Opinion Poll by Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB for De Standaard, RTBF and VRT, 3–24 March 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie (ECR) |
0.0% |
26.9% |
25.7–28.2% |
25.4–28.5% |
25.1–28.8% |
24.5–29.4% |
Vlaams Belang (PfE) |
0.0% |
20.5% |
19.5–21.7% |
19.2–22.0% |
18.9–22.3% |
18.4–22.8% |
Vooruit (S&D) |
0.0% |
14.8% |
13.8–15.8% |
13.5–16.0% |
13.3–16.3% |
12.9–16.8% |
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams (EPP) |
0.0% |
13.7% |
12.8–14.6% |
12.5–14.9% |
12.3–15.2% |
11.9–15.7% |
Partij van de Arbeid van België (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
8.9% |
8.2–9.8% |
8.0–10.0% |
7.8–10.2% |
7.5–10.6% |
Groen (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
7.3% |
6.7–8.1% |
6.5–8.3% |
6.3–8.5% |
6.0–8.9% |
Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten (RE) |
0.0% |
5.7% |
5.1–6.4% |
4.9–6.6% |
4.8–6.8% |
4.5–7.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie (ECR) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
4% |
100% |
|
4 |
96% |
96% |
Median |
5 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Vlaams Belang (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vlaams Belang (PfE) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
2% |
100% |
|
3 |
98% |
98% |
Median |
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Vooruit (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vooruit (S&D) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
2 |
99.8% |
99.8% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams (EPP) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
4% |
100% |
|
2 |
96% |
96% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid van België (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid van België (GUE/NGL) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
Groen (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Groen (Greens/EFA) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.8% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.2% |
99.2% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten (RE) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
90% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
10% |
10% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Vlaams Belang (PfE) |
0 |
3 |
0% |
3 |
3 |
3 |
2–3 |
Vooruit (S&D) |
0 |
2 |
0% |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams (EPP) |
0 |
2 |
0% |
2 |
2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Partij van de Arbeid van België (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten (RE) |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Vlaams Belang (PfE)

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
2% |
100% |
|
3 |
98% |
98% |
Median |
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Vooruit (S&D)

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
2 |
99.8% |
99.8% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams (EPP)

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
4% |
100% |
|
2 |
96% |
96% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid van België (GUE/NGL)

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten (RE)

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
90% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
10% |
10% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB
- Commissioner(s): De Standaard, RTBF and VRT
- Fieldwork period: 3–24 March 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 2196
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 0.79%