Opinion Poll by Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB for De Standaard, RTBF and VRT, 3–24 March 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie (ECR) 0.0% 26.9% 25.7–28.2% 25.4–28.5% 25.1–28.8% 24.5–29.4%
Vlaams Belang (PfE) 0.0% 20.5% 19.5–21.7% 19.2–22.0% 18.9–22.3% 18.4–22.8%
Vooruit (S&D) 0.0% 14.8% 13.8–15.8% 13.5–16.0% 13.3–16.3% 12.9–16.8%
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams (EPP) 0.0% 13.7% 12.8–14.6% 12.5–14.9% 12.3–15.2% 11.9–15.7%
Partij van de Arbeid van België (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 8.9% 8.2–9.8% 8.0–10.0% 7.8–10.2% 7.5–10.6%
Groen (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 7.3% 6.7–8.1% 6.5–8.3% 6.3–8.5% 6.0–8.9%
Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten (RE) 0.0% 5.7% 5.1–6.4% 4.9–6.6% 4.8–6.8% 4.5–7.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie (ECR) 0 4 4 4 3–4 3–4
Vlaams Belang (PfE) 0 3 3 3 3 2–3
Vooruit (S&D) 0 2 2 2 2 2
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams (EPP) 0 2 2 2 1–2 1–2
Partij van de Arbeid van België (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Groen (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1 1 1 0–1
Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten (RE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 4% 100%  
4 96% 96% Median
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Vlaams Belang (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vlaams Belang (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 2% 100%  
3 98% 98% Median
4 0% 0%  

Vooruit (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vooruit (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.2% 100%  
2 99.8% 99.8% Median
3 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 4% 100%  
2 96% 96% Median
3 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid van België (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid van België (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Groen (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Groen (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.8% 100% Last Result
1 99.2% 99.2% Median
2 0% 0%  

Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 90% 100% Last Result, Median
1 10% 10%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Vlaams Belang (PfE) 0 3 0% 3 3 3 2–3
Vooruit (S&D) 0 2 0% 2 2 2 2
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams (EPP) 0 2 0% 2 2 1–2 1–2
Partij van de Arbeid van België (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten (RE) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Vlaams Belang (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 2% 100%  
3 98% 98% Median
4 0% 0%  

Vooruit (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.2% 100%  
2 99.8% 99.8% Median
3 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 4% 100%  
2 96% 96% Median
3 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid van België (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 90% 100% Last Result, Median
1 10% 10%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations