Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 23–24 March 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
BoerBurgerBeweging |
1.0% |
22.0% |
21.1–22.8% |
20.9–23.1% |
20.7–23.3% |
20.3–23.7% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.9% |
12.6% |
12.0–13.4% |
11.8–13.5% |
11.6–13.7% |
11.3–14.1% |
GroenLinks |
5.2% |
10.0% |
9.4–10.6% |
9.2–10.8% |
9.1–10.9% |
8.8–11.3% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
8.0% |
7.4–8.6% |
7.3–8.7% |
7.2–8.9% |
6.9–9.1% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
10.8% |
6.0% |
5.5–6.5% |
5.4–6.7% |
5.3–6.8% |
5.1–7.0% |
Democraten 66 |
15.0% |
6.0% |
5.5–6.5% |
5.4–6.7% |
5.3–6.8% |
5.1–7.0% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.8% |
6.0% |
5.5–6.5% |
5.4–6.7% |
5.3–6.8% |
5.1–7.0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
9.5% |
4.6% |
4.2–5.1% |
4.1–5.2% |
4.0–5.3% |
3.9–5.6% |
Socialistische Partij |
6.0% |
4.6% |
4.2–5.1% |
4.1–5.2% |
4.0–5.3% |
3.9–5.6% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 |
2.4% |
4.6% |
4.2–5.1% |
4.1–5.2% |
4.0–5.3% |
3.9–5.6% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
3.3% |
3.0–3.7% |
2.9–3.8% |
2.8–3.9% |
2.7–4.1% |
Forum voor Democratie |
5.0% |
3.3% |
3.0–3.7% |
2.9–3.8% |
2.8–3.9% |
2.7–4.1% |
Volt Europa |
2.4% |
3.3% |
3.0–3.7% |
2.9–3.8% |
2.8–3.9% |
2.7–4.1% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.0% |
1.7–2.3% |
1.7–2.4% |
1.6–2.5% |
1.5–2.7% |
50Plus |
1.0% |
1.3% |
1.1–1.6% |
1.1–1.7% |
1.0–1.7% |
0.9–1.9% |
DENK |
2.0% |
0.7% |
0.5–0.9% |
0.5–0.9% |
0.5–1.0% |
0.4–1.1% |
Bij1 |
0.8% |
0.7% |
0.5–0.9% |
0.5–0.9% |
0.5–1.0% |
0.4–1.1% |
Belang van Nederland |
0.0% |
0.7% |
0.5–0.9% |
0.5–0.9% |
0.5–1.0% |
0.4–1.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
32 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
33 |
8% |
99.2% |
|
34 |
45% |
92% |
Median |
35 |
13% |
47% |
|
36 |
2% |
33% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
31% |
|
38 |
30% |
31% |
|
39 |
1.5% |
1.5% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
18 |
36% |
99.7% |
|
19 |
59% |
64% |
Median |
20 |
1.1% |
5% |
|
21 |
2% |
3% |
|
22 |
0.7% |
1.2% |
|
23 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
14 |
45% |
99.8% |
|
15 |
39% |
55% |
Median |
16 |
14% |
16% |
|
17 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
18 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
19 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
10 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
11 |
3% |
99.8% |
|
12 |
5% |
97% |
|
13 |
85% |
92% |
Median |
14 |
7% |
7% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
8 |
15% |
99.1% |
|
9 |
47% |
84% |
Median |
10 |
37% |
37% |
|
11 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
8 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
76% |
96% |
Median |
10 |
20% |
20% |
|
11 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
7 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
8 |
14% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
78% |
86% |
Median |
10 |
8% |
8% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
2% |
100% |
|
6 |
3% |
98% |
|
7 |
38% |
95% |
|
8 |
57% |
57% |
Median |
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
29% |
100% |
|
6 |
4% |
71% |
|
7 |
64% |
67% |
Median |
8 |
3% |
3% |
|
9 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
6 |
15% |
99.8% |
|
7 |
84% |
85% |
Median |
8 |
1.2% |
1.5% |
|
9 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
4 |
12% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
74% |
88% |
Last Result, Median |
6 |
13% |
13% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
4 |
76% |
99.8% |
Median |
5 |
22% |
24% |
|
6 |
2% |
2% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
43% |
100% |
|
5 |
13% |
57% |
Median |
6 |
44% |
44% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
55% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
44% |
45% |
Last Result |
4 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
51% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
49% |
49% |
|
3 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
31% |
100% |
|
1 |
69% |
69% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
20% |
100% |
|
1 |
80% |
80% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Belang van Nederland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Belang van Nederland page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
57% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
43% |
43% |
|
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie |
70 |
56 |
0% |
54–60 |
54–60 |
51–60 |
50–60 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
86 |
55 |
0% |
54–59 |
54–59 |
53–59 |
52–59 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
87 |
54 |
0% |
52–56 |
52–56 |
51–56 |
49–56 |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
61 |
49 |
0% |
49–53 |
47–53 |
45–53 |
44–53 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
42 |
0% |
42–43 |
42–43 |
40–44 |
40–45 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
78 |
41 |
0% |
39–43 |
39–43 |
39–43 |
37–43 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 |
67 |
41 |
0% |
40–42 |
40–42 |
40–42 |
39–44 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
40 |
0% |
39–40 |
39–40 |
38–41 |
38–42 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
58 |
40 |
0% |
38–40 |
38–40 |
37–40 |
36–40 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
73 |
36 |
0% |
34–37 |
34–37 |
34–37 |
33–38 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus |
61 |
35 |
0% |
33–36 |
33–36 |
33–37 |
32–37 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
66 |
35 |
0% |
35–36 |
35–36 |
34–36 |
33–37 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
60 |
33 |
0% |
32–35 |
32–35 |
32–35 |
31–36 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
33 |
0% |
30–33 |
30–33 |
30–34 |
30–35 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
43 |
32 |
0% |
31–32 |
31–32 |
31–33 |
30–34 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
57 |
31 |
0% |
29–32 |
29–32 |
29–33 |
29–33 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
48 |
30 |
0% |
29–31 |
27–31 |
26–31 |
25–31 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
49 |
27 |
0% |
25–27 |
25–27 |
25–27 |
24–29 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
29 |
26 |
0% |
25–27 |
23–27 |
22–27 |
21–27 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
24 |
21 |
0% |
20–21 |
18–21 |
17–21 |
17–21 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
39 |
17 |
0% |
16–18 |
15–18 |
14–18 |
14–18 |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
51 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
52 |
1.2% |
97% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
96% |
|
54 |
30% |
96% |
|
55 |
2% |
66% |
|
56 |
44% |
64% |
|
57 |
7% |
20% |
Median |
58 |
0.3% |
13% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
13% |
|
60 |
13% |
13% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
52 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
53 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
54 |
36% |
97% |
|
55 |
45% |
61% |
|
56 |
1.2% |
16% |
Median |
57 |
0.4% |
15% |
|
58 |
0.9% |
14% |
|
59 |
13% |
14% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
49 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
51 |
3% |
98% |
|
52 |
31% |
95% |
|
53 |
7% |
64% |
|
54 |
44% |
56% |
Median |
55 |
0.4% |
12% |
|
56 |
12% |
12% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
2% |
100% |
|
45 |
2% |
98% |
|
46 |
0.3% |
96% |
|
47 |
1.0% |
96% |
|
48 |
0.9% |
95% |
|
49 |
74% |
94% |
|
50 |
7% |
20% |
Median |
51 |
0.2% |
13% |
|
52 |
0.7% |
13% |
|
53 |
12% |
12% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
3% |
100% |
|
41 |
0.6% |
97% |
|
42 |
80% |
96% |
Median |
43 |
13% |
17% |
|
44 |
3% |
4% |
|
45 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
37 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
38 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
39 |
37% |
98% |
|
40 |
2% |
61% |
|
41 |
45% |
58% |
Median |
42 |
1.4% |
14% |
|
43 |
12% |
12% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
39 |
1.5% |
99.5% |
|
40 |
32% |
98% |
|
41 |
46% |
66% |
Median |
42 |
19% |
20% |
|
43 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
44 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
4% |
100% |
|
39 |
30% |
96% |
|
40 |
63% |
67% |
Median |
41 |
2% |
4% |
|
42 |
2% |
2% |
|
43 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
2% |
100% |
|
37 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
38 |
30% |
96% |
|
39 |
8% |
66% |
|
40 |
58% |
58% |
Median |
41 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
42 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
33 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
34 |
31% |
98% |
|
35 |
8% |
67% |
|
36 |
45% |
59% |
Median |
37 |
13% |
14% |
|
38 |
1.3% |
1.3% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
32 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
33 |
38% |
99.4% |
|
34 |
0.5% |
61% |
Median |
35 |
44% |
61% |
|
36 |
13% |
17% |
|
37 |
3% |
4% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
39 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
33 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
34 |
2% |
98% |
|
35 |
48% |
96% |
|
36 |
46% |
48% |
Median |
37 |
2% |
2% |
|
38 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
31 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
32 |
37% |
98% |
|
33 |
44% |
61% |
Median |
34 |
1.4% |
17% |
|
35 |
14% |
16% |
|
36 |
2% |
2% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
30 |
29% |
99.8% |
|
31 |
9% |
70% |
|
32 |
0.3% |
61% |
Median |
33 |
57% |
61% |
|
34 |
2% |
4% |
|
35 |
2% |
2% |
|
36 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
30 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
31 |
32% |
98% |
|
32 |
63% |
66% |
Median |
33 |
2% |
3% |
|
34 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
35 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
29 |
31% |
99.8% |
|
30 |
8% |
69% |
|
31 |
45% |
61% |
Median |
32 |
13% |
16% |
|
33 |
3% |
3% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
24 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
25 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
26 |
4% |
99.2% |
|
27 |
1.3% |
95% |
|
28 |
2% |
94% |
|
29 |
29% |
92% |
|
30 |
44% |
62% |
Median |
31 |
18% |
18% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
24 |
2% |
100% |
|
25 |
36% |
98% |
|
26 |
2% |
62% |
|
27 |
58% |
60% |
Median |
28 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
29 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
2% |
100% |
|
22 |
3% |
98% |
|
23 |
2% |
95% |
|
24 |
0.5% |
93% |
|
25 |
37% |
92% |
|
26 |
44% |
56% |
Median |
27 |
12% |
12% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
16 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
17 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
18 |
4% |
97% |
|
19 |
2% |
94% |
|
20 |
30% |
92% |
|
21 |
62% |
62% |
Median |
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
13 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
14 |
4% |
99.6% |
|
15 |
2% |
96% |
|
16 |
30% |
94% |
|
17 |
52% |
64% |
Median |
18 |
12% |
12% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 23–24 March 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 4000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.28%