Opinion Poll by SKDS for Latvijas Televīzija, 9–20 October 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” |
19.8% |
19.8% |
18.1–21.6% |
17.7–22.1% |
17.3–22.5% |
16.5–23.4% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība |
9.9% |
15.6% |
14.1–17.3% |
13.7–17.7% |
13.4–18.1% |
12.7–19.0% |
Attīstībai/Par! |
12.0% |
13.6% |
12.2–15.2% |
11.8–15.6% |
11.5–16.0% |
10.9–16.8% |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
13.6% |
11.2% |
10.0–12.7% |
9.6–13.1% |
9.3–13.5% |
8.7–14.2% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” |
11.0% |
11.2% |
10.0–12.7% |
9.6–13.1% |
9.3–13.5% |
8.7–14.2% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA |
6.7% |
9.4% |
8.3–10.8% |
8.0–11.2% |
7.7–11.5% |
7.2–12.2% |
PROGRESĪVIE |
2.6% |
5.8% |
4.9–7.0% |
4.7–7.3% |
4.5–7.6% |
4.1–8.2% |
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība |
4.1% |
5.2% |
4.3–6.2% |
4.1–6.6% |
3.9–6.8% |
3.5–7.4% |
Latvijas Krievu savienība |
3.2% |
4.9% |
4.1–6.0% |
3.9–6.3% |
3.7–6.6% |
3.3–7.1% |
Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
14.2% |
3.3% |
2.6–4.2% |
2.4–4.4% |
2.3–4.6% |
2.0–5.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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
Confidence Intervals
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
16 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
17 |
1.1% |
99.9% |
|
18 |
3% |
98.8% |
|
19 |
6% |
96% |
|
20 |
5% |
91% |
|
21 |
18% |
86% |
|
22 |
14% |
68% |
|
23 |
15% |
54% |
Last Result, Median |
24 |
32% |
39% |
|
25 |
4% |
8% |
|
26 |
2% |
4% |
|
27 |
2% |
2% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
12 |
3% |
100% |
|
13 |
4% |
97% |
|
14 |
4% |
94% |
|
15 |
4% |
89% |
|
16 |
16% |
85% |
|
17 |
19% |
69% |
Median |
18 |
32% |
49% |
|
19 |
11% |
17% |
|
20 |
1.2% |
6% |
|
21 |
2% |
5% |
|
22 |
3% |
3% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
Attīstībai/Par!
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Attīstībai/Par! page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
10 |
1.5% |
99.7% |
|
11 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
12 |
4% |
97% |
|
13 |
4% |
94% |
Last Result |
14 |
21% |
89% |
|
15 |
18% |
69% |
|
16 |
21% |
51% |
Median |
17 |
30% |
30% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
20 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā konservatīvā partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
8% |
100% |
|
10 |
3% |
92% |
|
11 |
35% |
89% |
|
12 |
8% |
54% |
Median |
13 |
41% |
46% |
|
14 |
4% |
5% |
|
15 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
16 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
10 |
7% |
99.2% |
|
11 |
24% |
92% |
|
12 |
32% |
69% |
Median |
13 |
22% |
37% |
Last Result |
14 |
14% |
15% |
|
15 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
16 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
8 |
15% |
99.5% |
Last Result |
9 |
11% |
85% |
|
10 |
6% |
74% |
|
11 |
64% |
68% |
Median |
12 |
3% |
4% |
|
13 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
14 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
PROGRESĪVIE
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
20% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
80% |
|
2 |
0% |
80% |
|
3 |
0% |
80% |
|
4 |
0% |
80% |
|
5 |
6% |
80% |
|
6 |
12% |
74% |
|
7 |
58% |
62% |
Median |
8 |
4% |
4% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
54% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
46% |
|
2 |
0% |
46% |
|
3 |
0% |
46% |
|
4 |
0% |
46% |
|
5 |
0% |
46% |
|
6 |
40% |
46% |
|
7 |
6% |
7% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Latvijas Krievu savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
58% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
42% |
|
2 |
0% |
42% |
|
3 |
0% |
42% |
|
4 |
0.2% |
42% |
|
5 |
19% |
42% |
|
6 |
9% |
23% |
|
7 |
8% |
14% |
|
8 |
6% |
6% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Politiskā partija „KPV LV” page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.3% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0.7% |
|
2 |
0% |
0.7% |
|
3 |
0% |
0.7% |
|
4 |
0% |
0.7% |
|
5 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA |
61 |
68 |
100% |
62–70 |
60–72 |
59–73 |
58–76 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” |
53 |
57 |
96% |
52–59 |
51–61 |
50–63 |
49–65 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA |
45 |
55 |
86% |
50–58 |
48–59 |
47–60 |
45–63 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA |
48 |
52 |
67% |
48–54 |
47–56 |
45–58 |
44–60 |
Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA |
50 |
50 |
49% |
46–52 |
45–53 |
43–55 |
41–55 |
Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
66 |
50 |
49% |
46–52 |
45–54 |
43–55 |
41–55 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
52 |
51 |
51% |
45–52 |
44–54 |
43–55 |
42–55 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” |
37 |
45 |
2% |
40–47 |
39–48 |
37–50 |
37–52 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” |
40 |
41 |
0% |
38–43 |
37–46 |
36–48 |
35–49 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
50 |
40 |
0% |
35–42 |
34–44 |
33–46 |
31–48 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA |
32 |
41 |
0% |
36–43 |
35–43 |
34–45 |
32–46 |
Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
58 |
40 |
0% |
37–41 |
35–43 |
34–43 |
33–44 |
Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
50 |
38 |
0% |
35–40 |
33–41 |
32–42 |
30–42 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! |
36 |
38 |
0% |
33–41 |
32–41 |
32–42 |
31–42 |
Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
53 |
38 |
0% |
35–40 |
34–41 |
32–41 |
31–43 |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
53 |
34 |
0% |
32–38 |
31–38 |
30–39 |
27–40 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
39 |
23 |
0% |
20–24 |
19–25 |
18–26 |
17–27 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
58 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
59 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
60 |
2% |
97% |
|
61 |
2% |
94% |
Last Result |
62 |
4% |
92% |
|
63 |
6% |
88% |
|
64 |
9% |
82% |
|
65 |
10% |
74% |
|
66 |
6% |
64% |
|
67 |
7% |
58% |
|
68 |
10% |
51% |
Median |
69 |
28% |
41% |
|
70 |
7% |
14% |
|
71 |
0.5% |
6% |
|
72 |
2% |
6% |
|
73 |
1.5% |
4% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
76 |
2% |
2% |
|
77 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
50 |
3% |
99.1% |
|
51 |
4% |
96% |
Majority |
52 |
6% |
92% |
|
53 |
5% |
86% |
Last Result |
54 |
4% |
82% |
|
55 |
8% |
77% |
|
56 |
9% |
69% |
|
57 |
16% |
60% |
Median |
58 |
28% |
43% |
|
59 |
8% |
15% |
|
60 |
0.8% |
7% |
|
61 |
3% |
6% |
|
62 |
0.7% |
4% |
|
63 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
65 |
2% |
2% |
|
66 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
1.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
46 |
0.9% |
98.9% |
|
47 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
48 |
3% |
97% |
|
49 |
2% |
94% |
|
50 |
5% |
91% |
|
51 |
3% |
86% |
Majority |
52 |
11% |
83% |
|
53 |
8% |
72% |
|
54 |
5% |
64% |
|
55 |
13% |
60% |
|
56 |
5% |
47% |
Median |
57 |
7% |
42% |
|
58 |
27% |
36% |
|
59 |
4% |
8% |
|
60 |
2% |
4% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
62 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
63 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
44 |
0.8% |
99.6% |
|
45 |
1.3% |
98.8% |
|
46 |
2% |
97% |
|
47 |
2% |
95% |
|
48 |
6% |
93% |
Last Result |
49 |
12% |
87% |
|
50 |
8% |
75% |
|
51 |
6% |
67% |
Majority |
52 |
33% |
61% |
Median |
53 |
6% |
27% |
|
54 |
14% |
21% |
|
55 |
1.3% |
7% |
|
56 |
2% |
6% |
|
57 |
2% |
5% |
|
58 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
59 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
60 |
0.9% |
1.0% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
43 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
44 |
0.9% |
97% |
|
45 |
3% |
96% |
|
46 |
4% |
93% |
|
47 |
6% |
89% |
|
48 |
18% |
83% |
|
49 |
7% |
65% |
|
50 |
9% |
58% |
Last Result |
51 |
30% |
49% |
Median, Majority |
52 |
13% |
19% |
|
53 |
1.1% |
6% |
|
54 |
2% |
5% |
|
55 |
2% |
3% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
43 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
44 |
0.9% |
97% |
|
45 |
3% |
96% |
|
46 |
4% |
93% |
|
47 |
6% |
89% |
|
48 |
18% |
83% |
|
49 |
7% |
65% |
|
50 |
9% |
58% |
|
51 |
30% |
49% |
Median, Majority |
52 |
13% |
20% |
|
53 |
1.3% |
6% |
|
54 |
2% |
5% |
|
55 |
3% |
3% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
41 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
1.2% |
99.6% |
|
43 |
2% |
98% |
|
44 |
2% |
96% |
|
45 |
6% |
94% |
|
46 |
9% |
88% |
|
47 |
3% |
80% |
|
48 |
14% |
76% |
|
49 |
5% |
62% |
|
50 |
6% |
57% |
|
51 |
12% |
51% |
Median, Majority |
52 |
30% |
39% |
Last Result |
53 |
3% |
9% |
|
54 |
4% |
7% |
|
55 |
2% |
3% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
57 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
37 |
2% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
38 |
1.5% |
97% |
|
39 |
5% |
96% |
|
40 |
4% |
91% |
|
41 |
5% |
87% |
|
42 |
5% |
82% |
|
43 |
5% |
77% |
|
44 |
22% |
73% |
|
45 |
5% |
50% |
Median |
46 |
8% |
46% |
|
47 |
29% |
38% |
|
48 |
4% |
8% |
|
49 |
1.3% |
5% |
|
50 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
51 |
1.1% |
2% |
Majority |
52 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
36 |
3% |
99.3% |
|
37 |
4% |
97% |
|
38 |
3% |
93% |
|
39 |
6% |
90% |
|
40 |
11% |
83% |
Last Result |
41 |
41% |
72% |
Median |
42 |
8% |
31% |
|
43 |
15% |
23% |
|
44 |
2% |
8% |
|
45 |
1.3% |
6% |
|
46 |
2% |
5% |
|
47 |
0.8% |
4% |
|
48 |
2% |
3% |
|
49 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
50 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
31 |
0.8% |
99.6% |
|
32 |
0.5% |
98.7% |
|
33 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
34 |
2% |
97% |
|
35 |
7% |
95% |
|
36 |
3% |
88% |
|
37 |
13% |
85% |
|
38 |
8% |
72% |
|
39 |
11% |
65% |
|
40 |
8% |
54% |
Median |
41 |
7% |
46% |
|
42 |
31% |
40% |
|
43 |
0.6% |
9% |
|
44 |
3% |
8% |
|
45 |
2% |
5% |
|
46 |
2% |
3% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
|
48 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
49 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0.9% |
100% |
Last Result |
33 |
0.9% |
99.0% |
|
34 |
2% |
98% |
|
35 |
5% |
96% |
|
36 |
9% |
91% |
|
37 |
6% |
82% |
|
38 |
7% |
76% |
|
39 |
9% |
69% |
|
40 |
9% |
60% |
Median |
41 |
36% |
51% |
|
42 |
3% |
15% |
|
43 |
7% |
12% |
|
44 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
45 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
46 |
2% |
2% |
|
47 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
33 |
0.9% |
99.7% |
|
34 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
35 |
3% |
97% |
|
36 |
3% |
94% |
|
37 |
9% |
91% |
|
38 |
10% |
82% |
|
39 |
11% |
72% |
|
40 |
39% |
61% |
Median |
41 |
15% |
22% |
|
42 |
2% |
7% |
|
43 |
3% |
5% |
|
44 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
45 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
30 |
1.4% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
32 |
2% |
98% |
|
33 |
1.3% |
96% |
|
34 |
4% |
95% |
|
35 |
12% |
90% |
|
36 |
9% |
78% |
|
37 |
11% |
69% |
|
38 |
10% |
58% |
|
39 |
13% |
48% |
Median |
40 |
28% |
36% |
|
41 |
4% |
7% |
|
42 |
3% |
3% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
44 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par!

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
31 |
1.4% |
99.5% |
|
32 |
3% |
98% |
|
33 |
6% |
95% |
|
34 |
4% |
89% |
|
35 |
11% |
85% |
|
36 |
8% |
74% |
Last Result |
37 |
11% |
66% |
|
38 |
10% |
55% |
|
39 |
10% |
45% |
Median |
40 |
5% |
35% |
|
41 |
26% |
30% |
|
42 |
4% |
4% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
44 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
31 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
32 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
33 |
1.4% |
97% |
|
34 |
5% |
95% |
|
35 |
12% |
91% |
|
36 |
9% |
79% |
|
37 |
11% |
70% |
|
38 |
16% |
58% |
|
39 |
29% |
43% |
Median |
40 |
8% |
13% |
|
41 |
4% |
5% |
|
42 |
0.7% |
1.4% |
|
43 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
44 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
27 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
99.1% |
|
29 |
1.2% |
99.0% |
|
30 |
3% |
98% |
|
31 |
3% |
95% |
|
32 |
8% |
92% |
|
33 |
13% |
84% |
|
34 |
31% |
71% |
|
35 |
16% |
40% |
Median |
36 |
6% |
24% |
|
37 |
5% |
18% |
|
38 |
10% |
13% |
|
39 |
2% |
3% |
|
40 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
41 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
16 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
17 |
1.1% |
99.9% |
|
18 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
19 |
6% |
96% |
|
20 |
5% |
91% |
|
21 |
18% |
86% |
|
22 |
14% |
69% |
|
23 |
15% |
54% |
Median |
24 |
32% |
40% |
|
25 |
4% |
8% |
|
26 |
2% |
4% |
|
27 |
2% |
2% |
|
28 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
29 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: SKDS
- Commissioner(s): Latvijas Televīzija
- Fieldwork period: 9–20 October 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 891
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.78%