Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 9.9% (General Election of 6 October 2018)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 9.1% 6.6–12.3% 6.3–12.6% 6.1–12.9% 5.8–13.5%
1–30 September 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 11.6% 10.7–12.6% 10.4–12.9% 10.2–13.2% 9.8–13.7%
15–20 September 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV		 7.0% 6.3–7.7% 6.1–8.0% 6.0–8.1% 5.7–8.5%
4–6 September 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV		 7.5% 6.6–8.4% 6.4–8.7% 6.2–9.0% 5.8–9.4%
1–31 August 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 10.1% 9.3–11.1% 9.0–11.4% 8.8–11.6% 8.4–12.1%
16–21 August 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV		 8.6% 7.6–9.8% 7.3–10.1% 7.1–10.4% 6.6–11.0%
3–7 August 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV		 7.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 July 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 7.7% 7.0–8.6% 6.7–8.8% 6.6–9.0% 6.2–9.4%
20–24 July 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV		 6.8% 6.0–7.9% 5.7–8.2% 5.5–8.4% 5.1–9.0%
6–10 July 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV		 6.5% 5.5–7.7% 5.3–8.1% 5.0–8.4% 4.6–9.0%
1–30 June 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 8.8% 8.0–9.7% 7.8–10.0% 7.6–10.2% 7.2–10.7%
27–31 May 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV		 8.4% 7.4–9.5% 7.1–9.9% 6.9–10.2% 6.4–10.7%
13–24 May 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 9.5% 8.7–10.5% 8.5–10.7% 8.3–11.0% 7.9–11.4%
22 April–2 May 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 12.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–29 April 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV		 9.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 March 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 13.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29–31 March 2022 Factum Interactive 10.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–28 February 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 11.9% 11.0–12.9% 10.7–13.2% 10.5–13.5% 10.1–14.0%
23–28 February 2022 Factum Interactive 9.5% 8.5–10.6% 8.3–10.9% 8.0–11.2% 7.6–11.8%
1 January–2 February 2022 Factum Interactive 9.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 January 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 14.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 December 2021 SKDS 11.7% 10.8–12.7% 10.5–13.0% 10.3–13.3% 9.9–13.8%
1–31 December 2021 Factum Interactive 9.5% 8.6–10.6% 8.3–10.9% 8.1–11.2% 7.7–11.7%
1–30 November 2021 Factum Interactive 9.4% 8.2–10.7% 7.9–11.1% 7.6–11.5% 7.1–12.2%
8–29 November 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 13.9% 12.9–15.0% 12.6–15.3% 12.4–15.6% 11.9–16.1%
1–31 October 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 12.8% 11.5–14.4% 11.1–14.9% 10.7–15.3% 10.1–16.1%
1–31 October 2021 Factum Interactive 9.0% 8.2–9.9% 8.0–10.1% 7.8–10.4% 7.4–10.8%
1 September–1 October 2021 Factum Interactive 8.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–30 September 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 13.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 August 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 12.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27–31 August 2021 Factum Interactive 9.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 July 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 12.9% 11.9–13.9% 11.6–14.3% 11.4–14.5% 11.0–15.0%
27–31 July 2021 Factum Interactive 11.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–30 June 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 14.9% 13.9–16.0% 13.6–16.3% 13.3–16.6% 12.8–17.2%
1–31 May 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 13.8% 12.8–14.9% 12.5–15.2% 12.3–15.5% 11.8–16.0%
26–31 May 2021 Factum Interactive 13.4% 11.7–15.3% 11.2–15.9% 10.8–16.4% 10.1–17.4%
1–30 April 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 12.8% 11.5–14.4% 11.1–14.9% 10.7–15.3% 10.1–16.1%
26–30 April 2021 Factum Interactive 10.1% 9.0–11.3% 8.7–11.6% 8.5–11.9% 8.0–12.6%
9–19 April 2021 Latvijas Fakti 15.1% 13.7–16.6% 13.3–17.0% 13.0–17.4% 12.3–18.2%
1–31 March 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 11.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 March 2021 Latvijas Fakti 12.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–30 March 2021 Factum Interactive 10.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–28 February 2021 Latvijas Fakti 17.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–28 February 2021 Factum Interactive 11.9% 11.0–12.9% 10.8–13.2% 10.5–13.5% 10.1–14.0%
28–31 January 2021 Factum Interactive 12.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 December 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 15.6% 14.1–17.2% 13.7–17.7% 13.3–18.1% 12.7–18.9%
1–17 December 2020 Factum Interactive 12.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–30 November 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 12.2% 10.9–13.8% 10.5–14.3% 10.2–14.6% 9.6–15.4%
11–30 November 2020 Factum Interactive 11.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–30 October 2020 Factum Interactive 10.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–20 October 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 15.6% 14.1–17.3% 13.7–17.7% 13.4–18.1% 12.7–19.0%
29 September–4 October 2020 Factum Interactive 8.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–21 September 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 16.6% 15.0–18.2% 14.6–18.7% 14.3–19.1% 13.5–20.0%
1–31 August 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 19.3% 17.7–21.0% 17.2–21.5% 16.8–21.9% 16.1–22.8%
1–24 August 2020 Factum Interactive 10.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–20 August 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 19.0% 17.4–20.8% 16.9–21.3% 16.6–21.7% 15.8–22.6%
1–31 July 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 8.3% 7.2–9.6% 6.9–9.9% 6.6–10.3% 6.1–10.9%
8–31 July 2020 Factum Interactive 9.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–30 June 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 17.2% 15.1–19.6% 14.5–20.3% 14.0–20.9% 13.0–22.1%
1–30 June 2020 Factum Interactive 9.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23 May–2 June 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 15.9% 13.9–18.3% 13.4–19.0% 12.9–19.6% 12.0–20.8%
18–31 May 2020 Factum Interactive 9.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–26 April 2020 Factum Interactive 10.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 March 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 16.1% 14.6–17.7% 14.2–18.2% 13.8–18.6% 13.1–19.4%
4–28 March 2020 Factum Interactive 11.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–28 February 2020 Factum Interactive 12.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–18 February 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 15.6% 14.1–17.3% 13.7–17.7% 13.3–18.1% 12.6–19.0%
28 January–1 February 2020 Factum Interactive 9.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 January 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 15.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–31 December 2019 Factum Interactive 10.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 November–12 December 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 14.6% 13.2–16.3% 12.8–16.8% 12.4–17.2% 11.7–18.0%
21–24 November 2019 Factum Interactive 10.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–12 November 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 13.7% 12.3–15.3% 11.9–15.7% 11.6–16.1% 10.9–16.9%
15–22 October 2019 Factum Interactive 11.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–16 October 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 14.1% 12.7–15.7% 12.3–16.1% 12.0–16.5% 11.3–17.3%
27–30 September 2019 Factum Interactive 10.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–18 September 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 13.6% 12.2–15.1% 11.8–15.6% 11.5–16.0% 10.8–16.7%
1–31 August 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 13.1% 11.7–14.7% 11.3–15.2% 11.0–15.6% 10.3–16.4%
27–30 August 2019 Factum Interactive 11.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 July 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 13.1% 11.7–14.7% 11.3–15.2% 11.0–15.6% 10.3–16.4%
22–29 July 2019 Factum Interactive 9.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–30 June 2019 Factum Interactive 8.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–17 June 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 10.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 May 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 13.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–28 May 2019 Factum Interactive 8.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–21 May 2019 Berg Research
jauns.lv		 4.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–30 April 2019 Factum Interactive 11.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–27 April 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 10.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–22 April 2019 Latvijas Fakti 11.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–14 April 2019 Factum Interactive 8.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26 March–5 April 2019 Factum Interactive 9.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 March 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 12.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 March 2019 Factum Interactive 10.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–18 March 2019 Latvijas Fakti 14.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–28 February 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 8.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–23 January 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 11.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–12 December 2018 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 9.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–15 November 2018 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 9.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–23 October 2018 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 7.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0.1% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 10% 99.9%  
6.5–7.5% 32% 90%  
7.5–8.5% 8% 59%  
8.5–9.5% 0.3% 50% Median
9.5–10.5% 3% 50% Last Result
10.5–11.5% 19% 47%  
11.5–12.5% 21% 27%  
12.5–13.5% 6% 6%  
13.5–14.5% 0.4% 0.4%  
14.5–15.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 11 seats (General Election of 6 October 2018)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 11 7–17 6–17 6–18 6–18
1–30 September 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 17 15–17 14–18 14–18 14–19
15–20 September 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV		 9 6–11 6–11 6–11 6–11
4–6 September 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV		 11 11 11 10–11 6–11
1–31 August 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 11 11–12 11–13 11–15 11–17
16–21 August 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV		 11 10–11 8–11 8–11 7–12
3–7 August 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV		          
1–31 July 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 7 7–11 7–11 7–11 7–11
20–24 July 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV		 7 6–11 6–11 6–11 6–11
6–10 July 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV		 8 6–10 0–11 0–11 0–11
1–30 June 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 11 11 11 11–12 10–13
27–31 May 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV		 11 10–12 10–13 8–13 7–13
13–24 May 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 11 11–12 11–13 11–14 11–14
22 April–2 May 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		          
26–29 April 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV		          
1–31 March 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		          
29–31 March 2022 Factum Interactive          
1–28 February 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 14 13–17 12–17 12–17 12–17
23–28 February 2022 Factum Interactive 12 11–12 11–13 11–13 11–16
1 January–2 February 2022 Factum Interactive          
1–31 January 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		          
1–31 December 2021 SKDS 13 13–17 13–18 12–18 11–18
1–31 December 2021 Factum Interactive 12 11–13 11–13 11–13 11–14
1–30 November 2021 Factum Interactive 12 11–14 10–15 8–15 7–16
8–29 November 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 17 16–19 15–20 15–21 13–21
1–31 October 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 15 13–17 13–19 12–19 11–20
1–31 October 2021 Factum Interactive 12 10–12 10–12 9–13 9–13
1 September–1 October 2021 Factum Interactive          
1–30 September 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		          
1–31 August 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		          
27–31 August 2021 Factum Interactive          
1–31 July 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 13 12–16 12–16 11–17 11–17
27–31 July 2021 Factum Interactive          
1–30 June 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 17 16–19 15–19 15–19 14–20
1–31 May 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 15 14–17 14–17 13–17 13–17
26–31 May 2021 Factum Interactive 17 13–19 13–19 12–20 11–20
1–30 April 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 14 12–15 12–17 11–17 11–17
26–30 April 2021 Factum Interactive 12 11–13 11–14 11–15 10–16
9–19 April 2021 Latvijas Fakti 17 16–18 15–19 15–21 13–22
1–31 March 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		          
1–31 March 2021 Latvijas Fakti          
26–30 March 2021 Factum Interactive          
1–28 February 2021 Latvijas Fakti          
1–28 February 2021 Factum Interactive 15 15–17 14–17 14–17 13–18
28–31 January 2021 Factum Interactive          
1–31 December 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 17 16–19 15–20 15–21 14–22
1–17 December 2020 Factum Interactive          
1–30 November 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 13 11–14 11–16 11–16 11–17
11–30 November 2020 Factum Interactive          
26–30 October 2020 Factum Interactive          
9–20 October 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 17 14–19 13–20 12–22 12–22
29 September–4 October 2020 Factum Interactive          
11–21 September 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 18 17–21 17–22 16–22 15–22
1–31 August 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 22 20–23 18–23 17–23 17–24
1–24 August 2020 Factum Interactive          
7–20 August 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 22 19–22 18–23 17–24 17–25
1–31 July 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 20 17–22 17–23 17–23 15–26
8–31 July 2020 Factum Interactive          
1–30 June 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 19 16–22 16–23 16–24 14–27
1–30 June 2020 Factum Interactive          
23 May–2 June 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 17 16–22 14–22 14–23 13–24
18–31 May 2020 Factum Interactive          
7–26 April 2020 Factum Interactive          
1–31 March 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 18 15–20 14–20 14–20 14–23
4–28 March 2020 Factum Interactive          
24–28 February 2020 Factum Interactive          
7–18 February 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 17 15–19 15–20 15–20 14–22
28 January–1 February 2020 Factum Interactive          
1–31 January 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		          
18–31 December 2019 Factum Interactive          
30 November–12 December 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 17 17 16–17 15–17 14–19
21–24 November 2019 Factum Interactive          
2–12 November 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 16 14–17 13–17 13–18 11–19
15–22 October 2019 Factum Interactive          
5–16 October 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 17 14–17 13–19 13–20 12–21
27–30 September 2019 Factum Interactive          
6–18 September 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 17 14–17 14–17 13–17 12–20
1–31 August 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 19 17–19 12–19 12–19 11–19
27–30 August 2019 Factum Interactive          
1–31 July 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 16 13–17 12–17 12–17 11–20
22–29 July 2019 Factum Interactive          
26–30 June 2019 Factum Interactive          
7–17 June 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		          
1–31 May 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		          
1–28 May 2019 Factum Interactive          
1–21 May 2019 Berg Research
jauns.lv		          
1–30 April 2019 Factum Interactive          
1–27 April 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		          
12–22 April 2019 Latvijas Fakti          
10–14 April 2019 Factum Interactive          
26 March–5 April 2019 Factum Interactive          
1–31 March 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		          
1–31 March 2019 Factum Interactive          
3–18 March 2019 Latvijas Fakti          
1–28 February 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		          
11–23 January 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		          
1–12 December 2018 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		          
3–15 November 2018 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		          
13–23 October 2018 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		          

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 10% 100%  
7 6% 90%  
8 10% 85%  
9 2% 75%  
10 14% 73%  
11 8% 58% Last Result, Median
12 0% 50%  
13 0.1% 50%  
14 4% 50%  
15 2% 45%  
16 1.1% 43%  
17 39% 42%  
18 3% 3%  
19 0.3% 0.3%  
20 0% 0%