Erakond Isamaa (EPP)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 25.3% | 23.4–27.8% | 22.9–28.5% | 22.5–29.0% | 21.7–30.0% |
| 4–10 November 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
26.9% | 25.1–28.8% | 24.7–29.3% | 24.2–29.7% | 23.4–30.6% |
| 28 October–3 November 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
32.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–30 October 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 24.9% | 23.2–26.9% | 22.6–27.4% | 22.2–27.9% | 21.4–28.8% |
| 21–28 October 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
30.9% | 29.1–32.8% | 28.5–33.4% | 28.1–33.8% | 27.3–34.8% |
| 14–21 October 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
27.5% | 25.7–29.4% | 25.2–29.9% | 24.8–30.4% | 24.0–31.3% |
| 10–16 October 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
24.4% | 23.0–25.8% | 22.6–26.3% | 22.3–26.6% | 21.6–27.3% |
| 7–14 October 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
31.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–10 October 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 27.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 September–6 October 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
27.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–29 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
27.4% | 25.6–29.3% | 25.1–29.8% | 24.7–30.3% | 23.9–31.2% |
| 16–23 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
30.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–18 September 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
24.5% | 23.1–25.9% | 22.7–26.3% | 22.4–26.7% | 21.7–27.4% |
| 9–14 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
28.3% | 26.5–30.2% | 26.0–30.7% | 25.6–31.2% | 24.8–32.1% |
| 29 August–12 September 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 22.7% | 21.0–24.6% | 20.5–25.1% | 20.1–25.6% | 19.3–26.5% |
| 2–8 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
29.0% | 27.2–30.9% | 26.7–31.4% | 26.3–31.9% | 25.4–32.8% |
| 26 August–1 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
29.4% | 27.6–31.4% | 27.1–31.9% | 26.6–32.4% | 25.8–33.3% |
| 19–25 August 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
28.2% | 26.4–30.1% | 25.9–30.7% | 25.5–31.2% | 24.6–32.1% |
| 15–21 August 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
23.0% | 21.6–24.4% | 21.2–24.8% | 20.9–25.1% | 20.3–25.8% |
| 12–19 August 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
27.4% | 25.6–29.3% | 25.1–29.8% | 24.7–30.3% | 23.9–31.2% |
| 5–11 August 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
27.1% | 25.3–29.0% | 24.9–29.5% | 24.4–29.9% | 23.6–30.8% |
| 1–9 August 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 24.6% | 22.8–26.6% | 22.3–27.1% | 21.9–27.6% | 21.1–28.5% |
| 23 July–4 August 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
29.7% | 27.9–31.6% | 27.4–32.1% | 26.9–32.6% | 26.1–33.5% |
| 22–29 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
29.4% | 27.6–31.3% | 27.1–31.8% | 26.7–32.3% | 25.8–33.2% |
| 15–22 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
30.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–17 July 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
27.5% | 26.1–29.0% | 25.7–29.4% | 25.3–29.8% | 24.6–30.6% |
| 8–12 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
30.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–5 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
33.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–24 June 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
30.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–17 June 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
30.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–17 June 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
27.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–11 June 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 22.9% | 21.2–24.8% | 20.7–25.4% | 20.3–25.8% | 19.5–26.7% |
| 3–10 June 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
29.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Erakond Isamaa (EPP).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 10% | 97% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 20% | 87% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 23% | 67% | Median |
| 25.5–26.5% | 19% | 45% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 14% | 26% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 8% | 12% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 3% | 5% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 31.5–32.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 4–10 November 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 28 October–3 November 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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| 24–30 October 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 21–28 October 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–3 |
| 14–21 October 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 10–16 October 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 7–14 October 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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| 1–10 October 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | |||||
| 30 September–6 October 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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| 23–29 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 |
| 16–23 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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| 12–18 September 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 9–14 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 29 August–12 September 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 2–8 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 26 August–1 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 19–25 August 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 15–21 August 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 12–19 August 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 5–11 August 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 1–9 August 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 23 July–4 August 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 22–29 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 15–22 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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| 11–17 July 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 8–12 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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| 1–5 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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| 17–24 June 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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| 10–17 June 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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| 10–17 June 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
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| 1–11 June 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 3–10 June 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Erakond Isamaa (EPP).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 74% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 26% | 26% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | Majority |