Opinion Poll by SKDS for Latvijas Televīzija, 1–31 January 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” |
19.8% |
23.6% |
21.5–25.8% |
21.0–26.4% |
20.5–27.0% |
19.5–28.0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība |
9.9% |
15.0% |
13.4–17.0% |
12.9–17.5% |
12.5–18.0% |
11.8–18.9% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” |
11.0% |
10.9% |
9.5–12.7% |
9.1–13.1% |
8.8–13.6% |
8.1–14.4% |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
13.6% |
10.6% |
9.2–12.3% |
8.8–12.8% |
8.5–13.2% |
7.9–14.1% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA |
6.7% |
10.6% |
9.2–12.3% |
8.8–12.8% |
8.5–13.2% |
7.9–14.1% |
Attīstībai/Par! |
12.0% |
9.4% |
8.1–11.0% |
7.7–11.5% |
7.4–11.9% |
6.8–12.7% |
Latvijas Krievu savienība |
3.2% |
6.8% |
5.7–8.3% |
5.4–8.7% |
5.2–9.0% |
4.7–9.8% |
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība |
4.1% |
5.0% |
4.1–6.3% |
3.8–6.6% |
3.6–7.0% |
3.2–7.6% |
Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
14.2% |
3.5% |
2.7–4.6% |
2.5–4.9% |
2.3–5.2% |
2.0–5.8% |
PROGRESĪVIE |
2.6% |
3.2% |
2.5–4.3% |
2.3–4.6% |
2.1–4.8% |
1.8–5.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
20 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
21 |
0.8% |
99.4% |
|
22 |
5% |
98.6% |
|
23 |
12% |
94% |
Last Result |
24 |
8% |
82% |
|
25 |
7% |
74% |
|
26 |
17% |
67% |
Median |
27 |
21% |
50% |
|
28 |
21% |
29% |
|
29 |
6% |
9% |
|
30 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
31 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
32 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
33 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
34 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
35 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
12 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
13 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
14 |
11% |
97% |
|
15 |
8% |
86% |
|
16 |
13% |
78% |
|
17 |
36% |
65% |
Median |
18 |
12% |
29% |
|
19 |
12% |
17% |
|
20 |
5% |
6% |
|
21 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
1.1% |
99.5% |
|
10 |
9% |
98% |
|
11 |
18% |
89% |
|
12 |
28% |
71% |
Median |
13 |
28% |
43% |
Last Result |
14 |
8% |
15% |
|
15 |
5% |
7% |
|
16 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
17 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā konservatīvā partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
4% |
99.8% |
|
10 |
3% |
95% |
|
11 |
30% |
93% |
|
12 |
10% |
63% |
|
13 |
48% |
53% |
Median |
14 |
2% |
4% |
|
15 |
2% |
2% |
|
16 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
17 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
1.0% |
100% |
Last Result |
9 |
1.3% |
99.0% |
|
10 |
10% |
98% |
|
11 |
47% |
88% |
Median |
12 |
22% |
40% |
|
13 |
5% |
19% |
|
14 |
9% |
14% |
|
15 |
4% |
5% |
|
16 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Attīstībai/Par!
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Attīstībai/Par! page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
3% |
100% |
|
8 |
16% |
97% |
|
9 |
49% |
80% |
Median |
10 |
3% |
31% |
|
11 |
2% |
28% |
|
12 |
17% |
27% |
|
13 |
4% |
9% |
Last Result |
14 |
5% |
6% |
|
15 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Latvijas Krievu savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
2% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
98% |
|
2 |
0% |
98% |
|
3 |
0% |
98% |
|
4 |
0% |
98% |
|
5 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
6 |
4% |
98% |
|
7 |
21% |
93% |
|
8 |
56% |
72% |
Median |
9 |
14% |
16% |
|
10 |
2% |
2% |
|
11 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
46% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
54% |
|
2 |
0% |
54% |
|
3 |
0% |
54% |
|
4 |
0% |
54% |
|
5 |
0% |
54% |
|
6 |
42% |
54% |
Median |
7 |
11% |
12% |
|
8 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Politiskā partija „KPV LV” page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
96% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
4% |
|
2 |
0% |
4% |
|
3 |
0% |
4% |
|
4 |
0% |
4% |
|
5 |
3% |
4% |
|
6 |
1.3% |
1.3% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
PROGRESĪVIE
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98.7% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
1.3% |
|
2 |
0% |
1.3% |
|
3 |
0% |
1.3% |
|
4 |
0% |
1.3% |
|
5 |
0.3% |
1.3% |
|
6 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
7 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! |
61 |
63 |
100% |
58–66 |
58–68 |
57–68 |
56–71 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
48 |
52 |
75% |
49–57 |
49–58 |
48–60 |
46–60 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! |
53 |
52 |
55% |
47–54 |
47–55 |
46–56 |
45–59 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! |
45 |
51 |
56% |
46–54 |
46–55 |
45–56 |
44–58 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! |
52 |
48 |
25% |
44–52 |
44–53 |
43–53 |
41–56 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! |
50 |
46 |
4% |
42–49 |
41–50 |
41–51 |
40–53 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
66 |
46 |
4% |
42–49 |
41–50 |
41–51 |
40–53 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
50 |
43 |
0.6% |
40–46 |
38–48 |
38–48 |
36–51 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA |
32 |
41 |
0% |
37–44 |
37–46 |
36–47 |
35–47 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
40 |
41 |
0% |
38–45 |
38–45 |
37–46 |
35–48 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! |
37 |
39 |
0% |
35–42 |
35–43 |
34–44 |
33–46 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
53 |
36 |
0% |
33–40 |
32–41 |
32–41 |
30–42 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! |
36 |
36 |
0% |
32–40 |
31–40 |
31–41 |
30–43 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
50 |
34 |
0% |
31–37 |
30–38 |
30–39 |
28–41 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
58 |
35 |
0% |
31–38 |
30–39 |
30–39 |
29–41 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
53 |
34 |
0% |
31–37 |
30–38 |
29–39 |
28–41 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
39 |
27 |
0% |
23–29 |
22–30 |
22–31 |
20–33 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par!
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
57 |
3% |
99.4% |
|
58 |
7% |
97% |
|
59 |
13% |
89% |
|
60 |
7% |
76% |
|
61 |
7% |
69% |
Last Result |
62 |
3% |
62% |
Median |
63 |
10% |
59% |
|
64 |
24% |
48% |
|
65 |
12% |
24% |
|
66 |
4% |
12% |
|
67 |
3% |
8% |
|
68 |
3% |
6% |
|
69 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
70 |
0.8% |
1.3% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
73 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
47 |
1.5% |
99.4% |
|
48 |
2% |
98% |
Last Result |
49 |
8% |
96% |
|
50 |
14% |
88% |
|
51 |
9% |
75% |
Majority |
52 |
19% |
66% |
|
53 |
10% |
47% |
Median |
54 |
8% |
37% |
|
55 |
13% |
29% |
|
56 |
5% |
16% |
|
57 |
4% |
11% |
|
58 |
3% |
7% |
|
59 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
60 |
3% |
3% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par!
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
44 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
45 |
1.3% |
99.5% |
|
46 |
3% |
98% |
|
47 |
10% |
95% |
|
48 |
9% |
86% |
|
49 |
10% |
76% |
|
50 |
11% |
66% |
|
51 |
5% |
55% |
Median, Majority |
52 |
22% |
50% |
|
53 |
9% |
28% |
Last Result |
54 |
12% |
20% |
|
55 |
4% |
8% |
|
56 |
2% |
4% |
|
57 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
58 |
0.3% |
1.1% |
|
59 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par!
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
44 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
2% |
99.2% |
Last Result |
46 |
8% |
97% |
|
47 |
9% |
89% |
|
48 |
12% |
79% |
|
49 |
5% |
67% |
Median |
50 |
7% |
62% |
|
51 |
13% |
56% |
Majority |
52 |
17% |
43% |
|
53 |
15% |
26% |
|
54 |
5% |
12% |
|
55 |
4% |
7% |
|
56 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
57 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
58 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par!
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
41 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
42 |
0.6% |
99.1% |
|
43 |
2% |
98% |
|
44 |
11% |
97% |
|
45 |
11% |
86% |
|
46 |
7% |
75% |
|
47 |
12% |
68% |
|
48 |
15% |
56% |
Median |
49 |
12% |
41% |
|
50 |
4% |
29% |
|
51 |
14% |
25% |
Majority |
52 |
5% |
11% |
Last Result |
53 |
3% |
5% |
|
54 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
55 |
0.6% |
1.1% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
57 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par!
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
39 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
41 |
6% |
99.0% |
|
42 |
7% |
93% |
|
43 |
7% |
86% |
|
44 |
12% |
79% |
|
45 |
10% |
67% |
Median |
46 |
12% |
57% |
|
47 |
24% |
45% |
|
48 |
7% |
21% |
|
49 |
8% |
15% |
|
50 |
3% |
7% |
Last Result |
51 |
2% |
4% |
Majority |
52 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
53 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
41 |
5% |
99.2% |
|
42 |
7% |
94% |
|
43 |
7% |
87% |
|
44 |
9% |
80% |
|
45 |
10% |
71% |
Median |
46 |
12% |
60% |
|
47 |
24% |
49% |
|
48 |
7% |
25% |
|
49 |
10% |
18% |
|
50 |
4% |
8% |
|
51 |
2% |
4% |
Majority |
52 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
53 |
0.7% |
1.2% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
55 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
56 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
36 |
1.0% |
99.6% |
|
37 |
0.8% |
98.7% |
|
38 |
3% |
98% |
|
39 |
4% |
95% |
|
40 |
12% |
91% |
|
41 |
9% |
79% |
|
42 |
11% |
71% |
|
43 |
14% |
60% |
Median |
44 |
7% |
45% |
|
45 |
24% |
39% |
|
46 |
5% |
15% |
|
47 |
4% |
9% |
|
48 |
4% |
6% |
|
49 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
50 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
Last Result |
51 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
53 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
54 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
55 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
33 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
0.8% |
99.6% |
|
36 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
37 |
7% |
97% |
|
38 |
12% |
90% |
|
39 |
13% |
77% |
|
40 |
13% |
65% |
Median |
41 |
16% |
51% |
|
42 |
13% |
35% |
|
43 |
9% |
22% |
|
44 |
5% |
13% |
|
45 |
3% |
8% |
|
46 |
2% |
6% |
|
47 |
3% |
3% |
|
48 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
35 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
36 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
37 |
3% |
98% |
|
38 |
12% |
95% |
|
39 |
10% |
83% |
|
40 |
21% |
74% |
Last Result |
41 |
9% |
53% |
|
42 |
13% |
43% |
Median |
43 |
12% |
30% |
|
44 |
7% |
19% |
|
45 |
7% |
12% |
|
46 |
3% |
5% |
|
47 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
48 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par!
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
32 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
34 |
4% |
99.3% |
|
35 |
8% |
96% |
|
36 |
13% |
88% |
|
37 |
12% |
74% |
Last Result |
38 |
8% |
62% |
Median |
39 |
7% |
55% |
|
40 |
12% |
48% |
|
41 |
25% |
36% |
|
42 |
5% |
11% |
|
43 |
3% |
6% |
|
44 |
2% |
3% |
|
45 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
|
46 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
47 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
1.2% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
0.7% |
98.8% |
|
32 |
4% |
98% |
|
33 |
8% |
94% |
|
34 |
7% |
86% |
|
35 |
27% |
79% |
|
36 |
10% |
51% |
Median |
37 |
11% |
41% |
|
38 |
12% |
30% |
|
39 |
5% |
18% |
|
40 |
5% |
13% |
|
41 |
7% |
9% |
|
42 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par!
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
30 |
0.9% |
99.8% |
|
31 |
7% |
99.0% |
|
32 |
9% |
92% |
|
33 |
6% |
83% |
|
34 |
10% |
77% |
|
35 |
14% |
67% |
Median |
36 |
14% |
53% |
Last Result |
37 |
11% |
39% |
|
38 |
4% |
28% |
|
39 |
7% |
24% |
|
40 |
13% |
17% |
|
41 |
3% |
4% |
|
42 |
0.7% |
1.3% |
|
43 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
44 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
27 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
28 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
|
29 |
1.0% |
99.0% |
|
30 |
7% |
98% |
|
31 |
10% |
91% |
|
32 |
11% |
80% |
Median |
33 |
16% |
69% |
|
34 |
12% |
53% |
|
35 |
9% |
41% |
|
36 |
20% |
32% |
|
37 |
6% |
12% |
|
38 |
4% |
6% |
|
39 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
40 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
41 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
27 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
28 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
29 |
1.2% |
99.6% |
|
30 |
8% |
98% |
|
31 |
3% |
91% |
|
32 |
6% |
87% |
|
33 |
15% |
81% |
|
34 |
14% |
66% |
Median |
35 |
29% |
53% |
|
36 |
8% |
23% |
|
37 |
5% |
16% |
|
38 |
5% |
11% |
|
39 |
3% |
5% |
|
40 |
2% |
2% |
|
41 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
42 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
44 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
27 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
28 |
1.4% |
99.8% |
|
29 |
2% |
98% |
|
30 |
3% |
97% |
|
31 |
16% |
94% |
|
32 |
10% |
78% |
|
33 |
17% |
68% |
Median |
34 |
10% |
52% |
|
35 |
19% |
41% |
|
36 |
12% |
23% |
|
37 |
5% |
11% |
|
38 |
2% |
6% |
|
39 |
2% |
4% |
|
40 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
41 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
20 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
21 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
22 |
4% |
98.7% |
|
23 |
11% |
94% |
|
24 |
8% |
83% |
|
25 |
7% |
75% |
|
26 |
15% |
68% |
Median |
27 |
21% |
54% |
|
28 |
21% |
33% |
|
29 |
6% |
12% |
|
30 |
1.5% |
6% |
|
31 |
3% |
4% |
|
32 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
|
33 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
35 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: SKDS
- Commissioner(s): Latvijas Televīzija
- Fieldwork period: 1–31 January 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 658
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.55%