Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 17–18 February 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.9% | 15.3% | 14.5–16.2% | 14.3–16.4% | 14.1–16.6% | 13.7–17.1% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 10.8% | 12.0% | 11.2–12.8% | 11.0–13.0% | 10.9–13.2% | 10.5–13.6% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1.0% | 11.3% | 10.6–12.1% | 10.4–12.3% | 10.2–12.5% | 9.9–12.9% |
| GroenLinks | 5.2% | 8.7% | 8.0–9.4% | 7.8–9.6% | 7.7–9.7% | 7.4–10.1% |
| Democraten 66 | 15.0% | 8.0% | 7.4–8.7% | 7.2–8.9% | 7.1–9.0% | 6.8–9.4% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.8–8.0% | 6.6–8.2% | 6.4–8.3% | 6.2–8.6% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 2.4% | 6.7% | 6.1–7.3% | 6.0–7.5% | 5.8–7.6% | 5.6–7.9% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.8–5.9% | 4.7–6.1% | 4.6–6.2% | 4.4–6.5% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 9.5% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| Socialistische Partij | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3–3.1% | 2.2–3.2% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.5% |
| Volt Europa | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.3–3.1% | 2.2–3.2% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.5% |
| DENK | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
| 50Plus | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| Bij1 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| Belang van Nederland | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 34 | 24 | 24–25 | 22–26 | 22–26 | 22–27 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 17 | 20 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 17–21 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1 | 19 | 17–19 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 16–19 |
| GroenLinks | 8 | 13 | 11–13 | 11–14 | 11–15 | 11–15 |
| Democraten 66 | 24 | 11 | 11–14 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 10–14 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 10 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 9–13 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 3 | 11 | 10–11 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 8–12 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 6 | 11 | 7–11 | 6–11 | 6–11 | 6–11 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 15 | 6 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 5–9 | 5–9 |
| Socialistische Partij | 9 | 8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 5–8 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–7 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 8 | 5 | 5 | 4–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 3 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| Volt Europa | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–5 |
| DENK | 3 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| 50Plus | 1 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Bij1 | 1 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Belang van Nederland | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 22 | 5% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 3% | 94% | |
| 24 | 77% | 91% | Median |
| 25 | 7% | 14% | |
| 26 | 6% | 7% | |
| 27 | 2% | 2% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 11% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 18 | 4% | 89% | |
| 19 | 28% | 85% | |
| 20 | 55% | 57% | Median |
| 21 | 2% | 2% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 16 | 8% | 99.8% | |
| 17 | 19% | 92% | |
| 18 | 4% | 74% | |
| 19 | 69% | 70% | Median |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 16% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 11% | 83% | |
| 13 | 67% | 73% | Median |
| 14 | 2% | 6% | |
| 15 | 3% | 3% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 6% | 100% | |
| 11 | 56% | 94% | Median |
| 12 | 9% | 38% | |
| 13 | 16% | 29% | |
| 14 | 13% | 13% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 9 | 2% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 10 | 73% | 98% | Median |
| 11 | 8% | 26% | |
| 12 | 15% | 18% | |
| 13 | 2% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 5% | 100% | |
| 9 | 4% | 95% | |
| 10 | 28% | 91% | |
| 11 | 57% | 62% | Median |
| 12 | 6% | 6% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 8% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 16% | 92% | |
| 8 | 13% | 75% | |
| 9 | 8% | 63% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 55% | |
| 11 | 55% | 55% | Median |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4% | 100% | |
| 6 | 60% | 96% | Median |
| 7 | 10% | 35% | |
| 8 | 4% | 25% | |
| 9 | 21% | 21% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 6 | 17% | 98.8% | |
| 7 | 6% | 82% | |
| 8 | 76% | 77% | Median |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 81% | 99.9% | Median |
| 5 | 12% | 19% | Last Result |
| 6 | 6% | 7% | |
| 7 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 5% | 100% | |
| 4 | 2% | 95% | |
| 5 | 89% | 94% | Median |
| 6 | 5% | 5% | |
| 7 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 63% | 99.8% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 19% | 37% | |
| 5 | 18% | 18% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 3% | 100% | |
| 3 | 58% | 97% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 38% | 38% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 82% | 99.9% | Median |
| 3 | 17% | 18% | Last Result |
| 4 | 2% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 69% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 30% | 31% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 77% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 23% | 23% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Belang van Nederland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Belang van Nederland page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 73% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 27% | 27% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 86 | 58 | 0% | 58–62 | 58–63 | 58–65 | 58–65 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 87 | 55 | 0% | 55–61 | 55–63 | 55–63 | 55–63 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 58 | 0% | 58–61 | 58–61 | 57–61 | 55–61 |
| GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie | 70 | 52 | 0% | 52–56 | 52–56 | 52–59 | 52–60 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 55 | 0% | 55–57 | 53–57 | 53–57 | 50–57 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 50 | 0% | 49–52 | 48–52 | 48–53 | 47–53 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 78 | 45 | 0% | 45–51 | 45–51 | 45–52 | 45–52 |
| GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 61 | 44 | 0% | 44–49 | 44–50 | 44–52 | 44–54 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 67 | 45 | 0% | 45–49 | 45–49 | 45–49 | 44–51 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 73 | 41 | 0% | 41–47 | 41–47 | 41–47 | 40–47 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 58 | 40 | 0% | 40–43 | 40–45 | 40–45 | 39–46 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 38 | 0% | 38–43 | 38–43 | 38–43 | 37–44 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 60 | 38 | 0% | 38–42 | 38–42 | 38–42 | 37–43 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 35 | 0% | 35–39 | 35–39 | 35–39 | 34–40 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 57 | 35 | 0% | 35–38 | 35–38 | 35–38 | 33–39 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 43 | 34 | 0% | 34–37 | 32–37 | 32–37 | 32–39 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 49 | 30 | 0% | 30–33 | 30–33 | 30–34 | 29–34 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 48 | 27 | 0% | 27–33 | 27–33 | 26–33 | 26–33 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 29 | 20 | 0% | 20–24 | 20–26 | 20–26 | 19–27 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 39 | 17 | 0% | 17–23 | 16–23 | 15–23 | 15–23 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 24 | 16 | 0% | 16–19 | 16–20 | 16–21 | 15–21 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 58 | 56% | 99.7% | Median |
| 59 | 6% | 43% | |
| 60 | 9% | 37% | |
| 61 | 2% | 29% | |
| 62 | 19% | 27% | |
| 63 | 3% | 8% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 65 | 3% | 4% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 55% | 99.9% | Median |
| 56 | 0.3% | 45% | |
| 57 | 4% | 45% | |
| 58 | 4% | 41% | |
| 59 | 8% | 37% | |
| 60 | 9% | 29% | |
| 61 | 14% | 20% | |
| 62 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 63 | 5% | 6% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 1.2% | 99.7% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 57 | 2% | 98% | |
| 58 | 66% | 96% | Median |
| 59 | 1.3% | 30% | |
| 60 | 15% | 29% | |
| 61 | 14% | 15% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 59% | 99.9% | Median |
| 53 | 3% | 41% | |
| 54 | 10% | 39% | |
| 55 | 3% | 28% | |
| 56 | 21% | 25% | |
| 57 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 60 | 2% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 53 | 6% | 98% | |
| 54 | 1.4% | 92% | |
| 55 | 71% | 91% | Median |
| 56 | 6% | 20% | |
| 57 | 14% | 14% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 1.4% | 99.7% | |
| 48 | 7% | 98% | |
| 49 | 2% | 92% | |
| 50 | 70% | 89% | Median |
| 51 | 3% | 19% | |
| 52 | 13% | 16% | |
| 53 | 3% | 3% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 55% | 99.8% | Median |
| 46 | 8% | 45% | |
| 47 | 0.9% | 37% | |
| 48 | 10% | 36% | |
| 49 | 5% | 26% | |
| 50 | 4% | 21% | |
| 51 | 14% | 17% | |
| 52 | 3% | 4% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 58% | 100% | Median |
| 45 | 2% | 42% | |
| 46 | 1.0% | 40% | |
| 47 | 3% | 39% | |
| 48 | 22% | 36% | |
| 49 | 5% | 13% | |
| 50 | 5% | 9% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 52 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 54 | 2% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 60% | 99.4% | Median |
| 46 | 2% | 40% | |
| 47 | 5% | 38% | |
| 48 | 18% | 33% | |
| 49 | 12% | 14% | |
| 50 | 2% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 59% | 99.0% | Median |
| 42 | 4% | 40% | |
| 43 | 1.2% | 36% | |
| 44 | 16% | 35% | |
| 45 | 0.7% | 19% | |
| 46 | 5% | 18% | |
| 47 | 13% | 13% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 55% | 99.5% | Median |
| 41 | 6% | 45% | |
| 42 | 7% | 38% | |
| 43 | 22% | 31% | |
| 44 | 2% | 9% | |
| 45 | 6% | 7% | |
| 46 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 55% | 99.5% | Median |
| 39 | 2% | 45% | |
| 40 | 5% | 42% | |
| 41 | 11% | 37% | |
| 42 | 11% | 26% | |
| 43 | 14% | 15% | |
| 44 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 56% | 99.4% | Median |
| 39 | 5% | 43% | |
| 40 | 3% | 38% | |
| 41 | 19% | 35% | |
| 42 | 15% | 17% | |
| 43 | 2% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 56% | 98% | Median |
| 36 | 9% | 42% | |
| 37 | 12% | 33% | |
| 38 | 6% | 21% | |
| 39 | 15% | 15% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 1.4% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 35 | 56% | 98% | Median |
| 36 | 19% | 42% | |
| 37 | 5% | 23% | |
| 38 | 17% | 18% | |
| 39 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 5% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 34 | 68% | 95% | Median |
| 35 | 3% | 26% | |
| 36 | 13% | 23% | |
| 37 | 8% | 10% | |
| 38 | 2% | 2% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 1.2% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 58% | 98.6% | Median |
| 31 | 18% | 41% | |
| 32 | 4% | 23% | |
| 33 | 15% | 19% | |
| 34 | 4% | 4% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 4% | 100% | |
| 27 | 55% | 96% | Median |
| 28 | 3% | 42% | |
| 29 | 2% | 39% | |
| 30 | 1.1% | 37% | |
| 31 | 3% | 36% | |
| 32 | 16% | 32% | |
| 33 | 16% | 16% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 20 | 55% | 99.1% | Median |
| 21 | 5% | 44% | |
| 22 | 3% | 39% | |
| 23 | 23% | 36% | |
| 24 | 6% | 13% | |
| 25 | 2% | 7% | |
| 26 | 3% | 5% | |
| 27 | 2% | 2% | |
| 28 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 4% | 100% | |
| 16 | 2% | 96% | |
| 17 | 55% | 95% | Median |
| 18 | 2% | 39% | |
| 19 | 4% | 37% | |
| 20 | 10% | 33% | |
| 21 | 5% | 22% | |
| 22 | 5% | 18% | |
| 23 | 13% | 13% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 59% | 98.8% | Median |
| 17 | 0.7% | 40% | |
| 18 | 4% | 39% | |
| 19 | 27% | 34% | |
| 20 | 5% | 7% | |
| 21 | 2% | 3% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 17–18 February 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.33%