Eesti Keskerakond (RE)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 14.3% | 12.4–15.9% | 11.9–16.3% | 11.5–16.7% | 10.7–17.4% |
9–15 December 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
14.7% | 13.4–16.2% | 13.0–16.7% | 12.6–17.0% | 12.0–17.8% |
2–8 December 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
13.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
25 November–2 December 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
12.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
21–30 November 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 13.0% | 11.6–14.5% | 11.2–15.0% | 10.9–15.3% | 10.3–16.1% |
18–24 November 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
13.5% | 12.2–15.0% | 11.8–15.4% | 11.5–15.8% | 10.9–16.5% |
14–21 November 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
14.8% | 13.7–16.0% | 13.4–16.4% | 13.1–16.7% | 12.6–17.3% |
11–17 November 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
13.4% | 12.1–14.9% | 11.7–15.3% | 11.4–15.7% | 10.8–16.4% |
4–10 November 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
17.2% | 15.7–18.8% | 15.3–19.3% | 15.0–19.7% | 14.3–20.5% |
28 October–3 November 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
11.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
24–30 October 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 14.0% | 12.6–15.6% | 12.2–16.0% | 11.9–16.4% | 11.2–17.2% |
21–28 October 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
14.3% | 13.0–15.8% | 12.6–16.2% | 12.3–16.6% | 11.6–17.4% |
14–21 October 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
13.0% | 11.7–14.5% | 11.4–14.9% | 11.1–15.2% | 10.5–16.0% |
10–16 October 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
14.4% | 13.3–15.6% | 13.0–16.0% | 12.7–16.3% | 12.2–16.9% |
7–14 October 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
11.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–10 October 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 9.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
30 September–6 October 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
14.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
23–29 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
12.4% | 11.1–13.8% | 10.8–14.2% | 10.5–14.6% | 9.9–15.3% |
16–23 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
13.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
12–18 September 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
13.9% | 12.8–15.1% | 12.5–15.4% | 12.3–15.7% | 11.8–16.3% |
9–14 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
13.8% | 12.5–15.3% | 12.1–15.7% | 11.8–16.1% | 11.2–16.8% |
29 August–12 September 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 12.9% | 11.5–14.4% | 11.2–14.9% | 10.8–15.3% | 10.2–16.0% |
2–8 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
12.7% | 11.4–14.1% | 11.1–14.6% | 10.8–14.9% | 10.2–15.6% |
26 August–1 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
11.4% | 10.2–12.8% | 9.9–13.3% | 9.6–13.6% | 9.0–14.3% |
19–25 August 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
11.8% | 10.5–13.2% | 10.2–13.6% | 9.9–14.0% | 9.3–14.7% |
15–21 August 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
13.6% | 12.5–14.8% | 12.2–15.1% | 12.0–15.4% | 11.5–16.0% |
12–19 August 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
12.7% | 11.4–14.1% | 11.1–14.6% | 10.8–14.9% | 10.2–15.6% |
5–11 August 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
12.1% | 10.9–13.5% | 10.5–13.9% | 10.2–14.3% | 9.7–15.0% |
1–9 August 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 11.9% | 10.6–13.4% | 10.2–13.8% | 9.9–14.2% | 9.3–14.9% |
23 July–4 August 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
11.3% | 10.1–12.7% | 9.8–13.1% | 9.5–13.4% | 8.9–14.1% |
22–29 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
13.0% | 11.7–14.5% | 11.4–14.9% | 11.1–15.2% | 10.5–16.0% |
15–22 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
13.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
11–17 July 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
13.8% | 12.7–15.0% | 12.4–15.4% | 12.2–15.7% | 11.7–16.2% |
8–12 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
12.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–5 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
12.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
17–24 June 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
13.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
10–17 June 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
12.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
10–17 June 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
14.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–11 June 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 11.0% | 9.8–12.5% | 9.4–12.9% | 9.1–13.3% | 8.6–14.0% |
3–10 June 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
10.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Eesti Keskerakond (RE).
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
9.5–10.5% | 0.3% | 100% | |
10.5–11.5% | 3% | 99.7% | |
11.5–12.5% | 9% | 97% | |
12.5–13.5% | 18% | 88% | |
13.5–14.5% | 28% | 70% | Median |
14.5–15.5% | 27% | 42% | |
15.5–16.5% | 13% | 16% | |
16.5–17.5% | 3% | 3% | |
17.5–18.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
18.5–19.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
9–15 December 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
2–8 December 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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25 November–2 December 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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21–30 November 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
18–24 November 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
14–21 November 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
11–17 November 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
4–10 November 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
28 October–3 November 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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24–30 October 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
21–28 October 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
14–21 October 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
10–16 October 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
7–14 October 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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1–10 October 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | |||||
30 September–6 October 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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23–29 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
16–23 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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12–18 September 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
9–14 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
29 August–12 September 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
2–8 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
26 August–1 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
19–25 August 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
15–21 August 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
12–19 August 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
5–11 August 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
1–9 August 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
23 July–4 August 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
22–29 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
15–22 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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11–17 July 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
8–12 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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1–5 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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17–24 June 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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10–17 June 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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10–17 June 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
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1–11 June 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
3–10 June 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Eesti Keskerakond (RE).
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
1 | 98.9% | 100% | Median |
2 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
3 | 0% | 0% |