Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 23–24 March 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1.0% | 22.0% | 21.1–22.8% | 20.9–23.1% | 20.7–23.3% | 20.3–23.7% |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.9% | 12.6% | 12.0–13.4% | 11.8–13.5% | 11.6–13.7% | 11.3–14.1% |
| GroenLinks | 5.2% | 10.0% | 9.4–10.6% | 9.2–10.8% | 9.1–10.9% | 8.8–11.3% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.4–8.6% | 7.3–8.7% | 7.2–8.9% | 6.9–9.1% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 10.8% | 6.0% | 5.5–6.5% | 5.4–6.7% | 5.3–6.8% | 5.1–7.0% |
| Democraten 66 | 15.0% | 6.0% | 5.5–6.5% | 5.4–6.7% | 5.3–6.8% | 5.1–7.0% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.5–6.5% | 5.4–6.7% | 5.3–6.8% | 5.1–7.0% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 9.5% | 4.6% | 4.2–5.1% | 4.1–5.2% | 4.0–5.3% | 3.9–5.6% |
| Socialistische Partij | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.2–5.1% | 4.1–5.2% | 4.0–5.3% | 3.9–5.6% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 2.4% | 4.6% | 4.2–5.1% | 4.1–5.2% | 4.0–5.3% | 3.9–5.6% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.0–3.7% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.1% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.0–3.7% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.1% |
| Volt Europa | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.0–3.7% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.1% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.3% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.5–2.7% |
| 50Plus | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1–1.6% | 1.1–1.7% | 1.0–1.7% | 0.9–1.9% |
| DENK | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.1% |
| Bij1 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.1% |
| Belang van Nederland | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1 | 34 | 34–38 | 33–38 | 33–38 | 31–39 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 34 | 19 | 18–19 | 18–19 | 18–21 | 18–23 |
| GroenLinks | 8 | 15 | 14–16 | 14–16 | 14–16 | 14–19 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 13 | 13 | 12–14 | 11–14 | 11–14 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 17 | 9 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 7–10 |
| Democraten 66 | 24 | 9 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 6 | 9 | 8–9 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 15 | 8 | 7–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 5–8 |
| Socialistische Partij | 9 | 7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 5–8 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 3 | 7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–8 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 8 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
| Volt Europa | 3 | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 50Plus | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| DENK | 3 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Bij1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Belang van Nederland | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 33 | 8% | 99.2% | |
| 34 | 45% | 92% | Median |
| 35 | 13% | 47% | |
| 36 | 2% | 33% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 31% | |
| 38 | 30% | 31% | |
| 39 | 1.5% | 1.5% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 18 | 36% | 99.7% | |
| 19 | 59% | 64% | Median |
| 20 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 21 | 2% | 3% | |
| 22 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 23 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 14 | 45% | 99.8% | |
| 15 | 39% | 55% | Median |
| 16 | 14% | 16% | |
| 17 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 18 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 19 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 11 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 12 | 5% | 97% | |
| 13 | 85% | 92% | Median |
| 14 | 7% | 7% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 8 | 15% | 99.1% | |
| 9 | 47% | 84% | Median |
| 10 | 37% | 37% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 76% | 96% | Median |
| 10 | 20% | 20% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 14% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 78% | 86% | Median |
| 10 | 8% | 8% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 2% | 100% | |
| 6 | 3% | 98% | |
| 7 | 38% | 95% | |
| 8 | 57% | 57% | Median |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 29% | 100% | |
| 6 | 4% | 71% | |
| 7 | 64% | 67% | Median |
| 8 | 3% | 3% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 6 | 15% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 84% | 85% | Median |
| 8 | 1.2% | 1.5% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 12% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 74% | 88% | Last Result, Median |
| 6 | 13% | 13% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 76% | 99.8% | Median |
| 5 | 22% | 24% | |
| 6 | 2% | 2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 43% | 100% | |
| 5 | 13% | 57% | Median |
| 6 | 44% | 44% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 55% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 44% | 45% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 51% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 49% | 49% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 31% | 100% | |
| 1 | 69% | 69% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 20% | 100% | |
| 1 | 80% | 80% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Belang van Nederland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Belang van Nederland page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 57% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 43% | 43% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie | 70 | 56 | 0% | 54–60 | 54–60 | 51–60 | 50–60 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 86 | 55 | 0% | 54–59 | 54–59 | 53–59 | 52–59 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 87 | 54 | 0% | 52–56 | 52–56 | 51–56 | 49–56 |
| GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 61 | 49 | 0% | 49–53 | 47–53 | 45–53 | 44–53 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 42 | 0% | 42–43 | 42–43 | 40–44 | 40–45 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 78 | 41 | 0% | 39–43 | 39–43 | 39–43 | 37–43 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 | 67 | 41 | 0% | 40–42 | 40–42 | 40–42 | 39–44 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 40 | 0% | 39–40 | 39–40 | 38–41 | 38–42 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 58 | 40 | 0% | 38–40 | 38–40 | 37–40 | 36–40 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 73 | 36 | 0% | 34–37 | 34–37 | 34–37 | 33–38 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 35 | 0% | 33–36 | 33–36 | 33–37 | 32–37 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 35 | 0% | 35–36 | 35–36 | 34–36 | 33–37 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 60 | 33 | 0% | 32–35 | 32–35 | 32–35 | 31–36 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 33 | 0% | 30–33 | 30–33 | 30–34 | 30–35 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 43 | 32 | 0% | 31–32 | 31–32 | 31–33 | 30–34 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 57 | 31 | 0% | 29–32 | 29–32 | 29–33 | 29–33 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 48 | 30 | 0% | 29–31 | 27–31 | 26–31 | 25–31 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 49 | 27 | 0% | 25–27 | 25–27 | 25–27 | 24–29 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 29 | 26 | 0% | 25–27 | 23–27 | 22–27 | 21–27 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 24 | 21 | 0% | 20–21 | 18–21 | 17–21 | 17–21 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 39 | 17 | 0% | 16–18 | 15–18 | 14–18 | 14–18 |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 52 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 54 | 30% | 96% | |
| 55 | 2% | 66% | |
| 56 | 44% | 64% | |
| 57 | 7% | 20% | Median |
| 58 | 0.3% | 13% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 13% | |
| 60 | 13% | 13% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 52 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 53 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 54 | 36% | 97% | |
| 55 | 45% | 61% | |
| 56 | 1.2% | 16% | Median |
| 57 | 0.4% | 15% | |
| 58 | 0.9% | 14% | |
| 59 | 13% | 14% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 49 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 51 | 3% | 98% | |
| 52 | 31% | 95% | |
| 53 | 7% | 64% | |
| 54 | 44% | 56% | Median |
| 55 | 0.4% | 12% | |
| 56 | 12% | 12% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 2% | 100% | |
| 45 | 2% | 98% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 47 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 48 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 49 | 74% | 94% | |
| 50 | 7% | 20% | Median |
| 51 | 0.2% | 13% | |
| 52 | 0.7% | 13% | |
| 53 | 12% | 12% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 3% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 42 | 80% | 96% | Median |
| 43 | 13% | 17% | |
| 44 | 3% | 4% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 37 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 39 | 37% | 98% | |
| 40 | 2% | 61% | |
| 41 | 45% | 58% | Median |
| 42 | 1.4% | 14% | |
| 43 | 12% | 12% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 39 | 1.5% | 99.5% | |
| 40 | 32% | 98% | |
| 41 | 46% | 66% | Median |
| 42 | 19% | 20% | |
| 43 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 44 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 4% | 100% | |
| 39 | 30% | 96% | |
| 40 | 63% | 67% | Median |
| 41 | 2% | 4% | |
| 42 | 2% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 2% | 100% | |
| 37 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 38 | 30% | 96% | |
| 39 | 8% | 66% | |
| 40 | 58% | 58% | Median |
| 41 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 33 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 34 | 31% | 98% | |
| 35 | 8% | 67% | |
| 36 | 45% | 59% | Median |
| 37 | 13% | 14% | |
| 38 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 38% | 99.4% | |
| 34 | 0.5% | 61% | Median |
| 35 | 44% | 61% | |
| 36 | 13% | 17% | |
| 37 | 3% | 4% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 33 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 34 | 2% | 98% | |
| 35 | 48% | 96% | |
| 36 | 46% | 48% | Median |
| 37 | 2% | 2% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 31 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 32 | 37% | 98% | |
| 33 | 44% | 61% | Median |
| 34 | 1.4% | 17% | |
| 35 | 14% | 16% | |
| 36 | 2% | 2% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 30 | 29% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 9% | 70% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 61% | Median |
| 33 | 57% | 61% | |
| 34 | 2% | 4% | |
| 35 | 2% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 30 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 32% | 98% | |
| 32 | 63% | 66% | Median |
| 33 | 2% | 3% | |
| 34 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 29 | 31% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 8% | 69% | |
| 31 | 45% | 61% | Median |
| 32 | 13% | 16% | |
| 33 | 3% | 3% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 4% | 99.2% | |
| 27 | 1.3% | 95% | |
| 28 | 2% | 94% | |
| 29 | 29% | 92% | |
| 30 | 44% | 62% | Median |
| 31 | 18% | 18% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 2% | 100% | |
| 25 | 36% | 98% | |
| 26 | 2% | 62% | |
| 27 | 58% | 60% | Median |
| 28 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 29 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 2% | 100% | |
| 22 | 3% | 98% | |
| 23 | 2% | 95% | |
| 24 | 0.5% | 93% | |
| 25 | 37% | 92% | |
| 26 | 44% | 56% | Median |
| 27 | 12% | 12% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 4% | 97% | |
| 19 | 2% | 94% | |
| 20 | 30% | 92% | |
| 21 | 62% | 62% | Median |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 4% | 99.6% | |
| 15 | 2% | 96% | |
| 16 | 30% | 94% | |
| 17 | 52% | 64% | Median |
| 18 | 12% | 12% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 23–24 March 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 4000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.28%