Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM, 27 May–3 June 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie (ECR) 0.0% 26.3% 24.6–28.2% 24.1–28.7% 23.7–29.1% 22.8–30.0%
Vlaams Belang (PfE) 0.0% 22.8% 21.2–24.6% 20.7–25.1% 20.3–25.5% 19.5–26.4%
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams (EPP) 0.0% 14.5% 13.2–16.0% 12.8–16.4% 12.5–16.8% 11.8–17.6%
Vooruit (S&D) 0.0% 13.4% 12.1–14.9% 11.7–15.3% 11.4–15.7% 10.8–16.4%
Partij van de Arbeid van België (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 8.9% 7.8–10.2% 7.5–10.5% 7.3–10.8% 6.8–11.5%
Groen (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 7.4% 6.4–8.6% 6.2–8.9% 5.9–9.2% 5.5–9.8%
Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten (RE) 0.0% 6.1% 5.2–7.2% 5.0–7.5% 4.8–7.8% 4.4–8.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie (ECR) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Vlaams Belang (PfE) 0 3 3 3–4 3–4 3–4
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams (EPP) 0 2 2 2 1–2 1–2
Vooruit (S&D) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Partij van de Arbeid van België (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Groen (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten (RE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 22% 100%  
4 78% 78% Median
5 0.3% 0.3%  
6 0% 0%  

Vlaams Belang (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vlaams Belang (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.4% 100%  
3 92% 99.6% Median
4 8% 8%  
5 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 4% 100%  
2 96% 96% Median
3 0.1% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Vooruit (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vooruit (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 20% 100%  
2 80% 80% Median
3 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid van België (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid van België (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 99.8% 99.9% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Groen (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Groen (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100% Last Result
1 94% 94% Median
2 0% 0%  

Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 57% 100% Last Result, Median
1 43% 43%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Vlaams Belang (PfE) 0 3 0% 3 3–4 3–4 3–4
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams (EPP) 0 2 0% 2 2 1–2 1–2
Vooruit (S&D) 0 2 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Partij van de Arbeid van België (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten (RE) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Vlaams Belang (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.4% 100%  
3 92% 99.6% Median
4 8% 8%  
5 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 4% 100%  
2 96% 96% Median
3 0.1% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Vooruit (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 20% 100%  
2 80% 80% Median
3 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid van België (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 99.8% 99.9% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 57% 100% Last Result, Median
1 43% 43%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations