Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 16–17 June 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
BoerBurgerBeweging |
1.0% |
19.3% |
18.4–20.3% |
18.1–20.5% |
17.9–20.8% |
17.5–21.2% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.9% |
13.3% |
12.5–14.1% |
12.3–14.4% |
12.1–14.6% |
11.8–15.0% |
GroenLinks |
5.2% |
9.3% |
8.7–10.1% |
8.5–10.3% |
8.3–10.4% |
8.0–10.8% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
10.8% |
8.7% |
8.0–9.4% |
7.8–9.6% |
7.7–9.7% |
7.4–10.1% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
7.3% |
6.8–8.0% |
6.6–8.2% |
6.4–8.3% |
6.2–8.6% |
Democraten 66 |
15.0% |
6.7% |
6.1–7.3% |
6.0–7.5% |
5.8–7.6% |
5.6–7.9% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.8% |
6.7% |
6.1–7.3% |
6.0–7.5% |
5.8–7.6% |
5.6–7.9% |
Socialistische Partij |
6.0% |
4.7% |
4.2–5.2% |
4.1–5.3% |
4.0–5.5% |
3.7–5.8% |
Volt Europa |
2.4% |
4.7% |
4.2–5.2% |
4.1–5.3% |
4.0–5.5% |
3.7–5.8% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
9.5% |
4.0% |
3.6–4.5% |
3.4–4.6% |
3.4–4.8% |
3.2–5.0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 |
2.4% |
4.0% |
3.6–4.5% |
3.4–4.6% |
3.4–4.8% |
3.2–5.0% |
Forum voor Democratie |
5.0% |
3.3% |
2.9–3.8% |
2.8–3.9% |
2.7–4.0% |
2.6–4.3% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
2.7% |
2.3–3.1% |
2.2–3.2% |
2.1–3.3% |
2.0–3.5% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.0% |
1.7–2.4% |
1.6–2.5% |
1.6–2.6% |
1.4–2.8% |
DENK |
2.0% |
1.3% |
1.1–1.6% |
1.0–1.7% |
1.0–1.8% |
0.9–2.0% |
50Plus |
1.0% |
0.7% |
0.5–0.9% |
0.5–1.0% |
0.4–1.0% |
0.4–1.2% |
Bij1 |
0.8% |
0.7% |
0.5–0.9% |
0.5–1.0% |
0.4–1.0% |
0.4–1.2% |
Belang van Nederland |
0.0% |
0.7% |
0.5–0.9% |
0.5–1.0% |
0.4–1.0% |
0.4–1.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
1.2% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
98.8% |
|
28 |
0.3% |
98.8% |
|
29 |
4% |
98% |
|
30 |
1.0% |
95% |
|
31 |
85% |
94% |
Median |
32 |
2% |
9% |
|
33 |
6% |
7% |
|
34 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
18 |
0.5% |
99.2% |
|
19 |
7% |
98.7% |
|
20 |
3% |
92% |
|
21 |
86% |
88% |
Median |
22 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
23 |
2% |
2% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
2% |
100% |
|
13 |
15% |
98% |
|
14 |
3% |
83% |
|
15 |
3% |
80% |
|
16 |
77% |
77% |
Median |
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
12 |
81% |
99.9% |
Median |
13 |
10% |
19% |
|
14 |
2% |
9% |
|
15 |
7% |
7% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
10 |
7% |
99.8% |
|
11 |
84% |
93% |
Median |
12 |
5% |
9% |
|
13 |
3% |
4% |
|
14 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
80% |
100% |
Median |
9 |
6% |
20% |
|
10 |
11% |
14% |
|
11 |
2% |
3% |
|
12 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
9 |
12% |
99.6% |
|
10 |
83% |
88% |
Median |
11 |
4% |
5% |
|
12 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
6 |
5% |
99.9% |
|
7 |
84% |
95% |
Median |
8 |
11% |
11% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
18% |
100% |
|
7 |
2% |
82% |
|
8 |
80% |
80% |
Median |
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
5% |
100% |
|
6 |
85% |
95% |
Median |
7 |
10% |
10% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
5 |
7% |
99.3% |
|
6 |
89% |
93% |
Median |
7 |
3% |
4% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
4 |
1.0% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
95% |
98.9% |
Median |
6 |
4% |
4% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
92% |
100% |
Median |
4 |
5% |
8% |
|
5 |
3% |
3% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
80% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
15% |
20% |
Last Result |
4 |
5% |
5% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
5% |
100% |
|
2 |
93% |
95% |
Median |
3 |
3% |
3% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
9% |
100% |
|
1 |
91% |
91% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
85% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
14% |
15% |
Last Result |
2 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Belang van Nederland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Belang van Nederland page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
6% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
94% |
94% |
Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
86 |
54 |
0% |
53–54 |
50–55 |
50–55 |
50–56 |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
70 |
51 |
0% |
51 |
49–53 |
49–54 |
49–57 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
87 |
49 |
0% |
49–51 |
49–51 |
49–53 |
49–55 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
46 |
0% |
46–49 |
46–49 |
46–50 |
45–51 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
44 |
0% |
44–46 |
44–46 |
44–47 |
42–48 |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
61 |
44 |
0% |
43–44 |
43–45 |
42–47 |
42–49 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 |
67 |
40 |
0% |
40–41 |
40–42 |
39–44 |
39–45 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
66 |
39 |
0% |
39–41 |
39–41 |
38–42 |
36–42 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
78 |
38 |
0% |
38–40 |
38–41 |
37–41 |
37–42 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
58 |
38 |
0% |
38 |
36–39 |
36–40 |
34–41 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
73 |
35 |
0% |
35 |
35–38 |
34–38 |
34–39 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus |
61 |
35 |
0% |
35–36 |
34–36 |
34–36 |
33–40 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
60 |
34 |
0% |
34–35 |
33–36 |
33–36 |
32–39 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
43 |
32 |
0% |
31–32 |
31–33 |
30–34 |
28–35 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
33 |
0% |
33 |
30–33 |
30–33 |
30–37 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
57 |
32 |
0% |
32 |
29–33 |
29–33 |
29–36 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
48 |
25 |
0% |
25–27 |
25–28 |
25–29 |
25–31 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
49 |
27 |
0% |
26–27 |
24–28 |
24–28 |
23–30 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
29 |
20 |
0% |
20–21 |
20–22 |
20–23 |
20–24 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
24 |
17 |
0% |
17 |
17–18 |
17–19 |
16–20 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
39 |
14 |
0% |
14–16 |
14–17 |
14–17 |
14–18 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
6% |
100% |
|
51 |
0.9% |
94% |
|
52 |
2% |
93% |
|
53 |
1.2% |
91% |
|
54 |
84% |
90% |
Median |
55 |
5% |
5% |
|
56 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
57 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
58 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
7% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
93% |
|
51 |
86% |
93% |
Median |
52 |
0.6% |
6% |
|
53 |
1.2% |
6% |
|
54 |
3% |
5% |
|
55 |
0% |
1.3% |
|
56 |
0% |
1.3% |
|
57 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
49 |
82% |
99.6% |
Median |
50 |
3% |
18% |
|
51 |
11% |
15% |
|
52 |
2% |
4% |
|
53 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
55 |
1.5% |
1.5% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
81% |
99.1% |
Median |
47 |
2% |
18% |
|
48 |
6% |
17% |
|
49 |
7% |
10% |
|
50 |
3% |
4% |
|
51 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
44 |
85% |
98% |
Median |
45 |
3% |
13% |
|
46 |
6% |
10% |
|
47 |
3% |
4% |
|
48 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
3% |
100% |
|
43 |
13% |
97% |
|
44 |
77% |
84% |
Median |
45 |
2% |
7% |
|
46 |
0.3% |
5% |
|
47 |
3% |
5% |
|
48 |
0% |
1.3% |
|
49 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
39 |
3% |
99.6% |
|
40 |
81% |
97% |
Median |
41 |
10% |
16% |
|
42 |
3% |
6% |
|
43 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
44 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
45 |
1.3% |
1.3% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
0.7% |
99.1% |
|
38 |
3% |
98% |
|
39 |
83% |
96% |
Median |
40 |
2% |
13% |
|
41 |
7% |
11% |
|
42 |
4% |
4% |
|
43 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
44 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
37 |
4% |
100% |
|
38 |
80% |
96% |
Median |
39 |
3% |
16% |
|
40 |
3% |
12% |
|
41 |
8% |
9% |
|
42 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
43 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
44 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
1.3% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
98.7% |
|
36 |
4% |
98.7% |
|
37 |
3% |
95% |
|
38 |
86% |
91% |
Median |
39 |
3% |
6% |
|
40 |
2% |
3% |
|
41 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
5% |
100% |
|
35 |
85% |
95% |
Median |
36 |
0.1% |
10% |
|
37 |
2% |
10% |
|
38 |
7% |
8% |
|
39 |
1.0% |
1.3% |
|
40 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
1.2% |
99.9% |
|
34 |
7% |
98.7% |
|
35 |
81% |
92% |
Median |
36 |
9% |
11% |
|
37 |
0.3% |
1.3% |
|
38 |
0.2% |
1.1% |
|
39 |
0% |
0.9% |
|
40 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
32 |
1.2% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
5% |
98.7% |
|
34 |
83% |
94% |
Median |
35 |
3% |
11% |
|
36 |
6% |
8% |
|
37 |
0.4% |
1.3% |
|
38 |
0% |
0.9% |
|
39 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
1.3% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
98.7% |
|
30 |
3% |
98.7% |
|
31 |
10% |
96% |
|
32 |
80% |
86% |
Median |
33 |
3% |
6% |
|
34 |
2% |
3% |
|
35 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
6% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
2% |
94% |
|
32 |
1.5% |
92% |
|
33 |
89% |
91% |
Median |
34 |
0.1% |
1.1% |
|
35 |
0.2% |
1.1% |
|
36 |
0% |
0.9% |
|
37 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
6% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
94% |
|
31 |
3% |
94% |
|
32 |
83% |
91% |
Median |
33 |
6% |
8% |
|
34 |
0.2% |
1.1% |
|
35 |
0% |
0.9% |
|
36 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
25 |
80% |
100% |
Median |
26 |
1.0% |
20% |
|
27 |
14% |
19% |
|
28 |
3% |
6% |
|
29 |
1.5% |
3% |
|
30 |
0% |
1.2% |
|
31 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
24 |
5% |
99.1% |
|
25 |
0.1% |
94% |
|
26 |
6% |
94% |
|
27 |
80% |
88% |
Median |
28 |
7% |
8% |
|
29 |
0.4% |
1.3% |
|
30 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
19 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
20 |
89% |
99.8% |
Median |
21 |
4% |
11% |
|
22 |
2% |
7% |
|
23 |
3% |
4% |
|
24 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
16 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
17 |
91% |
99.1% |
Median |
18 |
5% |
8% |
|
19 |
2% |
3% |
|
20 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
80% |
100% |
Median |
15 |
7% |
20% |
|
16 |
4% |
13% |
|
17 |
8% |
9% |
|
18 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 16–17 June 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.89%