Opinion Poll by I&O Research, 13 February 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.9% | 14.8% | 13.9–15.8% | 13.7–16.0% | 13.5–16.3% | 13.1–16.8% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.6–12.3% | 10.4–12.5% | 10.2–12.7% | 9.8–13.2% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1.0% | 9.0% | 8.3–9.8% | 8.1–10.0% | 7.9–10.2% | 7.6–10.6% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.7–9.2% | 7.5–9.4% | 7.4–9.6% | 7.1–9.9% |
| GroenLinks | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.2–8.6% | 7.0–8.8% | 6.8–9.0% | 6.5–9.3% |
| Democraten 66 | 15.0% | 7.6% | 7.0–8.4% | 6.8–8.6% | 6.6–8.7% | 6.4–9.1% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 2.4% | 6.6% | 6.0–7.3% | 5.9–7.5% | 5.7–7.7% | 5.4–8.0% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.6–6.9% | 5.5–7.1% | 5.3–7.3% | 5.1–7.6% |
| Socialistische Partij | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1–6.3% | 4.9–6.4% | 4.8–6.6% | 4.5–6.9% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 9.5% | 4.8% | 4.3–5.4% | 4.2–5.6% | 4.0–5.7% | 3.8–6.0% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.5–4.3% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.7–3.6% | 2.6–3.7% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.1% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4–3.3% | 2.3–3.4% | 2.2–3.6% | 2.1–3.8% |
| Volt Europa | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1–2.9% | 2.0–3.0% | 1.9–3.1% | 1.7–3.3% |
| DENK | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.6–2.3% | 1.5–2.4% | 1.4–2.5% | 1.3–2.7% |
| Bij1 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.1% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 50Plus | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3–0.7% | 0.3–0.8% | 0.3–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% |
| Belang van Nederland | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3–0.6% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.2–0.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 34 | 24 | 22–24 | 22–25 | 22–25 | 21–26 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 17 | 16 | 16–18 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 15–20 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1 | 15 | 13–15 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 12–16 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 12 | 12–13 | 12–14 | 11–14 | 10–15 |
| GroenLinks | 8 | 13 | 11–13 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 10–13 |
| Democraten 66 | 24 | 13 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 9–14 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 3 | 9 | 9–11 | 9–12 | 8–12 | 8–12 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 6 | 9 | 9–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–11 |
| Socialistische Partij | 9 | 11 | 8–11 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 7–11 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 15 | 6 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–9 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–6 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 8 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 4 | 4–5 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 |
| Volt Europa | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–5 | 2–5 |
| DENK | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| Bij1 | 1 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| 50Plus | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Belang van Nederland | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 22 | 12% | 98.7% | |
| 23 | 11% | 86% | |
| 24 | 69% | 75% | Median |
| 25 | 4% | 6% | |
| 26 | 2% | 2% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 61% | 99.1% | Median |
| 17 | 28% | 38% | Last Result |
| 18 | 4% | 10% | |
| 19 | 5% | 6% | |
| 20 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 6% | 100% | |
| 13 | 13% | 94% | |
| 14 | 5% | 81% | |
| 15 | 67% | 77% | Median |
| 16 | 9% | 9% | |
| 17 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 10 | 2% | 100% | |
| 11 | 2% | 98% | |
| 12 | 78% | 95% | Median |
| 13 | 9% | 17% | |
| 14 | 7% | 9% | |
| 15 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 10 | 9% | 99.8% | |
| 11 | 13% | 90% | |
| 12 | 15% | 78% | |
| 13 | 62% | 63% | Median |
| 14 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 10 | 10% | 99.2% | |
| 11 | 15% | 89% | |
| 12 | 8% | 74% | |
| 13 | 64% | 66% | Median |
| 14 | 2% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 63% | 96% | Median |
| 10 | 13% | 33% | |
| 11 | 14% | 20% | |
| 12 | 6% | 6% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 8 | 8% | 99.6% | |
| 9 | 71% | 91% | Median |
| 10 | 19% | 20% | |
| 11 | 2% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 8% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 18% | 91% | |
| 9 | 8% | 73% | Last Result |
| 10 | 7% | 65% | |
| 11 | 59% | 59% | Median |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 6 | 64% | 99.9% | Median |
| 7 | 13% | 36% | |
| 8 | 23% | 24% | |
| 9 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 4 | 77% | 99.2% | Median |
| 5 | 20% | 22% | Last Result |
| 6 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 7 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 20% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 79% | 79% | Median |
| 6 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 8% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 70% | 92% | Median |
| 5 | 15% | 22% | |
| 6 | 8% | 8% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 7% | 100% | |
| 3 | 78% | 93% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 12% | 15% | |
| 5 | 3% | 3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 17% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 76% | 83% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 6% | 6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 71% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 28% | 29% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 91% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 9% | 9% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Belang van Nederland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Belang van Nederland page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 84% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 16% | 16% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 87 | 59 | 0% | 58–61 | 57–61 | 57–62 | 55–63 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 86 | 60 | 0% | 56–60 | 56–60 | 56–61 | 54–62 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 55 | 0% | 55–60 | 54–60 | 53–60 | 53–61 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 70 | 59 | 0% | 54–59 | 53–59 | 53–59 | 53–61 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 51 | 0% | 51–54 | 51–54 | 50–55 | 49–56 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 46 | 0% | 46–49 | 46–50 | 46–50 | 45–51 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 | 67 | 49 | 0% | 46–49 | 46–49 | 45–50 | 44–51 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 78 | 47 | 0% | 45–48 | 44–48 | 44–50 | 43–50 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 61 | 48 | 0% | 46–48 | 45–49 | 45–49 | 44–51 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 73 | 43 | 0% | 41–43 | 40–44 | 40–45 | 38–46 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 58 | 42 | 0% | 42–45 | 41–45 | 40–45 | 39–46 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 39 | 0% | 38–43 | 37–43 | 36–44 | 36–44 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 60 | 39 | 0% | 38–43 | 37–43 | 36–43 | 36–43 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 35 | 0% | 34–37 | 34–37 | 33–39 | 32–39 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 57 | 35 | 0% | 34–37 | 33–37 | 33–38 | 32–38 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 43 | 36 | 0% | 35–37 | 34–37 | 34–37 | 33–39 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 48 | 31 | 0% | 30–32 | 29–33 | 29–33 | 28–34 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 49 | 30 | 0% | 30–32 | 29–32 | 28–33 | 27–34 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 29 | 22 | 0% | 22–26 | 22–26 | 22–26 | 20–27 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 24 | 18 | 0% | 18–21 | 18–22 | 18–22 | 16–22 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 39 | 19 | 0% | 18–20 | 18–20 | 17–21 | 16–21 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 56 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 57 | 8% | 98% | |
| 58 | 9% | 91% | |
| 59 | 67% | 82% | Median |
| 60 | 2% | 15% | |
| 61 | 9% | 13% | |
| 62 | 3% | 4% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 56 | 10% | 99.0% | |
| 57 | 4% | 89% | |
| 58 | 11% | 84% | |
| 59 | 9% | 73% | |
| 60 | 60% | 63% | Median |
| 61 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 62 | 2% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 53 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 54 | 5% | 97% | |
| 55 | 59% | 92% | Median |
| 56 | 13% | 33% | |
| 57 | 2% | 20% | |
| 58 | 5% | 19% | |
| 59 | 3% | 13% | |
| 60 | 10% | 10% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 8% | 100% | |
| 54 | 8% | 92% | |
| 55 | 4% | 84% | |
| 56 | 9% | 81% | |
| 57 | 8% | 72% | |
| 58 | 3% | 63% | |
| 59 | 59% | 60% | Median |
| 60 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 49 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 50 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 51 | 69% | 97% | Median |
| 52 | 7% | 27% | |
| 53 | 4% | 20% | |
| 54 | 12% | 16% | |
| 55 | 3% | 4% | |
| 56 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 46 | 60% | 98% | Median |
| 47 | 16% | 38% | |
| 48 | 3% | 22% | |
| 49 | 12% | 19% | |
| 50 | 5% | 7% | |
| 51 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 45 | 4% | 99.4% | |
| 46 | 16% | 96% | |
| 47 | 5% | 80% | |
| 48 | 12% | 75% | |
| 49 | 59% | 63% | Median |
| 50 | 3% | 4% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 5% | 98.8% | |
| 45 | 8% | 94% | |
| 46 | 5% | 86% | |
| 47 | 65% | 81% | Median |
| 48 | 11% | 16% | |
| 49 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 50 | 3% | 3% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 2% | 100% | |
| 45 | 7% | 98% | |
| 46 | 3% | 91% | |
| 47 | 12% | 88% | |
| 48 | 67% | 76% | Median |
| 49 | 7% | 9% | |
| 50 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 40 | 7% | 98.7% | |
| 41 | 8% | 91% | |
| 42 | 8% | 83% | |
| 43 | 67% | 74% | Median |
| 44 | 4% | 7% | |
| 45 | 2% | 3% | |
| 46 | 2% | 2% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 40 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 41 | 2% | 97% | |
| 42 | 71% | 95% | Median |
| 43 | 3% | 24% | |
| 44 | 8% | 21% | |
| 45 | 12% | 13% | |
| 46 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 37 | 6% | 97% | |
| 38 | 2% | 91% | |
| 39 | 69% | 89% | Median |
| 40 | 7% | 21% | |
| 41 | 1.2% | 14% | |
| 42 | 1.1% | 13% | |
| 43 | 8% | 12% | |
| 44 | 4% | 4% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 37 | 7% | 97% | |
| 38 | 1.0% | 90% | |
| 39 | 72% | 89% | Median |
| 40 | 3% | 17% | |
| 41 | 1.5% | 14% | |
| 42 | 0.7% | 12% | |
| 43 | 12% | 12% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 32 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 33 | 2% | 98% | |
| 34 | 12% | 96% | |
| 35 | 65% | 84% | Median |
| 36 | 4% | 18% | |
| 37 | 10% | 14% | |
| 38 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 39 | 3% | 3% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 32 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 33 | 3% | 98% | |
| 34 | 13% | 95% | |
| 35 | 65% | 82% | Median |
| 36 | 4% | 17% | |
| 37 | 9% | 13% | |
| 38 | 4% | 4% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 33 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 34 | 7% | 98% | |
| 35 | 10% | 91% | |
| 36 | 66% | 81% | Median |
| 37 | 14% | 15% | |
| 38 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 39 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 40 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 30 | 8% | 95% | |
| 31 | 63% | 87% | Median |
| 32 | 19% | 24% | |
| 33 | 3% | 5% | |
| 34 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 28 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 29 | 3% | 97% | |
| 30 | 76% | 94% | Median |
| 31 | 4% | 18% | |
| 32 | 10% | 14% | |
| 33 | 3% | 4% | |
| 34 | 2% | 2% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 22 | 61% | 99.1% | Median |
| 23 | 10% | 38% | |
| 24 | 4% | 28% | |
| 25 | 7% | 23% | |
| 26 | 15% | 16% | |
| 27 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 2% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 18 | 61% | 98% | Median |
| 19 | 11% | 37% | |
| 20 | 10% | 26% | |
| 21 | 11% | 16% | |
| 22 | 5% | 5% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 17 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 18 | 15% | 96% | |
| 19 | 69% | 81% | Median |
| 20 | 9% | 12% | |
| 21 | 3% | 3% | |
| 22 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: I&O Research
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 13 February 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 2489
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.89%