Opinion Poll by SKDS for Latvijas Televīzija, 1–31 July 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” |
19.8% |
15.5% |
14.0–17.2% |
13.6–17.6% |
13.3–18.0% |
12.6–18.9% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība |
9.9% |
8.3% |
7.2–9.6% |
6.9–9.9% |
6.6–10.3% |
6.1–10.9% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” |
11.0% |
6.8% |
5.8–8.0% |
5.5–8.3% |
5.3–8.6% |
4.9–9.3% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA |
6.7% |
5.8% |
4.9–6.9% |
4.6–7.2% |
4.4–7.5% |
4.0–8.1% |
Attīstībai/Par! |
12.0% |
5.7% |
4.8–6.8% |
4.5–7.1% |
4.3–7.4% |
3.9–8.0% |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
13.6% |
3.8% |
3.1–4.8% |
2.9–5.1% |
2.8–5.3% |
2.5–5.8% |
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība |
4.1% |
2.9% |
2.3–3.8% |
2.1–4.1% |
2.0–4.3% |
1.8–4.7% |
Latvijas Krievu savienība |
3.2% |
2.1% |
1.6–2.9% |
1.5–3.1% |
1.4–3.3% |
1.2–3.7% |
PROGRESĪVIE |
2.6% |
2.1% |
1.6–2.9% |
1.5–3.1% |
1.4–3.3% |
1.2–3.7% |
Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
14.2% |
2.0% |
1.5–2.8% |
1.4–3.0% |
1.3–3.2% |
1.1–3.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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
Confidence Intervals
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
29 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
31 |
0.7% |
99.3% |
|
32 |
1.0% |
98.6% |
|
33 |
10% |
98% |
|
34 |
7% |
87% |
|
35 |
9% |
80% |
|
36 |
18% |
71% |
|
37 |
14% |
53% |
Median |
38 |
22% |
39% |
|
39 |
5% |
17% |
|
40 |
0.8% |
12% |
|
41 |
1.0% |
11% |
|
42 |
3% |
10% |
|
43 |
3% |
7% |
|
44 |
1.2% |
4% |
|
45 |
2% |
3% |
|
46 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
47 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
49 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
50 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
51 |
0% |
0.1% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
15 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
16 |
0.9% |
99.2% |
|
17 |
10% |
98% |
|
18 |
12% |
88% |
|
19 |
11% |
76% |
|
20 |
41% |
65% |
Median |
21 |
12% |
24% |
|
22 |
5% |
12% |
|
23 |
5% |
7% |
|
24 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
25 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
|
26 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
27 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
28 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
29 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
7 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
8 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
9 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
10 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
11 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
12 |
0.8% |
99.3% |
|
13 |
0.8% |
98% |
Last Result |
14 |
7% |
98% |
|
15 |
18% |
91% |
|
16 |
26% |
73% |
Median |
17 |
18% |
48% |
|
18 |
8% |
29% |
|
19 |
15% |
22% |
|
20 |
3% |
7% |
|
21 |
2% |
4% |
|
22 |
2% |
2% |
|
23 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
24 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
25 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
6% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
94% |
|
2 |
0% |
94% |
|
3 |
0% |
94% |
|
4 |
0% |
94% |
|
5 |
0% |
94% |
|
6 |
0% |
94% |
|
7 |
0% |
94% |
|
8 |
0% |
94% |
Last Result |
9 |
0% |
94% |
|
10 |
0% |
94% |
|
11 |
2% |
94% |
|
12 |
24% |
92% |
|
13 |
22% |
68% |
Median |
14 |
16% |
46% |
|
15 |
9% |
30% |
|
16 |
11% |
21% |
|
17 |
4% |
10% |
|
18 |
5% |
6% |
|
19 |
0.7% |
1.2% |
|
20 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
21 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
22 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Attīstībai/Par!
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Attīstībai/Par! page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
8% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
92% |
|
2 |
0% |
92% |
|
3 |
0% |
92% |
|
4 |
0% |
92% |
|
5 |
0% |
92% |
|
6 |
0% |
92% |
|
7 |
0% |
92% |
|
8 |
0% |
92% |
|
9 |
0% |
92% |
|
10 |
0% |
92% |
|
11 |
0.2% |
92% |
|
12 |
1.0% |
92% |
|
13 |
10% |
91% |
Last Result |
14 |
32% |
80% |
Median |
15 |
32% |
48% |
|
16 |
12% |
16% |
|
17 |
0.3% |
4% |
|
18 |
2% |
4% |
|
19 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
20 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
22 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā konservatīvā partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.0% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
1.0% |
|
2 |
0% |
1.0% |
|
3 |
0% |
1.0% |
|
4 |
0% |
1.0% |
|
5 |
0% |
1.0% |
|
6 |
0% |
1.0% |
|
7 |
0% |
1.0% |
|
8 |
0% |
1.0% |
|
9 |
0% |
1.0% |
|
10 |
0% |
1.0% |
|
11 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
13 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.9% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
2 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
4 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
5 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
6 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
7 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
8 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
9 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
10 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Latvijas Krievu savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
PROGRESĪVIE
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Politiskā partija „KPV LV” page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
61 |
63 |
99.9% |
58–67 |
57–67 |
55–67 |
53–70 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! |
45 |
63 |
99.9% |
58–67 |
57–67 |
55–67 |
53–69 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
50 |
56 |
98.5% |
53–62 |
52–65 |
52–66 |
48–68 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
52 |
51 |
61% |
46–53 |
42–58 |
41–60 |
38–63 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! |
36 |
51 |
60% |
46–53 |
42–58 |
40–60 |
38–63 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
48 |
49 |
27% |
47–54 |
42–58 |
40–60 |
37–62 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA |
32 |
49 |
26% |
47–54 |
42–58 |
40–59 |
37–62 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
53 |
50 |
42% |
46–53 |
41–56 |
40–57 |
38–62 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! |
37 |
50 |
41% |
45–53 |
41–55 |
40–57 |
37–62 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
50 |
44 |
1.0% |
38–47 |
35–48 |
34–48 |
32–52 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
66 |
44 |
1.0% |
38–47 |
35–48 |
34–48 |
32–52 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
50 |
44 |
0.2% |
38–47 |
35–48 |
34–48 |
31–49 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
39 |
37 |
0.1% |
33–41 |
33–43 |
33–45 |
30–46 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
40 |
36 |
0% |
34–40 |
33–42 |
33–43 |
26–45 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
53 |
29 |
0% |
27–34 |
20–37 |
17–39 |
15–41 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
58 |
31 |
0% |
28–33 |
20–35 |
19–37 |
16–40 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
53 |
28 |
0% |
18–30 |
17–31 |
15–32 |
15–38 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0% |
99.9% |
Majority |
52 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
54 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
55 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
56 |
1.2% |
97% |
|
57 |
3% |
96% |
|
58 |
3% |
93% |
|
59 |
1.0% |
90% |
|
60 |
0.8% |
89% |
|
61 |
5% |
88% |
Last Result |
62 |
22% |
83% |
|
63 |
14% |
61% |
Median |
64 |
18% |
47% |
|
65 |
9% |
29% |
|
66 |
7% |
20% |
|
67 |
10% |
13% |
|
68 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
69 |
0.7% |
1.4% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par!

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0% |
99.9% |
Majority |
52 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
53 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
54 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
55 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
56 |
1.3% |
97% |
|
57 |
3% |
96% |
|
58 |
3% |
92% |
|
59 |
1.1% |
89% |
|
60 |
0.8% |
88% |
|
61 |
5% |
87% |
|
62 |
22% |
82% |
|
63 |
14% |
60% |
Median |
64 |
18% |
46% |
|
65 |
9% |
28% |
|
66 |
7% |
19% |
|
67 |
10% |
12% |
|
68 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
69 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
48 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
49 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
50 |
0.4% |
98.9% |
Last Result |
51 |
0.5% |
98.5% |
Majority |
52 |
6% |
98% |
|
53 |
5% |
92% |
|
54 |
13% |
87% |
|
55 |
8% |
74% |
|
56 |
28% |
66% |
|
57 |
11% |
38% |
Median |
58 |
11% |
27% |
|
59 |
2% |
17% |
|
60 |
2% |
14% |
|
61 |
0.5% |
12% |
|
62 |
2% |
12% |
|
63 |
2% |
10% |
|
64 |
3% |
8% |
|
65 |
2% |
5% |
|
66 |
1.5% |
3% |
|
67 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
68 |
0.8% |
1.3% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
70 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
72 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
73 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
77 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
38 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
39 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
41 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
42 |
3% |
97% |
|
43 |
1.5% |
94% |
|
44 |
0.5% |
93% |
|
45 |
0.4% |
92% |
|
46 |
3% |
92% |
|
47 |
9% |
89% |
|
48 |
4% |
81% |
|
49 |
3% |
77% |
|
50 |
13% |
74% |
|
51 |
29% |
61% |
Median, Majority |
52 |
12% |
32% |
Last Result |
53 |
12% |
21% |
|
54 |
1.0% |
9% |
|
55 |
0.4% |
8% |
|
56 |
1.1% |
7% |
|
57 |
0.5% |
6% |
|
58 |
0.8% |
6% |
|
59 |
0.6% |
5% |
|
60 |
2% |
4% |
|
61 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
1.5% |
|
63 |
1.1% |
1.3% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par!

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
37 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
38 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
39 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
41 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
42 |
3% |
97% |
|
43 |
2% |
94% |
|
44 |
0.5% |
93% |
|
45 |
0.5% |
92% |
|
46 |
3% |
92% |
|
47 |
9% |
89% |
|
48 |
4% |
80% |
|
49 |
3% |
76% |
|
50 |
13% |
73% |
|
51 |
29% |
60% |
Median, Majority |
52 |
12% |
31% |
|
53 |
12% |
20% |
|
54 |
0.9% |
8% |
|
55 |
0.3% |
7% |
|
56 |
1.0% |
7% |
|
57 |
0.3% |
6% |
|
58 |
0.6% |
5% |
|
59 |
0.5% |
5% |
|
60 |
2% |
4% |
|
61 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
1.4% |
|
63 |
1.1% |
1.3% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
1.1% |
99.8% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
98.7% |
|
39 |
0.8% |
98.6% |
|
40 |
2% |
98% |
|
41 |
0.5% |
96% |
|
42 |
0.6% |
95% |
|
43 |
0.3% |
95% |
|
44 |
1.0% |
94% |
|
45 |
0.3% |
93% |
|
46 |
0.9% |
93% |
|
47 |
12% |
92% |
|
48 |
12% |
80% |
Last Result |
49 |
29% |
69% |
Median |
50 |
13% |
40% |
|
51 |
3% |
27% |
Majority |
52 |
4% |
24% |
|
53 |
9% |
20% |
|
54 |
3% |
11% |
|
55 |
0.5% |
8% |
|
56 |
0.5% |
8% |
|
57 |
2% |
7% |
|
58 |
3% |
6% |
|
59 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
61 |
2% |
2% |
|
62 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
64 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
33 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
34 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
1.1% |
99.8% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
98.7% |
|
39 |
0.9% |
98.5% |
|
40 |
2% |
98% |
|
41 |
0.6% |
96% |
|
42 |
0.8% |
95% |
|
43 |
0.5% |
94% |
|
44 |
1.1% |
94% |
|
45 |
0.4% |
93% |
|
46 |
1.0% |
92% |
|
47 |
12% |
91% |
|
48 |
12% |
79% |
|
49 |
29% |
68% |
Median |
50 |
13% |
39% |
|
51 |
3% |
26% |
Majority |
52 |
4% |
23% |
|
53 |
9% |
19% |
|
54 |
3% |
11% |
|
55 |
0.4% |
8% |
|
56 |
0.5% |
8% |
|
57 |
1.5% |
7% |
|
58 |
3% |
6% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
61 |
2% |
2% |
|
62 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
64 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
38 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
39 |
0.6% |
99.2% |
|
40 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
41 |
2% |
97% |
|
42 |
1.2% |
95% |
|
43 |
2% |
94% |
|
44 |
0.7% |
92% |
|
45 |
0.6% |
91% |
|
46 |
2% |
91% |
|
47 |
0.7% |
89% |
|
48 |
7% |
88% |
|
49 |
21% |
81% |
|
50 |
18% |
60% |
Median |
51 |
9% |
42% |
Majority |
52 |
16% |
33% |
|
53 |
7% |
16% |
Last Result |
54 |
1.1% |
10% |
|
55 |
3% |
8% |
|
56 |
1.4% |
5% |
|
57 |
2% |
4% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
59 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
60 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
61 |
0.3% |
1.2% |
|
62 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
63 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
64 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par!

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
34 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
38 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
39 |
0.7% |
99.1% |
|
40 |
2% |
98% |
|
41 |
2% |
96% |
|
42 |
1.2% |
95% |
|
43 |
2% |
93% |
|
44 |
0.8% |
92% |
|
45 |
0.8% |
91% |
|
46 |
2% |
90% |
|
47 |
0.7% |
88% |
|
48 |
7% |
87% |
|
49 |
21% |
80% |
|
50 |
18% |
59% |
Median |
51 |
9% |
41% |
Majority |
52 |
16% |
32% |
|
53 |
7% |
16% |
|
54 |
1.0% |
9% |
|
55 |
3% |
8% |
|
56 |
1.3% |
5% |
|
57 |
2% |
3% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
60 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
61 |
0.3% |
1.1% |
|
62 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
63 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
64 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
24 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
25 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
26 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
27 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
28 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
29 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
0.8% |
99.5% |
|
33 |
0.4% |
98.7% |
|
34 |
1.5% |
98% |
|
35 |
2% |
97% |
|
36 |
3% |
95% |
|
37 |
2% |
92% |
|
38 |
2% |
90% |
|
39 |
0.6% |
88% |
|
40 |
2% |
88% |
|
41 |
2% |
86% |
|
42 |
11% |
83% |
|
43 |
11% |
72% |
Median |
44 |
28% |
62% |
|
45 |
8% |
34% |
|
46 |
13% |
26% |
|
47 |
5% |
13% |
|
48 |
6% |
8% |
|
49 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
50 |
0.4% |
1.4% |
Last Result |
51 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
Majority |
52 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
56 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
24 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
25 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
26 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
27 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
28 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
29 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
0.8% |
99.5% |
|
33 |
0.4% |
98.7% |
|
34 |
1.5% |
98% |
|
35 |
2% |
97% |
|
36 |
3% |
95% |
|
37 |
2% |
92% |
|
38 |
2% |
90% |
|
39 |
0.6% |
88% |
|
40 |
2% |
88% |
|
41 |
2% |
86% |
|
42 |
11% |
83% |
|
43 |
11% |
72% |
Median |
44 |
28% |
62% |
|
45 |
8% |
34% |
|
46 |
13% |
26% |
|
47 |
5% |
13% |
|
48 |
6% |
8% |
|
49 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
50 |
0.4% |
1.4% |
|
51 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
Majority |
52 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
56 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
24 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
25 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
26 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
27 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
28 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
29 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
0.8% |
99.5% |
|
33 |
0.4% |
98.7% |
|
34 |
1.5% |
98% |
|
35 |
2% |
97% |
|
36 |
3% |
95% |
|
37 |
2% |
92% |
|
38 |
2% |
90% |
|
39 |
0.7% |
88% |
|
40 |
2% |
87% |
|
41 |
3% |
85% |
|
42 |
11% |
83% |
|
43 |
11% |
72% |
Median |
44 |
28% |
61% |
|
45 |
8% |
33% |
|
46 |
13% |
25% |
|
47 |
5% |
12% |
|
48 |
6% |
7% |
|
49 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
Last Result |
51 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Majority |
52 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
29 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
31 |
0.7% |
99.3% |
|
32 |
1.0% |
98.6% |
|
33 |
10% |
98% |
|
34 |
7% |
87% |
|
35 |
9% |
80% |
|
36 |
18% |
71% |
|
37 |
14% |
53% |
Median |
38 |
22% |
39% |
|
39 |
5% |
17% |
Last Result |
40 |
0.8% |
12% |
|
41 |
1.0% |
11% |
|
42 |
3% |
10% |
|
43 |
3% |
7% |
|
44 |
1.2% |
4% |
|
45 |
2% |
3% |
|
46 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
47 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
49 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
50 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
51 |
0% |
0.1% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
24 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
25 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
26 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
27 |
0% |
99.4% |
|
28 |
0% |
99.4% |
|
29 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
30 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
31 |
0.2% |
98.9% |
|
32 |
0.2% |
98.7% |
|
33 |
4% |
98.5% |
|
34 |
16% |
94% |
|
35 |
18% |
79% |
|
36 |
12% |
61% |
Median |
37 |
25% |
49% |
|
38 |
4% |
24% |
|
39 |
6% |
19% |
|
40 |
5% |
13% |
Last Result |
41 |
3% |
8% |
|
42 |
2% |
5% |
|
43 |
2% |
4% |
|
44 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
45 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
48 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
|
16 |
0.8% |
99.0% |
|
17 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
18 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
19 |
2% |
97% |
|
20 |
0.7% |
95% |
|
21 |
0.3% |
94% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
94% |
|
23 |
0.3% |
94% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
94% |
|
25 |
0.2% |
94% |
|
26 |
0.6% |
93% |
|
27 |
6% |
93% |
|
28 |
13% |
87% |
|
29 |
28% |
74% |
Median |
30 |
8% |
46% |
|
31 |
4% |
38% |
|
32 |
14% |
34% |
|
33 |
7% |
20% |
|
34 |
4% |
13% |
|
35 |
1.1% |
9% |
|
36 |
2% |
8% |
|
37 |
2% |
6% |
|
38 |
2% |
4% |
|
39 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
40 |
2% |
2% |
|
41 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
42 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
43 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
44 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
45 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
16 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
17 |
0.2% |
99.2% |
|
18 |
0.6% |
99.0% |
|
19 |
2% |
98% |
|
20 |
2% |
96% |
|
21 |
1.4% |
95% |
|
22 |
1.5% |
93% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
92% |
|
24 |
0.4% |
92% |
|
25 |
0.2% |
91% |
|
26 |
0.4% |
91% |
|
27 |
0.4% |
91% |
|
28 |
3% |
90% |
|
29 |
12% |
87% |
|
30 |
23% |
75% |
Median |
31 |
13% |
52% |
|
32 |
18% |
38% |
|
33 |
12% |
20% |
|
34 |
2% |
8% |
|
35 |
2% |
6% |
|
36 |
0.7% |
4% |
|
37 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
38 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
39 |
0.5% |
1.4% |
|
40 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
41 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
43 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
15 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
16 |
2% |
97% |
|
17 |
1.1% |
95% |
|
18 |
5% |
94% |
|
19 |
1.2% |
89% |
|
20 |
1.1% |
88% |
|
21 |
0.3% |
86% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
86% |
|
23 |
0% |
86% |
|
24 |
0.2% |
86% |
|
25 |
3% |
86% |
|
26 |
10% |
83% |
|
27 |
18% |
73% |
Median |
28 |
24% |
54% |
|
29 |
13% |
31% |
|
30 |
9% |
17% |
|
31 |
6% |
9% |
|
32 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
33 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
34 |
0.3% |
1.5% |
|
35 |
0% |
1.1% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
1.1% |
|
37 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
38 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
40 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
41 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: SKDS
- Commissioner(s): Latvijas Televīzija
- Fieldwork period: 1–31 July 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 884
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.62%