Opinion Poll by Turu-uuringute AS for Eesti Päevaleht, 20–28 February 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Eesti Reformierakond (RE) |
24.3% |
30.0% |
27.7–32.5% |
27.0–33.2% |
26.5–33.8% |
25.4–35.0% |
Eesti Keskerakond (RE) |
22.4% |
17.0% |
15.2–19.1% |
14.6–19.7% |
14.2–20.2% |
13.4–21.3% |
Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond (ID) |
4.0% |
15.0% |
13.3–17.0% |
12.8–17.6% |
12.4–18.1% |
11.6–19.1% |
Eesti 200 (RE) |
0.0% |
14.0% |
12.3–16.0% |
11.9–16.5% |
11.4–17.0% |
10.7–18.0% |
Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond (S&D) |
13.6% |
9.0% |
7.7–10.7% |
7.3–11.1% |
7.0–11.6% |
6.4–12.4% |
Erakond Isamaa (EPP) |
13.9% |
8.0% |
6.7–9.6% |
6.4–10.1% |
6.1–10.5% |
5.5–11.3% |
Erakond Parempoolsed (*) |
0.0% |
3.0% |
2.3–4.1% |
2.1–4.4% |
1.9–4.7% |
1.6–5.3% |
Erakond Eestimaa Rohelised (Greens/EFA) |
0.3% |
2.0% |
1.4–3.0% |
1.3–3.2% |
1.1–3.5% |
0.9–4.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Eesti Reformierakond (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
9% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
89% |
91% |
Median |
4 |
2% |
2% |
Majority |
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Eesti Keskerakond (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Eesti Keskerakond (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
71% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
29% |
29% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
94% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
6% |
6% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Eesti 200 (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Eesti 200 (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
98.9% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
49% |
100% |
|
1 |
51% |
51% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Erakond Isamaa (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Erakond Isamaa (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
80% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
20% |
20% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Erakond Parempoolsed (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Erakond Parempoolsed (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Erakond Eestimaa Rohelised (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Erakond Eestimaa Rohelised (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond (ID) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Erakond Isamaa (EPP) |
1 |
0 |
0% |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond (S&D) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Erakond Eestimaa Rohelised (Greens/EFA) |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
94% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
6% |
6% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Erakond Isamaa (EPP)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
80% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
20% |
20% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
49% |
100% |
|
1 |
51% |
51% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Erakond Eestimaa Rohelised (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Turu-uuringute AS
- Commissioner(s): Eesti Päevaleht
- Fieldwork period: 20–28 February 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 600
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.55%