Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa”

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 19.8% (General Election of 6 October 2018)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 7.7% 6.8–8.6% 6.5–8.8% 6.3–9.0% 6.0–9.5%
1–30 September 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 7.3% 6.6–8.1% 6.4–8.4% 6.2–8.6% 5.9–9.0%
15–20 September 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV		 8.0% 7.3–8.8% 7.1–9.0% 6.9–9.2% 6.6–9.6%
4–6 September 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV		 9.0% 8.1–10.1% 7.9–10.4% 7.6–10.7% 7.2–11.2%
1–31 August 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 9.5% 8.7–10.5% 8.5–10.7% 8.3–11.0% 7.9–11.4%
16–21 August 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV		 9.2% 8.2–10.5% 7.9–10.8% 7.7–11.1% 7.2–11.8%
3–7 August 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV		 10.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 July 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 10.8% 9.9–11.8% 9.6–12.1% 9.4–12.3% 9.0–12.8%
20–24 July 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV		 10.3% 9.2–11.5% 8.9–11.9% 8.7–12.2% 8.2–12.8%
6–10 July 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV		 10.6% 9.3–12.1% 9.0–12.5% 8.7–12.8% 8.1–13.6%
1–30 June 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 10.3% 9.4–11.3% 9.2–11.6% 9.0–11.8% 8.6–12.3%
27–31 May 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV		 10.6% 9.5–11.9% 9.2–12.2% 8.9–12.6% 8.4–13.2%
13–24 May 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 11.8% 10.9–12.8% 10.6–13.1% 10.4–13.4% 10.0–13.9%
22 April–2 May 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 10.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–29 April 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV		 12.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 March 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 11.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29–31 March 2022 Factum Interactive 11.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–28 February 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 17.4% 16.3–18.6% 16.0–18.9% 15.7–19.2% 15.2–19.8%
23–28 February 2022 Factum Interactive 12.7% 11.6–13.9% 11.3–14.3% 11.0–14.6% 10.5–15.2%
1 January–2 February 2022 Factum Interactive 12.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 January 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 18.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 December 2021 SKDS 19.3% 18.2–20.5% 17.8–20.9% 17.6–21.2% 17.0–21.8%
1–31 December 2021 Factum Interactive 12.2% 11.1–13.4% 10.8–13.7% 10.6–14.0% 10.1–14.6%
1–30 November 2021 Factum Interactive 12.9% 11.6–14.5% 11.2–15.0% 10.9–15.3% 10.2–16.1%
8–29 November 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 17.8% 16.7–19.0% 16.4–19.3% 16.1–19.6% 15.6–20.2%
1–31 October 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 19.9% 18.2–21.8% 17.8–22.3% 17.3–22.8% 16.6–23.7%
1–31 October 2021 Factum Interactive 12.6% 11.7–13.7% 11.4–13.9% 11.2–14.2% 10.7–14.7%
1 September–1 October 2021 Factum Interactive 13.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–30 September 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 20.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 August 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 22.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27–31 August 2021 Factum Interactive 14.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 July 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 19.0% 17.8–20.2% 17.5–20.6% 17.2–20.9% 16.7–21.5%
27–31 July 2021 Factum Interactive 15.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–30 June 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 19.3% 18.1–20.5% 17.8–20.9% 17.5–21.2% 17.0–21.8%
1–31 May 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 18.5% 17.4–19.7% 17.1–20.1% 16.8–20.4% 16.2–21.0%
26–31 May 2021 Factum Interactive 18.2% 16.3–20.4% 15.7–21.0% 15.3–21.6% 14.4–22.7%
1–30 April 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 20.0% 18.4–21.9% 17.9–22.5% 17.5–22.9% 16.7–23.8%
26–30 April 2021 Factum Interactive 15.2% 13.9–16.6% 13.6–17.0% 13.3–17.4% 12.7–18.1%
9–19 April 2021 Latvijas Fakti 19.0% 17.5–20.7% 17.1–21.2% 16.7–21.6% 16.0–22.4%
1–31 March 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 18.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 March 2021 Latvijas Fakti 21.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–30 March 2021 Factum Interactive 13.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–28 February 2021 Latvijas Fakti 20.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–28 February 2021 Factum Interactive 12.0% 11.1–13.0% 10.9–13.3% 10.6–13.6% 10.2–14.1%
28–31 January 2021 Factum Interactive 11.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 December 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 22.0% 20.3–23.9% 19.8–24.4% 19.4–24.8% 18.6–25.7%
1–17 December 2020 Factum Interactive 12.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–30 November 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 20.3% 18.6–22.2% 18.1–22.7% 17.7–23.2% 16.9–24.1%
11–30 November 2020 Factum Interactive 14.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–30 October 2020 Factum Interactive 15.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–20 October 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 19.8% 18.1–21.6% 17.7–22.1% 17.3–22.5% 16.5–23.4%
29 September–4 October 2020 Factum Interactive 14.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–21 September 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 17.3% 15.8–19.1% 15.4–19.6% 15.0–20.0% 14.3–20.8%
1–31 August 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 21.9% 20.3–23.7% 19.8–24.2% 19.4–24.7% 18.6–25.6%
1–24 August 2020 Factum Interactive 15.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–20 August 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 21.7% 20.0–23.5% 19.5–24.0% 19.1–24.5% 18.3–25.4%
1–31 July 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 15.5% 14.0–17.2% 13.6–17.6% 13.3–18.0% 12.6–18.9%
8–31 July 2020 Factum Interactive 16.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–30 June 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 25.0% 22.5–27.7% 21.8–28.5% 21.3–29.2% 20.1–30.5%
1–30 June 2020 Factum Interactive 14.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23 May–2 June 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 26.0% 23.5–28.7% 22.8–29.5% 22.2–30.2% 21.0–31.5%
18–31 May 2020 Factum Interactive 16.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–26 April 2020 Factum Interactive 16.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 March 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 27.7% 25.8–29.7% 25.3–30.2% 24.9–30.7% 24.0–31.7%
4–28 March 2020 Factum Interactive 17.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–28 February 2020 Factum Interactive 17.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–18 February 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 24.3% 22.5–26.2% 22.0–26.8% 21.6–27.3% 20.7–28.2%
28 January–1 February 2020 Factum Interactive 20.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 January 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 23.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–31 December 2019 Factum Interactive 19.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 November–12 December 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 25.5% 23.6–27.5% 23.1–28.0% 22.6–28.5% 21.7–29.5%
21–24 November 2019 Factum Interactive 20.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–12 November 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 20.4% 18.7–22.2% 18.2–22.7% 17.8–23.2% 17.1–24.0%
15–22 October 2019 Factum Interactive 19.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–16 October 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 22.7% 21.0–24.5% 20.5–25.0% 20.1–25.5% 19.3–26.4%
27–30 September 2019 Factum Interactive 19.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–18 September 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 23.6% 21.8–25.4% 21.3–26.0% 20.9–26.4% 20.1–27.4%
1–31 August 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 25.5% 23.6–27.5% 23.1–28.0% 22.6–28.5% 21.7–29.5%
27–30 August 2019 Factum Interactive 18.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 July 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 25.5% 23.6–27.5% 23.1–28.0% 22.6–28.5% 21.7–29.5%
22–29 July 2019 Factum Interactive 17.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–30 June 2019 Factum Interactive 16.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–17 June 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 25.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 May 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 27.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–28 May 2019 Factum Interactive 16.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–21 May 2019 Berg Research
jauns.lv		 18.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–30 April 2019 Factum Interactive 20.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–27 April 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 31.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–22 April 2019 Latvijas Fakti 22.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–14 April 2019 Factum Interactive 19.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26 March–5 April 2019 Factum Interactive 19.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 March 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 28.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 March 2019 Factum Interactive 15.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–18 March 2019 Latvijas Fakti 20.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–28 February 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 30.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–23 January 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 24.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–12 December 2018 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 28.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–15 November 2018 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 26.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–23 October 2018 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 25.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa”.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 5% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 37% 95%  
7.5–8.5% 47% 58% Median
8.5–9.5% 10% 11%  
9.5–10.5% 0.3% 0.3%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 0%  
11.5–12.5% 0% 0%  
12.5–13.5% 0% 0%  
13.5–14.5% 0% 0%  
14.5–15.5% 0% 0%  
15.5–16.5% 0% 0%  
16.5–17.5% 0% 0%  
17.5–18.5% 0% 0%  
18.5–19.5% 0% 0%  
19.5–20.5% 0% 0% Last Result

Seats

Last result: 23 seats (General Election of 6 October 2018)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 11 9–13 9–13 8–13 8–14
1–30 September 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 13 11–13 9–13 9–13 8–14
15–20 September 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV		 10 9–12 9–13 8–13 7–13
4–6 September 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV		 13 13 12–13 12–13 9–14
1–31 August 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 14 13–14 12–14 11–14 10–15
16–21 August 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV		 10 9–14 9–14 9–16 9–16
3–7 August 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV		          
1–31 July 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 13 13–14 12–14 12–15 12–15
20–24 July 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV		 13 10–14 10–15 10–16 10–17
6–10 July 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV		 14 13–16 12–16 12–16 10–17
1–30 June 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 14 13–15 13–16 13–16 12–16
27–31 May 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV		 14 11–14 11–14 11–15 10–15
13–24 May 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 16 14–16 14–17 14–17 14–19
22 April–2 May 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		          
26–29 April 2022 Factum Interactive
ReTV		          
1–31 March 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		          
29–31 March 2022 Factum Interactive          
1–28 February 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 21 21–24 20–24 20–25 19–26
23–28 February 2022 Factum Interactive 16 16–18 16–18 15–19 15–20
1 January–2 February 2022 Factum Interactive          
1–31 January 2022 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		          
1–31 December 2021 SKDS 23 20–26 20–27 20–27 20–29
1–31 December 2021 Factum Interactive 16 15–17 15–17 15–17 15–18
1–30 November 2021 Factum Interactive 16 16–19 15–20 15–21 14–22
8–29 November 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 21 19–24 19–24 19–25 18–28
1–31 October 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 23 22–29 22–29 21–31 19–31
1–31 October 2021 Factum Interactive 17 16–18 16–18 15–18 15–20
1 September–1 October 2021 Factum Interactive          
1–30 September 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		          
1–31 August 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		          
27–31 August 2021 Factum Interactive          
1–31 July 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 21 19–23 19–23 19–23 17–24
27–31 July 2021 Factum Interactive          
1–30 June 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 22 20–23 20–24 19–24 18–26
1–31 May 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 20 19–22 18–22 17–22 17–24
26–31 May 2021 Factum Interactive 22 20–25 19–25 19–25 17–27
1–30 April 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 22 20–25 19–25 17–25 17–26
26–30 April 2021 Factum Interactive 18 17–20 16–22 16–22 15–23
9–19 April 2021 Latvijas Fakti 23 20–24 19–25 18–25 18–27
1–31 March 2021 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		          
1–31 March 2021 Latvijas Fakti          
26–30 March 2021 Factum Interactive          
1–28 February 2021 Latvijas Fakti          
1–28 February 2021 Factum Interactive 16 15–18 15–18 15–18 15–18
28–31 January 2021 Factum Interactive          
1–31 December 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 25 23–27 23–28 22–29 21–30
1–17 December 2020 Factum Interactive          
1–30 November 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 21 19–23 19–25 19–26 17–27
11–30 November 2020 Factum Interactive          
26–30 October 2020 Factum Interactive          
9–20 October 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 23 20–24 19–25 18–26 17–27
29 September–4 October 2020 Factum Interactive          
11–21 September 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 20 18–22 18–23 17–24 16–25
1–31 August 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 24 23–28 23–28 22–28 21–29
1–24 August 2020 Factum Interactive          
7–20 August 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 24 23–27 23–28 22–28 21–29
1–31 July 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 37 33–41 33–43 33–45 30–46
8–31 July 2020 Factum Interactive          
1–30 June 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 28 25–31 24–32 23–33 22–35
1–30 June 2020 Factum Interactive          
23 May–2 June 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 29 26–33 25–34 24–34 23–36
18–31 May 2020 Factum Interactive          
7–26 April 2020 Factum Interactive          
1–31 March 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 31 29–34 29–34 29–34 27–35
4–28 March 2020 Factum Interactive          
24–28 February 2020 Factum Interactive          
7–18 February 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 28 25–29 24–30 24–31 23–31
28 January–1 February 2020 Factum Interactive          
1–31 January 2020 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		          
18–31 December 2019 Factum Interactive          
30 November–12 December 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 32 29–32 29–32 29–32 27–33
21–24 November 2019 Factum Interactive          
2–12 November 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 24 21–25 21–26 20–27 19–29
15–22 October 2019 Factum Interactive          
5–16 October 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 27 24–29 24–30 24–30 22–31
27–30 September 2019 Factum Interactive          
6–18 September 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 27 25–29 25–30 24–30 22–31
1–31 August 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 29 29–30 29–30 29–30 27–30
27–30 August 2019 Factum Interactive          
1–31 July 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		 28 26–29 25–30 25–30 24–31
22–29 July 2019 Factum Interactive          
26–30 June 2019 Factum Interactive          
7–17 June 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		          
1–31 May 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		          
1–28 May 2019 Factum Interactive          
1–21 May 2019 Berg Research
jauns.lv		          
1–30 April 2019 Factum Interactive          
1–27 April 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		          
12–22 April 2019 Latvijas Fakti          
10–14 April 2019 Factum Interactive          
26 March–5 April 2019 Factum Interactive          
1–31 March 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		          
1–31 March 2019 Factum Interactive          
3–18 March 2019 Latvijas Fakti          
1–28 February 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		          
11–23 January 2019 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		          
1–12 December 2018 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		          
3–15 November 2018 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		          
13–23 October 2018 SKDS
Latvijas Televīzija		          

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa”.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.5% 100%  
8 3% 99.5%  
9 17% 97%  
10 16% 80%  
11 26% 64% Median
12 8% 38%  
13 29% 31%  
14 1.2% 1.3%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0% Last Result