Vooruit (S&D)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 10.2% (General Election of 26 May 2019)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 12.6% | 10.7–14.3% | 10.3–14.7% | 10.0–15.0% | 9.4–15.6% |
| 23 April–3 May 2024 | iVOX Overlegcentrum van Vlaamse Verenigingen |
13.5% | 12.4–14.7% | 12.1–15.0% | 11.9–15.3% | 11.4–15.9% |
| 8–18 April 2024 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
11.5% | 10.3–12.9% | 10.0–13.3% | 9.7–13.6% | 9.1–14.3% |
| 11–18 March 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
11.4% | 10.2–12.8% | 9.9–13.2% | 9.6–13.5% | 9.0–14.2% |
| 23 February–5 March 2024 | Ipsos Euronews |
13.9% | 12.4–15.6% | 11.9–16.1% | 11.6–16.5% | 10.9–17.4% |
| 22 January–8 February 2024 | Kantar Knack and Le Vif |
14.7% | 13.4–16.1% | 13.0–16.6% | 12.7–16.9% | 12.1–17.6% |
| 9–22 January 2024 | iVOX Vlaams & Neutraal Ziekenfonds |
12.8% | 11.9–13.8% | 11.6–14.1% | 11.4–14.3% | 11.0–14.8% |
| 8–22 January 2024 | Kantar and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard and VRT |
13.7% | 12.7–14.8% | 12.5–15.1% | 12.2–15.4% | 11.8–15.9% |
| 4–11 December 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
13.8% | 12.5–15.3% | 12.1–15.7% | 11.8–16.1% | 11.2–16.8% |
| 23–28 November 2023 | iVOX Gazet van Antwerpen |
14.3% | 13.0–15.8% | 12.6–16.2% | 12.3–16.6% | 11.6–17.4% |
| 10 September–9 October 2023 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
16.1% | 14.2–18.2% | 13.7–18.8% | 13.3–19.3% | 12.4–20.4% |
| 18–25 September 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
15.4% | 14.0–16.9% | 13.6–17.4% | 13.3–17.8% | 12.7–18.5% |
| 29 May–6 June 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
16.8% | 15.4–18.4% | 15.0–18.9% | 14.6–19.3% | 13.9–20.0% |
| 20–27 March 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
15.5% | 14.1–17.1% | 13.7–17.5% | 13.4–17.9% | 12.7–18.7% |
| 13–23 March 2023 | TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard and VRT |
16.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–29 January 2023 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
15.2% | 13.3–17.4% | 12.8–18.0% | 12.3–18.5% | 11.5–19.6% |
| 21–29 November 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
16.1% | 14.7–17.7% | 14.3–18.1% | 13.9–18.5% | 13.3–19.3% |
| 7–13 September 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
16.8% | 15.4–18.4% | 15.0–18.9% | 14.6–19.3% | 13.9–20.0% |
| 6–14 June 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
14.8% | 13.4–16.3% | 13.0–16.7% | 12.7–17.1% | 12.1–17.9% |
| 14–31 March 2022 | TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard and VRT |
15.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–22 March 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
14.2% | 12.9–15.7% | 12.5–16.1% | 12.2–16.5% | 11.6–17.2% |
| 1–8 December 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
13.9% | 12.5–15.4% | 12.2–15.8% | 11.8–16.2% | 11.2–16.9% |
| 7–14 September 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
12.3% | 11.1–13.7% | 10.7–14.1% | 10.4–14.5% | 9.8–15.2% |
| 25 May–1 June 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
12.6% | 11.3–14.0% | 11.0–14.4% | 10.7–14.8% | 10.1–15.5% |
| 29 March–19 April 2021 | TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard and VRT |
12.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–9 March 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
12.3% | 11.1–13.7% | 10.7–14.2% | 10.4–14.5% | 9.9–15.2% |
| 2–8 December 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
13.6% | 12.3–15.1% | 11.9–15.5% | 11.6–15.9% | 11.0–16.6% |
| 2–8 October 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
13.7% | 12.4–15.2% | 12.0–15.6% | 11.7–16.0% | 11.1–16.7% |
| 28 August–1 September 2020 | Dedicated Soirmag |
13.0% | 11.4–15.0% | 11.0–15.5% | 10.6–16.0% | 9.8–16.9% |
| 10–15 June 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
12.5% | 11.2–14.0% | 10.9–14.4% | 10.6–14.8% | 10.0–15.5% |
| 9–28 April 2020 | TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard, La Libre Belgique, RTBf and VRT |
11.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–9 March 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
9.6% | 8.5–10.9% | 8.2–11.3% | 7.9–11.6% | 7.4–12.3% |
| 29 November–6 December 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
8.9% | 7.8–10.2% | 7.5–10.5% | 7.3–10.9% | 6.8–11.5% |
| 2–10 September 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
8.4% | 7.4–9.6% | 7.1–10.0% | 6.8–10.3% | 6.4–10.9% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Vooruit (S&D).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 7% | 99.1% | Last Result |
| 10.5–11.5% | 18% | 93% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 22% | 75% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 27% | 52% | Median |
| 13.5–14.5% | 20% | 26% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 5% | 6% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 1 seats (General Election of 26 May 2019)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 23 April–3 May 2024 | iVOX Overlegcentrum van Vlaamse Verenigingen |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 8–18 April 2024 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 11–18 March 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 23 February–5 March 2024 | Ipsos Euronews |
2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 22 January–8 February 2024 | Kantar Knack and Le Vif |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 9–22 January 2024 | iVOX Vlaams & Neutraal Ziekenfonds |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 8–22 January 2024 | Kantar and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard and VRT |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 4–11 December 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 23–28 November 2023 | iVOX Gazet van Antwerpen |
2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 10 September–9 October 2023 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 |
| 18–25 September 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 |
| 29 May–6 June 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 20–27 March 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 13–23 March 2023 | TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard and VRT |
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| 16–29 January 2023 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 |
| 21–29 November 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 7–13 September 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 |
| 6–14 June 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 14–31 March 2022 | TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard and VRT |
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| 15–22 March 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 1–8 December 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 7–14 September 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 25 May–1 June 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 29 March–19 April 2021 | TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard and VRT |
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| 4–9 March 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 2–8 December 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 2–8 October 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 28 August–1 September 2020 | Dedicated Soirmag |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 10–15 June 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 9–28 April 2020 | TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard, La Libre Belgique, RTBf and VRT |
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| 4–9 March 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 29 November–6 December 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 2–10 September 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Vooruit (S&D).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 39% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 61% | 61% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |