Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 24 April 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
BoerBurgerBeweging |
1.0% |
19.9% |
18.3–21.6% |
17.9–22.0% |
17.5–22.5% |
16.8–23.3% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.9% |
17.3% |
15.8–18.9% |
15.4–19.3% |
15.0–19.7% |
14.4–20.5% |
GroenLinks |
5.2% |
8.0% |
7.0–9.2% |
6.7–9.5% |
6.5–9.8% |
6.0–10.4% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
10.8% |
7.3% |
6.3–8.4% |
6.1–8.8% |
5.8–9.1% |
5.4–9.7% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.8% |
7.3% |
6.3–8.4% |
6.1–8.8% |
5.8–9.1% |
5.4–9.7% |
Democraten 66 |
15.0% |
6.6% |
5.7–7.7% |
5.4–8.0% |
5.2–8.3% |
4.8–8.9% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
6.6% |
5.7–7.7% |
5.4–8.0% |
5.2–8.3% |
4.8–8.9% |
Socialistische Partij |
6.0% |
5.3% |
4.5–6.3% |
4.3–6.6% |
4.1–6.9% |
3.7–7.4% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
9.5% |
4.0% |
3.3–4.9% |
3.1–5.2% |
2.9–5.4% |
2.6–5.9% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
3.3% |
2.7–4.1% |
2.5–4.4% |
2.3–4.6% |
2.1–5.0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 |
2.4% |
3.3% |
2.7–4.1% |
2.5–4.4% |
2.3–4.6% |
2.1–5.0% |
Volt Europa |
2.4% |
3.3% |
2.7–4.1% |
2.5–4.4% |
2.3–4.6% |
2.1–5.0% |
Forum voor Democratie |
5.0% |
2.7% |
2.1–3.5% |
2.0–3.7% |
1.9–3.9% |
1.6–4.3% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.0% |
1.5–2.7% |
1.4–2.9% |
1.3–3.1% |
1.1–3.4% |
DENK |
2.0% |
2.0% |
1.5–2.7% |
1.4–2.9% |
1.3–3.1% |
1.1–3.4% |
Bij1 |
0.8% |
0.7% |
0.5–1.2% |
0.4–1.3% |
0.3–1.4% |
0.2–1.7% |
50Plus |
1.0% |
0.2% |
0.1–0.5% |
0.1–0.6% |
0.1–0.7% |
0.0–0.9% |
Belang van Nederland |
0.0% |
0.2% |
0.1–0.5% |
0.1–0.6% |
0.1–0.7% |
0.0–0.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
28 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
29 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
|
30 |
0% |
99.1% |
|
31 |
7% |
99.1% |
|
32 |
18% |
92% |
|
33 |
75% |
75% |
Median |
34 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
22 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
23 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
24 |
15% |
99.4% |
|
25 |
0.2% |
84% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
84% |
|
27 |
74% |
84% |
Median |
28 |
9% |
9% |
|
29 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
75% |
100% |
Median |
11 |
0.1% |
25% |
|
12 |
22% |
25% |
|
13 |
3% |
3% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
15 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
16 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
10 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
11 |
16% |
97% |
|
12 |
7% |
81% |
|
13 |
0% |
74% |
|
14 |
74% |
74% |
Median |
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
7 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
9 |
74% |
99.4% |
Median |
10 |
2% |
25% |
|
11 |
0.2% |
23% |
|
12 |
7% |
23% |
|
13 |
16% |
16% |
|
14 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
15 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
8 |
15% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
0.2% |
85% |
|
10 |
0.8% |
84% |
|
11 |
83% |
84% |
Median |
12 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
Last Result |
10 |
75% |
99.2% |
Median |
11 |
0.6% |
25% |
|
12 |
2% |
24% |
|
13 |
22% |
22% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
5 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
6 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
7 |
83% |
99.5% |
Median |
8 |
0.5% |
16% |
|
9 |
16% |
16% |
Last Result |
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
18% |
100% |
|
5 |
75% |
82% |
Median |
6 |
7% |
8% |
|
7 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
8 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
4 |
7% |
99.6% |
|
5 |
92% |
93% |
Last Result, Median |
6 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
7 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.3% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
77% |
99.7% |
Median |
5 |
22% |
23% |
|
6 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
6% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0.2% |
94% |
|
5 |
16% |
93% |
|
6 |
75% |
77% |
Median |
7 |
3% |
3% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
7% |
100% |
|
3 |
18% |
93% |
|
4 |
0.6% |
75% |
|
5 |
75% |
75% |
Median |
6 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
6% |
100% |
|
2 |
77% |
94% |
Median |
3 |
0.6% |
17% |
Last Result |
4 |
16% |
16% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
74% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
24% |
26% |
|
3 |
0.6% |
2% |
Last Result |
4 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
5 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
19% |
100% |
|
1 |
81% |
81% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.8% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Belang van Nederland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Belang van Nederland page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
97% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
3% |
3% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
87 |
58 |
0% |
54–58 |
54–62 |
54–62 |
54–62 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
86 |
58 |
0% |
53–58 |
53–61 |
53–61 |
53–62 |
GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
70 |
48 |
0% |
48–51 |
48–53 |
48–53 |
48–56 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
53 |
0% |
46–53 |
46–53 |
46–53 |
46–53 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
67 |
48 |
0% |
45–48 |
45–52 |
45–52 |
44–52 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
51 |
0% |
42–51 |
42–51 |
42–51 |
42–51 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
78 |
48 |
0% |
41–48 |
41–49 |
41–49 |
41–49 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
58 |
42 |
0% |
41–42 |
41–47 |
41–47 |
39–47 |
GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
61 |
41 |
0% |
41–42 |
41–46 |
41–46 |
40–49 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
66 |
46 |
0% |
39–46 |
39–46 |
39–46 |
39–46 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
73 |
43 |
0% |
36–43 |
36–45 |
36–45 |
36–45 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
43 |
37 |
0% |
37 |
37–41 |
37–41 |
33–41 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus |
61 |
39 |
0% |
35–39 |
35–39 |
35–39 |
35–40 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
60 |
39 |
0% |
35–39 |
35–39 |
35–39 |
35–39 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
37 |
0% |
31–37 |
31–37 |
31–37 |
31–37 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
57 |
37 |
0% |
31–37 |
31–37 |
31–37 |
31–37 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
49 |
32 |
0% |
28–32 |
28–34 |
28–34 |
28–34 |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
48 |
26 |
0% |
25–26 |
25–30 |
25–30 |
24–30 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
29 |
20 |
0% |
20–22 |
20–23 |
20–23 |
19–24 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
24 |
15 |
0% |
15–17 |
15–19 |
15–19 |
14–19 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
39 |
16 |
0% |
12–16 |
12–17 |
12–17 |
12–17 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
54 |
15% |
99.8% |
|
55 |
0.6% |
85% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
84% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
84% |
|
58 |
74% |
83% |
Median |
59 |
0% |
9% |
|
60 |
2% |
9% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
7% |
|
62 |
6% |
7% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
53 |
15% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
0% |
85% |
|
55 |
0.2% |
85% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
84% |
|
57 |
0% |
84% |
|
58 |
74% |
84% |
Median |
59 |
0.5% |
10% |
|
60 |
0.4% |
10% |
|
61 |
9% |
9% |
|
62 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
64 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
66 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
67 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
46 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
48 |
75% |
99.6% |
Median |
49 |
0.2% |
25% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
25% |
|
51 |
15% |
25% |
|
52 |
2% |
9% |
|
53 |
6% |
7% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
17% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
83% |
|
48 |
0.4% |
82% |
|
49 |
7% |
82% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
75% |
|
51 |
0.7% |
75% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
74% |
|
53 |
74% |
74% |
Median |
54 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
44 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
45 |
16% |
99.5% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
84% |
|
47 |
0.4% |
84% |
|
48 |
74% |
83% |
Median |
49 |
0.1% |
9% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
9% |
|
51 |
2% |
9% |
|
52 |
6% |
6% |
|
53 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
15% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
0% |
85% |
|
44 |
2% |
85% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
82% |
|
46 |
0.3% |
82% |
|
47 |
0.7% |
82% |
|
48 |
6% |
81% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
75% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
74% |
|
51 |
74% |
74% |
Median |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
15% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
85% |
|
43 |
0% |
85% |
|
44 |
0% |
85% |
|
45 |
0.6% |
85% |
|
46 |
0.5% |
84% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
83% |
|
48 |
76% |
83% |
Median |
49 |
6% |
7% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
51 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
39 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
40 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
41 |
15% |
99.1% |
|
42 |
75% |
84% |
Median |
43 |
0% |
9% |
|
44 |
2% |
9% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
7% |
|
46 |
0% |
7% |
|
47 |
6% |
7% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
39 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
41 |
74% |
99.4% |
Median |
42 |
15% |
25% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
10% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
9% |
|
45 |
2% |
9% |
|
46 |
6% |
7% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
49 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
50 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
51 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
39 |
15% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
0.4% |
85% |
|
41 |
2% |
84% |
|
42 |
0% |
82% |
|
43 |
0.3% |
82% |
|
44 |
0.2% |
82% |
|
45 |
0.4% |
81% |
|
46 |
81% |
81% |
Median |
47 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
15% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
85% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
85% |
|
39 |
0.3% |
85% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
84% |
|
41 |
0.4% |
84% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
84% |
|
43 |
77% |
84% |
Median |
44 |
0.1% |
7% |
|
45 |
7% |
7% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
34 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
35 |
0.2% |
99.2% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
99.0% |
|
37 |
90% |
98.8% |
Median |
38 |
0.1% |
9% |
|
39 |
0.2% |
9% |
|
40 |
2% |
9% |
|
41 |
6% |
7% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
15% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
0.3% |
85% |
|
37 |
9% |
84% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
75% |
|
39 |
75% |
75% |
Median |
40 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
41 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
43 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
44 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
45 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
15% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
0.3% |
85% |
|
37 |
9% |
84% |
|
38 |
0.2% |
75% |
|
39 |
75% |
75% |
Median |
40 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
41 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
42 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
44 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
31 |
15% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
0% |
85% |
|
33 |
0.5% |
85% |
|
34 |
0.3% |
84% |
|
35 |
3% |
84% |
|
36 |
6% |
81% |
|
37 |
75% |
75% |
Median |
38 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
41 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
42 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
31 |
15% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
0% |
85% |
|
33 |
0.5% |
85% |
|
34 |
0.3% |
84% |
|
35 |
3% |
84% |
|
36 |
6% |
81% |
|
37 |
75% |
75% |
Median |
38 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
39 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
40 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
41 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
15% |
100% |
|
29 |
0.7% |
85% |
|
30 |
0% |
84% |
|
31 |
0.1% |
84% |
|
32 |
77% |
84% |
Median |
33 |
0.4% |
7% |
|
34 |
7% |
7% |
|
35 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
23 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
24 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
25 |
16% |
99.5% |
|
26 |
74% |
84% |
Median |
27 |
2% |
9% |
|
28 |
0.3% |
7% |
|
29 |
0.1% |
7% |
|
30 |
7% |
7% |
|
31 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
16 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
17 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
19 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
20 |
74% |
99.4% |
Median |
21 |
3% |
25% |
|
22 |
16% |
22% |
|
23 |
6% |
7% |
|
24 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
25 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
14 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
15 |
74% |
99.3% |
Median |
16 |
2% |
25% |
|
17 |
16% |
23% |
|
18 |
0.5% |
7% |
|
19 |
6% |
7% |
|
20 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
15% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
85% |
|
14 |
0.2% |
85% |
|
15 |
3% |
85% |
|
16 |
74% |
82% |
Median |
17 |
7% |
7% |
|
18 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
19 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 24 April 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1002
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.16%