Opinion Poll by Turu-uuringute AS, 9 November 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Eesti Reformierakond (RE) |
24.3% |
32.0% |
29.6–34.5% |
29.0–35.2% |
28.4–35.8% |
27.3–37.1% |
Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond (ID) |
4.0% |
24.0% |
21.9–26.3% |
21.3–27.0% |
20.8–27.6% |
19.8–28.7% |
Eesti 200 (RE) |
0.0% |
12.0% |
10.4–13.9% |
10.0–14.4% |
9.6–14.8% |
8.9–15.8% |
Eesti Keskerakond (RE) |
22.4% |
11.0% |
9.5–12.8% |
9.1–13.3% |
8.7–13.8% |
8.1–14.7% |
Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond (S&D) |
13.6% |
9.0% |
7.7–10.7% |
7.3–11.1% |
7.0–11.6% |
6.4–12.4% |
Erakond Isamaa (EPP) |
13.9% |
6.0% |
4.9–7.4% |
4.6–7.8% |
4.4–8.2% |
3.9–8.9% |
Erakond Eestimaa Rohelised (Greens/EFA) |
0.3% |
2.0% |
1.4–3.0% |
1.3–3.2% |
1.1–3.5% |
0.9–4.0% |
Erakond Parempoolsed (*) |
0.0% |
1.0% |
0.6–1.8% |
0.5–2.0% |
0.5–2.2% |
0.3–2.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Eesti Reformierakond (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
9% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
91% |
91% |
Median |
4 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
Majority |
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
2 |
98% |
99.3% |
Median |
3 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Eesti 200 (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Eesti 200 (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
2% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
98% |
98% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Eesti Keskerakond (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Eesti Keskerakond (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
10% |
100% |
|
1 |
90% |
90% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
79% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
21% |
21% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Erakond Isamaa (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Erakond Isamaa (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.9% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Erakond Eestimaa Rohelised (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Erakond Eestimaa Rohelised (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Erakond Parempoolsed (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Erakond Parempoolsed (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond (ID) |
0 |
2 |
0% |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1–3 |
Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond (S&D) |
1 |
0 |
0% |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Erakond Eestimaa Rohelised (Greens/EFA) |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Erakond Isamaa (EPP) |
1 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
2 |
98% |
99.3% |
Median |
3 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
79% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
21% |
21% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Erakond Eestimaa Rohelised (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Erakond Isamaa (EPP)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.9% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Turu-uuringute AS
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 9 November 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 600
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.43%