Opinion Poll by SKDS for Latvijas Televīzija, 2–12 November 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” | 19.8% | 20.4% | 18.7–22.2% | 18.2–22.7% | 17.8–23.2% | 17.1–24.0% |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 11.0% | 16.0% | 14.5–17.6% | 14.0–18.1% | 13.7–18.5% | 13.0–19.3% |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 9.9% | 13.7% | 12.3–15.3% | 11.9–15.7% | 11.6–16.1% | 10.9–16.9% |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 6.7% | 11.8% | 10.5–13.3% | 10.1–13.7% | 9.8–14.1% | 9.2–14.8% |
| Attīstībai/Par! | 12.0% | 10.2% | 9.0–11.6% | 8.6–12.0% | 8.4–12.4% | 7.8–13.1% |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 13.6% | 9.8% | 8.7–11.2% | 8.3–11.6% | 8.0–12.0% | 7.5–12.7% |
| Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 14.2% | 5.4% | 4.6–6.5% | 4.3–6.9% | 4.1–7.1% | 3.7–7.7% |
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.3–6.2% | 4.0–6.5% | 3.8–6.8% | 3.5–7.3% |
| PROGRESĪVIE | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.1–4.8% | 2.9–5.1% | 2.8–5.3% | 2.5–5.8% |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.9–4.6% | 2.7–4.8% | 2.6–5.1% | 2.3–5.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” | 23 | 24 | 21–25 | 21–26 | 20–27 | 19–29 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 13 | 17 | 16–20 | 15–20 | 14–20 | 14–21 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 11 | 16 | 14–17 | 13–17 | 13–18 | 11–19 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 8 | 13 | 11–15 | 11–16 | 11–17 | 11–17 |
| Attīstībai/Par! | 13 | 11 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 9–15 | 8–15 |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 16 | 11 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 8–14 |
| Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 16 | 5 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–10 |
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība | 0 | 6 | 0–6 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 |
| PROGRESĪVIE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–5 | 0–7 |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–7 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 20 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 21 | 18% | 97% | |
| 22 | 14% | 80% | |
| 23 | 14% | 66% | Last Result |
| 24 | 16% | 52% | Median |
| 25 | 28% | 36% | |
| 26 | 4% | 7% | |
| 27 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 28 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 29 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 14 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 15 | 4% | 97% | |
| 16 | 29% | 92% | |
| 17 | 23% | 63% | Median |
| 18 | 10% | 40% | |
| 19 | 13% | 30% | |
| 20 | 16% | 17% | |
| 21 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.6% | 100% | Last Result |
| 12 | 1.1% | 99.4% | |
| 13 | 4% | 98% | |
| 14 | 12% | 94% | |
| 15 | 11% | 82% | |
| 16 | 30% | 70% | Median |
| 17 | 37% | 40% | |
| 18 | 2% | 3% | |
| 19 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 31% | 99.7% | |
| 12 | 11% | 68% | |
| 13 | 26% | 58% | Median |
| 14 | 20% | 31% | |
| 15 | 6% | 11% | |
| 16 | 2% | 5% | |
| 17 | 3% | 3% | |
| 18 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Attīstībai/Par!
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Attīstībai/Par! page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 9 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 10 | 46% | 97% | |
| 11 | 14% | 51% | Median |
| 12 | 8% | 37% | |
| 13 | 7% | 29% | Last Result |
| 14 | 18% | 22% | |
| 15 | 4% | 4% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 28% | 98% | |
| 10 | 12% | 70% | |
| 11 | 17% | 58% | Median |
| 12 | 25% | 41% | |
| 13 | 14% | 16% | |
| 14 | 2% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Politiskā partija „KPV LV” page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 18% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 82% | |
| 2 | 0% | 82% | |
| 3 | 0% | 82% | |
| 4 | 0% | 82% | |
| 5 | 33% | 82% | Median |
| 6 | 22% | 50% | |
| 7 | 25% | 27% | |
| 8 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 10 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 50% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 50% | |
| 2 | 0% | 50% | |
| 3 | 0% | 50% | |
| 4 | 0% | 50% | |
| 5 | 0% | 50% | |
| 6 | 44% | 50% | Median |
| 7 | 6% | 7% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
PROGRESĪVIE
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 96% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 4% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 6 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 7 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Latvijas Krievu savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98.5% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 4 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 6 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 7 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 61 | 68 | 100% | 63–74 | 63–74 | 62–76 | 60–77 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! | 45 | 57 | 99.2% | 53–62 | 52–62 | 51–63 | 50–66 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 48 | 56 | 98% | 53–63 | 51–63 | 51–63 | 50–65 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 66 | 57 | 98.6% | 54–62 | 52–62 | 52–62 | 49–64 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 53 | 56 | 97% | 52–60 | 51–60 | 50–61 | 48–64 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 50 | 53 | 69% | 48–57 | 47–57 | 47–59 | 46–61 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 50 | 46 | 7% | 43–50 | 42–51 | 41–52 | 37–53 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 52 | 46 | 4% | 42–49 | 41–50 | 41–52 | 38–53 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 32 | 46 | 9% | 42–50 | 41–51 | 41–51 | 39–53 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 53 | 46 | 9% | 42–50 | 40–51 | 40–51 | 38–53 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! | 37 | 45 | 1.4% | 41–48 | 40–49 | 40–50 | 38–51 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 58 | 45 | 0.7% | 41–48 | 40–49 | 39–49 | 37–51 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 40 | 44 | 0.6% | 41–49 | 40–49 | 38–49 | 37–51 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 50 | 45 | 0.3% | 39–47 | 39–49 | 38–49 | 37–50 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 53 | 41 | 0% | 36–43 | 35–45 | 34–46 | 32–47 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! | 36 | 35 | 0% | 32–39 | 31–39 | 31–40 | 29–42 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 39 | 30 | 0% | 24–32 | 22–32 | 21–32 | 21–34 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.3% | Last Result |
| 62 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 63 | 10% | 97% | |
| 64 | 9% | 87% | |
| 65 | 7% | 78% | |
| 66 | 5% | 71% | |
| 67 | 4% | 66% | |
| 68 | 16% | 62% | Median |
| 69 | 5% | 47% | |
| 70 | 18% | 42% | |
| 71 | 3% | 24% | |
| 72 | 7% | 21% | |
| 73 | 3% | 13% | |
| 74 | 6% | 10% | |
| 75 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 76 | 2% | 3% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par!

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 51 | 2% | 99.2% | Majority |
| 52 | 7% | 97% | |
| 53 | 2% | 90% | |
| 54 | 6% | 88% | |
| 55 | 11% | 82% | |
| 56 | 14% | 71% | |
| 57 | 8% | 57% | Median |
| 58 | 11% | 49% | |
| 59 | 8% | 38% | |
| 60 | 13% | 31% | |
| 61 | 4% | 18% | |
| 62 | 10% | 14% | |
| 63 | 3% | 4% | |
| 64 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 50 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 51 | 3% | 98% | Majority |
| 52 | 3% | 94% | |
| 53 | 10% | 92% | |
| 54 | 9% | 82% | |
| 55 | 10% | 73% | |
| 56 | 14% | 63% | |
| 57 | 9% | 50% | Median |
| 58 | 13% | 40% | |
| 59 | 3% | 27% | |
| 60 | 7% | 24% | |
| 61 | 2% | 17% | |
| 62 | 5% | 15% | |
| 63 | 8% | 10% | |
| 64 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 51 | 1.0% | 98.6% | Majority |
| 52 | 4% | 98% | |
| 53 | 2% | 93% | |
| 54 | 7% | 91% | |
| 55 | 16% | 84% | |
| 56 | 9% | 68% | |
| 57 | 9% | 58% | Median |
| 58 | 15% | 49% | |
| 59 | 4% | 34% | |
| 60 | 14% | 30% | |
| 61 | 6% | 17% | |
| 62 | 9% | 10% | |
| 63 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 49 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 50 | 1.5% | 98.9% | |
| 51 | 6% | 97% | Majority |
| 52 | 11% | 91% | |
| 53 | 10% | 80% | Last Result |
| 54 | 15% | 70% | |
| 55 | 5% | 56% | Median |
| 56 | 11% | 51% | |
| 57 | 15% | 40% | |
| 58 | 3% | 25% | |
| 59 | 9% | 22% | |
| 60 | 10% | 13% | |
| 61 | 2% | 3% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 64 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 47 | 6% | 98.7% | |
| 48 | 4% | 93% | |
| 49 | 17% | 89% | |
| 50 | 3% | 72% | Last Result |
| 51 | 11% | 69% | Majority |
| 52 | 8% | 59% | Median |
| 53 | 15% | 51% | |
| 54 | 9% | 36% | |
| 55 | 9% | 27% | |
| 56 | 6% | 18% | |
| 57 | 8% | 12% | |
| 58 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 59 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 61 | 2% | 2% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 40 | 1.0% | 98.5% | |
| 41 | 2% | 98% | |
| 42 | 3% | 96% | |
| 43 | 8% | 93% | |
| 44 | 9% | 85% | |
| 45 | 14% | 76% | |
| 46 | 13% | 62% | Median |
| 47 | 9% | 49% | |
| 48 | 17% | 40% | |
| 49 | 7% | 23% | |
| 50 | 9% | 16% | Last Result |
| 51 | 4% | 7% | Majority |
| 52 | 2% | 3% | |
| 53 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 98.9% | |
| 41 | 7% | 98% | |
| 42 | 8% | 92% | |
| 43 | 10% | 84% | |
| 44 | 13% | 74% | |
| 45 | 3% | 61% | |
| 46 | 17% | 57% | Median |
| 47 | 13% | 40% | |
| 48 | 9% | 27% | |
| 49 | 11% | 18% | |
| 50 | 3% | 7% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 4% | Majority |
| 52 | 1.1% | 3% | Last Result |
| 53 | 2% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 40 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 41 | 7% | 99.0% | |
| 42 | 8% | 92% | |
| 43 | 4% | 84% | |
| 44 | 4% | 80% | |
| 45 | 13% | 76% | |
| 46 | 27% | 63% | Median |
| 47 | 9% | 36% | |
| 48 | 10% | 27% | |
| 49 | 2% | 17% | |
| 50 | 6% | 15% | |
| 51 | 8% | 9% | Majority |
| 52 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 40 | 4% | 98% | |
| 41 | 5% | 95% | |
| 42 | 3% | 90% | |
| 43 | 4% | 87% | |
| 44 | 17% | 83% | |
| 45 | 15% | 67% | |
| 46 | 12% | 52% | Median |
| 47 | 11% | 39% | |
| 48 | 6% | 29% | |
| 49 | 4% | 22% | |
| 50 | 9% | 18% | |
| 51 | 8% | 9% | Majority |
| 52 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 53 | 0.8% | 1.0% | Last Result |
| 54 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par!

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 38 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 39 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 40 | 3% | 98% | |
| 41 | 7% | 95% | |
| 42 | 15% | 88% | |
| 43 | 9% | 72% | |
| 44 | 13% | 64% | Median |
| 45 | 16% | 51% | |
| 46 | 4% | 36% | |
| 47 | 14% | 32% | |
| 48 | 11% | 18% | |
| 49 | 3% | 7% | |
| 50 | 2% | 4% | |
| 51 | 1.2% | 1.4% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 38 | 1.4% | 99.0% | |
| 39 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 40 | 2% | 97% | |
| 41 | 8% | 95% | |
| 42 | 10% | 87% | |
| 43 | 13% | 77% | |
| 44 | 11% | 63% | Median |
| 45 | 18% | 53% | |
| 46 | 8% | 34% | |
| 47 | 10% | 26% | |
| 48 | 10% | 17% | |
| 49 | 4% | 6% | |
| 50 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 0.7% | Majority |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 40 | 5% | 97% | Last Result |
| 41 | 8% | 92% | |
| 42 | 11% | 85% | |
| 43 | 20% | 73% | |
| 44 | 15% | 53% | Median |
| 45 | 9% | 37% | |
| 46 | 9% | 28% | |
| 47 | 4% | 20% | |
| 48 | 3% | 15% | |
| 49 | 12% | 13% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 0.6% | Majority |
| 52 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 38 | 3% | 98% | |
| 39 | 6% | 95% | |
| 40 | 2% | 89% | |
| 41 | 3% | 87% | |
| 42 | 7% | 84% | |
| 43 | 14% | 77% | |
| 44 | 6% | 63% | |
| 45 | 19% | 57% | Median |
| 46 | 15% | 37% | |
| 47 | 15% | 23% | |
| 48 | 2% | 8% | |
| 49 | 5% | 5% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 51 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 34 | 2% | 98% | |
| 35 | 5% | 96% | |
| 36 | 2% | 92% | |
| 37 | 14% | 89% | |
| 38 | 8% | 75% | |
| 39 | 9% | 67% | |
| 40 | 4% | 58% | Median |
| 41 | 20% | 54% | |
| 42 | 23% | 34% | |
| 43 | 3% | 11% | |
| 44 | 2% | 8% | |
| 45 | 2% | 5% | |
| 46 | 3% | 3% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par!

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 0.8% | 98.7% | |
| 31 | 8% | 98% | |
| 32 | 16% | 90% | |
| 33 | 12% | 74% | |
| 34 | 10% | 61% | |
| 35 | 12% | 52% | Median |
| 36 | 12% | 40% | Last Result |
| 37 | 7% | 28% | |
| 38 | 5% | 20% | |
| 39 | 12% | 15% | |
| 40 | 2% | 3% | |
| 41 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 22 | 5% | 97% | |
| 23 | 2% | 92% | |
| 24 | 4% | 91% | |
| 25 | 3% | 87% | |
| 26 | 13% | 84% | |
| 27 | 4% | 71% | |
| 28 | 7% | 67% | |
| 29 | 9% | 60% | Median |
| 30 | 29% | 50% | |
| 31 | 9% | 22% | |
| 32 | 11% | 12% | |
| 33 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 34 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: SKDS
- Commissioner(s): Latvijas Televīzija
- Fieldwork period: 2–12 November 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 884
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.47%