
93% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
12% |
15% |
|
5 |
3% |
3% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
17% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
76% |
83% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
6% |
6% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
71% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
28% |
29% |
Last Result |
2 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
91% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
9% |
9% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Belang van Nederland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Belang van Nederland page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
84% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
16% |
16% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
87 |
59 |
0% |
58–61 |
57–61 |
57–62 |
55–63 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
86 |
60 |
0% |
56–60 |
56–60 |
56–61 |
54–62 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
55 |
0% |
55–60 |
54–60 |
53–60 |
53–61 |
Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
70 |
59 |
0% |
54–59 |
53–59 |
53–59 |
53–61 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
51 |
0% |
51–54 |
51–54 |
50–55 |
49–56 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
66 |
46 |
0% |
46–49 |
46–50 |
46–50 |
45–51 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 |
67 |
49 |
0% |
46–49 |
46–49 |
45–50 |
44–51 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
78 |
47 |
0% |
45–48 |
44–48 |
44–50 |
43–50 |
Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
61 |
48 |
0% |
46–48 |
45–49 |
45–49 |
44–51 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
73 |
43 |
0% |
41–43 |
40–44 |
40–45 |
38–46 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
58 |
42 |
0% |
42–45 |
41–45 |
40–45 |
39–46 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus |
61 |
39 |
0% |
38–43 |
37–43 |
36–44 |
36–44 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
60 |
39 |
0% |
38–43 |
37–43 |
36–43 |
36–43 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
35 |
0% |
34–37 |
34–37 |
33–39 |
32–39 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
57 |
35 |
0% |
34–37 |
33–37 |
33–38 |
32–38 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
43 |
36 |
0% |
35–37 |
34–37 |
34–37 |
33–39 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
48 |
31 |
0% |
30–32 |
29–33 |
29–33 |
28–34 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
49 |
30 |
0% |
30–32 |
29–32 |
28–33 |
27–34 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
29 |
22 |
0% |
22–26 |
22–26 |
22–26 |
20–27 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
24 |
18 |
0% |
18–21 |
18–22 |
18–22 |
16–22 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
39 |
19 |
0% |
18–20 |
18–20 |
17–21 |
16–21 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
56 |
1.0% |
99.5% |
|
57 |
8% |
98% |
|
58 |
9% |
91% |
|
59 |
67% |
82% |
Median |
60 |
2% |
15% |
|
61 |
9% |
13% |
|
62 |
3% |
4% |
|
63 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
56 |
10% |
99.0% |
|
57 |
4% |
89% |
|
58 |
11% |
84% |
|
59 |
9% |
73% |
|
60 |
60% |
63% |
Median |
61 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
62 |
2% |
2% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
53 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
54 |
5% |
97% |
|
55 |
59% |
92% |
Median |
56 |
13% |
33% |
|
57 |
2% |
20% |
|
58 |
5% |
19% |
|
59 |
3% |
13% |
|
60 |
10% |
10% |
|
61 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
8% |
100% |
|
54 |
8% |
92% |
|
55 |
4% |
84% |
|
56 |
9% |
81% |
|
57 |
8% |
72% |
|
58 |
3% |
63% |
|
59 |
59% |
60% |
Median |
60 |
0.7% |
1.4% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
62 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
49 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
50 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
51 |
69% |
97% |
Median |
52 |
7% |
27% |
|
53 |
4% |
20% |
|
54 |
12% |
16% |
|
55 |
3% |
4% |
|
56 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
44 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
46 |
60% |
98% |
Median |
47 |
16% |
38% |
|
48 |
3% |
22% |
|
49 |
12% |
19% |
|
50 |
5% |
7% |
|
51 |
1.1% |
1.2% |
|
52 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
44 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
45 |
4% |
99.4% |
|
46 |
16% |
96% |
|
47 |
5% |
80% |
|
48 |
12% |
75% |
|
49 |
59% |
63% |
Median |
50 |
3% |
4% |
|
51 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
52 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
53 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
43 |
1.1% |
99.9% |
|
44 |
5% |
98.8% |
|
45 |
8% |
94% |
|
46 |
5% |
86% |
|
47 |
65% |
81% |
Median |
48 |
11% |
16% |
|
49 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
50 |
3% |
3% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
2% |
100% |
|
45 |
7% |
98% |
|
46 |
3% |
91% |
|
47 |
12% |
88% |
|
48 |
67% |
76% |
Median |
49 |
7% |
9% |
|
50 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
51 |
0.9% |
1.2% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
39 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
40 |
7% |
98.7% |
|
41 |
8% |
91% |
|
42 |
8% |
83% |
|
43 |
67% |
74% |
Median |
44 |
4% |
7% |
|
45 |
2% |
3% |
|
46 |
2% |
2% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
1.3% |
100% |
|
40 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
41 |
2% |
97% |
|
42 |
71% |
95% |
Median |
43 |
3% |
24% |
|
44 |
8% |
21% |
|
45 |
12% |
13% |
|
46 |
0.9% |
1.0% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
37 |
6% |
97% |
|
38 |
2% |
91% |
|
39 |
69% |
89% |
Median |
40 |
7% |
21% |
|
41 |
1.2% |
14% |
|
42 |
1.1% |
13% |
|
43 |
8% |
12% |
|
44 |
4% |
4% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
36 |
3% |
99.5% |
|
37 |
7% |
97% |
|
38 |
1.0% |
90% |
|
39 |
72% |
89% |
Median |
40 |
3% |
17% |
|
41 |
1.5% |
14% |
|
42 |
0.7% |
12% |
|
43 |
12% |
12% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
32 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
33 |
2% |
98% |
|
34 |
12% |
96% |
|
35 |
65% |
84% |
Median |
36 |
4% |
18% |
|
37 |
10% |
14% |
|
38 |
0.8% |
4% |
|
39 |
3% |
3% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
32 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
33 |
3% |
98% |
|
34 |
13% |
95% |
|
35 |
65% |
82% |
Median |
36 |
4% |
17% |
|
37 |
9% |
13% |
|
38 |
4% |
4% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
33 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
34 |
7% |
98% |
|
35 |
10% |
91% |
|
36 |
66% |
81% |
Median |
37 |
14% |
15% |
|
38 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
39 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
40 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
29 |
4% |
99.0% |
|
30 |
8% |
95% |
|
31 |
63% |
87% |
Median |
32 |
19% |
24% |
|
33 |
3% |
5% |
|
34 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
35 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
27 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
28 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
29 |
3% |
97% |
|
30 |
76% |
94% |
Median |
31 |
4% |
18% |
|
32 |
10% |
14% |
|
33 |
3% |
4% |
|
34 |
2% |
2% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
20 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
|
22 |
61% |
99.1% |
Median |
23 |
10% |
38% |
|
24 |
4% |
28% |
|
25 |
7% |
23% |
|
26 |
15% |
16% |
|
27 |
0.9% |
1.0% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
16 |
2% |
100% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
18 |
61% |
98% |
Median |
19 |
11% |
37% |
|
20 |
10% |
26% |
|
21 |
11% |
16% |
|
22 |
5% |
5% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
16 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
17 |
3% |
99.3% |
|
18 |
15% |
96% |
|
19 |
69% |
81% |
Median |
20 |
9% |
12% |
|
21 |
3% |
3% |
|
22 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: I&O Research
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 13 February 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 2489
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.89%