Opinion Poll by SKDS for Latvijas Televīzija, 1–31 July 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” | 19.8% | 25.5% | 23.6–27.5% | 23.1–28.0% | 22.6–28.5% | 21.7–29.5% |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 6.7% | 14.6% | 13.2–16.3% | 12.8–16.8% | 12.4–17.2% | 11.7–18.0% |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 9.9% | 13.1% | 11.7–14.7% | 11.3–15.2% | 11.0–15.6% | 10.3–16.4% |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.6–12.4% | 9.3–12.9% | 9.0–13.2% | 8.4–14.0% |
| Attīstībai/Par! | 12.0% | 9.8% | 8.6–11.3% | 8.3–11.7% | 8.0–12.1% | 7.5–12.8% |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 13.6% | 8.6% | 7.5–10.0% | 7.2–10.4% | 6.9–10.8% | 6.4–11.4% |
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.3–7.5% | 5.0–7.8% | 4.8–8.1% | 4.4–8.7% |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.8–5.5% | 2.5–6.0% |
| PROGRESĪVIE | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.9–4.6% | 2.7–4.9% | 2.5–5.1% | 2.2–5.6% |
| Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 14.2% | 2.8% | 2.1–3.6% | 2.0–3.9% | 1.8–4.1% | 1.6–4.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” | 23 | 28 | 26–29 | 25–30 | 25–30 | 24–31 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 8 | 17 | 13–18 | 13–19 | 13–19 | 12–21 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 11 | 16 | 13–17 | 12–17 | 12–17 | 11–20 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 13 | 13 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 11–15 |
| Attīstībai/Par! | 13 | 11 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 9–15 | 8–15 |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 16 | 9 | 8–12 | 7–12 | 7–13 | 7–13 |
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība | 0 | 7 | 6–7 | 0–7 | 0–9 | 0–9 |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 |
| PROGRESĪVIE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–6 |
| Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 24 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 25 | 6% | 98% | |
| 26 | 3% | 92% | |
| 27 | 25% | 88% | |
| 28 | 29% | 64% | Median |
| 29 | 29% | 34% | |
| 30 | 5% | 5% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 13% | 99.4% | |
| 14 | 2% | 86% | |
| 15 | 13% | 84% | |
| 16 | 19% | 71% | |
| 17 | 29% | 52% | Median |
| 18 | 18% | 24% | |
| 19 | 4% | 6% | |
| 20 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 21 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 1.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 12 | 5% | 98.8% | |
| 13 | 14% | 94% | |
| 14 | 8% | 80% | |
| 15 | 9% | 72% | |
| 16 | 18% | 63% | Median |
| 17 | 43% | 45% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 20 | 2% | 2% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 17% | 99.5% | |
| 12 | 20% | 82% | |
| 13 | 16% | 63% | Last Result, Median |
| 14 | 44% | 47% | |
| 15 | 2% | 2% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Attīstībai/Par!
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Attīstībai/Par! page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 8 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 9 | 34% | 98% | |
| 10 | 6% | 64% | |
| 11 | 17% | 58% | Median |
| 12 | 20% | 40% | |
| 13 | 6% | 20% | Last Result |
| 14 | 9% | 14% | |
| 15 | 4% | 4% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7% | 100% | |
| 8 | 21% | 93% | |
| 9 | 36% | 73% | Median |
| 10 | 7% | 36% | |
| 11 | 18% | 29% | |
| 12 | 7% | 11% | |
| 13 | 5% | 5% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 93% | |
| 2 | 0% | 93% | |
| 3 | 0% | 93% | |
| 4 | 0% | 93% | |
| 5 | 0% | 93% | |
| 6 | 34% | 93% | |
| 7 | 54% | 59% | Median |
| 8 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 9 | 3% | 4% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Latvijas Krievu savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 90% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 10% | |
| 2 | 0% | 10% | |
| 3 | 0% | 10% | |
| 4 | 0% | 10% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 10% | |
| 6 | 3% | 9% | |
| 7 | 6% | 6% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
PROGRESĪVIE
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.0% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 6 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Politiskā partija „KPV LV” page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 61 | 65 | 100% | 63–67 | 62–70 | 61–71 | 59–71 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 48 | 54 | 93% | 51–57 | 49–60 | 49–61 | 49–61 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! | 45 | 56 | 99.5% | 54–57 | 53–58 | 53–60 | 50–61 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 50 | 49 | 31% | 48–53 | 47–54 | 46–55 | 45–55 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 66 | 49 | 31% | 48–53 | 47–54 | 46–55 | 45–55 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 53 | 49 | 23% | 46–52 | 45–53 | 45–53 | 43–54 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 52 | 48 | 26% | 45–52 | 45–53 | 44–53 | 42–54 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 32 | 45 | 2% | 42–48 | 40–48 | 40–48 | 39–52 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 50 | 44 | 0% | 40–46 | 39–46 | 39–47 | 37–50 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 53 | 39 | 0% | 36–42 | 36–44 | 35–45 | 35–45 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 50 | 40 | 0% | 37–43 | 37–44 | 37–44 | 35–45 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! | 36 | 38 | 0% | 36–41 | 36–44 | 35–44 | 33–44 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! | 37 | 40 | 0% | 37–41 | 36–42 | 36–43 | 33–43 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 40 | 39 | 0% | 34–40 | 33–43 | 33–43 | 32–44 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 53 | 36 | 0% | 34–40 | 34–41 | 34–42 | 32–42 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 58 | 34 | 0% | 31–35 | 31–37 | 29–37 | 29–39 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 39 | 28 | 0% | 26–29 | 25–30 | 25–30 | 24–31 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 61 | 2% | 99.3% | Last Result |
| 62 | 6% | 97% | |
| 63 | 3% | 92% | |
| 64 | 14% | 89% | |
| 65 | 39% | 75% | |
| 66 | 25% | 36% | Median |
| 67 | 3% | 11% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 70 | 3% | 6% | |
| 71 | 4% | 4% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 49 | 5% | 99.6% | |
| 50 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 51 | 6% | 93% | Majority |
| 52 | 19% | 87% | |
| 53 | 14% | 68% | |
| 54 | 4% | 54% | |
| 55 | 12% | 50% | Median |
| 56 | 22% | 38% | |
| 57 | 9% | 16% | |
| 58 | 1.2% | 8% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 60 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 61 | 5% | 5% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par!

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.5% | Majority |
| 52 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 53 | 7% | 98% | |
| 54 | 22% | 90% | |
| 55 | 10% | 68% | |
| 56 | 12% | 58% | |
| 57 | 37% | 46% | Median |
| 58 | 5% | 9% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 60 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 61 | 2% | 2% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 47 | 3% | 97% | |
| 48 | 39% | 94% | |
| 49 | 10% | 54% | |
| 50 | 13% | 44% | Last Result, Median |
| 51 | 12% | 31% | Majority |
| 52 | 4% | 19% | |
| 53 | 10% | 16% | |
| 54 | 2% | 6% | |
| 55 | 4% | 4% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 47 | 3% | 97% | |
| 48 | 39% | 94% | |
| 49 | 10% | 54% | |
| 50 | 13% | 44% | Median |
| 51 | 12% | 31% | Majority |
| 52 | 4% | 19% | |
| 53 | 10% | 16% | |
| 54 | 2% | 6% | |
| 55 | 4% | 4% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 44 | 1.4% | 99.5% | |
| 45 | 4% | 98% | |
| 46 | 6% | 94% | |
| 47 | 8% | 88% | |
| 48 | 29% | 79% | |
| 49 | 14% | 51% | Median |
| 50 | 13% | 37% | |
| 51 | 4% | 23% | Majority |
| 52 | 15% | 20% | |
| 53 | 4% | 5% | Last Result |
| 54 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 44 | 2% | 98% | |
| 45 | 24% | 96% | |
| 46 | 7% | 72% | |
| 47 | 10% | 65% | |
| 48 | 8% | 55% | Median |
| 49 | 10% | 47% | |
| 50 | 10% | 36% | |
| 51 | 2% | 26% | Majority |
| 52 | 17% | 24% | Last Result |
| 53 | 6% | 7% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 40 | 5% | 99.1% | |
| 41 | 2% | 94% | |
| 42 | 19% | 93% | |
| 43 | 14% | 73% | |
| 44 | 4% | 59% | |
| 45 | 11% | 54% | |
| 46 | 13% | 43% | Median |
| 47 | 4% | 30% | |
| 48 | 24% | 26% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 2% | Majority |
| 52 | 2% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 1.4% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 39 | 7% | 98% | |
| 40 | 3% | 91% | |
| 41 | 11% | 88% | |
| 42 | 10% | 77% | |
| 43 | 14% | 67% | |
| 44 | 12% | 53% | Median |
| 45 | 21% | 41% | |
| 46 | 17% | 20% | |
| 47 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 49 | 0% | 2% | |
| 50 | 2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 36 | 22% | 96% | |
| 37 | 15% | 74% | |
| 38 | 0.7% | 59% | |
| 39 | 30% | 58% | Median |
| 40 | 9% | 27% | |
| 41 | 5% | 19% | |
| 42 | 4% | 14% | |
| 43 | 2% | 10% | |
| 44 | 4% | 7% | |
| 45 | 3% | 3% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 37 | 15% | 99.1% | |
| 38 | 5% | 84% | |
| 39 | 13% | 79% | |
| 40 | 22% | 66% | |
| 41 | 17% | 44% | Median |
| 42 | 16% | 27% | |
| 43 | 2% | 10% | |
| 44 | 7% | 8% | |
| 45 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par!

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 35 | 2% | 98% | |
| 36 | 12% | 96% | Last Result |
| 37 | 24% | 84% | |
| 38 | 13% | 61% | |
| 39 | 10% | 48% | Median |
| 40 | 2% | 38% | |
| 41 | 29% | 36% | |
| 42 | 0.9% | 7% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 44 | 5% | 6% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par!

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 1.2% | 99.6% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 36 | 7% | 98% | |
| 37 | 4% | 91% | Last Result |
| 38 | 12% | 87% | |
| 39 | 14% | 75% | |
| 40 | 30% | 61% | Median |
| 41 | 25% | 31% | |
| 42 | 3% | 6% | |
| 43 | 3% | 3% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 32 | 1.3% | 99.7% | |
| 33 | 4% | 98% | |
| 34 | 6% | 94% | |
| 35 | 9% | 88% | |
| 36 | 9% | 79% | |
| 37 | 8% | 69% | |
| 38 | 2% | 61% | Median |
| 39 | 32% | 59% | |
| 40 | 19% | 27% | Last Result |
| 41 | 0.5% | 8% | |
| 42 | 2% | 8% | |
| 43 | 5% | 6% | |
| 44 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 34 | 21% | 98% | |
| 35 | 7% | 77% | |
| 36 | 31% | 70% | |
| 37 | 7% | 39% | Median |
| 38 | 6% | 32% | |
| 39 | 9% | 27% | |
| 40 | 11% | 18% | |
| 41 | 5% | 7% | |
| 42 | 2% | 3% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 31 | 22% | 96% | |
| 32 | 10% | 74% | |
| 33 | 8% | 64% | Median |
| 34 | 25% | 56% | |
| 35 | 21% | 31% | |
| 36 | 2% | 10% | |
| 37 | 6% | 7% | |
| 38 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 39 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 24 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 25 | 6% | 98% | |
| 26 | 3% | 92% | |
| 27 | 25% | 88% | |
| 28 | 29% | 64% | Median |
| 29 | 29% | 34% | |
| 30 | 5% | 5% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: SKDS
- Commissioner(s): Latvijas Televīzija
- Fieldwork period: 1–31 July 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 833
- Simulations done: 131,072
- Error estimate: 1.31%