Opinion Poll by SKDS for Latvijas Televīzija, 1–31 January 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” | 19.8% | 23.6% | 21.5–25.8% | 21.0–26.4% | 20.5–27.0% | 19.5–28.0% |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 9.9% | 15.0% | 13.4–17.0% | 12.9–17.5% | 12.5–18.0% | 11.8–18.9% |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.5–12.7% | 9.1–13.1% | 8.8–13.6% | 8.1–14.4% |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 13.6% | 10.6% | 9.2–12.3% | 8.8–12.8% | 8.5–13.2% | 7.9–14.1% |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 6.7% | 10.6% | 9.2–12.3% | 8.8–12.8% | 8.5–13.2% | 7.9–14.1% |
| Attīstībai/Par! | 12.0% | 9.4% | 8.1–11.0% | 7.7–11.5% | 7.4–11.9% | 6.8–12.7% |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 3.2% | 6.8% | 5.7–8.3% | 5.4–8.7% | 5.2–9.0% | 4.7–9.8% |
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.1–6.3% | 3.8–6.6% | 3.6–7.0% | 3.2–7.6% |
| Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 14.2% | 3.5% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.5–4.9% | 2.3–5.2% | 2.0–5.8% |
| PROGRESĪVIE | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.5–4.3% | 2.3–4.6% | 2.1–4.8% | 1.8–5.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” | 23 | 26 | 23–28 | 22–29 | 22–29 | 20–31 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 11 | 17 | 14–19 | 14–20 | 13–20 | 13–21 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 13 | 12 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 10–15 | 9–17 |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 16 | 13 | 11–13 | 10–13 | 9–14 | 9–15 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 8 | 11 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 8–15 |
| Attīstībai/Par! | 13 | 9 | 8–12 | 8–14 | 7–14 | 7–15 |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 0 | 8 | 7–9 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 0–10 |
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība | 0 | 6 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 |
| Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| PROGRESĪVIE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–6 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 22 | 5% | 98.6% | |
| 23 | 12% | 94% | Last Result |
| 24 | 8% | 82% | |
| 25 | 7% | 74% | |
| 26 | 17% | 67% | Median |
| 27 | 21% | 50% | |
| 28 | 21% | 29% | |
| 29 | 6% | 9% | |
| 30 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 31 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 12 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 13 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 14 | 11% | 97% | |
| 15 | 8% | 86% | |
| 16 | 13% | 78% | |
| 17 | 36% | 65% | Median |
| 18 | 12% | 29% | |
| 19 | 12% | 17% | |
| 20 | 5% | 6% | |
| 21 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 1.1% | 99.5% | |
| 10 | 9% | 98% | |
| 11 | 18% | 89% | |
| 12 | 28% | 71% | Median |
| 13 | 28% | 43% | Last Result |
| 14 | 8% | 15% | |
| 15 | 5% | 7% | |
| 16 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 10 | 3% | 95% | |
| 11 | 30% | 93% | |
| 12 | 10% | 63% | |
| 13 | 48% | 53% | Median |
| 14 | 2% | 4% | |
| 15 | 2% | 2% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 17 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 1.0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 1.3% | 99.0% | |
| 10 | 10% | 98% | |
| 11 | 47% | 88% | Median |
| 12 | 22% | 40% | |
| 13 | 5% | 19% | |
| 14 | 9% | 14% | |
| 15 | 4% | 5% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Attīstībai/Par!
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Attīstībai/Par! page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 3% | 100% | |
| 8 | 16% | 97% | |
| 9 | 49% | 80% | Median |
| 10 | 3% | 31% | |
| 11 | 2% | 28% | |
| 12 | 17% | 27% | |
| 13 | 4% | 9% | Last Result |
| 14 | 5% | 6% | |
| 15 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Latvijas Krievu savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 98% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 6 | 4% | 98% | |
| 7 | 21% | 93% | |
| 8 | 56% | 72% | Median |
| 9 | 14% | 16% | |
| 10 | 2% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 46% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 54% | |
| 2 | 0% | 54% | |
| 3 | 0% | 54% | |
| 4 | 0% | 54% | |
| 5 | 0% | 54% | |
| 6 | 42% | 54% | Median |
| 7 | 11% | 12% | |
| 8 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Politiskā partija „KPV LV” page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 96% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 4% | |
| 5 | 3% | 4% | |
| 6 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
PROGRESĪVIE
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98.7% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 6 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 7 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! | 61 | 63 | 100% | 58–66 | 58–68 | 57–68 | 56–71 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 48 | 52 | 75% | 49–57 | 49–58 | 48–60 | 46–60 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! | 53 | 52 | 55% | 47–54 | 47–55 | 46–56 | 45–59 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! | 45 | 51 | 56% | 46–54 | 46–55 | 45–56 | 44–58 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! | 52 | 48 | 25% | 44–52 | 44–53 | 43–53 | 41–56 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! | 50 | 46 | 4% | 42–49 | 41–50 | 41–51 | 40–53 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 66 | 46 | 4% | 42–49 | 41–50 | 41–51 | 40–53 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 50 | 43 | 0.6% | 40–46 | 38–48 | 38–48 | 36–51 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 32 | 41 | 0% | 37–44 | 37–46 | 36–47 | 35–47 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 40 | 41 | 0% | 38–45 | 38–45 | 37–46 | 35–48 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! | 37 | 39 | 0% | 35–42 | 35–43 | 34–44 | 33–46 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 53 | 36 | 0% | 33–40 | 32–41 | 32–41 | 30–42 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! | 36 | 36 | 0% | 32–40 | 31–40 | 31–41 | 30–43 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 50 | 34 | 0% | 31–37 | 30–38 | 30–39 | 28–41 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 58 | 35 | 0% | 31–38 | 30–39 | 30–39 | 29–41 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 53 | 34 | 0% | 31–37 | 30–38 | 29–39 | 28–41 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 39 | 27 | 0% | 23–29 | 22–30 | 22–31 | 20–33 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par!

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 57 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 58 | 7% | 97% | |
| 59 | 13% | 89% | |
| 60 | 7% | 76% | |
| 61 | 7% | 69% | Last Result |
| 62 | 3% | 62% | Median |
| 63 | 10% | 59% | |
| 64 | 24% | 48% | |
| 65 | 12% | 24% | |
| 66 | 4% | 12% | |
| 67 | 3% | 8% | |
| 68 | 3% | 6% | |
| 69 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 47 | 1.5% | 99.4% | |
| 48 | 2% | 98% | Last Result |
| 49 | 8% | 96% | |
| 50 | 14% | 88% | |
| 51 | 9% | 75% | Majority |
| 52 | 19% | 66% | |
| 53 | 10% | 47% | Median |
| 54 | 8% | 37% | |
| 55 | 13% | 29% | |
| 56 | 5% | 16% | |
| 57 | 4% | 11% | |
| 58 | 3% | 7% | |
| 59 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 60 | 3% | 3% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par!

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 1.3% | 99.5% | |
| 46 | 3% | 98% | |
| 47 | 10% | 95% | |
| 48 | 9% | 86% | |
| 49 | 10% | 76% | |
| 50 | 11% | 66% | |
| 51 | 5% | 55% | Median, Majority |
| 52 | 22% | 50% | |
| 53 | 9% | 28% | Last Result |
| 54 | 12% | 20% | |
| 55 | 4% | 8% | |
| 56 | 2% | 4% | |
| 57 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par!

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 2% | 99.2% | Last Result |
| 46 | 8% | 97% | |
| 47 | 9% | 89% | |
| 48 | 12% | 79% | |
| 49 | 5% | 67% | Median |
| 50 | 7% | 62% | |
| 51 | 13% | 56% | Majority |
| 52 | 17% | 43% | |
| 53 | 15% | 26% | |
| 54 | 5% | 12% | |
| 55 | 4% | 7% | |
| 56 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 57 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par!

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 42 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 43 | 2% | 98% | |
| 44 | 11% | 97% | |
| 45 | 11% | 86% | |
| 46 | 7% | 75% | |
| 47 | 12% | 68% | |
| 48 | 15% | 56% | Median |
| 49 | 12% | 41% | |
| 50 | 4% | 29% | |
| 51 | 14% | 25% | Majority |
| 52 | 5% | 11% | Last Result |
| 53 | 3% | 5% | |
| 54 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par!

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 41 | 6% | 99.0% | |
| 42 | 7% | 93% | |
| 43 | 7% | 86% | |
| 44 | 12% | 79% | |
| 45 | 10% | 67% | Median |
| 46 | 12% | 57% | |
| 47 | 24% | 45% | |
| 48 | 7% | 21% | |
| 49 | 8% | 15% | |
| 50 | 3% | 7% | Last Result |
| 51 | 2% | 4% | Majority |
| 52 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 41 | 5% | 99.2% | |
| 42 | 7% | 94% | |
| 43 | 7% | 87% | |
| 44 | 9% | 80% | |
| 45 | 10% | 71% | Median |
| 46 | 12% | 60% | |
| 47 | 24% | 49% | |
| 48 | 7% | 25% | |
| 49 | 10% | 18% | |
| 50 | 4% | 8% | |
| 51 | 2% | 4% | Majority |
| 52 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 36 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 37 | 0.8% | 98.7% | |
| 38 | 3% | 98% | |
| 39 | 4% | 95% | |
| 40 | 12% | 91% | |
| 41 | 9% | 79% | |
| 42 | 11% | 71% | |
| 43 | 14% | 60% | Median |
| 44 | 7% | 45% | |
| 45 | 24% | 39% | |
| 46 | 5% | 15% | |
| 47 | 4% | 9% | |
| 48 | 4% | 6% | |
| 49 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 0.9% | Last Result |
| 51 | 0.4% | 0.6% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 36 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 37 | 7% | 97% | |
| 38 | 12% | 90% | |
| 39 | 13% | 77% | |
| 40 | 13% | 65% | Median |
| 41 | 16% | 51% | |
| 42 | 13% | 35% | |
| 43 | 9% | 22% | |
| 44 | 5% | 13% | |
| 45 | 3% | 8% | |
| 46 | 2% | 6% | |
| 47 | 3% | 3% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 36 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 37 | 3% | 98% | |
| 38 | 12% | 95% | |
| 39 | 10% | 83% | |
| 40 | 21% | 74% | Last Result |
| 41 | 9% | 53% | |
| 42 | 13% | 43% | Median |
| 43 | 12% | 30% | |
| 44 | 7% | 19% | |
| 45 | 7% | 12% | |
| 46 | 3% | 5% | |
| 47 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par!

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 34 | 4% | 99.3% | |
| 35 | 8% | 96% | |
| 36 | 13% | 88% | |
| 37 | 12% | 74% | Last Result |
| 38 | 8% | 62% | Median |
| 39 | 7% | 55% | |
| 40 | 12% | 48% | |
| 41 | 25% | 36% | |
| 42 | 5% | 11% | |
| 43 | 3% | 6% | |
| 44 | 2% | 3% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 32 | 4% | 98% | |
| 33 | 8% | 94% | |
| 34 | 7% | 86% | |
| 35 | 27% | 79% | |
| 36 | 10% | 51% | Median |
| 37 | 11% | 41% | |
| 38 | 12% | 30% | |
| 39 | 5% | 18% | |
| 40 | 5% | 13% | |
| 41 | 7% | 9% | |
| 42 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par!

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 7% | 99.0% | |
| 32 | 9% | 92% | |
| 33 | 6% | 83% | |
| 34 | 10% | 77% | |
| 35 | 14% | 67% | Median |
| 36 | 14% | 53% | Last Result |
| 37 | 11% | 39% | |
| 38 | 4% | 28% | |
| 39 | 7% | 24% | |
| 40 | 13% | 17% | |
| 41 | 3% | 4% | |
| 42 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 30 | 7% | 98% | |
| 31 | 10% | 91% | |
| 32 | 11% | 80% | Median |
| 33 | 16% | 69% | |
| 34 | 12% | 53% | |
| 35 | 9% | 41% | |
| 36 | 20% | 32% | |
| 37 | 6% | 12% | |
| 38 | 4% | 6% | |
| 39 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 40 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 41 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 1.2% | 99.6% | |
| 30 | 8% | 98% | |
| 31 | 3% | 91% | |
| 32 | 6% | 87% | |
| 33 | 15% | 81% | |
| 34 | 14% | 66% | Median |
| 35 | 29% | 53% | |
| 36 | 8% | 23% | |
| 37 | 5% | 16% | |
| 38 | 5% | 11% | |
| 39 | 3% | 5% | |
| 40 | 2% | 2% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 1.4% | 99.8% | |
| 29 | 2% | 98% | |
| 30 | 3% | 97% | |
| 31 | 16% | 94% | |
| 32 | 10% | 78% | |
| 33 | 17% | 68% | Median |
| 34 | 10% | 52% | |
| 35 | 19% | 41% | |
| 36 | 12% | 23% | |
| 37 | 5% | 11% | |
| 38 | 2% | 6% | |
| 39 | 2% | 4% | |
| 40 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 41 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 22 | 4% | 98.7% | |
| 23 | 11% | 94% | |
| 24 | 8% | 83% | |
| 25 | 7% | 75% | |
| 26 | 15% | 68% | Median |
| 27 | 21% | 54% | |
| 28 | 21% | 33% | |
| 29 | 6% | 12% | |
| 30 | 1.5% | 6% | |
| 31 | 3% | 4% | |
| 32 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: SKDS
- Commissioner(s): Latvijas Televīzija
- Fieldwork period: 1–31 January 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 658
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.55%