Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 17–27 February 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.9% | 18.5% | 17.9–19.3% | 17.7–19.4% | 17.5–19.6% | 17.2–20.0% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.9–11.0% | 9.8–11.2% | 9.7–11.3% | 9.4–11.6% |
| Democraten 66 | 15.0% | 9.4% | 8.9–9.9% | 8.7–10.1% | 8.6–10.2% | 8.4–10.5% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1.0% | 9.4% | 8.9–9.9% | 8.7–10.1% | 8.6–10.2% | 8.4–10.5% |
| GroenLinks | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0–6.8% | 5.9–7.0% | 5.7–7.1% | 5.6–7.3% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0–6.8% | 5.9–7.0% | 5.7–7.1% | 5.6–7.3% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 9.5% | 6.0% | 5.6–6.4% | 5.5–6.6% | 5.4–6.7% | 5.2–6.9% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.3–6.1% | 5.2–6.2% | 5.1–6.4% | 4.9–6.6% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 2.4% | 5.7% | 5.3–6.1% | 5.2–6.2% | 5.1–6.4% | 4.9–6.6% |
| Socialistische Partij | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.0–5.8% | 4.9–5.9% | 4.8–6.0% | 4.6–6.2% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.8–3.4% | 2.7–3.5% | 2.7–3.6% | 2.5–3.8% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.7–3.3% | 2.6–3.4% | 2.6–3.5% | 2.4–3.6% |
| Volt Europa | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5–3.1% | 2.4–3.2% | 2.4–3.3% | 2.3–3.4% |
| DENK | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1–2.7% | 2.1–2.8% | 2.0–2.9% | 1.9–3.0% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0–2.6% | 2.0–2.7% | 1.9–2.7% | 1.8–2.9% |
| Bij1 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7–1.1% | 0.7–1.1% | 0.7–1.2% | 0.6–1.3% |
| 50Plus | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7–1.0% | 0.6–1.0% | 0.6–1.1% | 0.5–1.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 34 | 29 | 28–30 | 28–31 | 27–31 | 27–32 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 17 | 17 | 15–17 | 15–17 | 15–17 | 15–18 |
| Democraten 66 | 24 | 14 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 13–16 | 13–16 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1 | 14 | 14–16 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 13–17 |
| GroenLinks | 8 | 8 | 8–9 | 8–10 | 8–11 | 7–11 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8–9 | 8–11 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 15 | 9 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 8–11 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 6 | 9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–10 | 8–10 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 3 | 8 | 8–9 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 |
| Socialistische Partij | 9 | 9 | 8–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 8 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| Volt Europa | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| DENK | 3 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–4 |
| Bij1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 50Plus | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 27 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 28 | 12% | 97% | |
| 29 | 52% | 84% | Median |
| 30 | 27% | 32% | |
| 31 | 3% | 5% | |
| 32 | 2% | 2% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 15 | 27% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 14% | 73% | |
| 17 | 57% | 58% | Last Result, Median |
| 18 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 13 | 10% | 99.8% | |
| 14 | 77% | 90% | Median |
| 15 | 10% | 13% | |
| 16 | 2% | 3% | |
| 17 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 5% | 100% | |
| 14 | 67% | 95% | Median |
| 15 | 16% | 27% | |
| 16 | 6% | 11% | |
| 17 | 5% | 5% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 8 | 68% | 99.1% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 22% | 31% | |
| 10 | 6% | 9% | |
| 11 | 3% | 3% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 4% | 100% | |
| 9 | 94% | 96% | Last Result, Median |
| 10 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 2% | 100% | |
| 9 | 76% | 98% | Median |
| 10 | 20% | 22% | |
| 11 | 2% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 8 | 24% | 99.7% | |
| 9 | 72% | 75% | Median |
| 10 | 4% | 4% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 8 | 56% | 99.6% | Median |
| 9 | 36% | 44% | |
| 10 | 8% | 8% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7% | 100% | |
| 8 | 17% | 93% | |
| 9 | 76% | 76% | Last Result, Median |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 16% | 100% | |
| 5 | 83% | 84% | Last Result, Median |
| 6 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3% | 100% | |
| 4 | 34% | 97% | |
| 5 | 63% | 63% | Median |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 55% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 42% | 45% | |
| 5 | 2% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 22% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 4 | 78% | 78% | Median |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 98% | 98.8% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 31% | 100% | |
| 1 | 68% | 69% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11% | 100% | |
| 1 | 89% | 89% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 86 | 65 | 0% | 65–68 | 65–69 | 64–69 | 63–70 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 87 | 66 | 0% | 66–67 | 66–68 | 65–68 | 64–70 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 63 | 0% | 61–64 | 61–64 | 60–64 | 58–64 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 60 | 0% | 58–61 | 58–61 | 57–61 | 55–61 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 78 | 57 | 0% | 57–58 | 56–59 | 56–59 | 54–61 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 55 | 0% | 53–57 | 53–57 | 53–57 | 51–57 |
| Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie | 70 | 54 | 0% | 54–55 | 54–55 | 54–56 | 52–58 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 73 | 52 | 0% | 52–54 | 51–55 | 51–55 | 50–56 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 67 | 52 | 0% | 52–53 | 51–54 | 50–54 | 50–55 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 58 | 47 | 0% | 46–49 | 46–50 | 46–50 | 45–50 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 47 | 0% | 45–48 | 45–48 | 45–49 | 43–49 |
| Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 61 | 45 | 0% | 45–47 | 45–48 | 45–48 | 45–49 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 60 | 46 | 0% | 45–47 | 45–48 | 44–48 | 43–48 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 44 | 0% | 43–45 | 42–45 | 42–46 | 40–46 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 57 | 43 | 0% | 42–44 | 42–45 | 41–45 | 40–45 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 49 | 38 | 0% | 37–40 | 37–41 | 37–41 | 36–41 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 43 | 38 | 0% | 37–39 | 37–40 | 36–40 | 36–41 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 48 | 32 | 0% | 32–33 | 32–33 | 31–34 | 31–35 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 39 | 23 | 0% | 23–24 | 23–24 | 22–25 | 22–26 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 29 | 23 | 0% | 23–24 | 23–24 | 21–24 | 21–25 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 24 | 18 | 0% | 18–19 | 18–19 | 17–19 | 17–20 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 64 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 65 | 55% | 97% | Median |
| 66 | 23% | 42% | |
| 67 | 8% | 19% | |
| 68 | 5% | 11% | |
| 69 | 5% | 6% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 65 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 66 | 68% | 95% | Median |
| 67 | 20% | 28% | |
| 68 | 6% | 8% | |
| 69 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 60 | 4% | 98.7% | |
| 61 | 30% | 95% | |
| 62 | 2% | 65% | |
| 63 | 51% | 63% | Median |
| 64 | 12% | 12% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 57 | 4% | 98.7% | |
| 58 | 31% | 95% | |
| 59 | 2% | 65% | |
| 60 | 50% | 63% | Median |
| 61 | 13% | 13% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 1.1% | 99.1% | |
| 56 | 3% | 98% | |
| 57 | 65% | 95% | Median |
| 58 | 21% | 29% | |
| 59 | 5% | 8% | |
| 60 | 2% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 53 | 13% | 98% | |
| 54 | 22% | 86% | |
| 55 | 49% | 64% | Median |
| 56 | 3% | 15% | |
| 57 | 12% | 12% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 53 | 1.3% | 99.2% | |
| 54 | 77% | 98% | Median |
| 55 | 17% | 21% | |
| 56 | 3% | 4% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 1.4% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 4% | 98% | |
| 52 | 58% | 95% | Median |
| 53 | 26% | 37% | |
| 54 | 6% | 11% | |
| 55 | 4% | 5% | |
| 56 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 50 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 5% | 96% | |
| 52 | 63% | 91% | Median |
| 53 | 19% | 28% | |
| 54 | 8% | 9% | |
| 55 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 1.3% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 9% | 98.6% | |
| 47 | 56% | 89% | Median |
| 48 | 20% | 34% | |
| 49 | 8% | 14% | |
| 50 | 6% | 6% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 44 | 1.1% | 99.4% | |
| 45 | 9% | 98% | |
| 46 | 5% | 90% | |
| 47 | 71% | 85% | Median |
| 48 | 11% | 14% | |
| 49 | 3% | 3% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 73% | 99.9% | Median |
| 46 | 9% | 27% | |
| 47 | 10% | 18% | |
| 48 | 7% | 8% | |
| 49 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 45 | 12% | 97% | |
| 46 | 71% | 85% | Median |
| 47 | 8% | 14% | |
| 48 | 6% | 6% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 1.1% | 99.4% | |
| 42 | 8% | 98% | |
| 43 | 6% | 90% | |
| 44 | 70% | 85% | Median |
| 45 | 12% | 15% | |
| 46 | 3% | 3% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 1.5% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 42 | 13% | 97% | |
| 43 | 70% | 85% | Median |
| 44 | 9% | 15% | |
| 45 | 6% | 6% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 36 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 9% | 98% | |
| 38 | 53% | 89% | Median |
| 39 | 22% | 36% | |
| 40 | 7% | 13% | |
| 41 | 6% | 6% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 36 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 12% | 97% | |
| 38 | 55% | 85% | Median |
| 39 | 25% | 30% | |
| 40 | 3% | 5% | |
| 41 | 2% | 2% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 31 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 32 | 73% | 97% | Median |
| 33 | 21% | 24% | |
| 34 | 2% | 4% | |
| 35 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 22 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 71% | 96% | Median |
| 24 | 22% | 26% | |
| 25 | 2% | 4% | |
| 26 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 3% | 100% | |
| 22 | 2% | 97% | |
| 23 | 82% | 95% | Median |
| 24 | 12% | 13% | |
| 25 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 5% | 100% | |
| 18 | 72% | 95% | Median |
| 19 | 21% | 23% | |
| 20 | 2% | 2% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 17–27 February 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 5291
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.85%