Eesti Reformierakond (RE)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 15.9% | 13.9–18.7% | 13.5–19.4% | 13.2–19.9% | 12.6–20.9% |
| 13–19 February 2025 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
14.4% | 13.3–15.6% | 13.0–15.9% | 12.8–16.2% | 12.3–16.8% |
| 7–16 February 2025 | Turu-uuringute AS | 18.0% | 16.4–19.7% | 16.0–20.2% | 15.6–20.6% | 14.8–21.5% |
| 10–16 February 2025 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
17.2% | 15.7–18.8% | 15.3–19.3% | 15.0–19.7% | 14.3–20.5% |
| 3–9 February 2025 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
17.9% | 16.4–19.5% | 16.0–20.0% | 15.6–20.4% | 15.0–21.2% |
| 27 January–2 February 2025 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
17.7% | 16.2–19.3% | 15.8–19.8% | 15.5–20.2% | 14.8–21.0% |
| 16–28 January 2025 | Turu-uuringute AS | 19.8% | 18.3–21.7% | 17.8–22.3% | 17.4–22.7% | 16.7–23.6% |
| 20–26 January 2025 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
15.3% | 13.9–16.8% | 13.5–17.3% | 13.2–17.7% | 12.6–18.4% |
| 13–22 January 2025 | Kantar Emor ERR |
15.8% | 14.7–17.1% | 14.3–17.4% | 14.1–17.7% | 13.5–18.3% |
| 13–19 January 2025 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
16.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–12 January 2025 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
19.2% | 17.7–20.9% | 17.2–21.4% | 16.9–21.8% | 16.2–22.6% |
| 30 December 2024–5 January 2025 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–22 December 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
18.4% | 16.9–20.1% | 16.5–20.5% | 16.1–20.9% | 15.4–21.7% |
| 9–15 December 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
15.8% | 14.4–17.4% | 14.0–17.8% | 13.7–18.2% | 13.0–19.0% |
| 4–11 December 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
17.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–8 December 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
21.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25 November–2 December 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
21.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–30 November 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 19.1% | 17.4–20.8% | 17.0–21.3% | 16.6–21.8% | 15.9–22.6% |
| 18–24 November 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
21.3% | 19.7–23.0% | 19.2–23.5% | 18.9–23.9% | 18.1–24.8% |
| 14–21 November 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
17.4% | 16.2–18.7% | 15.9–19.1% | 15.6–19.4% | 15.0–20.0% |
| 11–17 November 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
18.0% | 16.5–19.6% | 16.1–20.1% | 15.7–20.5% | 15.1–21.3% |
| 4–10 November 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
17.6% | 16.1–19.2% | 15.7–19.7% | 15.4–20.1% | 14.7–20.9% |
| 28 October–3 November 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
17.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–30 October 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 18.0% | 16.4–19.8% | 16.0–20.2% | 15.6–20.7% | 14.9–21.5% |
| 21–28 October 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
16.4% | 15.0–18.0% | 14.6–18.4% | 14.2–18.8% | 13.6–19.6% |
| 14–21 October 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
20.1% | 18.5–21.8% | 18.1–22.3% | 17.7–22.7% | 17.0–23.5% |
| 10–16 October 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
17.0% | 15.8–18.3% | 15.5–18.7% | 15.2–19.0% | 14.6–19.6% |
| 7–14 October 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
18.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–10 October 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 17.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 September–6 October 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
18.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–29 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
21.6% | 20.0–23.3% | 19.5–23.8% | 19.2–24.3% | 18.4–25.1% |
| 16–23 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
16.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–18 September 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
18.1% | 16.9–19.4% | 16.6–19.8% | 16.3–20.1% | 15.7–20.7% |
| 9–14 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
18.1% | 16.6–19.7% | 16.2–20.2% | 15.8–20.6% | 15.2–21.4% |
| 29 August–12 September 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 17.7% | 16.2–19.5% | 15.7–20.0% | 15.4–20.4% | 14.6–21.3% |
| 2–8 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
20.2% | 18.6–21.9% | 18.2–22.4% | 17.8–22.8% | 17.1–23.6% |
| 26 August–1 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
20.7% | 19.1–22.4% | 18.6–22.9% | 18.2–23.4% | 17.5–24.2% |
| 19–25 August 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
20.6% | 19.0–22.3% | 18.5–22.8% | 18.2–23.2% | 17.4–24.1% |
| 15–21 August 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
17.5% | 16.3–18.8% | 15.9–19.1% | 15.7–19.5% | 15.1–20.1% |
| 12–19 August 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
17.4% | 15.9–19.0% | 15.5–19.5% | 15.2–19.9% | 14.5–20.7% |
| 5–11 August 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
20.1% | 18.5–21.8% | 18.1–22.3% | 17.7–22.7% | 17.0–23.5% |
| 1–9 August 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 15.8% | 14.3–17.5% | 13.9–17.9% | 13.5–18.3% | 12.9–19.2% |
| 23 July–4 August 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
16.6% | 15.2–18.2% | 14.8–18.6% | 14.4–19.0% | 13.8–19.8% |
| 22–29 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
15.2% | 13.8–16.8% | 13.4–17.2% | 13.1–17.6% | 12.5–18.3% |
| 15–22 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
15.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–17 July 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
16.0% | 14.8–17.3% | 14.5–17.6% | 14.2–17.9% | 13.7–18.6% |
| 8–12 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
19.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–5 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
15.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–24 June 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
16.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–17 June 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
15.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–17 June 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–11 June 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 19.9% | 18.3–21.7% | 17.8–22.2% | 17.4–22.7% | 16.7–23.5% |
| 3–10 June 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
17.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Eesti Reformierakond (RE).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 5% | 99.6% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 16% | 95% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 22% | 79% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 20% | 57% | Median |
| 16.5–17.5% | 14% | 37% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 11% | 23% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 7% | 11% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 3% | 4% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 13–19 February 2025 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7–16 February 2025 | Turu-uuringute AS | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 10–16 February 2025 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
| 3–9 February 2025 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 27 January–2 February 2025 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 16–28 January 2025 | Turu-uuringute AS | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 20–26 January 2025 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 13–22 January 2025 | Kantar Emor ERR |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 13–19 January 2025 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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| 6–12 January 2025 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 30 December 2024–5 January 2025 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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| 16–22 December 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 9–15 December 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 4–11 December 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
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| 2–8 December 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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| 25 November–2 December 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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| 21–30 November 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 18–24 November 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 14–21 November 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 11–17 November 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 4–10 November 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 28 October–3 November 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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| 24–30 October 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 21–28 October 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
| 14–21 October 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 10–16 October 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 7–14 October 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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| 1–10 October 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | |||||
| 30 September–6 October 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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| 23–29 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 16–23 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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| 12–18 September 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 9–14 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 29 August–12 September 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 2–8 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 26 August–1 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 19–25 August 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 15–21 August 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 12–19 August 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 5–11 August 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 1–9 August 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 23 July–4 August 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
| 22–29 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 15–22 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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| 11–17 July 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 8–12 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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| 1–5 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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| 17–24 June 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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| 10–17 June 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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| 10–17 June 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
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| 1–11 June 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 3–10 June 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Eesti Reformierakond (RE).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 78% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 22% | 22% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |