Partij van de Arbeid van België (GUE/NGL)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 5.0% (General Election of 26 May 2019)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 10.3% | 8.3–13.1% | 7.9–13.6% | 7.7–14.0% | 7.3–14.8% |
| 23 April–3 May 2024 | iVOX Overlegcentrum van Vlaamse Verenigingen |
8.8% | 7.9–9.8% | 7.7–10.1% | 7.5–10.3% | 7.1–10.8% |
| 8–18 April 2024 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
12.2% | 11.0–13.6% | 10.6–14.0% | 10.3–14.4% | 9.8–15.1% |
| 11–18 March 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
9.5% | 8.4–10.8% | 8.1–11.2% | 7.8–11.5% | 7.3–12.1% |
| 23 February–5 March 2024 | Ipsos Euronews |
9.3% | 8.1–10.8% | 7.7–11.3% | 7.5–11.6% | 6.9–12.4% |
| 22 January–8 February 2024 | Kantar Knack and Le Vif |
10.9% | 9.7–12.2% | 9.4–12.5% | 9.1–12.9% | 8.6–13.5% |
| 9–22 January 2024 | iVOX Vlaams & Neutraal Ziekenfonds |
9.3% | 8.5–10.2% | 8.3–10.4% | 8.1–10.7% | 7.7–11.1% |
| 8–22 January 2024 | Kantar and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard and VRT |
10.9% | 10.0–11.9% | 9.8–12.2% | 9.6–12.4% | 9.1–12.9% |
| 4–11 December 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
9.7% | 8.6–11.0% | 8.3–11.4% | 8.0–11.7% | 7.5–12.3% |
| 23–28 November 2023 | iVOX Gazet van Antwerpen |
8.7% | 7.7–10.0% | 7.3–10.3% | 7.1–10.6% | 6.6–11.2% |
| 10 September–9 October 2023 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
8.8% | 7.5–10.5% | 7.1–11.0% | 6.8–11.5% | 6.2–12.3% |
| 18–25 September 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
9.5% | 8.4–10.8% | 8.1–11.2% | 7.8–11.5% | 7.3–12.1% |
| 29 May–6 June 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
10.3% | 9.2–11.6% | 8.8–12.0% | 8.6–12.3% | 8.0–13.0% |
| 20–27 March 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.0–10.5% |
| 13–23 March 2023 | TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard and VRT |
9.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–29 January 2023 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
5.6% | 4.5–7.2% | 4.2–7.6% | 4.0–8.0% | 3.5–8.8% |
| 21–29 November 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
7.4% | 6.4–8.6% | 6.2–8.9% | 5.9–9.2% | 5.5–9.8% |
| 7–13 September 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
8.7% | 7.7–10.0% | 7.3–10.3% | 7.1–10.6% | 6.6–11.2% |
| 6–14 June 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
8.5% | 7.5–9.8% | 7.2–10.1% | 7.0–10.4% | 6.5–11.1% |
| 14–31 March 2022 | TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard and VRT |
9.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–22 March 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
8.9% | 7.9–10.2% | 7.6–10.5% | 7.3–10.9% | 6.8–11.5% |
| 1–8 December 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
8.9% | 7.8–10.2% | 7.5–10.5% | 7.3–10.9% | 6.8–11.5% |
| 7–14 September 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
7.7% | 6.7–8.9% | 6.4–9.2% | 6.2–9.5% | 5.8–10.1% |
| 25 May–1 June 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
7.8% | 6.8–9.0% | 6.5–9.3% | 6.3–9.6% | 5.8–10.2% |
| 29 March–19 April 2021 | TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard and VRT |
7.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–9 March 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
8.2% | 7.1–9.4% | 6.9–9.7% | 6.6–10.0% | 6.2–10.6% |
| 2–8 December 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
6.6% | 5.7–7.7% | 5.4–8.0% | 5.2–8.3% | 4.8–8.8% |
| 2–8 October 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
| 28 August–1 September 2020 | Dedicated Soirmag |
1.8% | 1.3–2.8% | 1.2–3.0% | 1.0–3.3% | 0.8–3.8% |
| 10–15 June 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
7.3% | 6.3–8.5% | 6.0–8.8% | 5.8–9.1% | 5.3–9.7% |
| 9–28 April 2020 | TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard, La Libre Belgique, RTBf and VRT |
8.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–9 March 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
9.3% | 8.2–10.6% | 7.9–11.0% | 7.6–11.3% | 7.1–12.0% |
| 29 November–6 December 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
8.4% | 7.4–9.6% | 7.1–10.0% | 6.8–10.3% | 6.4–10.9% |
| 2–10 September 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
6.2% | 5.3–7.3% | 5.1–7.6% | 4.9–7.9% | 4.5–8.4% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Partij van de Arbeid van België (GUE/NGL).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 16% | 98.6% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 25% | 83% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 10% | 58% | Median |
| 10.5–11.5% | 11% | 49% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 18% | 38% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 14% | 19% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 5% | 6% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 26 May 2019)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 23 April–3 May 2024 | iVOX Overlegcentrum van Vlaamse Verenigingen |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8–18 April 2024 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 11–18 March 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
| 23 February–5 March 2024 | Ipsos Euronews |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
| 22 January–8 February 2024 | Kantar Knack and Le Vif |
1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 9–22 January 2024 | iVOX Vlaams & Neutraal Ziekenfonds |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8–22 January 2024 | Kantar and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard and VRT |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 4–11 December 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
| 23–28 November 2023 | iVOX Gazet van Antwerpen |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 September–9 October 2023 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–2 |
| 18–25 September 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
| 29 May–6 June 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 20–27 March 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 13–23 March 2023 | TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard and VRT |
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| 16–29 January 2023 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 21–29 November 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 7–13 September 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 6–14 June 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| 14–31 March 2022 | TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard and VRT |
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| 15–22 March 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 1–8 December 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7–14 September 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 25 May–1 June 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 29 March–19 April 2021 | TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard and VRT |
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| 4–9 March 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| 2–8 December 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 2–8 October 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 28 August–1 September 2020 | Dedicated Soirmag |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10–15 June 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 9–28 April 2020 | TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard, La Libre Belgique, RTBf and VRT |
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| 4–9 March 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 29 November–6 December 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 2–10 September 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Partij van de Arbeid van België (GUE/NGL).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 68% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 32% | 32% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |