Groen (Greens/EFA)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 12.4% (General Election of 26 May 2019)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 7.2% | 5.4–8.8% | 5.1–9.1% | 4.9–9.4% | 4.5–9.9% |
| 23 April–3 May 2024 | iVOX Overlegcentrum van Vlaamse Verenigingen |
8.2% | 7.3–9.1% | 7.1–9.4% | 6.9–9.6% | 6.5–10.1% |
| 8–18 April 2024 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
| 11–18 March 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
7.8% | 6.8–9.0% | 6.5–9.3% | 6.3–9.6% | 5.8–10.2% |
| 23 February–5 March 2024 | Ipsos Euronews |
9.7% | 8.5–11.3% | 8.1–11.7% | 7.8–12.1% | 7.2–12.8% |
| 22 January–8 February 2024 | Kantar Knack and Le Vif |
8.7% | 7.7–9.9% | 7.4–10.3% | 7.2–10.6% | 6.7–11.2% |
| 9–22 January 2024 | iVOX Vlaams & Neutraal Ziekenfonds |
7.4% | 6.7–8.2% | 6.5–8.4% | 6.3–8.6% | 6.0–9.0% |
| 8–22 January 2024 | Kantar and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard and VRT |
8.2% | 7.4–9.1% | 7.2–9.3% | 7.0–9.5% | 6.7–10.0% |
| 4–11 December 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
9.2% | 8.1–10.5% | 7.8–10.8% | 7.6–11.2% | 7.1–11.8% |
| 23–28 November 2023 | iVOX Gazet van Antwerpen |
7.1% | 6.2–8.3% | 5.9–8.6% | 5.7–8.9% | 5.2–9.4% |
| 10 September–9 October 2023 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
8.1% | 6.8–9.8% | 6.4–10.3% | 6.1–10.7% | 5.6–11.5% |
| 18–25 September 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
6.4% | 5.5–7.5% | 5.3–7.8% | 5.0–8.1% | 4.6–8.7% |
| 29 May–6 June 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
7.6% | 6.6–8.8% | 6.3–9.1% | 6.1–9.4% | 5.7–10.0% |
| 20–27 March 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
7.4% | 6.4–8.6% | 6.2–8.9% | 5.9–9.2% | 5.5–9.8% |
| 13–23 March 2023 | TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard and VRT |
7.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–29 January 2023 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
10.3% | 8.8–12.2% | 8.3–12.8% | 8.0–13.2% | 7.3–14.2% |
| 21–29 November 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
8.7% | 7.6–9.9% | 7.3–10.3% | 7.1–10.6% | 6.6–11.2% |
| 7–13 September 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
8.6% | 7.6–9.8% | 7.3–10.2% | 7.0–10.5% | 6.5–11.1% |
| 6–14 June 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
7.9% | 6.9–9.1% | 6.7–9.5% | 6.4–9.8% | 6.0–10.4% |
| 14–31 March 2022 | TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard and VRT |
9.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–22 March 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
8.4% | 7.4–9.7% | 7.1–10.0% | 6.9–10.3% | 6.4–10.9% |
| 1–8 December 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
8.4% | 7.4–9.6% | 7.1–10.0% | 6.8–10.3% | 6.4–10.9% |
| 7–14 September 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
9.6% | 8.5–10.9% | 8.2–11.3% | 7.9–11.6% | 7.4–12.2% |
| 25 May–1 June 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
8.3% | 7.3–9.5% | 7.0–9.9% | 6.7–10.2% | 6.3–10.8% |
| 29 March–19 April 2021 | TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard and VRT |
10.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–9 March 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
8.2% | 7.1–9.4% | 6.9–9.7% | 6.6–10.0% | 6.2–10.6% |
| 2–8 December 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
8.1% | 7.1–9.4% | 6.8–9.7% | 6.6–10.0% | 6.1–10.6% |
| 2–8 October 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
7.6% | 6.6–8.8% | 6.3–9.1% | 6.1–9.4% | 5.7–10.0% |
| 28 August–1 September 2020 | Dedicated Soirmag |
7.2% | 6.0–8.7% | 5.7–9.2% | 5.4–9.6% | 4.9–10.3% |
| 10–15 June 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
9.4% | 8.2–10.7% | 7.9–11.1% | 7.7–11.4% | 7.2–12.0% |
| 9–28 April 2020 | TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard, La Libre Belgique, RTBf and VRT |
11.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–9 March 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
8.8% | 7.7–10.1% | 7.4–10.4% | 7.1–10.7% | 6.6–11.4% |
| 29 November–6 December 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
10.7% | 9.5–12.1% | 9.2–12.5% | 8.9–12.8% | 8.4–13.5% |
| 2–10 September 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
11.0% | 9.8–12.4% | 9.5–12.8% | 9.2–13.1% | 8.7–13.8% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Groen (Greens/EFA).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 11% | 99.3% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 25% | 88% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 19% | 63% | Median |
| 7.5–8.5% | 28% | 43% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 14% | 16% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Seats
Last result: 1 seats (General Election of 26 May 2019)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 23 April–3 May 2024 | iVOX Overlegcentrum van Vlaamse Verenigingen |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8–18 April 2024 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 11–18 March 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| 23 February–5 March 2024 | Ipsos Euronews |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 22 January–8 February 2024 | Kantar Knack and Le Vif |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9–22 January 2024 | iVOX Vlaams & Neutraal Ziekenfonds |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| 8–22 January 2024 | Kantar and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard and VRT |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 4–11 December 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 23–28 November 2023 | iVOX Gazet van Antwerpen |
1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 10 September–9 October 2023 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| 18–25 September 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 29 May–6 June 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| 20–27 March 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 13–23 March 2023 | TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard and VRT |
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| 16–29 January 2023 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 21–29 November 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7–13 September 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 6–14 June 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 14–31 March 2022 | TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard and VRT |
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| 15–22 March 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 1–8 December 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| 7–14 September 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 25 May–1 June 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| 29 March–19 April 2021 | TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard and VRT |
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| 4–9 March 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| 2–8 December 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| 2–8 October 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 28 August–1 September 2020 | Dedicated Soirmag |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 10–15 June 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9–28 April 2020 | TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen De Standaard, La Libre Belgique, RTBf and VRT |
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| 4–9 March 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 29 November–6 December 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
| 2–10 September 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Groen (Greens/EFA).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 23% | 100% | |
| 1 | 77% | 77% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |