Opinion Poll by I&O Research, 14–17 April 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
BoerBurgerBeweging |
1.0% |
19.3% |
18.2–20.4% |
18.0–20.7% |
17.7–21.0% |
17.2–21.6% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.9% |
11.8% |
10.9–12.7% |
10.7–13.0% |
10.5–13.2% |
10.1–13.7% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
10.8% |
8.0% |
7.3–8.8% |
7.1–9.0% |
6.9–9.2% |
6.6–9.6% |
GroenLinks |
5.2% |
8.0% |
7.3–8.8% |
7.1–9.0% |
6.9–9.2% |
6.6–9.6% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
7.8% |
7.1–8.6% |
6.9–8.8% |
6.7–9.0% |
6.4–9.4% |
Democraten 66 |
15.0% |
6.2% |
5.6–6.9% |
5.4–7.1% |
5.3–7.3% |
5.0–7.6% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.8% |
6.0% |
5.4–6.7% |
5.2–6.9% |
5.1–7.1% |
4.8–7.4% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 |
2.4% |
5.3% |
4.7–5.9% |
4.6–6.1% |
4.4–6.3% |
4.2–6.6% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
9.5% |
4.6% |
4.1–5.2% |
3.9–5.4% |
3.8–5.6% |
3.6–5.9% |
Socialistische Partij |
6.0% |
4.6% |
4.1–5.2% |
3.9–5.4% |
3.8–5.6% |
3.6–5.9% |
Volt Europa |
2.4% |
4.5% |
4.0–5.1% |
3.8–5.3% |
3.7–5.5% |
3.5–5.8% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
2.8% |
2.4–3.3% |
2.3–3.4% |
2.2–3.6% |
2.0–3.8% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.4% |
2.0–2.9% |
1.9–3.0% |
1.8–3.2% |
1.7–3.4% |
Forum voor Democratie |
5.0% |
2.3% |
1.9–2.7% |
1.8–2.9% |
1.7–3.0% |
1.6–3.2% |
DENK |
2.0% |
1.6% |
1.3–2.0% |
1.2–2.1% |
1.1–2.2% |
1.0–2.4% |
50Plus |
1.0% |
0.8% |
0.6–1.1% |
0.6–1.2% |
0.5–1.3% |
0.4–1.5% |
Bij1 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
0.6–1.1% |
0.6–1.2% |
0.5–1.3% |
0.4–1.5% |
Belang van Nederland |
0.0% |
0.4% |
0.3–0.7% |
0.2–0.7% |
0.2–0.8% |
0.2–0.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
27 |
7% |
99.8% |
|
28 |
0.8% |
93% |
|
29 |
12% |
92% |
|
30 |
7% |
79% |
|
31 |
70% |
72% |
Median |
32 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
33 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
34 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
16 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
17 |
65% |
96% |
Median |
18 |
15% |
31% |
|
19 |
2% |
15% |
|
20 |
5% |
13% |
|
21 |
6% |
7% |
|
22 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
23 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
10 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
11 |
9% |
99.3% |
|
12 |
38% |
90% |
|
13 |
42% |
52% |
Median |
14 |
6% |
11% |
|
15 |
3% |
5% |
|
16 |
1.3% |
1.3% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
9 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
10 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
11 |
11% |
97% |
|
12 |
31% |
86% |
|
13 |
51% |
55% |
Median |
14 |
5% |
5% |
|
15 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.4% |
100% |
Last Result |
10 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
11 |
30% |
99.2% |
|
12 |
20% |
69% |
Median |
13 |
45% |
49% |
|
14 |
4% |
4% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
3% |
100% |
|
8 |
11% |
97% |
|
9 |
37% |
85% |
Median |
10 |
35% |
48% |
|
11 |
5% |
13% |
|
12 |
9% |
9% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
7 |
18% |
100% |
|
8 |
18% |
82% |
|
9 |
36% |
65% |
Median |
10 |
28% |
28% |
|
11 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
4% |
100% |
|
7 |
42% |
96% |
|
8 |
42% |
54% |
Median |
9 |
11% |
11% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
|
11 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
5 |
35% |
99.2% |
|
6 |
10% |
64% |
|
7 |
38% |
53% |
Median |
8 |
13% |
16% |
|
9 |
3% |
3% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
14% |
100% |
|
6 |
35% |
86% |
|
7 |
37% |
51% |
Median |
8 |
11% |
14% |
|
9 |
3% |
3% |
Last Result |
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
32% |
100% |
|
6 |
32% |
67% |
Median |
7 |
17% |
36% |
|
8 |
15% |
19% |
|
9 |
4% |
4% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
21% |
100% |
|
3 |
14% |
79% |
|
4 |
56% |
65% |
Median |
5 |
9% |
9% |
Last Result |
6 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
1.4% |
100% |
|
3 |
23% |
98.6% |
Last Result |
4 |
44% |
75% |
Median |
5 |
31% |
31% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
4% |
100% |
|
3 |
35% |
96% |
|
4 |
58% |
60% |
Median |
5 |
2% |
2% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
2% |
100% |
|
2 |
54% |
98% |
Median |
3 |
40% |
44% |
Last Result |
4 |
4% |
4% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
43% |
100% |
|
1 |
56% |
57% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
10% |
100% |
|
1 |
82% |
90% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
8% |
8% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Belang van Nederland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Belang van Nederland page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
91% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
9% |
9% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
86 |
49 |
0% |
48–52 |
48–53 |
45–58 |
45–58 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
87 |
48 |
0% |
47–52 |
47–54 |
46–57 |
46–57 |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie |
70 |
51 |
0% |
49–54 |
48–54 |
48–56 |
47–56 |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
61 |
44 |
0% |
43–47 |
41–47 |
41–50 |
41–50 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – Forum voor Democratie |
77 |
44 |
0% |
42–48 |
42–49 |
42–49 |
41–50 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
40 |
0% |
38–44 |
38–45 |
38–45 |
37–47 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 |
67 |
39 |
0% |
38–41 |
38–42 |
36–44 |
36–45 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
78 |
36 |
0% |
35–40 |
35–41 |
34–44 |
34–44 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
58 |
35 |
0% |
35–39 |
35–43 |
34–43 |
33–43 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
66 |
37 |
0% |
34–40 |
34–41 |
34–42 |
34–44 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
73 |
33 |
0% |
31–37 |
31–37 |
30–40 |
30–40 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
61 |
32 |
0% |
31–35 |
30–37 |
30–37 |
29–37 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – Forum voor Democratie |
60 |
32 |
0% |
30–34 |
30–36 |
30–37 |
28–37 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
43 |
30 |
0% |
28–32 |
28–34 |
28–35 |
27–35 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
27 |
0% |
27–31 |
27–33 |
27–34 |
25–34 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
57 |
27 |
0% |
26–30 |
26–33 |
26–33 |
24–34 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
48 |
28 |
0% |
27–32 |
26–32 |
26–32 |
25–32 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
49 |
24 |
0% |
22–27 |
22–29 |
22–30 |
21–31 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
29 |
22 |
0% |
20–24 |
20–26 |
20–26 |
20–26 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
24 |
18 |
0% |
18–20 |
17–22 |
17–22 |
16–22 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
39 |
15 |
0% |
14–19 |
14–20 |
14–20 |
13–20 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
3% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.9% |
97% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
48 |
28% |
96% |
|
49 |
41% |
68% |
|
50 |
3% |
27% |
Median |
51 |
4% |
24% |
|
52 |
13% |
20% |
|
53 |
3% |
6% |
|
54 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
55 |
0% |
3% |
|
56 |
0% |
3% |
|
57 |
0% |
3% |
|
58 |
3% |
3% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
46 |
4% |
100% |
|
47 |
21% |
96% |
|
48 |
27% |
75% |
|
49 |
6% |
48% |
Median |
50 |
20% |
41% |
|
51 |
2% |
22% |
|
52 |
12% |
20% |
|
53 |
1.1% |
8% |
|
54 |
4% |
7% |
|
55 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
56 |
0% |
3% |
|
57 |
3% |
3% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
1.4% |
99.8% |
|
48 |
4% |
98% |
|
49 |
35% |
94% |
|
50 |
4% |
59% |
|
51 |
33% |
56% |
|
52 |
11% |
23% |
Median |
53 |
0.1% |
12% |
|
54 |
9% |
12% |
|
55 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
56 |
3% |
3% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
41 |
6% |
99.7% |
|
42 |
4% |
94% |
|
43 |
21% |
90% |
|
44 |
49% |
69% |
|
45 |
7% |
19% |
Median |
46 |
1.0% |
13% |
|
47 |
9% |
12% |
|
48 |
0.5% |
3% |
|
49 |
0% |
3% |
|
50 |
3% |
3% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
40 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
41 |
1.3% |
99.7% |
|
42 |
29% |
98% |
|
43 |
11% |
69% |
|
44 |
8% |
58% |
|
45 |
35% |
50% |
Median |
46 |
0.7% |
15% |
|
47 |
4% |
14% |
|
48 |
5% |
11% |
|
49 |
5% |
6% |
|
50 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
37 |
1.2% |
100% |
|
38 |
29% |
98.8% |
|
39 |
0.7% |
70% |
|
40 |
43% |
70% |
|
41 |
11% |
26% |
Median |
42 |
0.6% |
15% |
|
43 |
4% |
14% |
|
44 |
2% |
11% |
|
45 |
8% |
9% |
|
46 |
0.8% |
1.4% |
|
47 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
36 |
3% |
99.6% |
|
37 |
0.6% |
96% |
|
38 |
29% |
96% |
Median |
39 |
33% |
67% |
|
40 |
6% |
34% |
|
41 |
20% |
28% |
|
42 |
5% |
8% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
44 |
3% |
3% |
|
45 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
4% |
100% |
|
35 |
26% |
96% |
|
36 |
23% |
71% |
|
37 |
15% |
47% |
Median |
38 |
9% |
32% |
|
39 |
2% |
23% |
|
40 |
15% |
21% |
|
41 |
2% |
6% |
|
42 |
0.7% |
4% |
|
43 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
44 |
3% |
3% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
33 |
0.9% |
99.6% |
|
34 |
3% |
98.7% |
|
35 |
50% |
96% |
|
36 |
16% |
46% |
Median |
37 |
15% |
29% |
|
38 |
4% |
14% |
|
39 |
2% |
10% |
|
40 |
2% |
8% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
6% |
|
42 |
0.6% |
6% |
|
43 |
6% |
6% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
34 |
29% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
0.5% |
71% |
|
36 |
19% |
70% |
|
37 |
28% |
51% |
Median |
38 |
7% |
24% |
|
39 |
6% |
17% |
|
40 |
3% |
11% |
|
41 |
4% |
8% |
|
42 |
3% |
4% |
|
43 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
44 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
4% |
100% |
|
31 |
25% |
96% |
|
32 |
3% |
71% |
|
33 |
18% |
68% |
Median |
34 |
22% |
50% |
|
35 |
10% |
27% |
|
36 |
5% |
18% |
|
37 |
10% |
13% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
39 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
40 |
3% |
3% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
2% |
100% |
|
30 |
5% |
98% |
|
31 |
31% |
93% |
|
32 |
31% |
62% |
|
33 |
20% |
31% |
Median |
34 |
0.6% |
11% |
|
35 |
1.3% |
10% |
|
36 |
3% |
9% |
|
37 |
6% |
6% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
29 |
1.3% |
98.9% |
|
30 |
35% |
98% |
|
31 |
0.5% |
62% |
|
32 |
50% |
62% |
Median |
33 |
1.2% |
11% |
|
34 |
1.1% |
10% |
|
35 |
1.0% |
9% |
|
36 |
5% |
8% |
|
37 |
3% |
3% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
25 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
27 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
28 |
25% |
99.4% |
|
29 |
18% |
75% |
Median |
30 |
33% |
57% |
|
31 |
13% |
24% |
|
32 |
2% |
11% |
|
33 |
0.2% |
8% |
|
34 |
5% |
8% |
|
35 |
3% |
3% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
25 |
1.1% |
100% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
98.9% |
|
27 |
55% |
98.9% |
|
28 |
13% |
44% |
|
29 |
19% |
31% |
Median |
30 |
2% |
12% |
|
31 |
2% |
11% |
|
32 |
2% |
9% |
|
33 |
3% |
7% |
|
34 |
4% |
4% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
24 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
25 |
0.3% |
99.2% |
|
26 |
29% |
98.9% |
|
27 |
38% |
70% |
|
28 |
9% |
31% |
Median |
29 |
12% |
23% |
|
30 |
1.0% |
10% |
|
31 |
0.5% |
10% |
|
32 |
3% |
9% |
|
33 |
6% |
6% |
|
34 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
25 |
1.4% |
99.8% |
|
26 |
8% |
98% |
|
27 |
29% |
91% |
|
28 |
42% |
62% |
Median |
29 |
7% |
20% |
|
30 |
1.1% |
13% |
|
31 |
1.0% |
12% |
|
32 |
11% |
11% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
22 |
28% |
99.1% |
|
23 |
11% |
71% |
|
24 |
35% |
60% |
Median |
25 |
11% |
25% |
|
26 |
2% |
14% |
|
27 |
5% |
12% |
|
28 |
1.3% |
7% |
|
29 |
3% |
6% |
|
30 |
3% |
3% |
|
31 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
19 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
20 |
26% |
99.9% |
|
21 |
0.8% |
73% |
|
22 |
42% |
73% |
|
23 |
10% |
31% |
Median |
24 |
14% |
20% |
|
25 |
0.2% |
6% |
|
26 |
6% |
6% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
16 |
1.4% |
99.9% |
|
17 |
5% |
98.6% |
|
18 |
64% |
93% |
|
19 |
8% |
30% |
Median |
20 |
16% |
22% |
|
21 |
0.6% |
6% |
|
22 |
6% |
6% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
13 |
0.9% |
99.8% |
|
14 |
30% |
99.0% |
|
15 |
21% |
69% |
|
16 |
9% |
48% |
Median |
17 |
27% |
39% |
|
18 |
0.5% |
12% |
|
19 |
3% |
11% |
|
20 |
8% |
8% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: I&O Research
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 14–17 April 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 2197
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.78%