Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 11.0% (General Election of 6 October 2018)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 10.3% 8.8–11.9% 8.5–12.3% 8.3–12.6% 7.9–13.1%
1–30 September 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
11.3% 10.4–12.3% 10.1–12.6% 9.9–12.8% 9.5–13.3%
15–20 September 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV
9.3% 8.5–10.2% 8.3–10.4% 8.1–10.6% 7.8–11.0%
4–6 September 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV
10.2% 9.2–11.3% 8.9–11.6% 8.7–11.9% 8.2–12.4%
1–31 August 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
12.6% 11.7–13.7% 11.4–13.9% 11.2–14.2% 10.7–14.7%
16–21 August 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV
10.8% 9.7–12.1% 9.4–12.5% 9.1–12.8% 8.6–13.5%
3–7 August 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV
10.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 July 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
13.3% 12.3–14.4% 12.1–14.7% 11.8–15.0% 11.4–15.5%
20–24 July 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV
11.3% 10.2–12.6% 9.9–13.0% 9.6–13.3% 9.1–13.9%
6–10 July 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV
12.2% 10.9–13.8% 10.5–14.2% 10.2–14.6% 9.6–15.4%
1–30 June 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
12.2% 11.2–13.2% 11.0–13.5% 10.8–13.8% 10.3–14.3%
27–31 May 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV
12.8% 11.6–14.2% 11.3–14.6% 11.0–14.9% 10.4–15.6%
13–24 May 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
15.2% 14.2–16.4% 13.9–16.7% 13.6–16.9% 13.2–17.5%
22 April–2 May 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
14.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–29 April 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV
12.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 March 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
12.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29–31 March 2022 Factum Interactive 11.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–28 February 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
12.0% 11.1–13.0% 10.8–13.3% 10.6–13.6% 10.2–14.1%
23–28 February 2022 Factum Interactive 11.6% 10.6–12.8% 10.3–13.2% 10.0–13.5% 9.5–14.1%
1 January–2 February 2022 Factum Interactive 11.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 January 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
10.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 December 2021 SKDS 11.5% 10.6–12.5% 10.3–12.8% 10.1–13.0% 9.7–13.5%
1–31 December 2021 Factum Interactive 11.5% 10.5–12.7% 10.2–13.0% 9.9–13.3% 9.4–13.8%
1–30 November 2021 Factum Interactive 11.4% 10.2–12.9% 9.8–13.4% 9.5–13.7% 8.9–14.5%
8–29 November 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
10.5% 9.6–11.5% 9.3–11.7% 9.1–12.0% 8.7–12.5%
1–31 October 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
10.6% 9.3–12.1% 8.9–12.5% 8.7–12.8% 8.1–13.6%
1–31 October 2021 Factum Interactive 11.8% 10.9–12.8% 10.6–13.1% 10.4–13.4% 10.0–13.9%
1 September–1 October 2021 Factum Interactive 11.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–30 September 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
11.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 August 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
12.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27–31 August 2021 Factum Interactive 11.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 July 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
12.3% 11.4–13.4% 11.1–13.7% 10.9–13.9% 10.4–14.4%
27–31 July 2021 Factum Interactive 14.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–30 June 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
14.8% 13.7–15.9% 13.5–16.2% 13.2–16.5% 12.7–17.1%
1–31 May 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
14.3% 13.3–15.4% 13.0–15.7% 12.8–16.0% 12.3–16.6%
26–31 May 2021 Factum Interactive 14.1% 12.3–16.1% 11.9–16.6% 11.5–17.1% 10.7–18.2%
1–30 April 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
13.4% 12.0–15.1% 11.6–15.5% 11.3–15.9% 10.7–16.8%
26–30 April 2021 Factum Interactive 11.9% 10.7–13.2% 10.4–13.5% 10.2–13.9% 9.6–14.5%
9–19 April 2021 Latvijas Fakti 12.8% 11.5–14.2% 11.1–14.6% 10.8–15.0% 10.3–15.7%
1–31 March 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
13.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 March 2021 Latvijas Fakti 13.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–30 March 2021 Factum Interactive 12.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–28 February 2021 Latvijas Fakti 10.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–28 February 2021 Factum Interactive 11.1% 10.2–12.1% 10.0–12.3% 9.8–12.6% 9.3–13.1%
28–31 January 2021 Factum Interactive 12.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 December 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
11.3% 10.1–12.8% 9.7–13.2% 9.4–13.6% 8.9–14.3%
1–17 December 2020 Factum Interactive 12.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–30 November 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
14.4% 12.9–16.1% 12.5–16.6% 12.2–17.0% 11.5–17.8%
11–30 November 2020 Factum Interactive 12.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–30 October 2020 Factum Interactive 13.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–20 October 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
11.2% 10.0–12.7% 9.6–13.1% 9.3–13.5% 8.7–14.2%
29 September–4 October 2020 Factum Interactive 12.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–21 September 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
10.5% 9.3–11.9% 8.9–12.3% 8.6–12.7% 8.1–13.4%
1–31 August 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
9.3% 8.2–10.6% 7.9–11.0% 7.6–11.3% 7.1–12.0%
1–24 August 2020 Factum Interactive 13.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–20 August 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
9.2% 8.1–10.6% 7.8–11.0% 7.5–11.3% 7.0–12.0%
1–31 July 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
6.8% 5.8–8.0% 5.5–8.3% 5.3–8.6% 4.9–9.3%
8–31 July 2020 Factum Interactive 11.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–30 June 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
10.9% 9.2–12.9% 8.7–13.5% 8.3–14.1% 7.6–15.1%
1–30 June 2020 Factum Interactive 10.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23 May–2 June 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
10.9% 9.3–13.0% 8.8–13.6% 8.4–14.1% 7.6–15.2%
18–31 May 2020 Factum Interactive 11.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–26 April 2020 Factum Interactive 11.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 March 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
10.9% 9.6–12.3% 9.3–12.7% 9.0–13.1% 8.4–13.8%
4–28 March 2020 Factum Interactive 11.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–28 February 2020 Factum Interactive 11.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–18 February 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
10.7% 9.4–12.1% 9.1–12.5% 8.8–12.9% 8.2–13.6%
28 January–1 February 2020 Factum Interactive 12.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 January 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
11.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–31 December 2019 Factum Interactive 13.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 November–12 December 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
12.7% 11.3–14.3% 11.0–14.8% 10.6–15.2% 10.0–16.0%
21–24 November 2019 Factum Interactive 11.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–12 November 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
16.0% 14.5–17.6% 14.0–18.1% 13.7–18.5% 13.0–19.3%
15–22 October 2019 Factum Interactive 11.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–16 October 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
12.9% 11.5–14.4% 11.2–14.8% 10.9–15.2% 10.2–16.0%
27–30 September 2019 Factum Interactive 10.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–18 September 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
14.4% 13.0–16.0% 12.6–16.5% 12.3–16.9% 11.6–17.7%
1–31 August 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
11.4% 10.1–12.9% 9.7–13.4% 9.4–13.7% 8.8–14.5%
27–30 August 2019 Factum Interactive 10.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 July 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
10.9% 9.6–12.4% 9.3–12.9% 9.0–13.2% 8.4–14.0%
22–29 July 2019 Factum Interactive 15.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–30 June 2019 Factum Interactive 15.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–17 June 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
12.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 May 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
13.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–28 May 2019 Factum Interactive 16.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–21 May 2019 Berg Research
jauns.lv
16.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–30 April 2019 Factum Interactive 11.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–27 April 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
10.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–22 April 2019 Latvijas Fakti 12.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–14 April 2019 Factum Interactive 13.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26 March–5 April 2019 Factum Interactive 14.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 March 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
7.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 March 2019 Factum Interactive 13.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–18 March 2019 Latvijas Fakti 12.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–28 February 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
10.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–23 January 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
11.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–12 December 2018 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
9.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–15 November 2018 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
8.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–23 October 2018 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
11.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6.5–7.5% 0.1% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 5% 99.9%  
8.5–9.5% 27% 95%  
9.5–10.5% 23% 67% Median
10.5–11.5% 25% 44% Last Result
11.5–12.5% 16% 19%  
12.5–13.5% 3% 3%  
13.5–14.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
14.5–15.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 13 seats (General Election of 6 October 2018)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 13 10–14 10–14 10–15 9–17
1–30 September 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
14 14 14–15 13–16 13–17
15–20 September 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV
11 10–12 10–12 9–13 9–13
4–6 September 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV
13 13 11–13 10–13 10–13
1–31 August 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
16 15–16 14–17 13–17 13–17
16–21 August 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV
13 13 12–15 11–15 11–15
3–7 August 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV
         
1–31 July 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
17 17 14–17 13–18 13–19
20–24 July 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV
13 13–14 13–15 12–17 12–18
6–10 July 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV
15 13–17 13–17 13–17 12–19
1–30 June 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
14 13–16 13–16 13–17 13–18
27–31 May 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV
17 13–18 13–18 13–18 13–18
13–24 May 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
18 16–20 16–23 16–24 15–24
22 April–2 May 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
         
26–29 April 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV
         
1–31 March 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
         
29–31 March 2022 Factum Interactive          
1–28 February 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
14 13–15 13–16 13–17 13–17
23–28 February 2022 Factum Interactive 13 13–14 13–16 13–17 11–17
1 January–2 February 2022 Factum Interactive          
1–31 January 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
         
1–31 December 2021 SKDS 14 13–16 12–16 12–17 11–17
1–31 December 2021 Factum Interactive 14 13–14 13–14 12–15 10–17
1–30 November 2021 Factum Interactive 14 10–17 10–17 10–17 10–18
8–29 November 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
13 12–14 11–14 11–16 11–16
1–31 October 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
12 11–14 11–15 11–17 10–17
1–31 October 2021 Factum Interactive 15 13–16 13–16 13–16 12–17
1 September–1 October 2021 Factum Interactive          
1–30 September 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
         
1–31 August 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
         
27–31 August 2021 Factum Interactive          
1–31 July 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
14 13–14 13–15 12–15 11–17
27–31 July 2021 Factum Interactive          
1–30 June 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
16 14–17 14–18 14–18 13–20
1–31 May 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
16 14–17 14–17 14–17 13–18
26–31 May 2021 Factum Interactive 16 14–17 13–19 13–19 12–20
1–30 April 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
13 12–17 12–17 12–17 11–17
26–30 April 2021 Factum Interactive 14 13–16 11–17 11–17 10–17
9–19 April 2021 Latvijas Fakti 14 13–15 13–16 11–17 11–19
1–31 March 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
         
1–31 March 2021 Latvijas Fakti          
26–30 March 2021 Factum Interactive          
1–28 February 2021 Latvijas Fakti          
1–28 February 2021 Factum Interactive 14 13–14 13–14 13–14 12–14
28–31 January 2021 Factum Interactive          
1–31 December 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
13 11–14 11–14 11–14 10–16
1–17 December 2020 Factum Interactive          
1–30 November 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
16 14–17 13–17 13–17 12–19
11–30 November 2020 Factum Interactive          
26–30 October 2020 Factum Interactive          
9–20 October 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
12 11–14 10–14 10–14 9–16
29 September–4 October 2020 Factum Interactive          
11–21 September 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
11 10–13 10–13 10–14 10–15
1–31 August 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
10 9–11 8–12 8–12 7–13
1–24 August 2020 Factum Interactive          
7–20 August 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
10 9–12 8–13 7–13 6–13
1–31 July 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
16 15–19 14–20 14–21 0–23
8–31 July 2020 Factum Interactive          
1–30 June 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
13 10–14 10–15 9–16 7–17
1–30 June 2020 Factum Interactive          
23 May–2 June 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
13 11–15 10–15 9–16 8–19
18–31 May 2020 Factum Interactive          
7–26 April 2020 Factum Interactive          
1–31 March 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
13 11–14 11–14 11–14 9–15
4–28 March 2020 Factum Interactive          
24–28 February 2020 Factum Interactive          
7–18 February 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
12 10–14 10–14 10–14 9–15
28 January–1 February 2020 Factum Interactive          
1–31 January 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
         
18–31 December 2019 Factum Interactive          
30 November–12 December 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
14 14–15 14–15 14–15 12–17
21–24 November 2019 Factum Interactive          
2–12 November 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
17 16–20 15–20 14–20 14–21
15–22 October 2019 Factum Interactive          
5–16 October 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
14 13–17 13–17 12–17 11–19
27–30 September 2019 Factum Interactive          
6–18 September 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
16 15–17 14–18 14–19 13–20
1–31 August 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
11 11 11–17 11–17 10–17
27–30 August 2019 Factum Interactive          
1–31 July 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
13 11–14 11–14 11–14 11–15
22–29 July 2019 Factum Interactive          
26–30 June 2019 Factum Interactive          
7–17 June 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
         
1–31 May 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
         
1–28 May 2019 Factum Interactive          
1–21 May 2019 Berg Research
jauns.lv
         
1–30 April 2019 Factum Interactive          
1–27 April 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
         
12–22 April 2019 Latvijas Fakti          
10–14 April 2019 Factum Interactive          
26 March–5 April 2019 Factum Interactive          
1–31 March 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
         
1–31 March 2019 Factum Interactive          
3–18 March 2019 Latvijas Fakti          
1–28 February 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
         
11–23 January 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
         
1–12 December 2018 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
         
3–15 November 2018 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
         
13–23 October 2018 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
         

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.2% 100%  
8 0% 99.8%  
9 1.1% 99.8%  
10 10% 98.7%  
11 14% 89%  
12 23% 75%  
13 4% 52% Last Result, Median
14 43% 48%  
15 4% 5%  
16 0.4% 1.4%  
17 1.0% 1.1%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%