Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 23–25 June 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.9% |
18.1% |
16.6–19.7% |
16.2–20.2% |
15.9–20.6% |
15.2–21.4% |
BoerBurgerBeweging |
1.0% |
14.5% |
13.2–16.0% |
12.8–16.4% |
12.5–16.8% |
11.8–17.5% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
10.8% |
9.6% |
8.5–10.9% |
8.2–11.2% |
7.9–11.6% |
7.4–12.2% |
Democraten 66 |
15.0% |
7.7% |
6.8–8.9% |
6.5–9.3% |
6.2–9.5% |
5.8–10.1% |
GroenLinks |
5.2% |
7.0% |
6.1–8.2% |
5.9–8.5% |
5.6–8.8% |
5.2–9.4% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.8% |
6.3% |
5.4–7.3% |
5.1–7.7% |
4.9–7.9% |
4.5–8.5% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
5.7% |
4.8–6.7% |
4.6–7.0% |
4.4–7.3% |
4.0–7.8% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
9.5% |
5.1% |
4.3–6.1% |
4.1–6.4% |
3.9–6.6% |
3.6–7.1% |
Socialistische Partij |
6.0% |
4.8% |
4.0–5.8% |
3.8–6.1% |
3.6–6.3% |
3.3–6.8% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 |
2.4% |
4.0% |
3.3–4.9% |
3.1–5.2% |
3.0–5.4% |
2.7–5.9% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
3.7% |
3.1–4.6% |
2.9–4.8% |
2.7–5.1% |
2.4–5.5% |
Volt Europa |
2.4% |
3.6% |
3.0–4.5% |
2.8–4.7% |
2.6–5.0% |
2.3–5.4% |
DENK |
2.0% |
2.3% |
1.8–3.0% |
1.6–3.2% |
1.5–3.4% |
1.3–3.7% |
Forum voor Democratie |
5.0% |
2.3% |
1.8–3.0% |
1.6–3.2% |
1.5–3.4% |
1.3–3.7% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
1.9% |
1.4–2.5% |
1.3–2.7% |
1.2–2.9% |
1.0–3.2% |
Bij1 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
0.8–1.7% |
0.7–1.9% |
0.7–2.0% |
0.5–2.3% |
50Plus |
1.0% |
0.7% |
0.4–1.2% |
0.4–1.3% |
0.3–1.4% |
0.2–1.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
25 |
3% |
96% |
|
26 |
1.2% |
93% |
|
27 |
5% |
92% |
|
28 |
80% |
87% |
Median |
29 |
2% |
7% |
|
30 |
4% |
5% |
|
31 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
32 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
33 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
34 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
18 |
1.0% |
99.9% |
|
19 |
4% |
98.9% |
|
20 |
5% |
95% |
|
21 |
10% |
90% |
|
22 |
3% |
80% |
|
23 |
0.9% |
76% |
|
24 |
2% |
76% |
|
25 |
0.4% |
74% |
|
26 |
73% |
73% |
Median |
27 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
12 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
13 |
78% |
98% |
Median |
14 |
4% |
20% |
|
15 |
4% |
16% |
|
16 |
2% |
11% |
|
17 |
6% |
9% |
Last Result |
18 |
3% |
4% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
9 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
10 |
2% |
97% |
|
11 |
6% |
95% |
|
12 |
79% |
89% |
Median |
13 |
6% |
9% |
|
14 |
2% |
4% |
|
15 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
16 |
2% |
2% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
8 |
1.4% |
99.1% |
Last Result |
9 |
3% |
98% |
|
10 |
2% |
94% |
|
11 |
11% |
93% |
|
12 |
7% |
81% |
|
13 |
74% |
74% |
Median |
14 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
15 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
7 |
2% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
9 |
77% |
97% |
Median |
10 |
7% |
21% |
|
11 |
5% |
14% |
|
12 |
4% |
8% |
|
13 |
4% |
4% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
7 |
75% |
99.6% |
Median |
8 |
7% |
24% |
|
9 |
12% |
18% |
Last Result |
10 |
2% |
5% |
|
11 |
0.7% |
4% |
|
12 |
3% |
3% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
1.1% |
100% |
|
6 |
3% |
98.9% |
|
7 |
84% |
96% |
Median |
8 |
6% |
12% |
|
9 |
3% |
6% |
|
10 |
2% |
3% |
|
11 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
3% |
100% |
|
6 |
7% |
97% |
|
7 |
81% |
90% |
Median |
8 |
7% |
9% |
|
9 |
1.1% |
2% |
Last Result |
10 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
5% |
100% |
|
5 |
7% |
95% |
|
6 |
6% |
88% |
|
7 |
78% |
82% |
Median |
8 |
4% |
4% |
|
9 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
10 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
1.1% |
100% |
|
4 |
1.4% |
98.9% |
|
5 |
81% |
97% |
Last Result, Median |
6 |
11% |
16% |
|
7 |
3% |
5% |
|
8 |
2% |
2% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
76% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
11% |
24% |
|
5 |
3% |
13% |
|
6 |
3% |
10% |
|
7 |
6% |
7% |
|
8 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
7% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
80% |
93% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
9% |
13% |
|
5 |
4% |
4% |
|
6 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
2 |
80% |
99.4% |
Median |
3 |
7% |
19% |
|
4 |
8% |
12% |
|
5 |
2% |
3% |
|
6 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
2 |
14% |
99.0% |
|
3 |
82% |
85% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
2% |
3% |
|
5 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
4% |
100% |
|
1 |
11% |
96% |
Last Result |
2 |
82% |
85% |
Median |
3 |
3% |
3% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
16% |
100% |
|
1 |
81% |
84% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
3% |
3% |
|
3 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – BoerBurgerBeweging – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
67 |
81 |
88% |
74–81 |
73–81 |
72–81 |
71–83 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – BoerBurgerBeweging – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid |
52 |
74 |
0.3% |
67–74 |
67–74 |
65–74 |
64–74 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid |
75 |
60 |
0% |
59–60 |
56–62 |
54–63 |
53–63 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – BoerBurgerBeweging – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
50 |
61 |
0% |
55–61 |
53–61 |
50–61 |
50–63 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
53 |
0% |
53–56 |
53–58 |
53–59 |
51–65 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
78 |
52 |
0% |
52–54 |
48–56 |
48–58 |
45–58 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
66 |
55 |
0% |
54–56 |
52–57 |
51–57 |
49–60 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
50 |
0% |
50–54 |
50–55 |
50–57 |
48–63 |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie |
70 |
51 |
0% |
51–52 |
50–54 |
48–56 |
47–56 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
66 |
48 |
0% |
48–50 |
48–52 |
47–53 |
45–58 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
73 |
47 |
0% |
47–49 |
43–50 |
42–51 |
40–52 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid |
51 |
48 |
0% |
46–48 |
45–49 |
44–50 |
42–51 |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
61 |
44 |
0% |
44–46 |
43–47 |
41–48 |
39–49 |
BoerBurgerBeweging – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid |
18 |
46 |
0% |
41–46 |
38–46 |
37–46 |
36–46 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus |
61 |
41 |
0% |
41–42 |
38–43 |
38–44 |
36–48 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
60 |
40 |
0% |
40–42 |
37–43 |
37–44 |
35–47 |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
56 |
39 |
0% |
39–40 |
38–41 |
36–43 |
34–43 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
38 |
0% |
38–39 |
36–40 |
35–41 |
34–46 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
57 |
37 |
0% |
37–39 |
35–40 |
34–41 |
34–45 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
49 |
35 |
0% |
34–36 |
32–37 |
31–38 |
31–40 |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
37 |
32 |
0% |
32–34 |
31–35 |
30–36 |
27–37 |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
32 |
27 |
0% |
27–28 |
26–30 |
24–31 |
23–31 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
39 |
19 |
0% |
19–20 |
18–21 |
16–22 |
14–23 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – BoerBurgerBeweging – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
72 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
73 |
3% |
97% |
|
74 |
6% |
94% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
88% |
|
76 |
2% |
88% |
Majority |
77 |
5% |
86% |
|
78 |
6% |
81% |
|
79 |
0.7% |
75% |
|
80 |
1.2% |
74% |
|
81 |
72% |
73% |
Median |
82 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
83 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
84 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
85 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
86 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
87 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
89 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – BoerBurgerBeweging – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
64 |
1.3% |
99.5% |
|
65 |
2% |
98% |
|
66 |
0.8% |
96% |
|
67 |
7% |
95% |
|
68 |
2% |
88% |
|
69 |
8% |
86% |
|
70 |
0.5% |
78% |
|
71 |
4% |
77% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
73% |
|
73 |
0.3% |
73% |
|
74 |
72% |
73% |
Median |
75 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
76 |
0% |
0.3% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
80 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
1.3% |
99.8% |
|
54 |
2% |
98% |
|
55 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
56 |
2% |
96% |
|
57 |
0.6% |
94% |
|
58 |
1.2% |
93% |
|
59 |
7% |
92% |
|
60 |
78% |
85% |
Median |
61 |
2% |
7% |
|
62 |
0.3% |
5% |
|
63 |
4% |
5% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
66 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
67 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
69 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – BoerBurgerBeweging – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
3% |
100% |
Last Result |
51 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
52 |
2% |
97% |
|
53 |
1.0% |
95% |
|
54 |
3% |
94% |
|
55 |
2% |
91% |
|
56 |
0.7% |
89% |
|
57 |
7% |
89% |
|
58 |
5% |
81% |
|
59 |
0.3% |
76% |
|
60 |
2% |
76% |
|
61 |
72% |
74% |
Median |
62 |
0.8% |
1.5% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
52 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
53 |
74% |
98% |
Median |
54 |
6% |
24% |
|
55 |
3% |
18% |
|
56 |
8% |
15% |
|
57 |
0.4% |
7% |
|
58 |
2% |
7% |
|
59 |
2% |
4% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
61 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
62 |
0% |
0.8% |
|
63 |
0% |
0.8% |
|
64 |
0% |
0.7% |
|
65 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
47 |
1.1% |
99.0% |
|
48 |
5% |
98% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
93% |
|
50 |
1.5% |
93% |
|
51 |
1.2% |
92% |
|
52 |
74% |
91% |
Median |
53 |
5% |
16% |
|
54 |
2% |
11% |
|
55 |
1.4% |
9% |
|
56 |
3% |
8% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
4% |
|
58 |
4% |
4% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
50 |
1.2% |
99.4% |
|
51 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
52 |
4% |
97% |
|
53 |
0.8% |
93% |
|
54 |
3% |
92% |
|
55 |
77% |
90% |
Median |
56 |
5% |
12% |
|
57 |
5% |
7% |
|
58 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
1.4% |
|
60 |
1.1% |
1.3% |
|
61 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
62 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
63 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
64 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
1.1% |
99.3% |
|
50 |
73% |
98% |
Median |
51 |
1.1% |
25% |
|
52 |
8% |
24% |
|
53 |
6% |
16% |
|
54 |
5% |
10% |
|
55 |
2% |
6% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
4% |
|
57 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
58 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
|
60 |
0% |
0.8% |
|
61 |
0% |
0.8% |
|
62 |
0% |
0.7% |
|
63 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
47 |
1.1% |
99.7% |
|
48 |
1.3% |
98.6% |
|
49 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
50 |
3% |
97% |
|
51 |
73% |
94% |
Median |
52 |
12% |
21% |
|
53 |
3% |
9% |
|
54 |
2% |
5% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
56 |
3% |
3% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
59 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
45 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.6% |
99.4% |
|
47 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
48 |
76% |
97% |
Median |
49 |
7% |
21% |
|
50 |
4% |
14% |
|
51 |
2% |
10% |
|
52 |
6% |
8% |
|
53 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
55 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
|
57 |
0% |
0.8% |
|
58 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
41 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
42 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
43 |
3% |
97% |
|
44 |
0.5% |
93% |
|
45 |
2% |
93% |
|
46 |
0.4% |
91% |
|
47 |
79% |
91% |
Median |
48 |
0.7% |
11% |
|
49 |
2% |
11% |
|
50 |
6% |
9% |
|
51 |
2% |
3% |
|
52 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
54 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
43 |
1.2% |
99.3% |
|
44 |
2% |
98% |
|
45 |
3% |
96% |
|
46 |
3% |
92% |
|
47 |
1.2% |
90% |
|
48 |
82% |
88% |
Median |
49 |
2% |
6% |
|
50 |
3% |
4% |
|
51 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
Last Result |
52 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
53 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
54 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
55 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
56 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
57 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
39 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
0.2% |
99.1% |
|
41 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
42 |
0.9% |
97% |
|
43 |
2% |
96% |
|
44 |
74% |
94% |
Median |
45 |
6% |
20% |
|
46 |
8% |
13% |
|
47 |
2% |
6% |
|
48 |
3% |
4% |
|
49 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
50 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
51 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
BoerBurgerBeweging – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
18 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
1.3% |
99.8% |
|
37 |
2% |
98.5% |
|
38 |
2% |
97% |
|
39 |
1.0% |
95% |
|
40 |
2% |
94% |
|
41 |
9% |
92% |
|
42 |
5% |
83% |
|
43 |
5% |
78% |
|
44 |
0.3% |
74% |
|
45 |
0.5% |
73% |
|
46 |
72% |
73% |
Median |
47 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
2% |
100% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
38 |
3% |
98% |
|
39 |
2% |
95% |
|
40 |
2% |
93% |
|
41 |
77% |
91% |
Median |
42 |
5% |
14% |
|
43 |
5% |
9% |
|
44 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
46 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
48 |
2% |
2% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
36 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
37 |
3% |
98% |
|
38 |
0.5% |
95% |
|
39 |
2% |
94% |
|
40 |
76% |
92% |
Median |
41 |
7% |
17% |
|
42 |
2% |
10% |
|
43 |
4% |
8% |
|
44 |
1.2% |
4% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
46 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
47 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
33 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
34 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
35 |
0.2% |
99.0% |
|
36 |
3% |
98.8% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
95% |
|
38 |
3% |
95% |
|
39 |
78% |
92% |
Median |
40 |
8% |
15% |
|
41 |
3% |
7% |
|
42 |
0.3% |
4% |
|
43 |
3% |
3% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
45 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
34 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
35 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
36 |
4% |
97% |
|
37 |
0.8% |
94% |
|
38 |
75% |
93% |
Median |
39 |
8% |
18% |
|
40 |
6% |
10% |
|
41 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
44 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
45 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
46 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
33 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
34 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
35 |
3% |
97% |
|
36 |
1.0% |
94% |
|
37 |
73% |
93% |
Median |
38 |
7% |
20% |
|
39 |
5% |
13% |
|
40 |
4% |
8% |
|
41 |
1.2% |
4% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
43 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
44 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
45 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
31 |
4% |
99.7% |
|
32 |
2% |
96% |
|
33 |
3% |
94% |
|
34 |
2% |
92% |
|
35 |
75% |
89% |
Median |
36 |
7% |
14% |
|
37 |
4% |
7% |
|
38 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
39 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
40 |
2% |
2% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
27 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
29 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
30 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
31 |
2% |
97% |
|
32 |
77% |
95% |
Median |
33 |
4% |
18% |
|
34 |
7% |
14% |
|
35 |
3% |
7% |
|
36 |
3% |
4% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
Last Result |
38 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
39 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
20 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
22 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
23 |
0.9% |
99.7% |
|
24 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
25 |
0.9% |
96% |
|
26 |
4% |
96% |
|
27 |
80% |
92% |
Median |
28 |
5% |
12% |
|
29 |
0.7% |
7% |
|
30 |
2% |
7% |
|
31 |
4% |
5% |
|
32 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
Last Result |
33 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
15 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
16 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
17 |
1.2% |
97% |
|
18 |
2% |
96% |
|
19 |
80% |
95% |
Median |
20 |
8% |
15% |
|
21 |
3% |
7% |
|
22 |
2% |
4% |
|
23 |
2% |
2% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 23–25 June 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1022
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.93%