Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 13.6% (General Election of 6 October 2018)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 4.0% 3.0–5.0% 2.8–5.3% 2.7–5.4% 2.4–5.8%
1–30 September 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
3.3% 2.8–3.9% 2.7–4.1% 2.6–4.2% 2.3–4.5%
15–20 September 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV
4.6% 4.1–5.3% 3.9–5.4% 3.8–5.6% 3.6–5.9%
4–6 September 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV
4.7% 4.0–5.5% 3.9–5.7% 3.7–5.9% 3.4–6.3%
1–31 August 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
4.7% 4.1–5.4% 4.0–5.6% 3.8–5.8% 3.6–6.1%
16–21 August 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV
5.1% 4.4–6.1% 4.1–6.4% 4.0–6.6% 3.6–7.1%
3–7 August 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV
5.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 July 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
4.0% 3.5–4.7% 3.3–4.9% 3.2–5.0% 3.0–5.4%
20–24 July 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV
5.7% 4.9–6.7% 4.7–7.0% 4.5–7.2% 4.2–7.7%
6–10 July 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV
6.2% 5.2–7.4% 5.0–7.7% 4.7–8.0% 4.3–8.6%
1–30 June 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
6.8% 6.1–7.6% 5.9–7.9% 5.7–8.1% 5.4–8.5%
27–31 May 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV
6.9% 6.0–7.9% 5.7–8.2% 5.5–8.5% 5.1–9.0%
13–24 May 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
5.9% 5.2–6.7% 5.1–6.9% 4.9–7.1% 4.6–7.5%
22 April–2 May 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
4.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–29 April 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV
9.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 March 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
5.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29–31 March 2022 Factum Interactive 6.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–28 February 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
5.3% 4.7–6.0% 4.5–6.2% 4.3–6.4% 4.1–6.8%
23–28 February 2022 Factum Interactive 6.2% 5.4–7.1% 5.2–7.4% 5.0–7.6% 4.7–8.1%
1 January–2 February 2022 Factum Interactive 6.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 January 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
4.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 December 2021 SKDS 6.0% 5.3–6.8% 5.2–7.0% 5.0–7.2% 4.7–7.6%
1–31 December 2021 Factum Interactive 6.1% 5.3–7.0% 5.1–7.3% 5.0–7.5% 4.6–7.9%
1–30 November 2021 Factum Interactive 5.5% 4.7–6.7% 4.4–7.0% 4.2–7.3% 3.8–7.9%
8–29 November 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
5.2% 4.6–5.9% 4.4–6.2% 4.3–6.3% 4.0–6.7%
1–31 October 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
4.9% 4.1–6.0% 3.8–6.3% 3.6–6.6% 3.3–7.2%
1–31 October 2021 Factum Interactive 5.1% 4.5–5.8% 4.3–6.0% 4.2–6.2% 3.9–6.5%
1 September–1 October 2021 Factum Interactive 6.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–30 September 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
4.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 August 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
5.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27–31 August 2021 Factum Interactive 6.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 July 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
6.7% 6.0–7.5% 5.8–7.8% 5.7–8.0% 5.3–8.4%
27–31 July 2021 Factum Interactive 5.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–30 June 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
6.0% 5.3–6.8% 5.2–7.0% 5.0–7.2% 4.7–7.6%
1–31 May 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
8.4% 7.6–9.3% 7.4–9.5% 7.2–9.7% 6.8–10.2%
26–31 May 2021 Factum Interactive 8.3% 7.0–10.0% 6.6–10.5% 6.3–10.9% 5.8–11.7%
1–30 April 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
6.5% 5.5–7.7% 5.2–8.1% 5.0–8.4% 4.6–9.0%
26–30 April 2021 Factum Interactive 7.4% 6.4–8.4% 6.2–8.7% 6.0–9.0% 5.6–9.5%
9–19 April 2021 Latvijas Fakti 7.6% 6.6–8.8% 6.3–9.1% 6.1–9.4% 5.7–10.0%
1–31 March 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
7.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 March 2021 Latvijas Fakti 8.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–30 March 2021 Factum Interactive 8.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–28 February 2021 Latvijas Fakti 8.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–28 February 2021 Factum Interactive 8.0% 7.2–8.8% 7.0–9.1% 6.8–9.3% 6.5–9.7%
28–31 January 2021 Factum Interactive 7.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 December 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
10.3% 9.1–11.8% 8.8–12.1% 8.5–12.5% 8.0–13.2%
1–17 December 2020 Factum Interactive 8.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–30 November 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
8.5% 7.4–9.9% 7.1–10.3% 6.8–10.6% 6.3–11.3%
11–30 November 2020 Factum Interactive 9.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–30 October 2020 Factum Interactive 8.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–20 October 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
11.2% 10.0–12.7% 9.6–13.1% 9.3–13.5% 8.7–14.2%
29 September–4 October 2020 Factum Interactive 8.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–21 September 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
10.4% 9.1–11.8% 8.8–12.2% 8.5–12.5% 8.0–13.3%
1–31 August 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
8.2% 7.2–9.5% 6.9–9.9% 6.6–10.2% 6.2–10.8%
1–24 August 2020 Factum Interactive 9.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–20 August 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
8.1% 7.0–9.4% 6.8–9.8% 6.5–10.1% 6.0–10.7%
1–31 July 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
3.8% 3.1–4.8% 2.9–5.1% 2.8–5.3% 2.5–5.8%
8–31 July 2020 Factum Interactive 8.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–30 June 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
8.0% 6.6–9.9% 6.2–10.4% 5.9–10.9% 5.3–11.9%
1–30 June 2020 Factum Interactive 9.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23 May–2 June 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
7.2% 5.9–9.0% 5.5–9.5% 5.2–10.0% 4.6–10.9%
18–31 May 2020 Factum Interactive 9.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–26 April 2020 Factum Interactive 10.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 March 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
9.0% 7.8–10.3% 7.5–10.7% 7.3–11.0% 6.8–11.7%
4–28 March 2020 Factum Interactive 12.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–28 February 2020 Factum Interactive 10.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–18 February 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
8.2% 7.2–9.6% 6.9–9.9% 6.6–10.3% 6.1–10.9%
28 January–1 February 2020 Factum Interactive 11.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 January 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
10.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–31 December 2019 Factum Interactive 12.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 November–12 December 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
10.8% 9.5–12.3% 9.2–12.7% 8.9–13.1% 8.3–13.9%
21–24 November 2019 Factum Interactive 13.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–12 November 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
9.8% 8.7–11.2% 8.3–11.6% 8.0–12.0% 7.5–12.7%
15–22 October 2019 Factum Interactive 14.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–16 October 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
11.8% 10.5–13.2% 10.1–13.7% 9.8–14.0% 9.3–14.8%
27–30 September 2019 Factum Interactive 14.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–18 September 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
11.7% 10.4–13.2% 10.0–13.6% 9.7–13.9% 9.1–14.7%
1–31 August 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
10.0% 8.7–11.4% 8.4–11.8% 8.1–12.2% 7.6–12.9%
27–30 August 2019 Factum Interactive 16.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 July 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
8.6% 7.5–10.0% 7.2–10.4% 6.9–10.8% 6.4–11.4%
22–29 July 2019 Factum Interactive 14.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–30 June 2019 Factum Interactive 10.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–17 June 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
7.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 May 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
12.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–28 May 2019 Factum Interactive 9.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–21 May 2019 Berg Research
jauns.lv
5.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–30 April 2019 Factum Interactive 15.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–27 April 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
13.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–22 April 2019 Latvijas Fakti 9.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–14 April 2019 Factum Interactive 8.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26 March–5 April 2019 Factum Interactive 9.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 March 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
12.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 March 2019 Factum Interactive 13.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–18 March 2019 Latvijas Fakti 4.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–28 February 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
15.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–23 January 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
17.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–12 December 2018 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
12.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–15 November 2018 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
15.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–23 October 2018 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
13.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Jaunā konservatīvā partija.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 1.1% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 34% 98.9%  
3.5–4.5% 35% 65% Median
4.5–5.5% 28% 29%  
5.5–6.5% 2% 2%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 0%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 0%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 0%  
9.5–10.5% 0% 0%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 0%  
11.5–12.5% 0% 0%  
12.5–13.5% 0% 0%  
13.5–14.5% 0% 0% Last Result

Seats

Last result: 16 seats (General Election of 6 October 2018)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 0 0 0–7 0–7 0–7
1–30 September 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
0 0 0 0 0
15–20 September 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV
0 0–7 0–7 0–7 0–7
4–6 September 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV
0 0 0–7 0–7 0–7
1–31 August 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
7 0–7 0–7 0–7 0–7
16–21 August 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV
7 0–7 0–7 0–7 0–8
3–7 August 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV
         
1–31 July 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
0 0 0 0 0–6
20–24 July 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV
7 0–7 0–8 0–9 0–9
6–10 July 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV
7 7–9 0–9 0–9 0–9
1–30 June 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
7 7–9 7–9 7–9 7–9
27–31 May 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV
7 7–10 6–10 6–10 0–13
13–24 May 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
7 7–8 7–9 0–9 0–9
22 April–2 May 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
         
26–29 April 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV
         
1–31 March 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
         
29–31 March 2022 Factum Interactive          
1–28 February 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
7 0–7 0–7 0–7 0–7
23–28 February 2022 Factum Interactive 7 0–8 0–9 0–10 0–10
1 January–2 February 2022 Factum Interactive          
1–31 January 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
         
1–31 December 2021 SKDS 7 7–8 6–9 0–9 0–9
1–31 December 2021 Factum Interactive 7 0–9 0–9 0–9 0–9
1–30 November 2021 Factum Interactive 7 0–8 0–8 0–9 0–9
8–29 November 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
6 0–7 0–7 0–7 0–7
1–31 October 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
0 0–7 0–7 0–7 0–9
1–31 October 2021 Factum Interactive 7 0–7 0–7 0–7 0–7
1 September–1 October 2021 Factum Interactive          
1–30 September 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
         
1–31 August 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
         
27–31 August 2021 Factum Interactive          
1–31 July 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
7 7–8 7–9 6–9 6–10
27–31 July 2021 Factum Interactive          
1–30 June 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
7 6–7 6–8 0–9 0–9
1–31 May 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
9 7–9 7–10 7–10 7–11
26–31 May 2021 Factum Interactive 9 7–12 7–12 7–13 7–13
1–30 April 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
7 6–9 6–9 6–9 0–10
26–30 April 2021 Factum Interactive 8 7–9 7–10 7–11 7–13
9–19 April 2021 Latvijas Fakti 9 7–12 7–12 7–12 7–12
1–31 March 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
         
1–31 March 2021 Latvijas Fakti          
26–30 March 2021 Factum Interactive          
1–28 February 2021 Latvijas Fakti          
1–28 February 2021 Factum Interactive 9 9–10 9–10 8–11 8–12
28–31 January 2021 Factum Interactive          
1–31 December 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
12 10–13 9–13 9–13 9–14
1–17 December 2020 Factum Interactive          
1–30 November 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
9 7–11 7–11 7–12 6–13
11–30 November 2020 Factum Interactive          
26–30 October 2020 Factum Interactive          
9–20 October 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
12 10–13 9–13 9–14 9–15
29 September–4 October 2020 Factum Interactive          
11–21 September 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
12 10–13 9–13 9–14 9–14
1–31 August 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
9 8–10 7–10 7–11 7–13
1–24 August 2020 Factum Interactive          
7–20 August 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
9 7–9 7–11 7–11 7–12
1–31 July 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
0 0 0 0 0–11
8–31 July 2020 Factum Interactive          
1–30 June 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
9 7–12 7–13 6–13 6–13
1–30 June 2020 Factum Interactive          
23 May–2 June 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
8 6–10 6–11 6–12 0–13
18–31 May 2020 Factum Interactive          
7–26 April 2020 Factum Interactive          
1–31 March 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
10 9–12 8–12 8–13 7–13
4–28 March 2020 Factum Interactive          
24–28 February 2020 Factum Interactive          
7–18 February 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
9 7–11 7–11 7–12 7–13
28 January–1 February 2020 Factum Interactive          
1–31 January 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
         
18–31 December 2019 Factum Interactive          
30 November–12 December 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
13 13 13 12–13 9–13
21–24 November 2019 Factum Interactive          
2–12 November 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
11 9–13 9–13 9–13 8–14
15–22 October 2019 Factum Interactive          
5–16 October 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
13 12–13 12–15 11–15 10–17
27–30 September 2019 Factum Interactive          
6–18 September 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
13 11–13 11–13 11–15 10–15
1–31 August 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
9 9 9–11 8–11 8–11
27–30 August 2019 Factum Interactive          
1–31 July 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
9 8–12 7–12 7–13 7–13
22–29 July 2019 Factum Interactive          
26–30 June 2019 Factum Interactive          
7–17 June 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
         
1–31 May 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
         
1–28 May 2019 Factum Interactive          
1–21 May 2019 Berg Research
jauns.lv
         
1–30 April 2019 Factum Interactive          
1–27 April 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
         
12–22 April 2019 Latvijas Fakti          
10–14 April 2019 Factum Interactive          
26 March–5 April 2019 Factum Interactive          
1–31 March 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
         
1–31 March 2019 Factum Interactive          
3–18 March 2019 Latvijas Fakti          
1–28 February 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
         
11–23 January 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
         
1–12 December 2018 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
         
3–15 November 2018 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
         
13–23 October 2018 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija
         

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Jaunā konservatīvā partija.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 91% 100% Median
1 0% 9%  
2 0% 9%  
3 0% 9%  
4 0% 9%  
5 0% 9%  
6 3% 9%  
7 6% 6%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result