Opinion Poll by SKDS for Latvijas Televīzija, 1–31 July 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” |
19.8% |
25.5% |
23.6–27.5% |
23.1–28.0% |
22.6–28.5% |
21.7–29.5% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA |
6.7% |
14.6% |
13.2–16.3% |
12.8–16.8% |
12.4–17.2% |
11.7–18.0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība |
9.9% |
13.1% |
11.7–14.7% |
11.3–15.2% |
11.0–15.6% |
10.3–16.4% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” |
11.0% |
10.9% |
9.6–12.4% |
9.3–12.9% |
9.0–13.2% |
8.4–14.0% |
Attīstībai/Par! |
12.0% |
9.8% |
8.6–11.3% |
8.3–11.7% |
8.0–12.1% |
7.5–12.8% |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
13.6% |
8.6% |
7.5–10.0% |
7.2–10.4% |
6.9–10.8% |
6.4–11.4% |
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība |
4.1% |
6.2% |
5.3–7.5% |
5.0–7.8% |
4.8–8.1% |
4.4–8.7% |
Latvijas Krievu savienība |
3.2% |
4.0% |
3.2–5.0% |
3.0–5.3% |
2.8–5.5% |
2.5–6.0% |
PROGRESĪVIE |
2.6% |
3.6% |
2.9–4.6% |
2.7–4.9% |
2.5–5.1% |
2.2–5.6% |
Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
14.2% |
2.8% |
2.1–3.6% |
2.0–3.9% |
1.8–4.1% |
1.6–4.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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
Confidence Intervals
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
24 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
25 |
6% |
98% |
|
26 |
3% |
92% |
|
27 |
25% |
88% |
|
28 |
29% |
64% |
Median |
29 |
29% |
34% |
|
30 |
5% |
5% |
|
31 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
32 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
33 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
35 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
13 |
13% |
99.4% |
|
14 |
2% |
86% |
|
15 |
13% |
84% |
|
16 |
19% |
71% |
|
17 |
29% |
52% |
Median |
18 |
18% |
24% |
|
19 |
4% |
6% |
|
20 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
21 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
1.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
12 |
5% |
98.8% |
|
13 |
14% |
94% |
|
14 |
8% |
80% |
|
15 |
9% |
72% |
|
16 |
18% |
63% |
Median |
17 |
43% |
45% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
20 |
2% |
2% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
10 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
11 |
17% |
99.5% |
|
12 |
20% |
82% |
|
13 |
16% |
63% |
Last Result, Median |
14 |
44% |
47% |
|
15 |
2% |
2% |
|
16 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Attīstībai/Par!
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Attīstībai/Par! page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
8 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
9 |
34% |
98% |
|
10 |
6% |
64% |
|
11 |
17% |
58% |
Median |
12 |
20% |
40% |
|
13 |
6% |
20% |
Last Result |
14 |
9% |
14% |
|
15 |
4% |
4% |
|
16 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā konservatīvā partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
7% |
100% |
|
8 |
21% |
93% |
|
9 |
36% |
73% |
Median |
10 |
7% |
36% |
|
11 |
18% |
29% |
|
12 |
7% |
11% |
|
13 |
5% |
5% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
7% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
93% |
|
2 |
0% |
93% |
|
3 |
0% |
93% |
|
4 |
0% |
93% |
|
5 |
0% |
93% |
|
6 |
34% |
93% |
|
7 |
54% |
59% |
Median |
8 |
1.1% |
5% |
|
9 |
3% |
4% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
11 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Latvijas Krievu savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
90% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
10% |
|
2 |
0% |
10% |
|
3 |
0% |
10% |
|
4 |
0% |
10% |
|
5 |
1.0% |
10% |
|
6 |
3% |
9% |
|
7 |
6% |
6% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
PROGRESĪVIE
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.0% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
1.0% |
|
2 |
0% |
1.0% |
|
3 |
0% |
1.0% |
|
4 |
0% |
1.0% |
|
5 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
|
6 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Politiskā partija „KPV LV” page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
61 |
65 |
100% |
63–67 |
62–70 |
61–71 |
59–71 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
48 |
54 |
93% |
51–57 |
49–60 |
49–61 |
49–61 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! |
45 |
56 |
99.5% |
54–57 |
53–58 |
53–60 |
50–61 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
50 |
49 |
31% |
48–53 |
47–54 |
46–55 |
45–55 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
66 |
49 |
31% |
48–53 |
47–54 |
46–55 |
45–55 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
53 |
49 |
23% |
46–52 |
45–53 |
45–53 |
43–54 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
52 |
48 |
26% |
45–52 |
45–53 |
44–53 |
42–54 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” |
32 |
45 |
2% |
42–48 |
40–48 |
40–48 |
39–52 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
50 |
44 |
0% |
40–46 |
39–46 |
39–47 |
37–50 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
53 |
39 |
0% |
36–42 |
36–44 |
35–45 |
35–45 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
50 |
40 |
0% |
37–43 |
37–44 |
37–44 |
35–45 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! |
36 |
38 |
0% |
36–41 |
36–44 |
35–44 |
33–44 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! |
37 |
40 |
0% |
37–41 |
36–42 |
36–43 |
33–43 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
40 |
39 |
0% |
34–40 |
33–43 |
33–43 |
32–44 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
53 |
36 |
0% |
34–40 |
34–41 |
34–42 |
32–42 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
58 |
34 |
0% |
31–35 |
31–37 |
29–37 |
29–39 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
39 |
28 |
0% |
26–29 |
25–30 |
25–30 |
24–31 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
61 |
2% |
99.3% |
Last Result |
62 |
6% |
97% |
|
63 |
3% |
92% |
|
64 |
14% |
89% |
|
65 |
39% |
75% |
|
66 |
25% |
36% |
Median |
67 |
3% |
11% |
|
68 |
0.8% |
7% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
7% |
|
70 |
3% |
6% |
|
71 |
4% |
4% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
49 |
5% |
99.6% |
|
50 |
1.4% |
94% |
|
51 |
6% |
93% |
Majority |
52 |
19% |
87% |
|
53 |
14% |
68% |
|
54 |
4% |
54% |
|
55 |
12% |
50% |
Median |
56 |
22% |
38% |
|
57 |
9% |
16% |
|
58 |
1.2% |
8% |
|
59 |
0.4% |
7% |
|
60 |
1.1% |
6% |
|
61 |
5% |
5% |
|
62 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par!

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
46 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
48 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
Majority |
52 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
53 |
7% |
98% |
|
54 |
22% |
90% |
|
55 |
10% |
68% |
|
56 |
12% |
58% |
|
57 |
37% |
46% |
Median |
58 |
5% |
9% |
|
59 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
60 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
61 |
2% |
2% |
|
62 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
46 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
47 |
3% |
97% |
|
48 |
39% |
94% |
|
49 |
10% |
54% |
|
50 |
13% |
44% |
Last Result, Median |
51 |
12% |
31% |
Majority |
52 |
4% |
19% |
|
53 |
10% |
16% |
|
54 |
2% |
6% |
|
55 |
4% |
4% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
45 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
46 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
47 |
3% |
97% |
|
48 |
39% |
94% |
|
49 |
10% |
54% |
|
50 |
13% |
44% |
Median |
51 |
12% |
31% |
Majority |
52 |
4% |
19% |
|
53 |
10% |
16% |
|
54 |
2% |
6% |
|
55 |
4% |
4% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
43 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
44 |
1.4% |
99.5% |
|
45 |
4% |
98% |
|
46 |
6% |
94% |
|
47 |
8% |
88% |
|
48 |
29% |
79% |
|
49 |
14% |
51% |
Median |
50 |
13% |
37% |
|
51 |
4% |
23% |
Majority |
52 |
15% |
20% |
|
53 |
4% |
5% |
Last Result |
54 |
1.1% |
1.4% |
|
55 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
44 |
2% |
98% |
|
45 |
24% |
96% |
|
46 |
7% |
72% |
|
47 |
10% |
65% |
|
48 |
8% |
55% |
Median |
49 |
10% |
47% |
|
50 |
10% |
36% |
|
51 |
2% |
26% |
Majority |
52 |
17% |
24% |
Last Result |
53 |
6% |
7% |
|
54 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
39 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
40 |
5% |
99.1% |
|
41 |
2% |
94% |
|
42 |
19% |
93% |
|
43 |
14% |
73% |
|
44 |
4% |
59% |
|
45 |
11% |
54% |
|
46 |
13% |
43% |
Median |
47 |
4% |
30% |
|
48 |
24% |
26% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
51 |
0% |
2% |
Majority |
52 |
2% |
2% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
37 |
1.4% |
99.8% |
|
38 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
39 |
7% |
98% |
|
40 |
3% |
91% |
|
41 |
11% |
88% |
|
42 |
10% |
77% |
|
43 |
14% |
67% |
|
44 |
12% |
53% |
Median |
45 |
21% |
41% |
|
46 |
17% |
20% |
|
47 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
48 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
49 |
0% |
2% |
|
50 |
2% |
2% |
Last Result |
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
35 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
36 |
22% |
96% |
|
37 |
15% |
74% |
|
38 |
0.7% |
59% |
|
39 |
30% |
58% |
Median |
40 |
9% |
27% |
|
41 |
5% |
19% |
|
42 |
4% |
14% |
|
43 |
2% |
10% |
|
44 |
4% |
7% |
|
45 |
3% |
3% |
|
46 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
37 |
15% |
99.1% |
|
38 |
5% |
84% |
|
39 |
13% |
79% |
|
40 |
22% |
66% |
|
41 |
17% |
44% |
Median |
42 |
16% |
27% |
|
43 |
2% |
10% |
|
44 |
7% |
8% |
|
45 |
0.8% |
1.3% |
|
46 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
47 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par!

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
33 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
34 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
35 |
2% |
98% |
|
36 |
12% |
96% |
Last Result |
37 |
24% |
84% |
|
38 |
13% |
61% |
|
39 |
10% |
48% |
Median |
40 |
2% |
38% |
|
41 |
29% |
36% |
|
42 |
0.9% |
7% |
|
43 |
0.3% |
6% |
|
44 |
5% |
6% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
46 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
47 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par!

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
31 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
1.2% |
99.6% |
|
34 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
35 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
36 |
7% |
98% |
|
37 |
4% |
91% |
Last Result |
38 |
12% |
87% |
|
39 |
14% |
75% |
|
40 |
30% |
61% |
Median |
41 |
25% |
31% |
|
42 |
3% |
6% |
|
43 |
3% |
3% |
|
44 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
45 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
32 |
1.3% |
99.7% |
|
33 |
4% |
98% |
|
34 |
6% |
94% |
|
35 |
9% |
88% |
|
36 |
9% |
79% |
|
37 |
8% |
69% |
|
38 |
2% |
61% |
Median |
39 |
32% |
59% |
|
40 |
19% |
27% |
Last Result |
41 |
0.5% |
8% |
|
42 |
2% |
8% |
|
43 |
5% |
6% |
|
44 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
34 |
21% |
98% |
|
35 |
7% |
77% |
|
36 |
31% |
70% |
|
37 |
7% |
39% |
Median |
38 |
6% |
32% |
|
39 |
9% |
27% |
|
40 |
11% |
18% |
|
41 |
5% |
7% |
|
42 |
2% |
3% |
|
43 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
44 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
29 |
3% |
99.8% |
|
30 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
31 |
22% |
96% |
|
32 |
10% |
74% |
|
33 |
8% |
64% |
Median |
34 |
25% |
56% |
|
35 |
21% |
31% |
|
36 |
2% |
10% |
|
37 |
6% |
7% |
|
38 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
39 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
24 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
25 |
6% |
98% |
|
26 |
3% |
92% |
|
27 |
25% |
88% |
|
28 |
29% |
64% |
Median |
29 |
29% |
34% |
|
30 |
5% |
5% |
|
31 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
32 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
33 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
35 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: SKDS
- Commissioner(s): Latvijas Televīzija
- Fieldwork period: 1–31 July 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 833
- Simulations done: 131,072
- Error estimate: 1.31%