Eesti Keskerakond (RE)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 14.9% | 13.2–17.9% | 12.7–18.5% | 12.4–19.0% | 11.6–19.9% |
| 4–10 November 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
17.2% | 15.7–18.8% | 15.3–19.3% | 15.0–19.7% | 14.3–20.5% |
| 28 October–3 November 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
11.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–30 October 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 14.0% | 12.6–15.6% | 12.2–16.0% | 11.9–16.4% | 11.2–17.2% |
| 21–28 October 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
14.3% | 13.0–15.8% | 12.6–16.2% | 12.3–16.6% | 11.6–17.4% |
| 14–21 October 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
13.0% | 11.7–14.5% | 11.4–14.9% | 11.1–15.2% | 10.5–16.0% |
| 10–16 October 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
14.4% | 13.3–15.6% | 13.0–16.0% | 12.7–16.3% | 12.2–16.9% |
| 7–14 October 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
11.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–10 October 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 9.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 September–6 October 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
14.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–29 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
12.4% | 11.1–13.8% | 10.8–14.2% | 10.5–14.6% | 9.9–15.3% |
| 16–23 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
13.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–18 September 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
13.9% | 12.8–15.1% | 12.5–15.4% | 12.3–15.7% | 11.8–16.3% |
| 9–14 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
13.8% | 12.5–15.3% | 12.1–15.7% | 11.8–16.1% | 11.2–16.8% |
| 29 August–12 September 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 12.9% | 11.5–14.4% | 11.2–14.9% | 10.8–15.3% | 10.2–16.0% |
| 2–8 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
12.7% | 11.4–14.1% | 11.1–14.6% | 10.8–14.9% | 10.2–15.6% |
| 26 August–1 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
11.4% | 10.2–12.8% | 9.9–13.3% | 9.6–13.6% | 9.0–14.3% |
| 19–25 August 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
11.8% | 10.5–13.2% | 10.2–13.6% | 9.9–14.0% | 9.3–14.7% |
| 15–21 August 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
13.6% | 12.5–14.8% | 12.2–15.1% | 12.0–15.4% | 11.5–16.0% |
| 12–19 August 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
12.7% | 11.4–14.1% | 11.1–14.6% | 10.8–14.9% | 10.2–15.6% |
| 5–11 August 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
12.1% | 10.9–13.5% | 10.5–13.9% | 10.2–14.3% | 9.7–15.0% |
| 1–9 August 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 11.9% | 10.6–13.4% | 10.2–13.8% | 9.9–14.2% | 9.3–14.9% |
| 23 July–4 August 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
11.3% | 10.1–12.7% | 9.8–13.1% | 9.5–13.4% | 8.9–14.1% |
| 22–29 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
13.0% | 11.7–14.5% | 11.4–14.9% | 11.1–15.2% | 10.5–16.0% |
| 15–22 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
13.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–17 July 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
13.8% | 12.7–15.0% | 12.4–15.4% | 12.2–15.7% | 11.7–16.2% |
| 8–12 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
12.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–5 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
12.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–24 June 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
13.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–17 June 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
12.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–17 June 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
14.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–11 June 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 11.0% | 9.8–12.5% | 9.4–12.9% | 9.1–13.3% | 8.6–14.0% |
| 3–10 June 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
10.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Eesti Keskerakond (RE).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 13% | 96% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 25% | 84% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 21% | 59% | Median |
| 15.5–16.5% | 13% | 38% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 12% | 25% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 9% | 13% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 4% | 5% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 4–10 November 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 28 October–3 November 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
|||||
| 24–30 October 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 21–28 October 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 14–21 October 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10–16 October 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
| 7–14 October 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
|||||
| 1–10 October 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | |||||
| 30 September–6 October 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
|||||
| 23–29 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 16–23 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
|||||
| 12–18 September 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9–14 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 29 August–12 September 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 2–8 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 26 August–1 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 19–25 August 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| 15–21 August 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12–19 August 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5–11 August 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| 1–9 August 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 23 July–4 August 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 22–29 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 15–22 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
|||||
| 11–17 July 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8–12 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
|||||
| 1–5 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
|||||
| 17–24 June 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
|||||
| 10–17 June 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
|||||
| 10–17 June 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
|||||
| 1–11 June 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| 3–10 June 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Eesti Keskerakond (RE).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 90% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 10% | 10% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |