Opinion Poll by Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB for De Standaard, RTBF and VRT, 9 March–5 April 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie (ECR) | 0.0% | 28.2% | 26.9–29.5% | 26.5–29.9% | 26.2–30.2% | 25.6–30.9% |
| Vlaams Belang (PfE) | 0.0% | 22.2% | 21.0–23.5% | 20.7–23.8% | 20.4–24.1% | 19.9–24.7% |
| Vooruit (S&D) | 0.0% | 12.1% | 11.2–13.1% | 11.0–13.4% | 10.7–13.6% | 10.3–14.1% |
| Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams (EPP) | 0.0% | 11.8% | 10.9–12.8% | 10.7–13.1% | 10.4–13.3% | 10.0–13.8% |
| Partij van de Arbeid van België (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 11.0% | 10.2–12.0% | 9.9–12.3% | 9.7–12.5% | 9.3–13.0% |
| Groen (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 6.8% | 6.1–7.6% | 5.9–7.8% | 5.8–8.0% | 5.5–8.4% |
| Anders (RE) | 0.0% | 6.2% | 5.5–6.9% | 5.3–7.1% | 5.2–7.3% | 4.9–7.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie (ECR) | 0 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| Vlaams Belang (PfE) | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Vooruit (S&D) | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams (EPP) | 0 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Partij van de Arbeid van België (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Groen (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Anders (RE) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 89% | 100% | Median |
| 5 | 10% | 10% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Vlaams Belang (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vlaams Belang (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 92% | 100% | Median |
| 4 | 8% | 8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Vooruit (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vooruit (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 38% | 100% | |
| 2 | 62% | 62% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 55% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 45% | 45% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid van België (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid van België (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 88% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 12% | 12% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Groen (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Groen (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 95% | 95% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Anders (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Anders (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 32% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 68% | 68% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vlaams Belang (PfE) | 0 | 3 | 0% | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams (EPP) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Partij van de Arbeid van België (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Vooruit (S&D) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Anders (RE) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Vlaams Belang (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 92% | 100% | Median |
| 4 | 8% | 8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 55% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 45% | 45% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid van België (GUE/NGL)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 88% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 12% | 12% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Vooruit (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 38% | 100% | |
| 2 | 62% | 62% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Anders (RE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 32% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 68% | 68% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB
- Commissioner(s): De Standaard, RTBF and VRT
- Fieldwork period: 9 March–5 April 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 1948
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 0.96%