Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie (ECR)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 22.4% (General Election of 26 May 2019)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 21.2% | 19.7–22.7% | 19.2–23.1% | 18.8–23.5% | 18.0–24.2% |
| 23 April–3 May 2024 | iVOX Overlegcentrum van Vlaamse Verenigingen |
21.4% | 20.1–22.8% | 19.8–23.2% | 19.4–23.5% | 18.9–24.2% |
| 8–18 April 2024 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
20.9% | 19.3–22.6% | 18.9–23.1% | 18.5–23.5% | 17.7–24.3% |
| 11–18 March 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
20.4% | 18.8–22.1% | 18.4–22.6% | 18.0–23.0% | 17.3–23.9% |
| 23 February–5 March 2024 | Ipsos Euronews |
18.7% | 16.9–20.6% | 16.4–21.1% | 16.0–21.6% | 15.2–22.6% |
| 22 January–8 February 2024 | Kantar Knack and Le Vif |
20.6% | 19.1–22.3% | 18.7–22.7% | 18.3–23.1% | 17.6–23.9% |
| 9–22 January 2024 | iVOX Vlaams & Neutraal Ziekenfonds |
22.7% | 21.5–23.9% | 21.2–24.3% | 20.9–24.6% | 20.4–25.2% |
| 8–22 January 2024 | Kantar and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard and VRT |
18.9% | 17.8–20.1% | 17.5–20.5% | 17.2–20.8% | 16.7–21.4% |
| 4–11 December 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
22.0% | 20.4–23.7% | 19.9–24.2% | 19.5–24.7% | 18.8–25.5% |
| 23–28 November 2023 | iVOX Gazet van Antwerpen |
22.0% | 20.4–23.7% | 19.9–24.2% | 19.5–24.7% | 18.8–25.5% |
| 10 September–9 October 2023 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
20.3% | 18.3–22.6% | 17.7–23.3% | 17.2–23.8% | 16.3–25.0% |
| 18–25 September 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
20.2% | 18.6–21.9% | 18.2–22.4% | 17.8–22.8% | 17.1–23.6% |
| 29 May–6 June 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
21.8% | 20.2–23.5% | 19.7–24.0% | 19.3–24.5% | 18.6–25.3% |
| 20–27 March 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
21.6% | 20.0–23.4% | 19.5–23.8% | 19.2–24.3% | 18.4–25.1% |
| 13–23 March 2023 | TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard and VRT |
21.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–29 January 2023 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
21.4% | 19.2–23.9% | 18.6–24.6% | 18.1–25.2% | 17.1–26.4% |
| 21–29 November 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
22.0% | 20.4–23.7% | 19.9–24.2% | 19.5–24.7% | 18.8–25.5% |
| 7–13 September 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
21.5% | 19.9–23.2% | 19.4–23.7% | 19.1–24.2% | 18.3–25.0% |
| 6–14 June 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
24.9% | 23.2–26.7% | 22.7–27.2% | 22.3–27.7% | 21.5–28.5% |
| 14–31 March 2022 | TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard and VRT |
22.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–22 March 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
23.4% | 21.8–25.2% | 21.3–25.7% | 20.9–26.2% | 20.1–27.0% |
| 1–8 December 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
21.6% | 20.0–23.3% | 19.5–23.8% | 19.1–24.2% | 18.4–25.1% |
| 7–14 September 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
21.2% | 19.6–22.9% | 19.2–23.4% | 18.8–23.9% | 18.0–24.7% |
| 25 May–1 June 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
21.8% | 20.1–23.5% | 19.7–24.0% | 19.3–24.4% | 18.6–25.3% |
| 29 March–19 April 2021 | TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard and VRT |
21.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–9 March 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
20.0% | 18.4–21.7% | 18.0–22.1% | 17.6–22.6% | 16.9–23.4% |
| 2–8 December 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
19.9% | 18.3–21.6% | 17.9–22.0% | 17.5–22.5% | 16.8–23.3% |
| 2–8 October 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
22.2% | 20.6–23.9% | 20.1–24.4% | 19.7–24.9% | 18.9–25.7% |
| 28 August–1 September 2020 | Dedicated Soirmag |
23.2% | 21.1–25.6% | 20.5–26.2% | 20.0–26.8% | 19.1–27.9% |
| 10–15 June 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
20.0% | 18.4–21.7% | 17.9–22.2% | 17.6–22.6% | 16.8–23.5% |
| 9–28 April 2020 | TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard, La Libre Belgique, RTBf and VRT |
20.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–9 March 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
20.7% | 19.1–22.4% | 18.6–22.9% | 18.2–23.4% | 17.5–24.2% |
| 29 November–6 December 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
22.1% | 20.5–23.9% | 20.0–24.4% | 19.6–24.8% | 18.9–25.7% |
| 2–10 September 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
22.7% | 21.1–24.5% | 20.6–25.0% | 20.2–25.4% | 19.4–26.3% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie (ECR).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 1.4% | 99.9% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 7% | 98% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 20% | 91% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 33% | 71% | Median |
| 21.5–22.5% | 26% | 38% | Last Result |
| 22.5–23.5% | 10% | 12% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 3 seats (General Election of 26 May 2019)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–4 |
| 23 April–3 May 2024 | iVOX Overlegcentrum van Vlaamse Verenigingen |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–3 |
| 8–18 April 2024 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| 11–18 March 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
3 | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| 23 February–5 March 2024 | Ipsos Euronews |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 22 January–8 February 2024 | Kantar Knack and Le Vif |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–4 |
| 9–22 January 2024 | iVOX Vlaams & Neutraal Ziekenfonds |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 8–22 January 2024 | Kantar and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard and VRT |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 4–11 December 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 23–28 November 2023 | iVOX Gazet van Antwerpen |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| 10 September–9 October 2023 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| 18–25 September 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| 29 May–6 June 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 20–27 March 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 13–23 March 2023 | TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard and VRT |
|||||
| 16–29 January 2023 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 21–29 November 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 7–13 September 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–3 |
| 6–14 June 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 14–31 March 2022 | TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard and VRT |
|||||
| 15–22 March 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 1–8 December 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
3 | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 7–14 September 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| 25 May–1 June 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
3 | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| 29 March–19 April 2021 | TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard and VRT |
|||||
| 4–9 March 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 2–8 December 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 2–8 October 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–4 |
| 28 August–1 September 2020 | Dedicated Soirmag |
3 | 3 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 10–15 June 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 9–28 April 2020 | TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard, La Libre Belgique, RTBf and VRT |
|||||
| 4–9 March 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 29 November–6 December 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–4 |
| 2–10 September 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie (ECR).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 96% | 98% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 2% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |