Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 18–19 August 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.9% |
18.6% |
17.7–19.5% |
17.5–19.8% |
17.2–20.0% |
16.8–20.5% |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid |
10.9% |
17.3% |
16.4–18.2% |
16.2–18.4% |
15.9–18.7% |
15.5–19.1% |
BoerBurgerBeweging |
1.0% |
14.0% |
13.2–14.8% |
13.0–15.1% |
12.8–15.3% |
12.4–15.7% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
10.8% |
12.6% |
11.9–13.4% |
11.7–13.7% |
11.5–13.9% |
11.1–14.3% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.8% |
6.0% |
5.4–6.6% |
5.3–6.7% |
5.2–6.9% |
4.9–7.2% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
9.5% |
5.3% |
4.8–5.9% |
4.7–6.0% |
4.5–6.2% |
4.3–6.4% |
Democraten 66 |
15.0% |
5.3% |
4.8–5.9% |
4.7–6.0% |
4.5–6.2% |
4.3–6.4% |
Socialistische Partij |
6.0% |
5.3% |
4.8–5.9% |
4.7–6.0% |
4.5–6.2% |
4.3–6.4% |
Forum voor Democratie |
5.0% |
3.3% |
2.9–3.8% |
2.8–3.9% |
2.7–4.0% |
2.6–4.3% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
2.7% |
2.3–3.1% |
2.2–3.2% |
2.1–3.3% |
2.0–3.5% |
Volt Europa |
2.4% |
2.7% |
2.3–3.1% |
2.2–3.2% |
2.1–3.3% |
2.0–3.5% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.0% |
1.7–2.4% |
1.6–2.5% |
1.6–2.6% |
1.4–2.8% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 |
2.4% |
2.0% |
1.7–2.4% |
1.6–2.5% |
1.6–2.6% |
1.4–2.8% |
DENK |
2.0% |
1.3% |
1.1–1.6% |
1.0–1.7% |
1.0–1.8% |
0.9–2.0% |
50Plus |
1.0% |
0.7% |
0.5–0.9% |
0.5–1.0% |
0.4–1.0% |
0.4–1.2% |
Belang van Nederland |
0.0% |
0.7% |
0.5–0.9% |
0.5–1.0% |
0.4–1.0% |
0.4–1.2% |
Bij1 |
0.8% |
0.2% |
0.1–0.3% |
0.1–0.4% |
0.1–0.4% |
0.0–0.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
27 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
28 |
19% |
97% |
|
29 |
1.1% |
79% |
|
30 |
74% |
77% |
Median |
31 |
0.7% |
4% |
|
32 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
33 |
3% |
3% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
24 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
25 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
26 |
90% |
97% |
Median |
27 |
6% |
7% |
|
28 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
29 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
30 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
19 |
72% |
99.9% |
Median |
20 |
4% |
28% |
|
21 |
17% |
24% |
|
22 |
3% |
7% |
|
23 |
2% |
4% |
|
24 |
0% |
2% |
|
25 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
26 |
1.4% |
1.4% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0.5% |
100% |
Last Result |
18 |
16% |
99.5% |
|
19 |
4% |
83% |
|
20 |
0.7% |
79% |
|
21 |
6% |
78% |
|
22 |
72% |
72% |
Median |
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
7 |
72% |
100% |
Median |
8 |
2% |
28% |
|
9 |
8% |
25% |
|
10 |
17% |
18% |
|
11 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
12 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
7 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
8 |
75% |
97% |
Median |
9 |
22% |
22% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
2% |
100% |
|
7 |
3% |
98% |
|
8 |
92% |
94% |
Median |
9 |
0% |
2% |
|
10 |
2% |
2% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
3% |
100% |
|
7 |
19% |
97% |
|
8 |
3% |
78% |
|
9 |
73% |
75% |
Last Result, Median |
10 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
11 |
2% |
2% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
4 |
6% |
99.8% |
|
5 |
92% |
94% |
Median |
6 |
1.3% |
1.3% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
8% |
100% |
|
4 |
92% |
92% |
Median |
5 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
3 |
1.4% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
4 |
98% |
98.6% |
Median |
5 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
9% |
100% |
|
3 |
75% |
91% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
16% |
16% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
24% |
100% |
|
3 |
75% |
76% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
77% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
23% |
23% |
|
3 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
76% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
24% |
24% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Belang van Nederland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Belang van Nederland page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
3% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
97% |
97% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.6% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – BoerBurgerBeweging – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
67 |
83 |
100% |
83–84 |
83–86 |
83–89 |
82–89 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – BoerBurgerBeweging |
52 |
75 |
11% |
75–77 |
75–78 |
75–80 |
74–80 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
68 |
0% |
64–68 |
63–68 |
62–69 |
61–69 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
66 |
64 |
0% |
63–64 |
63–64 |
61–69 |
61–69 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 |
75 |
64 |
0% |
62–64 |
62–64 |
61–67 |
60–67 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
65 |
0% |
60–65 |
60–65 |
60–67 |
59–67 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
66 |
60 |
0% |
55–60 |
55–60 |
55–63 |
54–63 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – BoerBurgerBeweging – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
50 |
57 |
0% |
57–58 |
57–60 |
57–62 |
55–62 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid |
51 |
56 |
0% |
54–56 |
54–56 |
53–60 |
52–60 |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie |
70 |
55 |
0% |
54–55 |
52–55 |
52–56 |
51–57 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
78 |
50 |
0% |
49–50 |
47–50 |
46–52 |
46–52 |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – BoerBurgerBeweging |
18 |
45 |
0% |
45–47 |
45–49 |
45–49 |
45–52 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
73 |
46 |
0% |
45–46 |
43–46 |
43–49 |
42–49 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus |
61 |
46 |
0% |
46–47 |
44–47 |
43–48 |
43–48 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
60 |
46 |
0% |
46 |
44–46 |
42–48 |
42–48 |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
61 |
46 |
0% |
46–47 |
45–47 |
45–47 |
43–49 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
43 |
0% |
43 |
42–43 |
41–46 |
40–46 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
57 |
43 |
0% |
42–43 |
41–43 |
40–46 |
39–46 |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
56 |
42 |
0% |
42–43 |
42–43 |
41–43 |
40–45 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
49 |
38 |
0% |
37–38 |
37–38 |
35–42 |
34–42 |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
37 |
38 |
0% |
38–39 |
38–39 |
36–39 |
35–40 |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
32 |
34 |
0% |
34–35 |
34–36 |
32–36 |
31–37 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
39 |
16 |
0% |
16–17 |
16–17 |
15–17 |
15–17 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – BoerBurgerBeweging – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
82 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
83 |
73% |
99.2% |
Median |
84 |
18% |
26% |
|
85 |
0.5% |
8% |
|
86 |
3% |
8% |
|
87 |
2% |
5% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
89 |
3% |
3% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – BoerBurgerBeweging

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
74 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
75 |
88% |
99.3% |
Median |
76 |
0.5% |
11% |
Majority |
77 |
5% |
11% |
|
78 |
0.5% |
5% |
|
79 |
2% |
5% |
|
80 |
3% |
3% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
61 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
62 |
3% |
98% |
|
63 |
0.9% |
95% |
|
64 |
16% |
95% |
|
65 |
3% |
79% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
75% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
75% |
|
68 |
72% |
75% |
Median |
69 |
3% |
3% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
61 |
4% |
99.6% |
|
62 |
0.2% |
95% |
|
63 |
17% |
95% |
|
64 |
75% |
78% |
Median |
65 |
0.4% |
4% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
3% |
Last Result |
67 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
68 |
0% |
3% |
|
69 |
3% |
3% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
60 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
61 |
4% |
99.1% |
|
62 |
16% |
95% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
79% |
|
64 |
75% |
78% |
Median |
65 |
0.4% |
4% |
|
66 |
0.5% |
3% |
|
67 |
3% |
3% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
59 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
60 |
19% |
98% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
79% |
|
62 |
1.1% |
79% |
|
63 |
2% |
77% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
75% |
|
65 |
72% |
75% |
Median |
66 |
0% |
3% |
|
67 |
3% |
3% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
54 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
55 |
17% |
98% |
|
56 |
3% |
81% |
|
57 |
1.0% |
78% |
|
58 |
2% |
77% |
|
59 |
0.5% |
75% |
|
60 |
72% |
75% |
Median |
61 |
0% |
3% |
|
62 |
0% |
3% |
|
63 |
3% |
3% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – BoerBurgerBeweging – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
57 |
73% |
98.8% |
Median |
58 |
16% |
26% |
|
59 |
3% |
10% |
|
60 |
2% |
7% |
|
61 |
2% |
5% |
|
62 |
3% |
3% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
52 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
53 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
54 |
18% |
97% |
|
55 |
2% |
79% |
|
56 |
73% |
77% |
Median |
57 |
0.3% |
4% |
|
58 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
59 |
0% |
3% |
|
60 |
3% |
3% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
51 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
52 |
5% |
99.2% |
|
53 |
2% |
94% |
|
54 |
17% |
92% |
|
55 |
72% |
75% |
Median |
56 |
3% |
3% |
|
57 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
46 |
5% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
0.6% |
95% |
|
48 |
0.4% |
95% |
|
49 |
17% |
94% |
|
50 |
73% |
78% |
Median |
51 |
2% |
5% |
|
52 |
3% |
3% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – BoerBurgerBeweging

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
18 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
45 |
72% |
99.8% |
Median |
46 |
0.9% |
28% |
|
47 |
21% |
27% |
|
48 |
0.3% |
6% |
|
49 |
3% |
6% |
|
50 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
51 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
52 |
1.4% |
1.4% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
4% |
99.0% |
|
44 |
0.7% |
95% |
|
45 |
17% |
94% |
|
46 |
73% |
78% |
Median |
47 |
2% |
5% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
49 |
3% |
3% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
44 |
3% |
97% |
|
45 |
3% |
95% |
|
46 |
73% |
92% |
Median |
47 |
16% |
19% |
|
48 |
3% |
3% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
2% |
97% |
|
44 |
3% |
95% |
|
45 |
0.7% |
92% |
|
46 |
88% |
92% |
Median |
47 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
48 |
3% |
3% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
43 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
44 |
0.3% |
99.2% |
|
45 |
6% |
98.9% |
|
46 |
76% |
93% |
Median |
47 |
16% |
17% |
|
48 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
40 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
41 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
42 |
3% |
97% |
|
43 |
90% |
94% |
Median |
44 |
0.6% |
4% |
|
45 |
0% |
3% |
|
46 |
3% |
3% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
39 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
41 |
3% |
97% |
|
42 |
19% |
94% |
|
43 |
72% |
76% |
Median |
44 |
0.6% |
4% |
|
45 |
0% |
3% |
|
46 |
3% |
3% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
39 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
40 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
|
41 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
42 |
77% |
97% |
Median |
43 |
19% |
20% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
45 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
35 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
36 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
37 |
20% |
96% |
|
38 |
73% |
76% |
Median |
39 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
41 |
0% |
3% |
|
42 |
3% |
3% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
35 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
36 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
37 |
2% |
97% |
Last Result |
38 |
73% |
95% |
Median |
39 |
22% |
23% |
|
40 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
42 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
31 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
0.9% |
98% |
Last Result |
33 |
0.5% |
97% |
|
34 |
75% |
97% |
Median |
35 |
16% |
22% |
|
36 |
5% |
6% |
|
37 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
15 |
4% |
99.5% |
|
16 |
77% |
96% |
Median |
17 |
19% |
19% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 18–19 August 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.10%