Opinion Poll by SKDS for Latvijas Televīzija, 11–21 September 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” | 19.8% | 17.3% | 15.8–19.1% | 15.4–19.6% | 15.0–20.0% | 14.3–20.8% |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 9.9% | 16.6% | 15.0–18.2% | 14.6–18.7% | 14.3–19.1% | 13.5–20.0% |
| Attīstībai/Par! | 12.0% | 13.0% | 11.6–14.5% | 11.2–14.9% | 10.9–15.3% | 10.3–16.1% |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 6.7% | 11.1% | 9.9–12.6% | 9.5–13.0% | 9.2–13.4% | 8.7–14.1% |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.3–11.9% | 8.9–12.3% | 8.6–12.7% | 8.1–13.4% |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 13.6% | 10.4% | 9.1–11.8% | 8.8–12.2% | 8.5–12.5% | 8.0–13.3% |
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.0–7.0% | 4.7–7.3% | 4.5–7.6% | 4.1–8.2% |
| PROGRESĪVIE | 2.6% | 5.1% | 4.2–6.1% | 4.0–6.4% | 3.8–6.7% | 3.4–7.3% |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.6–5.4% | 3.4–5.7% | 3.2–6.0% | 2.9–6.5% |
| Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 14.2% | 3.7% | 3.0–4.7% | 2.8–4.9% | 2.7–5.2% | 2.4–5.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” | 23 | 20 | 18–22 | 18–23 | 17–24 | 16–25 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 11 | 18 | 17–21 | 17–22 | 16–22 | 15–22 |
| Attīstībai/Par! | 13 | 15 | 13–16 | 12–17 | 12–17 | 11–19 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 8 | 12 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 11–15 | 10–17 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 13 | 11 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 10–14 | 10–15 |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 16 | 12 | 10–13 | 9–13 | 9–14 | 9–14 |
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība | 0 | 6 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–8 | 0–9 |
| PROGRESĪVIE | 0 | 5 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–8 |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 0 | 0 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–8 |
| Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 4% | 99.2% | |
| 18 | 18% | 95% | |
| 19 | 15% | 77% | |
| 20 | 19% | 62% | Median |
| 21 | 18% | 43% | |
| 22 | 17% | 25% | |
| 23 | 4% | 8% | Last Result |
| 24 | 2% | 4% | |
| 25 | 2% | 2% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 16 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 17 | 35% | 96% | |
| 18 | 21% | 62% | Median |
| 19 | 13% | 41% | |
| 20 | 8% | 28% | |
| 21 | 13% | 19% | |
| 22 | 6% | 7% | |
| 23 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Attīstībai/Par!
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Attīstībai/Par! page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 12 | 5% | 99.1% | |
| 13 | 10% | 94% | Last Result |
| 14 | 14% | 84% | |
| 15 | 52% | 70% | Median |
| 16 | 11% | 18% | |
| 17 | 6% | 7% | |
| 18 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 19 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 11 | 42% | 98.8% | |
| 12 | 18% | 57% | Median |
| 13 | 18% | 39% | |
| 14 | 17% | 21% | |
| 15 | 2% | 3% | |
| 16 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 17 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 11% | 99.6% | |
| 11 | 42% | 88% | Median |
| 12 | 17% | 47% | |
| 13 | 25% | 30% | Last Result |
| 14 | 4% | 5% | |
| 15 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 9 | 6% | 99.7% | |
| 10 | 12% | 94% | |
| 11 | 21% | 81% | |
| 12 | 31% | 60% | Median |
| 13 | 27% | 29% | |
| 14 | 3% | 3% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 89% | |
| 2 | 0% | 89% | |
| 3 | 0% | 89% | |
| 4 | 0% | 89% | |
| 5 | 0% | 89% | |
| 6 | 61% | 89% | Median |
| 7 | 24% | 28% | |
| 8 | 3% | 4% | |
| 9 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
PROGRESĪVIE
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 50% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 50% | |
| 2 | 0% | 50% | |
| 3 | 0% | 50% | |
| 4 | 0% | 50% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 50% | Median |
| 6 | 23% | 50% | |
| 7 | 26% | 27% | |
| 8 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Latvijas Krievu savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 73% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 27% | |
| 2 | 0% | 27% | |
| 3 | 0% | 27% | |
| 4 | 0% | 27% | |
| 5 | 11% | 27% | |
| 6 | 4% | 16% | |
| 7 | 11% | 12% | |
| 8 | 2% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Politiskā partija „KPV LV” page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 93% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 7% | |
| 2 | 0% | 7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 7% | |
| 5 | 6% | 7% | |
| 6 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 61 | 69 | 100% | 66–73 | 64–73 | 63–75 | 61–78 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 45 | 57 | 99.6% | 54–60 | 54–62 | 53–63 | 51–66 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 53 | 57 | 99.1% | 53–60 | 52–62 | 52–62 | 50–64 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 48 | 54 | 94% | 51–58 | 50–58 | 48–59 | 48–62 |
| Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 66 | 50 | 45% | 48–54 | 46–56 | 46–57 | 44–60 |
| Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 50 | 50 | 42% | 48–53 | 46–54 | 45–56 | 44–59 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 52 | 47 | 7% | 43–50 | 42–51 | 41–52 | 40–53 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 37 | 45 | 1.4% | 42–48 | 41–49 | 40–50 | 40–52 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 32 | 42 | 0.1% | 40–45 | 39–46 | 39–47 | 38–49 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 40 | 42 | 0.1% | 39–45 | 38–46 | 37–47 | 36–48 |
| Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 50 | 39 | 0% | 37–42 | 36–44 | 35–45 | 34–47 |
| Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 53 | 39 | 0% | 36–42 | 35–43 | 35–44 | 33–47 |
| Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 58 | 39 | 0% | 35–41 | 35–43 | 35–44 | 33–46 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 50 | 39 | 0% | 35–43 | 35–44 | 34–44 | 34–46 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 53 | 36 | 0% | 33–39 | 32–41 | 31–41 | 30–44 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! | 36 | 35 | 0% | 32–37 | 31–39 | 31–40 | 29–41 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 39 | 20 | 0% | 18–23 | 18–25 | 17–26 | 16–27 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 63 | 2% | 98% | |
| 64 | 2% | 96% | |
| 65 | 4% | 95% | |
| 66 | 10% | 91% | |
| 67 | 11% | 81% | |
| 68 | 20% | 70% | Median |
| 69 | 15% | 51% | |
| 70 | 8% | 36% | |
| 71 | 11% | 28% | |
| 72 | 5% | 17% | |
| 73 | 7% | 12% | |
| 74 | 2% | 5% | |
| 75 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 76 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 99.6% | Majority |
| 52 | 1.3% | 99.2% | |
| 53 | 2% | 98% | |
| 54 | 6% | 96% | |
| 55 | 18% | 89% | |
| 56 | 17% | 71% | Median |
| 57 | 16% | 54% | |
| 58 | 8% | 38% | |
| 59 | 7% | 31% | |
| 60 | 15% | 23% | |
| 61 | 4% | 9% | |
| 62 | 2% | 5% | |
| 63 | 2% | 3% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 51 | 0.9% | 99.1% | Majority |
| 52 | 8% | 98% | |
| 53 | 6% | 91% | Last Result |
| 54 | 5% | 85% | |
| 55 | 8% | 80% | |
| 56 | 21% | 72% | Median |
| 57 | 12% | 51% | |
| 58 | 20% | 39% | |
| 59 | 5% | 19% | |
| 60 | 6% | 14% | |
| 61 | 2% | 9% | |
| 62 | 5% | 6% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 2% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 49 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 50 | 2% | 96% | |
| 51 | 9% | 94% | Majority |
| 52 | 8% | 85% | |
| 53 | 22% | 77% | Median |
| 54 | 17% | 55% | |
| 55 | 8% | 38% | |
| 56 | 13% | 31% | |
| 57 | 8% | 18% | |
| 58 | 6% | 10% | |
| 59 | 2% | 4% | |
| 60 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 45 | 1.1% | 99.2% | |
| 46 | 3% | 98% | |
| 47 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 48 | 9% | 94% | |
| 49 | 12% | 85% | |
| 50 | 27% | 73% | Median |
| 51 | 16% | 45% | Majority |
| 52 | 12% | 30% | |
| 53 | 8% | 18% | |
| 54 | 2% | 10% | |
| 55 | 1.5% | 8% | |
| 56 | 4% | 6% | |
| 57 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 58 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 45 | 1.4% | 98.8% | |
| 46 | 3% | 97% | |
| 47 | 2% | 94% | |
| 48 | 9% | 92% | |
| 49 | 13% | 83% | |
| 50 | 27% | 70% | Last Result, Median |
| 51 | 18% | 42% | Majority |
| 52 | 11% | 25% | |
| 53 | 7% | 13% | |
| 54 | 2% | 6% | |
| 55 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 56 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 57 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 58 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 41 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 42 | 5% | 97% | |
| 43 | 7% | 92% | |
| 44 | 5% | 84% | |
| 45 | 15% | 79% | |
| 46 | 11% | 64% | |
| 47 | 11% | 53% | Median |
| 48 | 22% | 41% | |
| 49 | 4% | 19% | |
| 50 | 8% | 15% | |
| 51 | 3% | 7% | Majority |
| 52 | 2% | 5% | Last Result |
| 53 | 2% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 38 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 40 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 41 | 5% | 96% | |
| 42 | 6% | 91% | |
| 43 | 8% | 86% | |
| 44 | 18% | 77% | Median |
| 45 | 22% | 59% | |
| 46 | 12% | 37% | |
| 47 | 11% | 25% | |
| 48 | 7% | 14% | |
| 49 | 5% | 7% | |
| 50 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 1.4% | Majority |
| 52 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 1.1% | 99.6% | |
| 39 | 7% | 98.5% | |
| 40 | 9% | 91% | |
| 41 | 20% | 82% | Median |
| 42 | 23% | 62% | |
| 43 | 7% | 39% | |
| 44 | 10% | 33% | |
| 45 | 14% | 23% | |
| 46 | 6% | 9% | |
| 47 | 2% | 3% | |
| 48 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 49 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 38 | 4% | 97% | |
| 39 | 5% | 93% | |
| 40 | 16% | 88% | Last Result |
| 41 | 16% | 72% | Median |
| 42 | 15% | 56% | |
| 43 | 21% | 41% | |
| 44 | 6% | 19% | |
| 45 | 5% | 14% | |
| 46 | 6% | 9% | |
| 47 | 2% | 3% | |
| 48 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% |
Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 34 | 1.3% | 99.7% | |
| 35 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 36 | 7% | 97% | |
| 37 | 19% | 90% | |
| 38 | 21% | 71% | Median |
| 39 | 18% | 51% | |
| 40 | 10% | 33% | |
| 41 | 9% | 23% | |
| 42 | 6% | 14% | |
| 43 | 1.1% | 8% | |
| 44 | 3% | 7% | |
| 45 | 3% | 4% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 47 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 34 | 1.3% | 99.1% | |
| 35 | 3% | 98% | |
| 36 | 5% | 95% | |
| 37 | 10% | 89% | |
| 38 | 17% | 80% | |
| 39 | 31% | 63% | Median |
| 40 | 16% | 32% | |
| 41 | 4% | 16% | |
| 42 | 4% | 12% | |
| 43 | 4% | 7% | |
| 44 | 2% | 3% | |
| 45 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 34 | 1.5% | 99.0% | |
| 35 | 8% | 98% | |
| 36 | 10% | 89% | |
| 37 | 16% | 79% | |
| 38 | 11% | 64% | Median |
| 39 | 27% | 53% | |
| 40 | 9% | 26% | |
| 41 | 8% | 17% | |
| 42 | 2% | 9% | |
| 43 | 2% | 7% | |
| 44 | 4% | 5% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 35 | 7% | 97% | |
| 36 | 13% | 90% | |
| 37 | 11% | 77% | |
| 38 | 14% | 66% | Median |
| 39 | 12% | 52% | |
| 40 | 9% | 40% | |
| 41 | 8% | 31% | |
| 42 | 7% | 23% | |
| 43 | 10% | 16% | |
| 44 | 4% | 6% | |
| 45 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 32 | 2% | 97% | |
| 33 | 6% | 95% | |
| 34 | 10% | 89% | |
| 35 | 26% | 78% | Median |
| 36 | 18% | 53% | |
| 37 | 16% | 35% | |
| 38 | 6% | 18% | |
| 39 | 5% | 12% | |
| 40 | 2% | 7% | |
| 41 | 3% | 6% | |
| 42 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 43 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par!

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 30 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 31 | 6% | 98.6% | |
| 32 | 6% | 93% | |
| 33 | 16% | 87% | |
| 34 | 15% | 72% | |
| 35 | 18% | 57% | Median |
| 36 | 15% | 39% | Last Result |
| 37 | 16% | 24% | |
| 38 | 3% | 9% | |
| 39 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 40 | 4% | 4% | |
| 41 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 4% | 99.2% | |
| 18 | 17% | 96% | |
| 19 | 14% | 79% | |
| 20 | 19% | 64% | Median |
| 21 | 15% | 46% | |
| 22 | 16% | 30% | |
| 23 | 5% | 14% | |
| 24 | 3% | 9% | |
| 25 | 3% | 7% | |
| 26 | 3% | 4% | |
| 27 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: SKDS
- Commissioner(s): Latvijas Televīzija
- Fieldwork period: 11–21 September 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 888
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.98%