Opinion Poll by I&O Research, 9–12 June 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1.0% | 17.5% | 16.5–18.5% | 16.3–18.9% | 16.0–19.1% | 15.6–19.6% |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.9% | 13.7% | 12.8–14.7% | 12.6–14.9% | 12.4–15.2% | 12.0–15.6% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 10.8% | 8.0% | 7.3–8.8% | 7.1–9.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.6–9.5% |
| GroenLinks | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.0–8.4% | 6.8–8.6% | 6.6–8.8% | 6.3–9.1% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7–8.1% | 6.5–8.3% | 6.3–8.4% | 6.0–8.8% |
| Democraten 66 | 15.0% | 6.6% | 6.0–7.3% | 5.8–7.5% | 5.7–7.7% | 5.4–8.0% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.9–6.2% | 4.8–6.3% | 4.6–6.5% | 4.4–6.8% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 2.4% | 5.5% | 4.9–6.2% | 4.8–6.3% | 4.6–6.5% | 4.4–6.8% |
| Socialistische Partij | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.6–5.8% | 4.4–5.9% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.1–6.4% |
| Volt Europa | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.9–5.6% | 3.7–5.9% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 9.5% | 4.2% | 3.7–4.8% | 3.6–4.9% | 3.4–5.1% | 3.2–5.4% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.5–4.4% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.3–3.2% | 2.2–3.3% | 2.1–3.4% | 2.0–3.7% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2–3.1% | 2.1–3.2% | 2.0–3.4% | 1.9–3.6% |
| DENK | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.1–1.8% | 1.1–1.9% | 1.0–2.0% | 0.9–2.1% |
| 50Plus | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.5–1.1% | 0.4–1.2% | 0.4–1.3% |
| Bij1 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.5–1.1% | 0.4–1.2% | 0.4–1.3% |
| Belang van Nederland | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.5–1.1% | 0.4–1.2% | 0.4–1.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1 | 27 | 25–29 | 25–29 | 25–29 | 24–29 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 34 | 23 | 21–25 | 19–25 | 19–25 | 19–25 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 17 | 13 | 11–13 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 10–14 |
| GroenLinks | 8 | 12 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 10–13 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 10 | 9–12 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 9–13 |
| Democraten 66 | 24 | 11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 9–11 | 8–12 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 6 | 8 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 7–11 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 3 | 9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 6–10 |
| Socialistische Partij | 9 | 8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 6–9 |
| Volt Europa | 3 | 7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–9 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 15 | 6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–8 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–6 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 8 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| DENK | 3 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 |
| 50Plus | 1 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Bij1 | 1 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Belang van Nederland | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 25 | 33% | 98.7% | |
| 26 | 7% | 65% | |
| 27 | 27% | 58% | Median |
| 28 | 0.5% | 31% | |
| 29 | 30% | 30% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 19 | 7% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 0.3% | 93% | |
| 21 | 9% | 93% | |
| 22 | 31% | 84% | |
| 23 | 19% | 53% | Median |
| 24 | 1.0% | 34% | |
| 25 | 33% | 33% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 11 | 20% | 98.8% | |
| 12 | 2% | 79% | |
| 13 | 72% | 77% | Median |
| 14 | 6% | 6% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 44% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.5% | 56% | |
| 12 | 35% | 55% | Median |
| 13 | 21% | 21% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 33% | 100% | Last Result |
| 10 | 25% | 67% | Median |
| 11 | 2% | 41% | |
| 12 | 31% | 39% | |
| 13 | 8% | 9% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 9 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 10 | 43% | 97% | |
| 11 | 53% | 54% | Median |
| 12 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 61% | 98.8% | Median |
| 9 | 36% | 38% | |
| 10 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 11 | 2% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 8 | 39% | 98.8% | |
| 9 | 59% | 59% | Median |
| 10 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 1.5% | 100% | |
| 7 | 9% | 98% | |
| 8 | 89% | 90% | Median |
| 9 | 0.4% | 0.8% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 26% | 100% | |
| 7 | 35% | 74% | Median |
| 8 | 38% | 40% | |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 40% | 100% | |
| 6 | 58% | 60% | Median |
| 7 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 4 | 33% | 99.3% | |
| 5 | 66% | 67% | Last Result, Median |
| 6 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 51% | 100% | Median |
| 4 | 47% | 49% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 32% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 4 | 60% | 68% | Median |
| 5 | 8% | 8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 74% | 98% | Median |
| 3 | 25% | 25% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 54% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 46% | 46% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 84% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 16% | 16% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Belang van Nederland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Belang van Nederland page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 36% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 64% | 64% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoerBurgerBeweging – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 67 | 79 | 86% | 74–79 | 73–79 | 73–79 | 73–80 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid | 52 | 73 | 0.1% | 68–73 | 68–73 | 68–73 | 68–73 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 | 75 | 57 | 0% | 52–57 | 51–57 | 51–57 | 50–59 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 50 | 56 | 0% | 54–57 | 50–57 | 50–57 | 50–58 |
| GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 70 | 50 | 0% | 50–53 | 48–53 | 48–53 | 48–55 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 51 | 0% | 47–52 | 47–52 | 47–52 | 47–54 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid | 18 | 50 | 0% | 46–51 | 46–51 | 46–51 | 46–52 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 47 | 0% | 47–51 | 46–51 | 46–51 | 46–51 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 44 | 0% | 43–47 | 41–47 | 41–47 | 41–48 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid | 51 | 46 | 0% | 42–46 | 41–46 | 41–46 | 41–47 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 78 | 45 | 0% | 42–46 | 39–46 | 39–46 | 39–46 |
| GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 61 | 42 | 0% | 42–45 | 41–45 | 41–45 | 41–48 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 41 | 0% | 40–43 | 37–43 | 37–43 | 37–43 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 73 | 40 | 0% | 37–41 | 34–41 | 34–41 | 34–41 |
| GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 56 | 38 | 0% | 37–40 | 36–40 | 36–40 | 36–44 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 36 | 0% | 35–38 | 34–38 | 34–38 | 34–38 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 60 | 36 | 0% | 34–38 | 33–38 | 33–38 | 33–38 |
| GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 37 | 32 | 0% | 31–34 | 31–34 | 31–34 | 31–36 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 32 | 0% | 32–34 | 29–34 | 29–34 | 29–35 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 57 | 32 | 0% | 31–34 | 28–34 | 28–34 | 28–34 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 49 | 29 | 0% | 27–30 | 24–30 | 24–30 | 24–31 |
| GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 32 | 28 | 0% | 26–29 | 26–29 | 26–29 | 26–32 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 39 | 16 | 0% | 16–17 | 15–17 | 15–17 | 14–19 |
BoerBurgerBeweging – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 6% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 6% | 93% | |
| 75 | 1.4% | 88% | |
| 76 | 33% | 86% | Majority |
| 77 | 2% | 53% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 52% | Median |
| 79 | 50% | 51% | |
| 80 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
BoerBurgerBeweging – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 12% | 99.8% | |
| 69 | 1.4% | 88% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 86% | |
| 71 | 35% | 86% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 51% | Median |
| 73 | 50% | 51% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 51 | 6% | 99.5% | |
| 52 | 7% | 94% | |
| 53 | 1.1% | 87% | |
| 54 | 31% | 86% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 55% | |
| 56 | 3% | 55% | Median |
| 57 | 52% | 53% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
BoerBurgerBeweging – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 6% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 51 | 1.2% | 93% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 92% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 92% | |
| 54 | 7% | 92% | |
| 55 | 34% | 84% | |
| 56 | 19% | 51% | Median |
| 57 | 31% | 31% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 6% | 100% | |
| 49 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 50 | 65% | 93% | |
| 51 | 7% | 29% | |
| 52 | 2% | 21% | Median |
| 53 | 19% | 20% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 55 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 12% | 100% | |
| 48 | 1.4% | 88% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 86% | |
| 50 | 31% | 86% | |
| 51 | 34% | 55% | Median |
| 52 | 19% | 22% | |
| 53 | 2% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
BoerBurgerBeweging – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 33% | 100% | |
| 47 | 6% | 67% | |
| 48 | 1.4% | 61% | |
| 49 | 7% | 59% | Median |
| 50 | 20% | 52% | |
| 51 | 31% | 32% | |
| 52 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 46 | 8% | 99.5% | |
| 47 | 51% | 91% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 41% | |
| 49 | 6% | 40% | Median |
| 50 | 0.3% | 34% | |
| 51 | 33% | 34% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 8% | 99.8% | |
| 42 | 0.5% | 92% | |
| 43 | 21% | 92% | |
| 44 | 30% | 71% | |
| 45 | 7% | 40% | Median |
| 46 | 0.1% | 34% | |
| 47 | 33% | 34% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 6% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 8% | 94% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 86% | |
| 44 | 31% | 86% | |
| 45 | 0.7% | 55% | Median |
| 46 | 52% | 55% | |
| 47 | 2% | 2% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 39 | 7% | 99.8% | |
| 40 | 2% | 93% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 91% | |
| 42 | 36% | 91% | |
| 43 | 1.1% | 55% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 54% | |
| 45 | 20% | 53% | Median |
| 46 | 33% | 34% | |
| 47 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 6% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 64% | 94% | |
| 43 | 9% | 30% | |
| 44 | 1.0% | 22% | Median |
| 45 | 20% | 21% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 48 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 37 | 8% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 92% | |
| 39 | 1.4% | 92% | |
| 40 | 20% | 90% | |
| 41 | 36% | 71% | |
| 42 | 1.0% | 35% | Median |
| 43 | 33% | 34% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 6% | 99.7% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 93% | |
| 36 | 1.3% | 93% | |
| 37 | 6% | 91% | |
| 38 | 31% | 85% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 54% | |
| 40 | 19% | 53% | Median |
| 41 | 34% | 34% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 43 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 6% | 100% | |
| 37 | 34% | 94% | |
| 38 | 38% | 60% | |
| 39 | 1.0% | 22% | Median |
| 40 | 19% | 21% | |
| 41 | 2% | 2% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 44 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 7% | 99.6% | |
| 35 | 31% | 93% | |
| 36 | 26% | 62% | Median |
| 37 | 1.4% | 36% | |
| 38 | 34% | 35% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 7% | 99.8% | |
| 34 | 31% | 93% | |
| 35 | 7% | 62% | |
| 36 | 20% | 55% | Median |
| 37 | 0.1% | 35% | |
| 38 | 34% | 34% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 39% | 100% | |
| 32 | 32% | 61% | |
| 33 | 7% | 29% | Median |
| 34 | 20% | 22% | |
| 35 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 36 | 2% | 2% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 6% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.6% | 93% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 93% | |
| 32 | 57% | 93% | Median |
| 33 | 0.8% | 35% | |
| 34 | 34% | 34% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 6% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 93% | |
| 30 | 0.8% | 93% | |
| 31 | 38% | 92% | |
| 32 | 20% | 54% | Median |
| 33 | 0.4% | 35% | |
| 34 | 34% | 34% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 24 | 6% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 93% | |
| 26 | 0.4% | 93% | |
| 27 | 8% | 93% | |
| 28 | 30% | 84% | |
| 29 | 20% | 54% | Median |
| 30 | 34% | 34% | |
| 31 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 39% | 100% | |
| 27 | 2% | 61% | |
| 28 | 37% | 60% | Median |
| 29 | 20% | 23% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 31 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 32 | 2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 33 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 8% | 99.4% | |
| 16 | 70% | 91% | |
| 17 | 20% | 21% | Median |
| 18 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 19 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: I&O Research
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 9–12 June 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 2364
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.48%