Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 26–29 May 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.9% | 18.9% | 17.4–20.6% | 17.0–21.1% | 16.6–21.5% | 15.9–22.3% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1.0% | 16.2% | 14.8–17.8% | 14.4–18.2% | 14.1–18.6% | 13.4–19.4% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.1–10.4% | 7.8–10.7% | 7.5–11.1% | 7.0–11.7% |
| GroenLinks | 5.2% | 8.2% | 7.2–9.4% | 7.0–9.8% | 6.7–10.1% | 6.2–10.7% |
| Democraten 66 | 15.0% | 7.3% | 6.3–8.4% | 6.1–8.7% | 5.8–9.0% | 5.4–9.6% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.4–7.4% | 5.2–7.7% | 4.9–8.0% | 4.6–8.5% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.3–8.2% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 9.5% | 4.1% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.3% | 3.1–5.5% | 2.8–6.0% |
| Socialistische Partij | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.3% | 3.1–5.5% | 2.8–6.0% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.2–4.7% | 3.0–5.0% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.5–5.7% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.7–4.2% | 2.5–4.4% | 2.4–4.6% | 2.1–5.1% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.1–3.4% | 2.0–3.6% | 1.8–3.8% | 1.6–4.2% |
| Volt Europa | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.0–3.3% | 1.9–3.5% | 1.7–3.7% | 1.5–4.1% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.5–3.1% | 1.4–3.3% | 1.2–3.6% |
| DENK | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.1% | 1.2–3.5% |
| Bij1 | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8–1.8% | 0.7–1.9% | 0.7–2.1% | 0.5–2.4% |
| 50Plus | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4–1.2% | 0.4–1.3% | 0.3–1.4% | 0.2–1.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 34 | 27 | 25–32 | 25–32 | 25–32 | 25–37 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1 | 24 | 22–26 | 22–26 | 22–28 | 21–29 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 17 | 14 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 11–18 | 11–18 |
| GroenLinks | 8 | 13 | 10–14 | 10–16 | 10–16 | 9–17 |
| Democraten 66 | 24 | 11 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 7–15 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 6 | 9 | 7–12 | 7–12 | 7–12 | 7–12 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 8 | 7–10 | 7–11 | 7–13 | 7–13 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 15 | 7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 4–8 | 4–10 |
| Socialistische Partij | 9 | 6 | 5–9 | 4–9 | 4–9 | 4–9 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 3 | 6 | 5–7 | 4–7 | 3–7 | 3–8 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 5 | 3–7 | 3–7 | 3–7 | 3–8 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 8 | 4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 2–5 |
| Volt Europa | 3 | 4 | 3–6 | 2–6 | 2–6 | 2–6 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–5 | 1–5 |
| DENK | 3 | 2 | 2–4 | 1–4 | 1–5 | 1–5 |
| Bij1 | 1 | 2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| 50Plus | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 28% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 12% | 72% | |
| 27 | 17% | 60% | Median |
| 28 | 9% | 43% | |
| 29 | 14% | 33% | |
| 30 | 0.7% | 20% | |
| 31 | 1.2% | 19% | |
| 32 | 16% | 18% | |
| 33 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 1.1% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 37 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 22 | 11% | 99.1% | |
| 23 | 19% | 88% | |
| 24 | 30% | 69% | Median |
| 25 | 16% | 39% | |
| 26 | 20% | 23% | |
| 27 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 28 | 2% | 3% | |
| 29 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 11 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 12 | 11% | 97% | |
| 13 | 12% | 86% | |
| 14 | 37% | 74% | Median |
| 15 | 5% | 37% | |
| 16 | 28% | 31% | |
| 17 | 0.5% | 3% | Last Result |
| 18 | 3% | 3% | |
| 19 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 10 | 14% | 98.8% | |
| 11 | 17% | 85% | |
| 12 | 8% | 68% | |
| 13 | 34% | 60% | Median |
| 14 | 17% | 26% | |
| 15 | 4% | 9% | |
| 16 | 4% | 5% | |
| 17 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 18 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 1.4% | 98.9% | |
| 9 | 9% | 98% | |
| 10 | 18% | 89% | |
| 11 | 31% | 70% | Median |
| 12 | 6% | 39% | |
| 13 | 22% | 33% | |
| 14 | 11% | 12% | |
| 15 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 15% | 99.5% | |
| 8 | 17% | 85% | |
| 9 | 32% | 68% | Median |
| 10 | 17% | 36% | |
| 11 | 7% | 19% | |
| 12 | 11% | 12% | |
| 13 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 7 | 32% | 99.8% | |
| 8 | 27% | 67% | Median |
| 9 | 25% | 41% | Last Result |
| 10 | 9% | 16% | |
| 11 | 4% | 7% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 13 | 3% | 3% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 14% | 96% | |
| 6 | 24% | 83% | |
| 7 | 23% | 58% | Median |
| 8 | 34% | 35% | |
| 9 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 10 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 6% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 8% | 94% | |
| 6 | 46% | 86% | Median |
| 7 | 9% | 40% | |
| 8 | 20% | 31% | |
| 9 | 11% | 11% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 2% | 97% | |
| 5 | 18% | 94% | |
| 6 | 51% | 77% | Median |
| 7 | 24% | 26% | |
| 8 | 2% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 18% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 16% | 81% | |
| 5 | 20% | 65% | Last Result, Median |
| 6 | 15% | 45% | |
| 7 | 29% | 30% | |
| 8 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 40% | 98% | |
| 4 | 41% | 59% | Median |
| 5 | 17% | 17% | |
| 6 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 7% | 100% | |
| 3 | 21% | 93% | Last Result |
| 4 | 27% | 72% | Median |
| 5 | 32% | 46% | |
| 6 | 13% | 14% | |
| 7 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 2 | 23% | 99.3% | |
| 3 | 43% | 76% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 29% | 33% | |
| 5 | 4% | 4% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5% | 100% | |
| 2 | 57% | 95% | Median |
| 3 | 12% | 38% | Last Result |
| 4 | 23% | 26% | |
| 5 | 2% | 3% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 44% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 2 | 34% | 56% | Median |
| 3 | 22% | 22% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 39% | 100% | |
| 1 | 58% | 61% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 3% | 3% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 86 | 63 | 0% | 61–66 | 60–67 | 60–68 | 56–70 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 87 | 59 | 0% | 56–63 | 56–64 | 56–64 | 54–67 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 55 | 0% | 53–59 | 53–60 | 51–61 | 49–62 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 52 | 0% | 50–56 | 50–56 | 48–59 | 45–59 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 78 | 50 | 0% | 49–53 | 48–55 | 47–56 | 45–57 |
| GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie | 70 | 51 | 0% | 47–56 | 46–56 | 45–56 | 44–56 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 49 | 0% | 46–52 | 46–52 | 45–55 | 42–55 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 67 | 48 | 0% | 44–52 | 44–52 | 44–54 | 44–56 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 73 | 46 | 0% | 43–49 | 43–51 | 43–51 | 41–53 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 58 | 42 | 0% | 40–45 | 40–49 | 39–49 | 39–52 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 42 | 0% | 39–46 | 39–48 | 37–48 | 37–49 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 60 | 41 | 0% | 38–45 | 38–47 | 37–48 | 37–48 |
| GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 61 | 45 | 0% | 41–47 | 40–47 | 39–47 | 37–50 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 38 | 0% | 36–42 | 36–44 | 34–44 | 34–46 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 57 | 37 | 0% | 35–41 | 35–44 | 34–44 | 33–45 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 43 | 35 | 0% | 33–39 | 33–41 | 33–43 | 33–46 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 49 | 34 | 0% | 32–37 | 32–40 | 31–40 | 30–43 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 48 | 27 | 0% | 24–31 | 21–31 | 21–31 | 21–32 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 29 | 20 | 0% | 16–24 | 16–24 | 16–24 | 14–26 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 39 | 18 | 0% | 16–21 | 14–21 | 14–21 | 13–21 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 24 | 15 | 0% | 12–17 | 12–18 | 12–18 | 11–21 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 98.7% | |
| 60 | 4% | 98% | |
| 61 | 14% | 94% | |
| 62 | 2% | 80% | |
| 63 | 41% | 79% | Median |
| 64 | 4% | 37% | |
| 65 | 8% | 33% | |
| 66 | 18% | 25% | |
| 67 | 4% | 7% | |
| 68 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 69 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 55 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 56 | 13% | 98.5% | |
| 57 | 10% | 86% | |
| 58 | 15% | 75% | Median |
| 59 | 19% | 60% | |
| 60 | 9% | 42% | |
| 61 | 14% | 33% | |
| 62 | 1.0% | 19% | |
| 63 | 9% | 18% | |
| 64 | 6% | 9% | |
| 65 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 51 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 52 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 53 | 9% | 96% | |
| 54 | 32% | 86% | |
| 55 | 19% | 54% | Median |
| 56 | 0.6% | 36% | |
| 57 | 8% | 35% | |
| 58 | 5% | 27% | |
| 59 | 14% | 22% | |
| 60 | 5% | 9% | |
| 61 | 3% | 3% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 48 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 49 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 50 | 25% | 95% | |
| 51 | 15% | 71% | |
| 52 | 6% | 56% | Median |
| 53 | 24% | 49% | |
| 54 | 0.9% | 26% | |
| 55 | 2% | 25% | |
| 56 | 19% | 23% | |
| 57 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 59 | 3% | 3% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 47 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 48 | 2% | 96% | |
| 49 | 16% | 95% | |
| 50 | 36% | 79% | Median |
| 51 | 4% | 43% | |
| 52 | 4% | 39% | |
| 53 | 26% | 35% | |
| 54 | 1.3% | 9% | |
| 55 | 6% | 8% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 57 | 2% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 44 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 45 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 46 | 6% | 96% | |
| 47 | 5% | 90% | |
| 48 | 5% | 85% | |
| 49 | 18% | 80% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 62% | Median |
| 51 | 15% | 62% | |
| 52 | 13% | 46% | |
| 53 | 20% | 33% | |
| 54 | 2% | 13% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 11% | |
| 56 | 11% | 11% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 45 | 3% | 98% | |
| 46 | 11% | 96% | |
| 47 | 16% | 85% | |
| 48 | 14% | 68% | Median |
| 49 | 25% | 54% | |
| 50 | 4% | 29% | |
| 51 | 14% | 25% | |
| 52 | 6% | 11% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 55 | 4% | 4% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 44 | 27% | 99.5% | |
| 45 | 13% | 72% | |
| 46 | 1.3% | 59% | Median |
| 47 | 6% | 57% | |
| 48 | 14% | 52% | |
| 49 | 2% | 38% | |
| 50 | 22% | 36% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 13% | |
| 52 | 10% | 13% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 54 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 56 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 42 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 43 | 31% | 98.6% | |
| 44 | 3% | 68% | |
| 45 | 2% | 65% | Median |
| 46 | 25% | 63% | |
| 47 | 13% | 38% | |
| 48 | 14% | 25% | |
| 49 | 4% | 11% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 7% | |
| 51 | 4% | 7% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 53 | 2% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 40 | 12% | 97% | |
| 41 | 8% | 86% | |
| 42 | 31% | 78% | Median |
| 43 | 24% | 47% | |
| 44 | 11% | 23% | |
| 45 | 4% | 13% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 9% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 9% | |
| 48 | 0.5% | 8% | |
| 49 | 6% | 8% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 39 | 12% | 97% | |
| 40 | 18% | 85% | |
| 41 | 17% | 67% | |
| 42 | 13% | 51% | Median |
| 43 | 17% | 37% | |
| 44 | 4% | 20% | |
| 45 | 4% | 16% | |
| 46 | 6% | 12% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 48 | 5% | 6% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 38 | 13% | 97% | |
| 39 | 2% | 84% | |
| 40 | 32% | 83% | |
| 41 | 13% | 51% | Median |
| 42 | 5% | 38% | |
| 43 | 16% | 33% | |
| 44 | 5% | 17% | |
| 45 | 5% | 12% | |
| 46 | 0.7% | 7% | |
| 47 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 48 | 5% | 5% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 39 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 40 | 3% | 96% | |
| 41 | 8% | 92% | |
| 42 | 9% | 85% | |
| 43 | 13% | 76% | |
| 44 | 13% | 63% | Median |
| 45 | 15% | 50% | |
| 46 | 7% | 35% | |
| 47 | 28% | 29% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 36 | 29% | 97% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 68% | |
| 38 | 19% | 68% | |
| 39 | 3% | 49% | Median |
| 40 | 25% | 46% | |
| 41 | 4% | 21% | |
| 42 | 8% | 17% | |
| 43 | 2% | 9% | |
| 44 | 6% | 7% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 46 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 35 | 12% | 96% | |
| 36 | 16% | 84% | |
| 37 | 19% | 68% | |
| 38 | 2% | 49% | Median |
| 39 | 14% | 47% | |
| 40 | 16% | 33% | |
| 41 | 8% | 17% | |
| 42 | 2% | 10% | |
| 43 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 44 | 5% | 6% | |
| 45 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 12% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 31% | 88% | |
| 35 | 8% | 57% | Median |
| 36 | 9% | 49% | |
| 37 | 16% | 40% | |
| 38 | 2% | 24% | |
| 39 | 13% | 22% | |
| 40 | 1.5% | 9% | |
| 41 | 5% | 8% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 43 | 1.2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 44 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 46 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 32 | 14% | 96% | |
| 33 | 25% | 82% | |
| 34 | 10% | 57% | Median |
| 35 | 27% | 47% | |
| 36 | 3% | 20% | |
| 37 | 8% | 17% | |
| 38 | 3% | 10% | |
| 39 | 0.7% | 7% | |
| 40 | 5% | 6% | |
| 41 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 43 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 7% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.3% | 93% | |
| 23 | 1.2% | 92% | |
| 24 | 4% | 91% | |
| 25 | 5% | 87% | |
| 26 | 32% | 82% | Median |
| 27 | 30% | 50% | |
| 28 | 7% | 20% | |
| 29 | 1.0% | 13% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 12% | |
| 31 | 11% | 11% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 2% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 16 | 9% | 98% | |
| 17 | 2% | 89% | |
| 18 | 18% | 87% | |
| 19 | 19% | 69% | |
| 20 | 0.8% | 50% | Median |
| 21 | 7% | 49% | |
| 22 | 13% | 42% | |
| 23 | 9% | 29% | |
| 24 | 19% | 20% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 26 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 1.3% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 7% | 98.6% | |
| 15 | 1.0% | 91% | |
| 16 | 4% | 90% | |
| 17 | 5% | 86% | |
| 18 | 34% | 81% | Median |
| 19 | 37% | 47% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 10% | |
| 21 | 10% | 10% | |
| 22 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 2% | 100% | |
| 12 | 9% | 98% | |
| 13 | 11% | 89% | |
| 14 | 13% | 78% | |
| 15 | 27% | 65% | Median |
| 16 | 2% | 38% | |
| 17 | 30% | 36% | |
| 18 | 4% | 6% | |
| 19 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 21 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 26–29 May 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1019
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.52%