Opinion Poll by SKDS for Latvijas Televīzija, 2–12 November 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” |
19.8% |
20.4% |
18.7–22.2% |
18.2–22.7% |
17.8–23.2% |
17.1–24.0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” |
11.0% |
16.0% |
14.5–17.6% |
14.0–18.1% |
13.7–18.5% |
13.0–19.3% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība |
9.9% |
13.7% |
12.3–15.3% |
11.9–15.7% |
11.6–16.1% |
10.9–16.9% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA |
6.7% |
11.8% |
10.5–13.3% |
10.1–13.7% |
9.8–14.1% |
9.2–14.8% |
Attīstībai/Par! |
12.0% |
10.2% |
9.0–11.6% |
8.6–12.0% |
8.4–12.4% |
7.8–13.1% |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
13.6% |
9.8% |
8.7–11.2% |
8.3–11.6% |
8.0–12.0% |
7.5–12.7% |
Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
14.2% |
5.4% |
4.6–6.5% |
4.3–6.9% |
4.1–7.1% |
3.7–7.7% |
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība |
4.1% |
5.1% |
4.3–6.2% |
4.0–6.5% |
3.8–6.8% |
3.5–7.3% |
PROGRESĪVIE |
2.6% |
3.8% |
3.1–4.8% |
2.9–5.1% |
2.8–5.3% |
2.5–5.8% |
Latvijas Krievu savienība |
3.2% |
3.6% |
2.9–4.6% |
2.7–4.8% |
2.6–5.1% |
2.3–5.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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
Confidence Intervals
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
18 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
19 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
20 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
21 |
18% |
97% |
|
22 |
14% |
80% |
|
23 |
14% |
66% |
Last Result |
24 |
16% |
52% |
Median |
25 |
28% |
36% |
|
26 |
4% |
7% |
|
27 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
28 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
29 |
1.0% |
1.5% |
|
30 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
31 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0.3% |
100% |
Last Result |
14 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
15 |
4% |
97% |
|
16 |
29% |
92% |
|
17 |
23% |
63% |
Median |
18 |
10% |
40% |
|
19 |
13% |
30% |
|
20 |
16% |
17% |
|
21 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
22 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.6% |
100% |
Last Result |
12 |
1.1% |
99.4% |
|
13 |
4% |
98% |
|
14 |
12% |
94% |
|
15 |
11% |
82% |
|
16 |
30% |
70% |
Median |
17 |
37% |
40% |
|
18 |
2% |
3% |
|
19 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
20 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
11 |
31% |
99.7% |
|
12 |
11% |
68% |
|
13 |
26% |
58% |
Median |
14 |
20% |
31% |
|
15 |
6% |
11% |
|
16 |
2% |
5% |
|
17 |
3% |
3% |
|
18 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Attīstībai/Par!
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Attīstībai/Par! page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
9 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
10 |
46% |
97% |
|
11 |
14% |
51% |
Median |
12 |
8% |
37% |
|
13 |
7% |
29% |
Last Result |
14 |
18% |
22% |
|
15 |
4% |
4% |
|
16 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā konservatīvā partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
8 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
28% |
98% |
|
10 |
12% |
70% |
|
11 |
17% |
58% |
Median |
12 |
25% |
41% |
|
13 |
14% |
16% |
|
14 |
2% |
2% |
|
15 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Politiskā partija „KPV LV” page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
18% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
82% |
|
2 |
0% |
82% |
|
3 |
0% |
82% |
|
4 |
0% |
82% |
|
5 |
33% |
82% |
Median |
6 |
22% |
50% |
|
7 |
25% |
27% |
|
8 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
9 |
0.5% |
1.4% |
|
10 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
50% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
50% |
|
2 |
0% |
50% |
|
3 |
0% |
50% |
|
4 |
0% |
50% |
|
5 |
0% |
50% |
|
6 |
44% |
50% |
Median |
7 |
6% |
7% |
|
8 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
PROGRESĪVIE
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
96% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
4% |
|
2 |
0% |
4% |
|
3 |
0% |
4% |
|
4 |
0% |
4% |
|
5 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
6 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
7 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Latvijas Krievu savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98.5% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
1.5% |
|
2 |
0% |
1.5% |
|
3 |
0% |
1.5% |
|
4 |
0% |
1.5% |
|
5 |
0.6% |
1.5% |
|
6 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
7 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
8 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
61 |
68 |
100% |
63–74 |
63–74 |
62–76 |
60–77 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! |
45 |
57 |
99.2% |
53–62 |
52–62 |
51–63 |
50–66 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
48 |
56 |
98% |
53–63 |
51–63 |
51–63 |
50–65 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
66 |
57 |
98.6% |
54–62 |
52–62 |
52–62 |
49–64 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
53 |
56 |
97% |
52–60 |
51–60 |
50–61 |
48–64 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
50 |
53 |
69% |
48–57 |
47–57 |
47–59 |
46–61 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
50 |
46 |
7% |
43–50 |
42–51 |
41–52 |
37–53 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
52 |
46 |
4% |
42–49 |
41–50 |
41–52 |
38–53 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA |
32 |
46 |
9% |
42–50 |
41–51 |
41–51 |
39–53 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
53 |
46 |
9% |
42–50 |
40–51 |
40–51 |
38–53 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! |
37 |
45 |
1.4% |
41–48 |
40–49 |
40–50 |
38–51 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
58 |
45 |
0.7% |
41–48 |
40–49 |
39–49 |
37–51 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
40 |
44 |
0.6% |
41–49 |
40–49 |
38–49 |
37–51 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
50 |
45 |
0.3% |
39–47 |
39–49 |
38–49 |
37–50 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
53 |
41 |
0% |
36–43 |
35–45 |
34–46 |
32–47 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! |
36 |
35 |
0% |
32–39 |
31–39 |
31–40 |
29–42 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
39 |
30 |
0% |
24–32 |
22–32 |
21–32 |
21–34 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
61 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
Last Result |
62 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
63 |
10% |
97% |
|
64 |
9% |
87% |
|
65 |
7% |
78% |
|
66 |
5% |
71% |
|
67 |
4% |
66% |
|
68 |
16% |
62% |
Median |
69 |
5% |
47% |
|
70 |
18% |
42% |
|
71 |
3% |
24% |
|
72 |
7% |
21% |
|
73 |
3% |
13% |
|
74 |
6% |
10% |
|
75 |
1.1% |
4% |
|
76 |
2% |
3% |
|
77 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
78 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par!

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
51 |
2% |
99.2% |
Majority |
52 |
7% |
97% |
|
53 |
2% |
90% |
|
54 |
6% |
88% |
|
55 |
11% |
82% |
|
56 |
14% |
71% |
|
57 |
8% |
57% |
Median |
58 |
11% |
49% |
|
59 |
8% |
38% |
|
60 |
13% |
31% |
|
61 |
4% |
18% |
|
62 |
10% |
14% |
|
63 |
3% |
4% |
|
64 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
|
66 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
49 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
50 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
51 |
3% |
98% |
Majority |
52 |
3% |
94% |
|
53 |
10% |
92% |
|
54 |
9% |
82% |
|
55 |
10% |
73% |
|
56 |
14% |
63% |
|
57 |
9% |
50% |
Median |
58 |
13% |
40% |
|
59 |
3% |
27% |
|
60 |
7% |
24% |
|
61 |
2% |
17% |
|
62 |
5% |
15% |
|
63 |
8% |
10% |
|
64 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
65 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
50 |
0.5% |
99.1% |
|
51 |
1.0% |
98.6% |
Majority |
52 |
4% |
98% |
|
53 |
2% |
93% |
|
54 |
7% |
91% |
|
55 |
16% |
84% |
|
56 |
9% |
68% |
|
57 |
9% |
58% |
Median |
58 |
15% |
49% |
|
59 |
4% |
34% |
|
60 |
14% |
30% |
|
61 |
6% |
17% |
|
62 |
9% |
10% |
|
63 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
64 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
66 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
46 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
48 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
49 |
0.6% |
99.4% |
|
50 |
1.5% |
98.9% |
|
51 |
6% |
97% |
Majority |
52 |
11% |
91% |
|
53 |
10% |
80% |
Last Result |
54 |
15% |
70% |
|
55 |
5% |
56% |
Median |
56 |
11% |
51% |
|
57 |
15% |
40% |
|
58 |
3% |
25% |
|
59 |
9% |
22% |
|
60 |
10% |
13% |
|
61 |
2% |
3% |
|
62 |
0.3% |
1.1% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
|
64 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
45 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.9% |
99.6% |
|
47 |
6% |
98.7% |
|
48 |
4% |
93% |
|
49 |
17% |
89% |
|
50 |
3% |
72% |
Last Result |
51 |
11% |
69% |
Majority |
52 |
8% |
59% |
Median |
53 |
15% |
51% |
|
54 |
9% |
36% |
|
55 |
9% |
27% |
|
56 |
6% |
18% |
|
57 |
8% |
12% |
|
58 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
59 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
60 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
61 |
2% |
2% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
37 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
38 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
39 |
0.6% |
99.1% |
|
40 |
1.0% |
98.5% |
|
41 |
2% |
98% |
|
42 |
3% |
96% |
|
43 |
8% |
93% |
|
44 |
9% |
85% |
|
45 |
14% |
76% |
|
46 |
13% |
62% |
Median |
47 |
9% |
49% |
|
48 |
17% |
40% |
|
49 |
7% |
23% |
|
50 |
9% |
16% |
Last Result |
51 |
4% |
7% |
Majority |
52 |
2% |
3% |
|
53 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
38 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
39 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
|
40 |
0.5% |
98.9% |
|
41 |
7% |
98% |
|
42 |
8% |
92% |
|
43 |
10% |
84% |
|
44 |
13% |
74% |
|
45 |
3% |
61% |
|
46 |
17% |
57% |
Median |
47 |
13% |
40% |
|
48 |
9% |
27% |
|
49 |
11% |
18% |
|
50 |
3% |
7% |
|
51 |
0.2% |
4% |
Majority |
52 |
1.1% |
3% |
Last Result |
53 |
2% |
2% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
55 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
39 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
40 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
41 |
7% |
99.0% |
|
42 |
8% |
92% |
|
43 |
4% |
84% |
|
44 |
4% |
80% |
|
45 |
13% |
76% |
|
46 |
27% |
63% |
Median |
47 |
9% |
36% |
|
48 |
10% |
27% |
|
49 |
2% |
17% |
|
50 |
6% |
15% |
|
51 |
8% |
9% |
Majority |
52 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
53 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
54 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
37 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
38 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
39 |
0.9% |
99.2% |
|
40 |
4% |
98% |
|
41 |
5% |
95% |
|
42 |
3% |
90% |
|
43 |
4% |
87% |
|
44 |
17% |
83% |
|
45 |
15% |
67% |
|
46 |
12% |
52% |
Median |
47 |
11% |
39% |
|
48 |
6% |
29% |
|
49 |
4% |
22% |
|
50 |
9% |
18% |
|
51 |
8% |
9% |
Majority |
52 |
0.5% |
1.4% |
|
53 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
Last Result |
54 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par!

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
38 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
39 |
1.0% |
99.2% |
|
40 |
3% |
98% |
|
41 |
7% |
95% |
|
42 |
15% |
88% |
|
43 |
9% |
72% |
|
44 |
13% |
64% |
Median |
45 |
16% |
51% |
|
46 |
4% |
36% |
|
47 |
14% |
32% |
|
48 |
11% |
18% |
|
49 |
3% |
7% |
|
50 |
2% |
4% |
|
51 |
1.2% |
1.4% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
0.7% |
99.7% |
|
38 |
1.4% |
99.0% |
|
39 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
40 |
2% |
97% |
|
41 |
8% |
95% |
|
42 |
10% |
87% |
|
43 |
13% |
77% |
|
44 |
11% |
63% |
Median |
45 |
18% |
53% |
|
46 |
8% |
34% |
|
47 |
10% |
26% |
|
48 |
10% |
17% |
|
49 |
4% |
6% |
|
50 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
51 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
Majority |
52 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
53 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
37 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
38 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
39 |
0.4% |
97% |
|
40 |
5% |
97% |
Last Result |
41 |
8% |
92% |
|
42 |
11% |
85% |
|
43 |
20% |
73% |
|
44 |
15% |
53% |
Median |
45 |
9% |
37% |
|
46 |
9% |
28% |
|
47 |
4% |
20% |
|
48 |
3% |
15% |
|
49 |
12% |
13% |
|
50 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
51 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
Majority |
52 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
38 |
3% |
98% |
|
39 |
6% |
95% |
|
40 |
2% |
89% |
|
41 |
3% |
87% |
|
42 |
7% |
84% |
|
43 |
14% |
77% |
|
44 |
6% |
63% |
|
45 |
19% |
57% |
Median |
46 |
15% |
37% |
|
47 |
15% |
23% |
|
48 |
2% |
8% |
|
49 |
5% |
5% |
|
50 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
Last Result |
51 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
31 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
33 |
1.0% |
99.5% |
|
34 |
2% |
98% |
|
35 |
5% |
96% |
|
36 |
2% |
92% |
|
37 |
14% |
89% |
|
38 |
8% |
75% |
|
39 |
9% |
67% |
|
40 |
4% |
58% |
Median |
41 |
20% |
54% |
|
42 |
23% |
34% |
|
43 |
3% |
11% |
|
44 |
2% |
8% |
|
45 |
2% |
5% |
|
46 |
3% |
3% |
|
47 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
48 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par!

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
29 |
1.1% |
99.8% |
|
30 |
0.8% |
98.7% |
|
31 |
8% |
98% |
|
32 |
16% |
90% |
|
33 |
12% |
74% |
|
34 |
10% |
61% |
|
35 |
12% |
52% |
Median |
36 |
12% |
40% |
Last Result |
37 |
7% |
28% |
|
38 |
5% |
20% |
|
39 |
12% |
15% |
|
40 |
2% |
3% |
|
41 |
0.5% |
1.4% |
|
42 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
43 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
19 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
20 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
21 |
3% |
99.8% |
|
22 |
5% |
97% |
|
23 |
2% |
92% |
|
24 |
4% |
91% |
|
25 |
3% |
87% |
|
26 |
13% |
84% |
|
27 |
4% |
71% |
|
28 |
7% |
67% |
|
29 |
9% |
60% |
Median |
30 |
29% |
50% |
|
31 |
9% |
22% |
|
32 |
11% |
12% |
|
33 |
0.6% |
1.4% |
|
34 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: SKDS
- Commissioner(s): Latvijas Televīzija
- Fieldwork period: 2–12 November 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 884
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.47%