Opinion Poll by SKDS for Latvijas Televīzija, 1–31 January 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” |
19.8% |
23.6% |
21.5–25.8% |
21.0–26.4% |
20.5–27.0% |
19.5–28.0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība |
9.9% |
15.0% |
13.4–17.0% |
12.9–17.5% |
12.5–18.0% |
11.8–18.9% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” |
11.0% |
10.9% |
9.5–12.7% |
9.1–13.1% |
8.8–13.6% |
8.1–14.4% |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
13.6% |
10.6% |
9.2–12.3% |
8.8–12.8% |
8.5–13.2% |
7.9–14.1% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA |
6.7% |
10.6% |
9.2–12.3% |
8.8–12.8% |
8.5–13.2% |
7.9–14.1% |
Attīstībai/Par! |
12.0% |
9.4% |
8.1–11.0% |
7.7–11.5% |
7.4–11.9% |
6.8–12.7% |
Latvijas Krievu savienība |
3.2% |
6.8% |
5.7–8.3% |
5.4–8.7% |
5.2–9.0% |
4.7–9.8% |
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība |
4.1% |
5.0% |
4.1–6.3% |
3.8–6.6% |
3.6–7.0% |
3.2–7.6% |
Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
14.2% |
3.5% |
2.7–4.6% |
2.5–4.9% |
2.3–5.2% |
2.0–5.8% |
PROGRESĪVIE |
2.6% |
3.2% |
2.5–4.3% |
2.3–4.6% |
2.1–4.8% |
1.8–5.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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
Confidence Intervals
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
20 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
21 |
0.8% |
99.4% |
|
22 |
5% |
98.6% |
|
23 |
12% |
94% |
Last Result |
24 |
8% |
82% |
|
25 |
7% |
74% |
|
26 |
17% |
67% |
Median |
27 |
21% |
50% |
|
28 |
21% |
29% |
|
29 |
6% |
9% |
|
30 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
31 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
32 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
33 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
34 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
35 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
12 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
13 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
14 |
11% |
97% |
|
15 |
8% |
86% |
|
16 |
13% |
78% |
|
17 |
36% |
65% |
Median |
18 |
12% |
29% |
|
19 |
12% |
17% |
|
20 |
5% |
6% |
|
21 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
1.1% |
99.5% |
|
10 |
9% |
98% |
|
11 |
18% |
89% |
|
12 |
28% |
71% |
Median |
13 |
28% |
43% |
Last Result |
14 |
8% |
15% |
|
15 |
5% |
7% |
|
16 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
17 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā konservatīvā partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
4% |
99.8% |
|
10 |
3% |
95% |
|
11 |
30% |
93% |
|
12 |
10% |
63% |
|
13 |
48% |
53% |
Median |
14 |
2% |
4% |
|
15 |
2% |
2% |
|
16 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
17 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
1.0% |
100% |
Last Result |
9 |
1.3% |
99.0% |
|
10 |
10% |
98% |
|
11 |
47% |
88% |
Median |
12 |
22% |
40% |
|
13 |
5% |
19% |
|
14 |
9% |
14% |
|
15 |
4% |
5% |
|
16 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Attīstībai/Par!
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Attīstībai/Par! page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
3% |
100% |
|
8 |
16% |
97% |
|
9 |
49% |
80% |
Median |
10 |
3% |
31% |
|
11 |
2% |
28% |
|
12 |
17% |
27% |
|
13 |
4% |
9% |
Last Result |
14 |
5% |
6% |
|
15 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Latvijas Krievu savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
2% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
98% |
|
2 |
0% |
98% |
|
3 |
0% |
98% |
|
4 |
0% |
98% |
|
5 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
6 |
4% |
98% |
|
7 |
21% |
93% |
|
8 |
56% |
72% |
Median |
9 |
14% |
16% |
|
10 |
2% |
2% |
|
11 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
46% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
54% |
|
2 |
0% |
54% |
|
3 |
0% |
54% |
|
4 |
0% |
54% |
|
5 |
0% |
54% |
|
6 |
42% |
54% |
Median |
7 |
11% |
12% |
|
8 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Politiskā partija „KPV LV” page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
96% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
4% |
|
2 |
0% |
4% |
|
3 |
0% |
4% |
|
4 |
0% |
4% |
|
5 |
3% |
4% |
|
6 |
1.3% |
1.3% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
PROGRESĪVIE
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98.7% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
1.3% |
|
2 |
0% |
1.3% |
|
3 |
0% |
1.3% |
|
4 |
0% |
1.3% |
|
5 |
0.3% |
1.3% |
|
6 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
7 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! |
61 |
63 |
100% |
58–66 |
58–68 |
57–68 |
56–71 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
48 |
52 |
75% |
49–57 |
49–58 |
48–60 |
46–60 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! |
53 |
52 |
55% |
47–54 |
47–55 |
46–56 |
45–59 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! |
45 |
51 |
56% |
46–54 |
46–55 |
45–56 |
44–58 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! |
52 |
48 |
25% |
44–52 |
44–53 |
43–53 |
41–56 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! |
50 |
46 |
4% |
42–49 |
41–50 |
41–51 |
40–53 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
66 |
46 |
4% |
42–49 |
41–50 |
41–51 |
40–53 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
50 |
43 |
0.6% |
40–46 |
38–48 |
38–48 |
36–51 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA |
32 |
41 |
0% |
37–44 |
37–46 |
36–47 |
35–47 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
40 |
41 |
0% |
38–45 |
38–45 |
37–46 |
35–48 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! |
37 |
39 |
0% |
35–42 |
35–43 |
34–44 |
33–46 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
53 |
36 |
0% |
33–40 |
32–41 |
32–41 |
30–42 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! |
36 |
36 |
0% |
32–40 |
31–40 |
31–41 |
30–43 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
50 |
34 |
0% |
31–37 |
30–38 |
30–39 |
28–41 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
58 |
35 |
0% |
31–38 |
30–39 |
30–39 |
29–41 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
53 |
34 |
0% |
31–37 |
30–38 |
29–39 |
28–41 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
39 |
27 |
0% |
23–29 |
22–30 |
22–31 |
20–33 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par!

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
57 |
3% |
99.4% |
|
58 |
7% |
97% |
|
59 |
13% |
89% |
|
60 |
7% |
76% |
|
61 |
7% |
69% |
Last Result |
62 |
3% |
62% |
Median |
63 |
10% |
59% |
|
64 |
24% |
48% |
|
65 |
12% |
24% |
|
66 |
4% |
12% |
|
67 |
3% |
8% |
|
68 |
3% |
6% |
|
69 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
70 |
0.8% |
1.3% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
73 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
47 |
1.5% |
99.4% |
|
48 |
2% |
98% |
Last Result |
49 |
8% |
96% |
|
50 |
14% |
88% |
|
51 |
9% |
75% |
Majority |
52 |
19% |
66% |
|
53 |
10% |
47% |
Median |
54 |
8% |
37% |
|
55 |
13% |
29% |
|
56 |
5% |
16% |
|
57 |
4% |
11% |
|
58 |
3% |
7% |
|
59 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
60 |
3% |
3% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par!

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
44 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
45 |
1.3% |
99.5% |
|
46 |
3% |
98% |
|
47 |
10% |
95% |
|
48 |
9% |
86% |
|
49 |
10% |
76% |
|
50 |
11% |
66% |
|
51 |
5% |
55% |
Median, Majority |
52 |
22% |
50% |
|
53 |
9% |
28% |
Last Result |
54 |
12% |
20% |
|
55 |
4% |
8% |
|
56 |
2% |
4% |
|
57 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
58 |
0.3% |
1.1% |
|
59 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par!

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
44 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
2% |
99.2% |
Last Result |
46 |
8% |
97% |
|
47 |
9% |
89% |
|
48 |
12% |
79% |
|
49 |
5% |
67% |
Median |
50 |
7% |
62% |
|
51 |
13% |
56% |
Majority |
52 |
17% |
43% |
|
53 |
15% |
26% |
|
54 |
5% |
12% |
|
55 |
4% |
7% |
|
56 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
57 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
58 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par!

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
41 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
42 |
0.6% |
99.1% |
|
43 |
2% |
98% |
|
44 |
11% |
97% |
|
45 |
11% |
86% |
|
46 |
7% |
75% |
|
47 |
12% |
68% |
|
48 |
15% |
56% |
Median |
49 |
12% |
41% |
|
50 |
4% |
29% |
|
51 |
14% |
25% |
Majority |
52 |
5% |
11% |
Last Result |
53 |
3% |
5% |
|
54 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
55 |
0.6% |
1.1% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
57 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par!

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
39 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
41 |
6% |
99.0% |
|
42 |
7% |
93% |
|
43 |
7% |
86% |
|
44 |
12% |
79% |
|
45 |
10% |
67% |
Median |
46 |
12% |
57% |
|
47 |
24% |
45% |
|
48 |
7% |
21% |
|
49 |
8% |
15% |
|
50 |
3% |
7% |
Last Result |
51 |
2% |
4% |
Majority |
52 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
53 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
41 |
5% |
99.2% |
|
42 |
7% |
94% |
|
43 |
7% |
87% |
|
44 |
9% |
80% |
|
45 |
10% |
71% |
Median |
46 |
12% |
60% |
|
47 |
24% |
49% |
|
48 |
7% |
25% |
|
49 |
10% |
18% |
|
50 |
4% |
8% |
|
51 |
2% |
4% |
Majority |
52 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
53 |
0.7% |
1.2% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
55 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
56 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
36 |
1.0% |
99.6% |
|
37 |
0.8% |
98.7% |
|
38 |
3% |
98% |
|
39 |
4% |
95% |
|
40 |
12% |
91% |
|
41 |
9% |
79% |
|
42 |
11% |
71% |
|
43 |
14% |
60% |
Median |
44 |
7% |
45% |
|
45 |
24% |
39% |
|
46 |
5% |
15% |
|
47 |
4% |
9% |
|
48 |
4% |
6% |
|
49 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
50 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
Last Result |
51 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
53 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
54 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
55 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
33 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
0.8% |
99.6% |
|
36 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
37 |
7% |
97% |
|
38 |
12% |
90% |
|
39 |
13% |
77% |
|
40 |
13% |
65% |
Median |
41 |
16% |
51% |
|
42 |
13% |
35% |
|
43 |
9% |
22% |
|
44 |
5% |
13% |
|
45 |
3% |
8% |
|
46 |
2% |
6% |
|
47 |
3% |
3% |
|
48 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
35 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
36 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
37 |
3% |
98% |
|
38 |
12% |
95% |
|
39 |
10% |
83% |
|
40 |
21% |
74% |
Last Result |
41 |
9% |
53% |
|
42 |
13% |
43% |
Median |
43 |
12% |
30% |
|
44 |
7% |
19% |
|
45 |
7% |
12% |
|
46 |
3% |
5% |
|
47 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
48 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par!

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
32 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
34 |
4% |
99.3% |
|
35 |
8% |
96% |
|
36 |
13% |
88% |
|
37 |
12% |
74% |
Last Result |
38 |
8% |
62% |
Median |
39 |
7% |
55% |
|
40 |
12% |
48% |
|
41 |
25% |
36% |
|
42 |
5% |
11% |
|
43 |
3% |
6% |
|
44 |
2% |
3% |
|
45 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
|
46 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
47 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
1.2% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
0.7% |
98.8% |
|
32 |
4% |
98% |
|
33 |
8% |
94% |
|
34 |
7% |
86% |
|
35 |
27% |
79% |
|
36 |
10% |
51% |
Median |
37 |
11% |
41% |
|
38 |
12% |
30% |
|
39 |
5% |
18% |
|
40 |
5% |
13% |
|
41 |
7% |
9% |
|
42 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par!

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
30 |
0.9% |
99.8% |
|
31 |
7% |
99.0% |
|
32 |
9% |
92% |
|
33 |
6% |
83% |
|
34 |
10% |
77% |
|
35 |
14% |
67% |
Median |
36 |
14% |
53% |
Last Result |
37 |
11% |
39% |
|
38 |
4% |
28% |
|
39 |
7% |
24% |
|
40 |
13% |
17% |
|
41 |
3% |
4% |
|
42 |
0.7% |
1.3% |
|
43 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
44 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
27 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
28 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
|
29 |
1.0% |
99.0% |
|
30 |
7% |
98% |
|
31 |
10% |
91% |
|
32 |
11% |
80% |
Median |
33 |
16% |
69% |
|
34 |
12% |
53% |
|
35 |
9% |
41% |
|
36 |
20% |
32% |
|
37 |
6% |
12% |
|
38 |
4% |
6% |
|
39 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
40 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
41 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
27 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
28 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
29 |
1.2% |
99.6% |
|
30 |
8% |
98% |
|
31 |
3% |
91% |
|
32 |
6% |
87% |
|
33 |
15% |
81% |
|
34 |
14% |
66% |
Median |
35 |
29% |
53% |
|
36 |
8% |
23% |
|
37 |
5% |
16% |
|
38 |
5% |
11% |
|
39 |
3% |
5% |
|
40 |
2% |
2% |
|
41 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
42 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
44 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
27 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
28 |
1.4% |
99.8% |
|
29 |
2% |
98% |
|
30 |
3% |
97% |
|
31 |
16% |
94% |
|
32 |
10% |
78% |
|
33 |
17% |
68% |
Median |
34 |
10% |
52% |
|
35 |
19% |
41% |
|
36 |
12% |
23% |
|
37 |
5% |
11% |
|
38 |
2% |
6% |
|
39 |
2% |
4% |
|
40 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
41 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
20 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
21 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
22 |
4% |
98.7% |
|
23 |
11% |
94% |
|
24 |
8% |
83% |
|
25 |
7% |
75% |
|
26 |
15% |
68% |
Median |
27 |
21% |
54% |
|
28 |
21% |
33% |
|
29 |
6% |
12% |
|
30 |
1.5% |
6% |
|
31 |
3% |
4% |
|
32 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
|
33 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
35 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: SKDS
- Commissioner(s): Latvijas Televīzija
- Fieldwork period: 1–31 January 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 658
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.55%