Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams (EPP)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 14.5% (General Election of 26 May 2019)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 12.1% | 10.8–13.4% | 10.4–13.7% | 10.1–14.0% | 9.5–14.6% |
| 23 April–3 May 2024 | iVOX Overlegcentrum van Vlaamse Verenigingen |
12.5% | 11.5–13.6% | 11.2–13.9% | 10.9–14.2% | 10.5–14.8% |
| 8–18 April 2024 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
11.6% | 10.4–13.0% | 10.1–13.4% | 9.8–13.7% | 9.2–14.4% |
| 11–18 March 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
13.1% | 11.8–14.6% | 11.4–15.0% | 11.1–15.3% | 10.6–16.1% |
| 23 February–5 March 2024 | Ipsos Euronews |
11.5% | 10.1–13.1% | 9.7–13.5% | 9.4–14.0% | 8.7–14.8% |
| 22 January–8 February 2024 | Kantar Knack and Le Vif |
10.5% | 9.4–11.8% | 9.1–12.1% | 8.8–12.5% | 8.3–13.1% |
| 9–22 January 2024 | iVOX Vlaams & Neutraal Ziekenfonds |
12.3% | 11.4–13.3% | 11.1–13.6% | 10.9–13.8% | 10.5–14.3% |
| 8–22 January 2024 | Kantar and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard and VRT |
11.3% | 10.4–12.3% | 10.1–12.6% | 9.9–12.8% | 9.5–13.3% |
| 4–11 December 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
11.7% | 10.5–13.1% | 10.1–13.5% | 9.8–13.9% | 9.3–14.5% |
| 23–28 November 2023 | iVOX Gazet van Antwerpen |
11.5% | 10.3–12.9% | 10.0–13.3% | 9.7–13.6% | 9.1–14.3% |
| 10 September–9 October 2023 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
14.0% | 12.2–16.0% | 11.8–16.6% | 11.3–17.1% | 10.6–18.1% |
| 18–25 September 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
12.2% | 11.0–13.6% | 10.6–14.0% | 10.3–14.4% | 9.7–15.1% |
| 29 May–6 June 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
10.7% | 9.5–12.1% | 9.2–12.4% | 8.9–12.8% | 8.4–13.5% |
| 20–27 March 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
11.8% | 10.6–13.2% | 10.2–13.6% | 9.9–14.0% | 9.4–14.7% |
| 13–23 March 2023 | TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard and VRT |
9.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–29 January 2023 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
9.5% | 8.0–11.4% | 7.6–11.9% | 7.3–12.4% | 6.6–13.3% |
| 21–29 November 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
9.6% | 8.5–10.9% | 8.2–11.3% | 7.9–11.6% | 7.4–12.2% |
| 7–13 September 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
9.9% | 8.8–11.2% | 8.5–11.6% | 8.2–11.9% | 7.7–12.6% |
| 6–14 June 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
10.2% | 9.1–11.5% | 8.8–11.9% | 8.5–12.3% | 8.0–12.9% |
| 14–31 March 2022 | TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard and VRT |
8.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–22 March 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
11.3% | 10.1–12.7% | 9.8–13.1% | 9.5–13.4% | 9.0–14.1% |
| 1–8 December 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
10.7% | 9.6–12.1% | 9.2–12.5% | 8.9–12.8% | 8.4–13.5% |
| 7–14 September 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
12.6% | 11.3–14.0% | 11.0–14.4% | 10.7–14.8% | 10.1–15.5% |
| 25 May–1 June 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
10.0% | 8.9–11.3% | 8.5–11.7% | 8.3–12.0% | 7.8–12.7% |
| 29 March–19 April 2021 | TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard and VRT |
10.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–9 March 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
13.2% | 11.9–14.7% | 11.6–15.1% | 11.3–15.5% | 10.7–16.2% |
| 2–8 December 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
12.4% | 11.2–13.8% | 10.8–14.3% | 10.5–14.6% | 9.9–15.3% |
| 2–8 October 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
10.6% | 9.4–11.9% | 9.1–12.3% | 8.8–12.7% | 8.3–13.3% |
| 28 August–1 September 2020 | Dedicated Soirmag |
13.0% | 11.4–15.0% | 11.0–15.5% | 10.6–16.0% | 9.8–16.9% |
| 10–15 June 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
11.8% | 10.5–13.2% | 10.2–13.6% | 9.9–14.0% | 9.3–14.7% |
| 9–28 April 2020 | TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard, La Libre Belgique, RTBf and VRT |
11.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–9 March 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
11.7% | 10.5–13.1% | 10.1–13.5% | 9.8–13.9% | 9.2–14.6% |
| 29 November–6 December 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
11.4% | 10.2–12.8% | 9.9–13.2% | 9.6–13.5% | 9.0–14.2% |
| 2–10 September 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
11.7% | 10.5–13.1% | 10.1–13.5% | 9.8–13.9% | 9.3–14.5% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams (EPP).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 6% | 99.3% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 22% | 93% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 37% | 71% | Median |
| 12.5–13.5% | 27% | 34% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 7% | 7% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 2 seats (General Election of 26 May 2019)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 23 April–3 May 2024 | iVOX Overlegcentrum van Vlaamse Verenigingen |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 8–18 April 2024 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 11–18 March 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 23 February–5 March 2024 | Ipsos Euronews |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 22 January–8 February 2024 | Kantar Knack and Le Vif |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 9–22 January 2024 | iVOX Vlaams & Neutraal Ziekenfonds |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 8–22 January 2024 | Kantar and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard and VRT |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 4–11 December 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 23–28 November 2023 | iVOX Gazet van Antwerpen |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 10 September–9 October 2023 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 18–25 September 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 29 May–6 June 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 20–27 March 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 13–23 March 2023 | TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard and VRT |
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| 16–29 January 2023 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
| 21–29 November 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7–13 September 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 6–14 June 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 14–31 March 2022 | TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard and VRT |
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| 15–22 March 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 1–8 December 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
| 7–14 September 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 25 May–1 June 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 29 March–19 April 2021 | TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard and VRT |
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| 4–9 March 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 2–8 December 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 2–8 October 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 28 August–1 September 2020 | Dedicated Soirmag |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 10–15 June 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 9–28 April 2020 | TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard, La Libre Belgique, RTBf and VRT |
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| 4–9 March 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 29 November–6 December 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 2–10 September 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams (EPP).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 60% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 40% | 40% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |