Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 26–29 May 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.9% |
18.9% |
17.4–20.6% |
17.0–21.1% |
16.6–21.5% |
15.9–22.3% |
BoerBurgerBeweging |
1.0% |
16.2% |
14.8–17.8% |
14.4–18.2% |
14.1–18.6% |
13.4–19.4% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
10.8% |
9.1% |
8.1–10.4% |
7.8–10.7% |
7.5–11.1% |
7.0–11.7% |
GroenLinks |
5.2% |
8.2% |
7.2–9.4% |
7.0–9.8% |
6.7–10.1% |
6.2–10.7% |
Democraten 66 |
15.0% |
7.3% |
6.3–8.4% |
6.1–8.7% |
5.8–9.0% |
5.4–9.6% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.8% |
6.3% |
5.4–7.4% |
5.2–7.7% |
4.9–8.0% |
4.6–8.5% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
6.0% |
5.1–7.1% |
4.9–7.4% |
4.7–7.6% |
4.3–8.2% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
9.5% |
4.1% |
3.4–5.0% |
3.2–5.3% |
3.1–5.5% |
2.8–6.0% |
Socialistische Partij |
6.0% |
4.1% |
3.4–5.0% |
3.2–5.3% |
3.1–5.5% |
2.8–6.0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 |
2.4% |
3.8% |
3.2–4.7% |
3.0–5.0% |
2.8–5.2% |
2.5–5.7% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
3.3% |
2.7–4.2% |
2.5–4.4% |
2.4–4.6% |
2.1–5.1% |
Forum voor Democratie |
5.0% |
2.6% |
2.1–3.4% |
2.0–3.6% |
1.8–3.8% |
1.6–4.2% |
Volt Europa |
2.4% |
2.6% |
2.0–3.3% |
1.9–3.5% |
1.7–3.7% |
1.5–4.1% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.2% |
1.7–2.9% |
1.5–3.1% |
1.4–3.3% |
1.2–3.6% |
DENK |
2.0% |
2.1% |
1.6–2.8% |
1.5–3.0% |
1.4–3.1% |
1.2–3.5% |
Bij1 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
0.8–1.8% |
0.7–1.9% |
0.7–2.1% |
0.5–2.4% |
50Plus |
1.0% |
0.7% |
0.4–1.2% |
0.4–1.3% |
0.3–1.4% |
0.2–1.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
23 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
24 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
25 |
28% |
99.9% |
|
26 |
12% |
72% |
|
27 |
17% |
60% |
Median |
28 |
9% |
43% |
|
29 |
14% |
33% |
|
30 |
0.7% |
20% |
|
31 |
1.2% |
19% |
|
32 |
16% |
18% |
|
33 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
34 |
0.3% |
1.1% |
Last Result |
35 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
36 |
0% |
0.8% |
|
37 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
20 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
21 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
22 |
11% |
99.1% |
|
23 |
19% |
88% |
|
24 |
30% |
69% |
Median |
25 |
16% |
39% |
|
26 |
20% |
23% |
|
27 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
28 |
2% |
3% |
|
29 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
30 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
31 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
11 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
12 |
11% |
97% |
|
13 |
12% |
86% |
|
14 |
37% |
74% |
Median |
15 |
5% |
37% |
|
16 |
28% |
31% |
|
17 |
0.5% |
3% |
Last Result |
18 |
3% |
3% |
|
19 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.4% |
100% |
Last Result |
9 |
0.8% |
99.6% |
|
10 |
14% |
98.8% |
|
11 |
17% |
85% |
|
12 |
8% |
68% |
|
13 |
34% |
60% |
Median |
14 |
17% |
26% |
|
15 |
4% |
9% |
|
16 |
4% |
5% |
|
17 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
18 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
8 |
1.4% |
98.9% |
|
9 |
9% |
98% |
|
10 |
18% |
89% |
|
11 |
31% |
70% |
Median |
12 |
6% |
39% |
|
13 |
22% |
33% |
|
14 |
11% |
12% |
|
15 |
0.9% |
1.0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.4% |
100% |
Last Result |
7 |
15% |
99.5% |
|
8 |
17% |
85% |
|
9 |
32% |
68% |
Median |
10 |
17% |
36% |
|
11 |
7% |
19% |
|
12 |
11% |
12% |
|
13 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
7 |
32% |
99.8% |
|
8 |
27% |
67% |
Median |
9 |
25% |
41% |
Last Result |
10 |
9% |
16% |
|
11 |
4% |
7% |
|
12 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
13 |
3% |
3% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
4 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
14% |
96% |
|
6 |
24% |
83% |
|
7 |
23% |
58% |
Median |
8 |
34% |
35% |
|
9 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
10 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
4 |
6% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
8% |
94% |
|
6 |
46% |
86% |
Median |
7 |
9% |
40% |
|
8 |
20% |
31% |
|
9 |
11% |
11% |
Last Result |
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
3% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
2% |
97% |
|
5 |
18% |
94% |
|
6 |
51% |
77% |
Median |
7 |
24% |
26% |
|
8 |
2% |
2% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
3 |
18% |
99.8% |
|
4 |
16% |
81% |
|
5 |
20% |
65% |
Last Result, Median |
6 |
15% |
45% |
|
7 |
29% |
30% |
|
8 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
2% |
100% |
|
3 |
40% |
98% |
|
4 |
41% |
59% |
Median |
5 |
17% |
17% |
|
6 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
7% |
100% |
|
3 |
21% |
93% |
Last Result |
4 |
27% |
72% |
Median |
5 |
32% |
46% |
|
6 |
13% |
14% |
|
7 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
2 |
23% |
99.3% |
|
3 |
43% |
76% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
29% |
33% |
|
5 |
4% |
4% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
5% |
100% |
|
2 |
57% |
95% |
Median |
3 |
12% |
38% |
Last Result |
4 |
23% |
26% |
|
5 |
2% |
3% |
|
6 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
1 |
44% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
2 |
34% |
56% |
Median |
3 |
22% |
22% |
|
4 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
39% |
100% |
|
1 |
58% |
61% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
3% |
3% |
|
3 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
86 |
63 |
0% |
61–66 |
60–67 |
60–68 |
56–70 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
87 |
59 |
0% |
56–63 |
56–64 |
56–64 |
54–67 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
55 |
0% |
53–59 |
53–60 |
51–61 |
49–62 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
52 |
0% |
50–56 |
50–56 |
48–59 |
45–59 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
78 |
50 |
0% |
49–53 |
48–55 |
47–56 |
45–57 |
GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie |
70 |
51 |
0% |
47–56 |
46–56 |
45–56 |
44–56 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
66 |
49 |
0% |
46–52 |
46–52 |
45–55 |
42–55 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
67 |
48 |
0% |
44–52 |
44–52 |
44–54 |
44–56 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
73 |
46 |
0% |
43–49 |
43–51 |
43–51 |
41–53 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
58 |
42 |
0% |
40–45 |
40–49 |
39–49 |
39–52 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus |
61 |
42 |
0% |
39–46 |
39–48 |
37–48 |
37–49 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
60 |
41 |
0% |
38–45 |
38–47 |
37–48 |
37–48 |
GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
61 |
45 |
0% |
41–47 |
40–47 |
39–47 |
37–50 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
38 |
0% |
36–42 |
36–44 |
34–44 |
34–46 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
57 |
37 |
0% |
35–41 |
35–44 |
34–44 |
33–45 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
43 |
35 |
0% |
33–39 |
33–41 |
33–43 |
33–46 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
49 |
34 |
0% |
32–37 |
32–40 |
31–40 |
30–43 |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
48 |
27 |
0% |
24–31 |
21–31 |
21–31 |
21–32 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
29 |
20 |
0% |
16–24 |
16–24 |
16–24 |
14–26 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
39 |
18 |
0% |
16–21 |
14–21 |
14–21 |
13–21 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
24 |
15 |
0% |
12–17 |
12–18 |
12–18 |
11–21 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
|
58 |
0.4% |
99.1% |
|
59 |
0.6% |
98.7% |
|
60 |
4% |
98% |
|
61 |
14% |
94% |
|
62 |
2% |
80% |
|
63 |
41% |
79% |
Median |
64 |
4% |
37% |
|
65 |
8% |
33% |
|
66 |
18% |
25% |
|
67 |
4% |
7% |
|
68 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
69 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
70 |
0.9% |
1.2% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
55 |
0.9% |
99.4% |
|
56 |
13% |
98.5% |
|
57 |
10% |
86% |
|
58 |
15% |
75% |
Median |
59 |
19% |
60% |
|
60 |
9% |
42% |
|
61 |
14% |
33% |
|
62 |
1.0% |
19% |
|
63 |
9% |
18% |
|
64 |
6% |
9% |
|
65 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
66 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
69 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
70 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
71 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
72 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
99.0% |
|
51 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
52 |
1.0% |
97% |
|
53 |
9% |
96% |
|
54 |
32% |
86% |
|
55 |
19% |
54% |
Median |
56 |
0.6% |
36% |
|
57 |
8% |
35% |
|
58 |
5% |
27% |
|
59 |
14% |
22% |
|
60 |
5% |
9% |
|
61 |
3% |
3% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
64 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
99.2% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
98.9% |
|
48 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
49 |
1.1% |
96% |
|
50 |
25% |
95% |
|
51 |
15% |
71% |
|
52 |
6% |
56% |
Median |
53 |
24% |
49% |
|
54 |
0.9% |
26% |
|
55 |
2% |
25% |
|
56 |
19% |
23% |
|
57 |
1.3% |
5% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
4% |
|
59 |
3% |
3% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
61 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
46 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
|
47 |
3% |
99.0% |
|
48 |
2% |
96% |
|
49 |
16% |
95% |
|
50 |
36% |
79% |
Median |
51 |
4% |
43% |
|
52 |
4% |
39% |
|
53 |
26% |
35% |
|
54 |
1.3% |
9% |
|
55 |
6% |
8% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
57 |
2% |
2% |
|
58 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
59 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
44 |
0.9% |
99.6% |
|
45 |
3% |
98.7% |
|
46 |
6% |
96% |
|
47 |
5% |
90% |
|
48 |
5% |
85% |
|
49 |
18% |
80% |
|
50 |
0.5% |
62% |
Median |
51 |
15% |
62% |
|
52 |
13% |
46% |
|
53 |
20% |
33% |
|
54 |
2% |
13% |
|
55 |
0.4% |
11% |
|
56 |
11% |
11% |
|
57 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
1.1% |
100% |
|
43 |
0.2% |
98.9% |
|
44 |
0.4% |
98.7% |
|
45 |
3% |
98% |
|
46 |
11% |
96% |
|
47 |
16% |
85% |
|
48 |
14% |
68% |
Median |
49 |
25% |
54% |
|
50 |
4% |
29% |
|
51 |
14% |
25% |
|
52 |
6% |
11% |
|
53 |
0.4% |
5% |
|
54 |
0.5% |
4% |
|
55 |
4% |
4% |
|
56 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
58 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
44 |
27% |
99.5% |
|
45 |
13% |
72% |
|
46 |
1.3% |
59% |
Median |
47 |
6% |
57% |
|
48 |
14% |
52% |
|
49 |
2% |
38% |
|
50 |
22% |
36% |
|
51 |
0.5% |
13% |
|
52 |
10% |
13% |
|
53 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
54 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
1.4% |
|
56 |
1.0% |
1.3% |
|
57 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
58 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
59 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
40 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
41 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
42 |
0.7% |
99.4% |
|
43 |
31% |
98.6% |
|
44 |
3% |
68% |
|
45 |
2% |
65% |
Median |
46 |
25% |
63% |
|
47 |
13% |
38% |
|
48 |
14% |
25% |
|
49 |
4% |
11% |
|
50 |
0.6% |
7% |
|
51 |
4% |
7% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
53 |
2% |
2% |
|
54 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
38 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
39 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
40 |
12% |
97% |
|
41 |
8% |
86% |
|
42 |
31% |
78% |
Median |
43 |
24% |
47% |
|
44 |
11% |
23% |
|
45 |
4% |
13% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
9% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
9% |
|
48 |
0.5% |
8% |
|
49 |
6% |
8% |
|
50 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
1.2% |
|
52 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
53 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
38 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
39 |
12% |
97% |
|
40 |
18% |
85% |
|
41 |
17% |
67% |
|
42 |
13% |
51% |
Median |
43 |
17% |
37% |
|
44 |
4% |
20% |
|
45 |
4% |
16% |
|
46 |
6% |
12% |
|
47 |
0.4% |
6% |
|
48 |
5% |
6% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
51 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
3% |
99.5% |
|
38 |
13% |
97% |
|
39 |
2% |
84% |
|
40 |
32% |
83% |
|
41 |
13% |
51% |
Median |
42 |
5% |
38% |
|
43 |
16% |
33% |
|
44 |
5% |
17% |
|
45 |
5% |
12% |
|
46 |
0.7% |
7% |
|
47 |
1.1% |
6% |
|
48 |
5% |
5% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
37 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
38 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
39 |
3% |
98.9% |
|
40 |
3% |
96% |
|
41 |
8% |
92% |
|
42 |
9% |
85% |
|
43 |
13% |
76% |
|
44 |
13% |
63% |
Median |
45 |
15% |
50% |
|
46 |
7% |
35% |
|
47 |
28% |
29% |
|
48 |
0.2% |
1.1% |
|
49 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
50 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
51 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
34 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
35 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
36 |
29% |
97% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
68% |
|
38 |
19% |
68% |
|
39 |
3% |
49% |
Median |
40 |
25% |
46% |
|
41 |
4% |
21% |
|
42 |
8% |
17% |
|
43 |
2% |
9% |
|
44 |
6% |
7% |
|
45 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
46 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
34 |
3% |
99.5% |
|
35 |
12% |
96% |
|
36 |
16% |
84% |
|
37 |
19% |
68% |
|
38 |
2% |
49% |
Median |
39 |
14% |
47% |
|
40 |
16% |
33% |
|
41 |
8% |
17% |
|
42 |
2% |
10% |
|
43 |
1.2% |
7% |
|
44 |
5% |
6% |
|
45 |
1.1% |
1.3% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
12% |
99.9% |
|
34 |
31% |
88% |
|
35 |
8% |
57% |
Median |
36 |
9% |
49% |
|
37 |
16% |
40% |
|
38 |
2% |
24% |
|
39 |
13% |
22% |
|
40 |
1.5% |
9% |
|
41 |
5% |
8% |
|
42 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
43 |
1.2% |
3% |
Last Result |
44 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
45 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
46 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
27 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
29 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
3% |
99.3% |
|
32 |
14% |
96% |
|
33 |
25% |
82% |
|
34 |
10% |
57% |
Median |
35 |
27% |
47% |
|
36 |
3% |
20% |
|
37 |
8% |
17% |
|
38 |
3% |
10% |
|
39 |
0.7% |
7% |
|
40 |
5% |
6% |
|
41 |
0.6% |
1.4% |
|
42 |
0% |
0.8% |
|
43 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
7% |
100% |
|
22 |
0.3% |
93% |
|
23 |
1.2% |
92% |
|
24 |
4% |
91% |
|
25 |
5% |
87% |
|
26 |
32% |
82% |
Median |
27 |
30% |
50% |
|
28 |
7% |
20% |
|
29 |
1.0% |
13% |
|
30 |
0.3% |
12% |
|
31 |
11% |
11% |
|
32 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
33 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
34 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
35 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
2% |
100% |
|
15 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
16 |
9% |
98% |
|
17 |
2% |
89% |
|
18 |
18% |
87% |
|
19 |
19% |
69% |
|
20 |
0.8% |
50% |
Median |
21 |
7% |
49% |
|
22 |
13% |
42% |
|
23 |
9% |
29% |
|
24 |
19% |
20% |
|
25 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
26 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
27 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
13 |
1.3% |
99.9% |
|
14 |
7% |
98.6% |
|
15 |
1.0% |
91% |
|
16 |
4% |
90% |
|
17 |
5% |
86% |
|
18 |
34% |
81% |
Median |
19 |
37% |
47% |
|
20 |
0.2% |
10% |
|
21 |
10% |
10% |
|
22 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
2% |
100% |
|
12 |
9% |
98% |
|
13 |
11% |
89% |
|
14 |
13% |
78% |
|
15 |
27% |
65% |
Median |
16 |
2% |
38% |
|
17 |
30% |
36% |
|
18 |
4% |
6% |
|
19 |
0.9% |
1.4% |
|
20 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
21 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 26–29 May 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1019
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.52%