Opinion Poll by I&O Research, 12–15 May 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1.0% | 16.8% | 15.7–17.9% | 15.4–18.3% | 15.2–18.5% | 14.6–19.1% |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.9% | 14.9% | 13.9–16.0% | 13.6–16.3% | 13.4–16.6% | 12.9–17.1% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.8–9.5% | 7.6–9.7% | 7.4–10.0% | 7.0–10.4% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.8% | 7.9% | 7.1–8.8% | 6.9–9.0% | 6.8–9.2% | 6.4–9.6% |
| GroenLinks | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.7–8.3% | 6.5–8.5% | 6.3–8.7% | 6.0–9.1% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.6–8.2% | 6.4–8.4% | 6.2–8.6% | 5.9–9.0% |
| Democraten 66 | 15.0% | 5.9% | 5.2–6.6% | 5.0–6.9% | 4.9–7.0% | 4.6–7.4% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 2.4% | 4.9% | 4.3–5.6% | 4.2–5.8% | 4.0–6.0% | 3.7–6.4% |
| Socialistische Partij | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.9–5.2% | 3.8–5.4% | 3.6–5.5% | 3.4–5.9% |
| Volt Europa | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.7–4.9% | 3.6–5.1% | 3.4–5.3% | 3.2–5.6% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1–4.2% | 2.9–4.4% | 2.8–4.5% | 2.6–4.8% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 9.5% | 3.2% | 2.7–3.8% | 2.6–4.0% | 2.5–4.1% | 2.3–4.4% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2–3.2% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.4% | 1.8–3.7% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 5.0% | 1.9% | 1.6–2.4% | 1.5–2.5% | 1.4–2.7% | 1.2–2.9% |
| DENK | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.3–2.0% | 1.2–2.2% | 1.1–2.3% | 1.0–2.5% |
| 50Plus | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2–1.9% | 1.1–2.1% | 1.0–2.2% | 0.9–2.4% |
| Belang van Nederland | 0.0% | 1.0% | 0.8–1.4% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.6% | 0.5–1.8% |
| Bij1 | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2–0.6% | 0.2–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1 | 25 | 25–28 | 25–28 | 25–29 | 24–29 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 34 | 22 | 20–27 | 20–27 | 20–27 | 20–27 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 17 | 13 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 11–16 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 6 | 11 | 10–12 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 |
| GroenLinks | 8 | 13 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 9–14 | 9–14 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 11 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 9–14 |
| Democraten 66 | 24 | 9 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 6–11 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 3 | 7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 5–10 |
| Socialistische Partij | 9 | 6 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 5–8 |
| Volt Europa | 3 | 7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 5–8 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 6 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 4–8 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 15 | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 3–6 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–5 | 2–5 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 8 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| DENK | 3 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| 50Plus | 1 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| Belang van Nederland | 0 | 2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 0–3 |
| Bij1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 24 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 25 | 59% | 98% | Median |
| 26 | 8% | 39% | |
| 27 | 2% | 31% | |
| 28 | 26% | 29% | |
| 29 | 3% | 3% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 20 | 46% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 2% | 54% | |
| 22 | 12% | 53% | Median |
| 23 | 3% | 41% | |
| 24 | 7% | 38% | |
| 25 | 8% | 32% | |
| 26 | 2% | 23% | |
| 27 | 21% | 21% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 12 | 20% | 99.0% | |
| 13 | 52% | 79% | Median |
| 14 | 16% | 27% | |
| 15 | 10% | 11% | |
| 16 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 10 | 18% | 99.8% | |
| 11 | 45% | 82% | Median |
| 12 | 30% | 38% | |
| 13 | 0.9% | 8% | |
| 14 | 6% | 7% | |
| 15 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 3% | 100% | |
| 10 | 12% | 97% | |
| 11 | 17% | 85% | |
| 12 | 4% | 67% | |
| 13 | 52% | 64% | Median |
| 14 | 12% | 12% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 9 | 1.2% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 10 | 18% | 98.7% | |
| 11 | 51% | 81% | Median |
| 12 | 19% | 30% | |
| 13 | 0.8% | 11% | |
| 14 | 10% | 10% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 8 | 11% | 98% | |
| 9 | 51% | 87% | Median |
| 10 | 33% | 36% | |
| 11 | 2% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 13% | 100% | |
| 6 | 17% | 87% | |
| 7 | 66% | 69% | Median |
| 8 | 2% | 3% | |
| 9 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 10 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 2% | 100% | |
| 6 | 78% | 98% | Median |
| 7 | 12% | 20% | |
| 8 | 7% | 8% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 5 | 17% | 99.6% | |
| 6 | 20% | 83% | |
| 7 | 59% | 63% | Median |
| 8 | 3% | 4% | |
| 9 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 4 | 17% | 99.6% | |
| 5 | 30% | 82% | Last Result |
| 6 | 5% | 52% | Median |
| 7 | 47% | 47% | |
| 8 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 34% | 98% | |
| 5 | 53% | 65% | Median |
| 6 | 11% | 12% | |
| 7 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 3% | 100% | |
| 3 | 79% | 97% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 14% | 18% | |
| 5 | 4% | 4% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 40% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 59% | 60% | Median |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3% | 100% | |
| 2 | 78% | 97% | Median |
| 3 | 18% | 19% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 36% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 2 | 60% | 64% | Median |
| 3 | 4% | 4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Belang van Nederland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Belang van Nederland page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 48% | 98% | |
| 2 | 17% | 50% | Median |
| 3 | 33% | 33% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.3% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0.7% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 86 | 54 | 0% | 53–60 | 51–60 | 50–60 | 50–60 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 87 | 52 | 0% | 51–57 | 51–57 | 51–57 | 48–58 |
| GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 70 | 51 | 0% | 47–51 | 46–52 | 43–52 | 43–53 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – Forum voor Democratie | 77 | 46 | 0% | 44–50 | 44–50 | 44–50 | 44–53 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 42 | 0% | 41–47 | 41–47 | 41–47 | 39–48 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 78 | 41 | 0% | 40–47 | 40–47 | 40–47 | 38–47 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 | 67 | 42 | 0% | 40–47 | 40–47 | 40–47 | 40–49 |
| GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 61 | 45 | 0% | 39–45 | 39–46 | 37–46 | 37–46 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 40 | 0% | 38–45 | 38–45 | 38–45 | 37–45 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 58 | 38 | 0% | 35–42 | 35–43 | 35–43 | 35–43 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 73 | 36 | 0% | 33–42 | 33–42 | 33–42 | 33–42 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 43 | 34 | 0% | 31–37 | 31–39 | 31–39 | 31–39 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 61 | 34 | 0% | 31–38 | 31–38 | 31–38 | 31–41 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – Forum voor Democratie | 60 | 32 | 0% | 30–37 | 30–37 | 30–37 | 30–38 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 32 | 0% | 28–35 | 28–35 | 28–35 | 28–36 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 57 | 30 | 0% | 27–34 | 27–34 | 27–34 | 27–34 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 49 | 27 | 0% | 24–32 | 24–32 | 24–32 | 24–32 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 48 | 25 | 0% | 24–28 | 23–30 | 23–30 | 22–30 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 29 | 22 | 0% | 20–24 | 20–25 | 20–25 | 18–25 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 24 | 16 | 0% | 15–19 | 15–20 | 14–20 | 14–20 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 39 | 14 | 0% | 12–16 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 12–16 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 3% | 97% | |
| 52 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 53 | 10% | 93% | |
| 54 | 62% | 83% | |
| 55 | 0.7% | 21% | Median |
| 56 | 4% | 20% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 16% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 15% | |
| 59 | 0% | 15% | |
| 60 | 15% | 15% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 51 | 15% | 99.2% | |
| 52 | 38% | 85% | |
| 53 | 2% | 47% | Median |
| 54 | 0.7% | 45% | |
| 55 | 17% | 44% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 27% | |
| 57 | 25% | 27% | |
| 58 | 2% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 3% | 100% | |
| 44 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 46 | 2% | 96% | |
| 47 | 16% | 94% | |
| 48 | 2% | 78% | |
| 49 | 16% | 75% | |
| 50 | 3% | 59% | Median |
| 51 | 46% | 56% | |
| 52 | 9% | 10% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 43 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 44 | 47% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 1.0% | 53% | |
| 46 | 14% | 52% | Median |
| 47 | 0.4% | 38% | |
| 48 | 6% | 38% | |
| 49 | 14% | 32% | |
| 50 | 15% | 18% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 52 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 53 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 41 | 46% | 98% | |
| 42 | 11% | 52% | |
| 43 | 2% | 41% | Median |
| 44 | 5% | 39% | |
| 45 | 3% | 34% | |
| 46 | 14% | 32% | |
| 47 | 16% | 17% | |
| 48 | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 40 | 13% | 98% | |
| 41 | 39% | 85% | |
| 42 | 2% | 46% | Median |
| 43 | 26% | 44% | |
| 44 | 1.2% | 19% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 18% | |
| 46 | 2% | 17% | |
| 47 | 15% | 15% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 48% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 1.0% | 52% | |
| 42 | 2% | 51% | Median |
| 43 | 4% | 49% | |
| 44 | 1.3% | 45% | |
| 45 | 3% | 44% | |
| 46 | 10% | 41% | |
| 47 | 30% | 31% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 49 | 2% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 3% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 39 | 9% | 97% | |
| 40 | 9% | 88% | |
| 41 | 1.1% | 78% | |
| 42 | 3% | 77% | |
| 43 | 16% | 75% | |
| 44 | 3% | 59% | Median |
| 45 | 46% | 55% | |
| 46 | 9% | 10% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 1.3% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 46% | 98.6% | |
| 39 | 1.0% | 52% | |
| 40 | 12% | 52% | Median |
| 41 | 3% | 40% | |
| 42 | 3% | 37% | |
| 43 | 8% | 33% | |
| 44 | 8% | 25% | |
| 45 | 17% | 17% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 13% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 34% | 87% | |
| 37 | 3% | 53% | |
| 38 | 1.2% | 50% | Median |
| 39 | 3% | 49% | |
| 40 | 4% | 46% | |
| 41 | 9% | 42% | |
| 42 | 25% | 33% | |
| 43 | 8% | 8% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 13% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 34% | 87% | |
| 35 | 3% | 53% | |
| 36 | 5% | 50% | Median |
| 37 | 3% | 45% | |
| 38 | 10% | 42% | |
| 39 | 14% | 32% | |
| 40 | 0.7% | 18% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 17% | |
| 42 | 17% | 17% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 47% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 0.5% | 53% | |
| 33 | 1.2% | 52% | Median |
| 34 | 4% | 51% | |
| 35 | 4% | 48% | |
| 36 | 13% | 44% | |
| 37 | 24% | 31% | |
| 38 | 2% | 8% | |
| 39 | 6% | 6% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 12% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 88% | |
| 33 | 34% | 87% | |
| 34 | 5% | 54% | |
| 35 | 2% | 49% | Median |
| 36 | 18% | 47% | |
| 37 | 0.5% | 29% | |
| 38 | 27% | 28% | |
| 39 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 41 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 30 | 12% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 34% | 88% | |
| 32 | 4% | 54% | |
| 33 | 2% | 50% | Median |
| 34 | 18% | 48% | |
| 35 | 4% | 30% | |
| 36 | 3% | 26% | |
| 37 | 22% | 23% | |
| 38 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 12% | 100% | |
| 29 | 1.3% | 88% | |
| 30 | 35% | 86% | |
| 31 | 0.4% | 51% | |
| 32 | 13% | 51% | Median |
| 33 | 10% | 37% | |
| 34 | 3% | 27% | |
| 35 | 23% | 24% | |
| 36 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 13% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 35% | 87% | |
| 29 | 1.0% | 52% | |
| 30 | 13% | 51% | Median |
| 31 | 13% | 38% | |
| 32 | 0.8% | 25% | |
| 33 | 3% | 24% | |
| 34 | 21% | 22% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 12% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 35% | 88% | |
| 26 | 2% | 53% | |
| 27 | 2% | 51% | Median |
| 28 | 15% | 49% | |
| 29 | 10% | 34% | |
| 30 | 1.1% | 24% | |
| 31 | 8% | 23% | |
| 32 | 15% | 15% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 22 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 23 | 6% | 98% | |
| 24 | 20% | 93% | |
| 25 | 52% | 73% | Median |
| 26 | 9% | 22% | |
| 27 | 1.2% | 13% | |
| 28 | 2% | 11% | |
| 29 | 0% | 10% | |
| 30 | 10% | 10% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 19 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 20 | 34% | 98.9% | |
| 21 | 4% | 64% | |
| 22 | 16% | 61% | Median |
| 23 | 35% | 45% | |
| 24 | 0.6% | 10% | |
| 25 | 10% | 10% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 14 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 15 | 31% | 97% | |
| 16 | 52% | 66% | Median |
| 17 | 2% | 13% | |
| 18 | 0.5% | 11% | |
| 19 | 1.1% | 10% | |
| 20 | 9% | 9% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 12% | 99.6% | |
| 13 | 17% | 87% | |
| 14 | 42% | 70% | Median |
| 15 | 17% | 28% | |
| 16 | 11% | 12% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 18 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: I&O Research
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 12–15 May 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1872
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.09%