Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond (S&D)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 14.0% | 12.3–15.8% | 11.9–16.3% | 11.4–16.7% | 10.7–17.6% |
9–15 December 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
15.0% | 13.6–16.5% | 13.2–17.0% | 12.9–17.4% | 12.3–18.1% |
2–8 December 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
12.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
25 November–2 December 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
14.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
21–30 November 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 13.0% | 11.6–14.5% | 11.2–15.0% | 10.9–15.3% | 10.3–16.1% |
18–24 November 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
15.1% | 13.7–16.6% | 13.3–17.1% | 13.0–17.5% | 12.4–18.2% |
14–21 November 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
13.9% | 12.8–15.1% | 12.5–15.5% | 12.3–15.8% | 11.8–16.4% |
11–17 November 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
15.2% | 13.8–16.8% | 13.4–17.2% | 13.1–17.6% | 12.5–18.3% |
4–10 November 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
12.6% | 11.3–14.0% | 11.0–14.4% | 10.7–14.8% | 10.1–15.5% |
28 October–3 November 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
12.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
24–30 October 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 16.0% | 14.5–17.7% | 14.1–18.1% | 13.7–18.5% | 13.0–19.4% |
21–28 October 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
12.8% | 11.5–14.3% | 11.2–14.7% | 10.9–15.0% | 10.3–15.7% |
14–21 October 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
15.7% | 14.3–17.3% | 13.9–17.7% | 13.6–18.1% | 12.9–18.9% |
10–16 October 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
14.9% | 13.8–16.1% | 13.4–16.5% | 13.2–16.8% | 12.7–17.4% |
7–14 October 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
13.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–10 October 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 15.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
30 September–6 October 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
13.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
23–29 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
13.3% | 12.0–14.8% | 11.6–15.2% | 11.3–15.5% | 10.7–16.3% |
16–23 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
14.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
12–18 September 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
16.0% | 14.8–17.2% | 14.5–17.6% | 14.2–17.9% | 13.7–18.5% |
9–14 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
12.5% | 11.2–13.9% | 10.9–14.3% | 10.6–14.7% | 10.0–15.4% |
29 August–12 September 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 15.8% | 14.3–17.5% | 13.9–18.0% | 13.6–18.4% | 12.9–19.2% |
2–8 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
11.1% | 9.9–12.5% | 9.6–12.9% | 9.3–13.2% | 8.8–13.9% |
26 August–1 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
17.0% | 15.6–18.7% | 15.2–19.2% | 14.8–19.6% | 14.1–20.4% |
19–25 August 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
18.9% | 17.4–20.6% | 16.9–21.1% | 16.6–21.5% | 15.9–22.4% |
15–21 August 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
18.0% | 16.8–19.3% | 16.4–19.7% | 16.2–20.0% | 15.6–20.7% |
12–19 August 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
16.2% | 14.8–17.8% | 14.4–18.2% | 14.0–18.6% | 13.4–19.4% |
5–11 August 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
17.9% | 16.4–19.5% | 16.0–20.0% | 15.6–20.4% | 15.0–21.2% |
1–9 August 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 16.8% | 15.3–18.5% | 14.8–19.0% | 14.5–19.4% | 13.8–20.2% |
23 July–4 August 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
18.2% | 16.7–19.8% | 16.3–20.3% | 15.9–20.7% | 15.2–21.5% |
22–29 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
17.8% | 16.3–19.4% | 15.9–19.9% | 15.5–20.3% | 14.9–21.1% |
15–22 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
11–17 July 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
17.1% | 15.9–18.4% | 15.6–18.8% | 15.3–19.1% | 14.8–19.8% |
8–12 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
16.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–5 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
15.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
17–24 June 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
16.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
10–17 June 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
17.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
10–17 June 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
17.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–11 June 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 17.0% | 15.5–18.7% | 15.0–19.2% | 14.7–19.6% | 13.9–20.4% |
3–10 June 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
14.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond (S&D).
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
9.5–10.5% | 0.3% | 100% | |
10.5–11.5% | 3% | 99.7% | |
11.5–12.5% | 10% | 97% | |
12.5–13.5% | 23% | 87% | |
13.5–14.5% | 30% | 64% | Median |
14.5–15.5% | 21% | 34% | |
15.5–16.5% | 10% | 13% | |
16.5–17.5% | 3% | 3% | |
17.5–18.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
18.5–19.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
19.5–20.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
9–15 December 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
2–8 December 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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25 November–2 December 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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21–30 November 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
18–24 November 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
14–21 November 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
11–17 November 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
4–10 November 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
28 October–3 November 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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24–30 October 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
21–28 October 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
14–21 October 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
10–16 October 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
7–14 October 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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1–10 October 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | |||||
30 September–6 October 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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23–29 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
16–23 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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12–18 September 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
9–14 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
29 August–12 September 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
2–8 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
26 August–1 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
19–25 August 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
15–21 August 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
12–19 August 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
5–11 August 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
1–9 August 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
23 July–4 August 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
22–29 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
15–22 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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11–17 July 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
8–12 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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1–5 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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17–24 June 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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10–17 June 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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10–17 June 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
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1–11 June 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
3–10 June 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond (S&D).
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
1 | 98% | 100% | Median |
2 | 2% | 2% | |
3 | 0% | 0% |