Opinion Poll by SKDS for Latvijas Televīzija, 9–20 October 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” | 19.8% | 19.8% | 18.1–21.6% | 17.7–22.1% | 17.3–22.5% | 16.5–23.4% |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 9.9% | 15.6% | 14.1–17.3% | 13.7–17.7% | 13.4–18.1% | 12.7–19.0% |
| Attīstībai/Par! | 12.0% | 13.6% | 12.2–15.2% | 11.8–15.6% | 11.5–16.0% | 10.9–16.8% |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 13.6% | 11.2% | 10.0–12.7% | 9.6–13.1% | 9.3–13.5% | 8.7–14.2% |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.0–12.7% | 9.6–13.1% | 9.3–13.5% | 8.7–14.2% |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 6.7% | 9.4% | 8.3–10.8% | 8.0–11.2% | 7.7–11.5% | 7.2–12.2% |
| PROGRESĪVIE | 2.6% | 5.8% | 4.9–7.0% | 4.7–7.3% | 4.5–7.6% | 4.1–8.2% |
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.3–6.2% | 4.1–6.6% | 3.9–6.8% | 3.5–7.4% |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.1–6.0% | 3.9–6.3% | 3.7–6.6% | 3.3–7.1% |
| Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 14.2% | 3.3% | 2.6–4.2% | 2.4–4.4% | 2.3–4.6% | 2.0–5.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” | 23 | 23 | 20–24 | 19–25 | 18–26 | 17–27 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 11 | 17 | 14–19 | 13–20 | 12–22 | 12–22 |
| Attīstībai/Par! | 13 | 16 | 13–17 | 12–17 | 11–17 | 10–17 |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 16 | 12 | 10–13 | 9–13 | 9–14 | 9–15 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 13 | 12 | 11–14 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 9–16 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 8 | 11 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 8–12 | 8–13 |
| PROGRESĪVIE | 0 | 7 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–8 | 0–8 |
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība | 0 | 0 | 0–6 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 0 | 0 | 0–7 | 0–8 | 0–8 | 0–8 |
| Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–5 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 19 | 6% | 96% | |
| 20 | 5% | 91% | |
| 21 | 18% | 86% | |
| 22 | 14% | 68% | |
| 23 | 15% | 54% | Last Result, Median |
| 24 | 32% | 39% | |
| 25 | 4% | 8% | |
| 26 | 2% | 4% | |
| 27 | 2% | 2% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 12 | 3% | 100% | |
| 13 | 4% | 97% | |
| 14 | 4% | 94% | |
| 15 | 4% | 89% | |
| 16 | 16% | 85% | |
| 17 | 19% | 69% | Median |
| 18 | 32% | 49% | |
| 19 | 11% | 17% | |
| 20 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 21 | 2% | 5% | |
| 22 | 3% | 3% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Attīstībai/Par!
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Attīstībai/Par! page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 10 | 1.5% | 99.7% | |
| 11 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 12 | 4% | 97% | |
| 13 | 4% | 94% | Last Result |
| 14 | 21% | 89% | |
| 15 | 18% | 69% | |
| 16 | 21% | 51% | Median |
| 17 | 30% | 30% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8% | 100% | |
| 10 | 3% | 92% | |
| 11 | 35% | 89% | |
| 12 | 8% | 54% | Median |
| 13 | 41% | 46% | |
| 14 | 4% | 5% | |
| 15 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 10 | 7% | 99.2% | |
| 11 | 24% | 92% | |
| 12 | 32% | 69% | Median |
| 13 | 22% | 37% | Last Result |
| 14 | 14% | 15% | |
| 15 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 16 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 8 | 15% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 9 | 11% | 85% | |
| 10 | 6% | 74% | |
| 11 | 64% | 68% | Median |
| 12 | 3% | 4% | |
| 13 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
PROGRESĪVIE
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 20% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 80% | |
| 2 | 0% | 80% | |
| 3 | 0% | 80% | |
| 4 | 0% | 80% | |
| 5 | 6% | 80% | |
| 6 | 12% | 74% | |
| 7 | 58% | 62% | Median |
| 8 | 4% | 4% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 54% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 46% | |
| 2 | 0% | 46% | |
| 3 | 0% | 46% | |
| 4 | 0% | 46% | |
| 5 | 0% | 46% | |
| 6 | 40% | 46% | |
| 7 | 6% | 7% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Latvijas Krievu savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 58% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 42% | |
| 2 | 0% | 42% | |
| 3 | 0% | 42% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 42% | |
| 5 | 19% | 42% | |
| 6 | 9% | 23% | |
| 7 | 8% | 14% | |
| 8 | 6% | 6% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Politiskā partija „KPV LV” page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.3% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 61 | 68 | 100% | 62–70 | 60–72 | 59–73 | 58–76 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 53 | 57 | 96% | 52–59 | 51–61 | 50–63 | 49–65 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 45 | 55 | 86% | 50–58 | 48–59 | 47–60 | 45–63 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 48 | 52 | 67% | 48–54 | 47–56 | 45–58 | 44–60 |
| Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 50 | 50 | 49% | 46–52 | 45–53 | 43–55 | 41–55 |
| Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 66 | 50 | 49% | 46–52 | 45–54 | 43–55 | 41–55 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 52 | 51 | 51% | 45–52 | 44–54 | 43–55 | 42–55 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 37 | 45 | 2% | 40–47 | 39–48 | 37–50 | 37–52 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 40 | 41 | 0% | 38–43 | 37–46 | 36–48 | 35–49 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 50 | 40 | 0% | 35–42 | 34–44 | 33–46 | 31–48 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 32 | 41 | 0% | 36–43 | 35–43 | 34–45 | 32–46 |
| Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 58 | 40 | 0% | 37–41 | 35–43 | 34–43 | 33–44 |
| Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 50 | 38 | 0% | 35–40 | 33–41 | 32–42 | 30–42 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! | 36 | 38 | 0% | 33–41 | 32–41 | 32–42 | 31–42 |
| Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 53 | 38 | 0% | 35–40 | 34–41 | 32–41 | 31–43 |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 53 | 34 | 0% | 32–38 | 31–38 | 30–39 | 27–40 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 39 | 23 | 0% | 20–24 | 19–25 | 18–26 | 17–27 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 58 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 59 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 60 | 2% | 97% | |
| 61 | 2% | 94% | Last Result |
| 62 | 4% | 92% | |
| 63 | 6% | 88% | |
| 64 | 9% | 82% | |
| 65 | 10% | 74% | |
| 66 | 6% | 64% | |
| 67 | 7% | 58% | |
| 68 | 10% | 51% | Median |
| 69 | 28% | 41% | |
| 70 | 7% | 14% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 72 | 2% | 6% | |
| 73 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 76 | 2% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 50 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 51 | 4% | 96% | Majority |
| 52 | 6% | 92% | |
| 53 | 5% | 86% | Last Result |
| 54 | 4% | 82% | |
| 55 | 8% | 77% | |
| 56 | 9% | 69% | |
| 57 | 16% | 60% | Median |
| 58 | 28% | 43% | |
| 59 | 8% | 15% | |
| 60 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 61 | 3% | 6% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 63 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 65 | 2% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 1.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 46 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 47 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 48 | 3% | 97% | |
| 49 | 2% | 94% | |
| 50 | 5% | 91% | |
| 51 | 3% | 86% | Majority |
| 52 | 11% | 83% | |
| 53 | 8% | 72% | |
| 54 | 5% | 64% | |
| 55 | 13% | 60% | |
| 56 | 5% | 47% | Median |
| 57 | 7% | 42% | |
| 58 | 27% | 36% | |
| 59 | 4% | 8% | |
| 60 | 2% | 4% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 62 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 45 | 1.3% | 98.8% | |
| 46 | 2% | 97% | |
| 47 | 2% | 95% | |
| 48 | 6% | 93% | Last Result |
| 49 | 12% | 87% | |
| 50 | 8% | 75% | |
| 51 | 6% | 67% | Majority |
| 52 | 33% | 61% | Median |
| 53 | 6% | 27% | |
| 54 | 14% | 21% | |
| 55 | 1.3% | 7% | |
| 56 | 2% | 6% | |
| 57 | 2% | 5% | |
| 58 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 59 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 43 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 44 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 45 | 3% | 96% | |
| 46 | 4% | 93% | |
| 47 | 6% | 89% | |
| 48 | 18% | 83% | |
| 49 | 7% | 65% | |
| 50 | 9% | 58% | Last Result |
| 51 | 30% | 49% | Median, Majority |
| 52 | 13% | 19% | |
| 53 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 54 | 2% | 5% | |
| 55 | 2% | 3% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 43 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 44 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 45 | 3% | 96% | |
| 46 | 4% | 93% | |
| 47 | 6% | 89% | |
| 48 | 18% | 83% | |
| 49 | 7% | 65% | |
| 50 | 9% | 58% | |
| 51 | 30% | 49% | Median, Majority |
| 52 | 13% | 20% | |
| 53 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 54 | 2% | 5% | |
| 55 | 3% | 3% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 1.2% | 99.6% | |
| 43 | 2% | 98% | |
| 44 | 2% | 96% | |
| 45 | 6% | 94% | |
| 46 | 9% | 88% | |
| 47 | 3% | 80% | |
| 48 | 14% | 76% | |
| 49 | 5% | 62% | |
| 50 | 6% | 57% | |
| 51 | 12% | 51% | Median, Majority |
| 52 | 30% | 39% | Last Result |
| 53 | 3% | 9% | |
| 54 | 4% | 7% | |
| 55 | 2% | 3% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 37 | 2% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 38 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 39 | 5% | 96% | |
| 40 | 4% | 91% | |
| 41 | 5% | 87% | |
| 42 | 5% | 82% | |
| 43 | 5% | 77% | |
| 44 | 22% | 73% | |
| 45 | 5% | 50% | Median |
| 46 | 8% | 46% | |
| 47 | 29% | 38% | |
| 48 | 4% | 8% | |
| 49 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 50 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 51 | 1.1% | 2% | Majority |
| 52 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 36 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 37 | 4% | 97% | |
| 38 | 3% | 93% | |
| 39 | 6% | 90% | |
| 40 | 11% | 83% | Last Result |
| 41 | 41% | 72% | Median |
| 42 | 8% | 31% | |
| 43 | 15% | 23% | |
| 44 | 2% | 8% | |
| 45 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 46 | 2% | 5% | |
| 47 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 48 | 2% | 3% | |
| 49 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 31 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 32 | 0.5% | 98.7% | |
| 33 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 34 | 2% | 97% | |
| 35 | 7% | 95% | |
| 36 | 3% | 88% | |
| 37 | 13% | 85% | |
| 38 | 8% | 72% | |
| 39 | 11% | 65% | |
| 40 | 8% | 54% | Median |
| 41 | 7% | 46% | |
| 42 | 31% | 40% | |
| 43 | 0.6% | 9% | |
| 44 | 3% | 8% | |
| 45 | 2% | 5% | |
| 46 | 2% | 3% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 48 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.9% | 100% | Last Result |
| 33 | 0.9% | 99.0% | |
| 34 | 2% | 98% | |
| 35 | 5% | 96% | |
| 36 | 9% | 91% | |
| 37 | 6% | 82% | |
| 38 | 7% | 76% | |
| 39 | 9% | 69% | |
| 40 | 9% | 60% | Median |
| 41 | 36% | 51% | |
| 42 | 3% | 15% | |
| 43 | 7% | 12% | |
| 44 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 45 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 46 | 2% | 2% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 34 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 35 | 3% | 97% | |
| 36 | 3% | 94% | |
| 37 | 9% | 91% | |
| 38 | 10% | 82% | |
| 39 | 11% | 72% | |
| 40 | 39% | 61% | Median |
| 41 | 15% | 22% | |
| 42 | 2% | 7% | |
| 43 | 3% | 5% | |
| 44 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 1.4% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 32 | 2% | 98% | |
| 33 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 34 | 4% | 95% | |
| 35 | 12% | 90% | |
| 36 | 9% | 78% | |
| 37 | 11% | 69% | |
| 38 | 10% | 58% | |
| 39 | 13% | 48% | Median |
| 40 | 28% | 36% | |
| 41 | 4% | 7% | |
| 42 | 3% | 3% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par!

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 1.4% | 99.5% | |
| 32 | 3% | 98% | |
| 33 | 6% | 95% | |
| 34 | 4% | 89% | |
| 35 | 11% | 85% | |
| 36 | 8% | 74% | Last Result |
| 37 | 11% | 66% | |
| 38 | 10% | 55% | |
| 39 | 10% | 45% | Median |
| 40 | 5% | 35% | |
| 41 | 26% | 30% | |
| 42 | 4% | 4% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 31 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 32 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 33 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 34 | 5% | 95% | |
| 35 | 12% | 91% | |
| 36 | 9% | 79% | |
| 37 | 11% | 70% | |
| 38 | 16% | 58% | |
| 39 | 29% | 43% | Median |
| 40 | 8% | 13% | |
| 41 | 4% | 5% | |
| 42 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 43 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 29 | 1.2% | 99.0% | |
| 30 | 3% | 98% | |
| 31 | 3% | 95% | |
| 32 | 8% | 92% | |
| 33 | 13% | 84% | |
| 34 | 31% | 71% | |
| 35 | 16% | 40% | Median |
| 36 | 6% | 24% | |
| 37 | 5% | 18% | |
| 38 | 10% | 13% | |
| 39 | 2% | 3% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 19 | 6% | 96% | |
| 20 | 5% | 91% | |
| 21 | 18% | 86% | |
| 22 | 14% | 69% | |
| 23 | 15% | 54% | Median |
| 24 | 32% | 40% | |
| 25 | 4% | 8% | |
| 26 | 2% | 4% | |
| 27 | 2% | 2% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: SKDS
- Commissioner(s): Latvijas Televīzija
- Fieldwork period: 9–20 October 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 891
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.78%