Opinion Poll by SKDS for Latvijas Televīzija, 1–31 December 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” |
19.8% |
22.0% |
20.3–23.9% |
19.8–24.4% |
19.4–24.8% |
18.6–25.7% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība |
9.9% |
15.6% |
14.1–17.2% |
13.7–17.7% |
13.3–18.1% |
12.7–18.9% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” |
11.0% |
11.3% |
10.1–12.8% |
9.7–13.2% |
9.4–13.6% |
8.9–14.3% |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
13.6% |
10.3% |
9.1–11.8% |
8.8–12.1% |
8.5–12.5% |
8.0–13.2% |
Attīstībai/Par! |
12.0% |
9.3% |
8.2–10.7% |
7.9–11.1% |
7.6–11.4% |
7.1–12.1% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA |
6.7% |
8.0% |
7.0–9.3% |
6.6–9.6% |
6.4–10.0% |
5.9–10.6% |
PROGRESĪVIE |
2.6% |
7.6% |
6.5–8.8% |
6.2–9.2% |
6.0–9.5% |
5.5–10.1% |
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība |
4.1% |
5.8% |
4.9–6.9% |
4.6–7.2% |
4.4–7.5% |
4.0–8.1% |
Latvijas Krievu savienība |
3.2% |
4.1% |
3.4–5.1% |
3.2–5.4% |
3.0–5.6% |
2.7–6.1% |
Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
14.2% |
3.7% |
3.0–4.6% |
2.8–4.9% |
2.6–5.1% |
2.3–5.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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
Confidence Intervals
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
19 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
20 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
21 |
1.1% |
99.7% |
|
22 |
3% |
98.6% |
|
23 |
7% |
96% |
Last Result |
24 |
23% |
89% |
|
25 |
43% |
66% |
Median |
26 |
6% |
23% |
|
27 |
12% |
17% |
|
28 |
3% |
5% |
|
29 |
2% |
3% |
|
30 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
14 |
0.9% |
99.7% |
|
15 |
4% |
98.9% |
|
16 |
6% |
95% |
|
17 |
54% |
88% |
Median |
18 |
18% |
34% |
|
19 |
7% |
16% |
|
20 |
5% |
9% |
|
21 |
4% |
4% |
|
22 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
|
11 |
26% |
99.0% |
|
12 |
10% |
73% |
|
13 |
39% |
63% |
Last Result, Median |
14 |
22% |
24% |
|
15 |
2% |
2% |
|
16 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
17 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā konservatīvā partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
9 |
7% |
99.8% |
|
10 |
9% |
93% |
|
11 |
29% |
84% |
|
12 |
14% |
54% |
Median |
13 |
39% |
40% |
|
14 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
15 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
16 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Attīstībai/Par!
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Attīstībai/Par! page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
4% |
100% |
|
8 |
6% |
96% |
|
9 |
13% |
90% |
|
10 |
59% |
77% |
Median |
11 |
8% |
17% |
|
12 |
3% |
9% |
|
13 |
3% |
6% |
Last Result |
14 |
3% |
3% |
|
15 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
3% |
100% |
|
8 |
41% |
97% |
Last Result |
9 |
21% |
56% |
Median |
10 |
26% |
35% |
|
11 |
9% |
9% |
|
12 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
PROGRESĪVIE
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
7 |
20% |
99.2% |
|
8 |
74% |
80% |
Median |
9 |
1.2% |
6% |
|
10 |
2% |
4% |
|
11 |
2% |
2% |
|
12 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
10% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
90% |
|
2 |
0% |
90% |
|
3 |
0% |
90% |
|
4 |
0% |
90% |
|
5 |
0% |
90% |
|
6 |
59% |
90% |
Median |
7 |
29% |
31% |
|
8 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
9 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Latvijas Krievu savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
92% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
8% |
|
2 |
0% |
8% |
|
3 |
0% |
8% |
|
4 |
0% |
8% |
|
5 |
3% |
8% |
|
6 |
4% |
6% |
|
7 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
8 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Politiskā partija „KPV LV” page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
97% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
3% |
|
2 |
0% |
3% |
|
3 |
0% |
3% |
|
4 |
0% |
3% |
|
5 |
2% |
3% |
|
6 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA |
61 |
61 |
100% |
58–63 |
57–65 |
56–68 |
54–68 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! |
53 |
51 |
79% |
49–54 |
48–56 |
47–57 |
46–58 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA |
48 |
51 |
65% |
48–53 |
47–54 |
46–56 |
45–58 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA |
45 |
49 |
14% |
46–52 |
45–54 |
45–55 |
43–57 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! |
52 |
47 |
5% |
44–49 |
43–50 |
42–52 |
40–54 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA |
50 |
44 |
0.1% |
40–45 |
39–47 |
39–48 |
38–49 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
66 |
44 |
0.1% |
41–45 |
40–47 |
39–48 |
38–49 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
40 |
41 |
0% |
40–44 |
39–45 |
38–47 |
36–47 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
50 |
42 |
0.1% |
41–45 |
40–47 |
38–47 |
37–49 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! |
37 |
40 |
0% |
37–43 |
37–44 |
36–45 |
35–46 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA |
32 |
39 |
0% |
37–41 |
36–43 |
35–45 |
34–45 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! |
36 |
35 |
0% |
33–37 |
32–39 |
31–40 |
30–41 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
58 |
34 |
0% |
32–37 |
31–37 |
31–38 |
30–41 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
53 |
34 |
0% |
31–35 |
30–36 |
29–37 |
29–39 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
50 |
32 |
0% |
29–34 |
28–35 |
27–36 |
27–37 |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
53 |
31 |
0% |
28–33 |
28–34 |
27–35 |
26–36 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
39 |
25 |
0% |
23–27 |
23–29 |
22–29 |
21–30 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
55 |
1.2% |
99.2% |
|
56 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
57 |
3% |
97% |
|
58 |
6% |
93% |
|
59 |
11% |
87% |
|
60 |
13% |
76% |
|
61 |
36% |
63% |
Last Result, Median |
62 |
14% |
27% |
|
63 |
5% |
13% |
|
64 |
2% |
8% |
|
65 |
2% |
6% |
|
66 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
67 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
68 |
2% |
3% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par!

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
47 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
48 |
3% |
97% |
|
49 |
5% |
94% |
|
50 |
11% |
89% |
|
51 |
29% |
79% |
Majority |
52 |
16% |
49% |
Median |
53 |
14% |
34% |
Last Result |
54 |
11% |
19% |
|
55 |
3% |
8% |
|
56 |
1.0% |
5% |
|
57 |
3% |
4% |
|
58 |
1.0% |
1.3% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
44 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
1.2% |
99.6% |
|
46 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
47 |
4% |
97% |
|
48 |
4% |
93% |
Last Result |
49 |
12% |
89% |
|
50 |
12% |
77% |
|
51 |
37% |
65% |
Median, Majority |
52 |
16% |
28% |
|
53 |
6% |
12% |
|
54 |
2% |
6% |
|
55 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
56 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
57 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
58 |
2% |
2% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
43 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
44 |
1.3% |
99.1% |
|
45 |
4% |
98% |
Last Result |
46 |
4% |
94% |
|
47 |
12% |
89% |
|
48 |
12% |
77% |
|
49 |
27% |
65% |
Median |
50 |
25% |
38% |
|
51 |
2% |
14% |
Majority |
52 |
3% |
11% |
|
53 |
3% |
9% |
|
54 |
2% |
5% |
|
55 |
3% |
3% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
57 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par!

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
40 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
41 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
42 |
3% |
99.1% |
|
43 |
5% |
96% |
|
44 |
3% |
91% |
|
45 |
7% |
88% |
|
46 |
30% |
81% |
|
47 |
22% |
51% |
Median |
48 |
14% |
29% |
|
49 |
7% |
15% |
|
50 |
3% |
8% |
|
51 |
2% |
5% |
Majority |
52 |
1.2% |
3% |
Last Result |
53 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
54 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
38 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
39 |
4% |
98% |
|
40 |
6% |
94% |
|
41 |
7% |
88% |
|
42 |
13% |
82% |
|
43 |
13% |
69% |
|
44 |
33% |
56% |
Median |
45 |
15% |
23% |
|
46 |
3% |
9% |
|
47 |
2% |
6% |
|
48 |
3% |
4% |
|
49 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
51 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
37 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
38 |
1.2% |
99.8% |
|
39 |
3% |
98.6% |
|
40 |
5% |
96% |
|
41 |
6% |
90% |
|
42 |
12% |
84% |
|
43 |
13% |
71% |
|
44 |
33% |
58% |
Median |
45 |
15% |
25% |
|
46 |
3% |
10% |
|
47 |
2% |
7% |
|
48 |
3% |
5% |
|
49 |
1.1% |
1.4% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
37 |
0.9% |
99.3% |
|
38 |
2% |
98% |
|
39 |
6% |
96% |
|
40 |
8% |
90% |
Last Result |
41 |
33% |
82% |
|
42 |
13% |
49% |
Median |
43 |
20% |
36% |
|
44 |
9% |
16% |
|
45 |
3% |
7% |
|
46 |
0.8% |
4% |
|
47 |
2% |
3% |
|
48 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
37 |
0.7% |
99.7% |
|
38 |
1.4% |
98.9% |
|
39 |
2% |
97% |
|
40 |
4% |
95% |
|
41 |
19% |
92% |
|
42 |
33% |
72% |
Median |
43 |
11% |
40% |
|
44 |
12% |
28% |
|
45 |
7% |
16% |
|
46 |
3% |
10% |
|
47 |
5% |
7% |
|
48 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
49 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
Last Result |
51 |
0% |
0.1% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par!

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.7% |
99.7% |
|
36 |
3% |
99.0% |
|
37 |
7% |
96% |
Last Result |
38 |
9% |
89% |
|
39 |
15% |
81% |
|
40 |
27% |
66% |
Median |
41 |
25% |
39% |
|
42 |
3% |
14% |
|
43 |
2% |
10% |
|
44 |
5% |
9% |
|
45 |
2% |
3% |
|
46 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
47 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
33 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.8% |
99.8% |
|
35 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
36 |
6% |
97% |
|
37 |
13% |
91% |
|
38 |
12% |
78% |
|
39 |
26% |
66% |
Median |
40 |
27% |
40% |
|
41 |
3% |
13% |
|
42 |
2% |
9% |
|
43 |
4% |
7% |
|
44 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
45 |
2% |
3% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
47 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par!

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
29 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
30 |
1.2% |
99.6% |
|
31 |
2% |
98% |
|
32 |
5% |
97% |
|
33 |
7% |
92% |
|
34 |
24% |
85% |
|
35 |
34% |
61% |
Median |
36 |
8% |
27% |
Last Result |
37 |
9% |
18% |
|
38 |
4% |
9% |
|
39 |
2% |
5% |
|
40 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
41 |
2% |
2% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
29 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
31 |
4% |
98% |
|
32 |
11% |
94% |
|
33 |
8% |
82% |
|
34 |
33% |
74% |
|
35 |
10% |
42% |
Median |
36 |
15% |
32% |
|
37 |
12% |
17% |
|
38 |
2% |
5% |
|
39 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
40 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
41 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
42 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
29 |
4% |
99.8% |
|
30 |
2% |
95% |
|
31 |
7% |
93% |
|
32 |
12% |
86% |
|
33 |
13% |
74% |
|
34 |
39% |
61% |
Median |
35 |
15% |
22% |
|
36 |
4% |
8% |
|
37 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
38 |
2% |
2% |
|
39 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
27 |
3% |
99.8% |
|
28 |
2% |
97% |
|
29 |
11% |
94% |
|
30 |
10% |
83% |
|
31 |
11% |
73% |
|
32 |
27% |
62% |
Median |
33 |
23% |
36% |
|
34 |
5% |
13% |
|
35 |
4% |
8% |
|
36 |
2% |
4% |
|
37 |
2% |
2% |
|
38 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
24 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
25 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
26 |
0.8% |
99.5% |
|
27 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
28 |
8% |
96% |
|
29 |
10% |
88% |
|
30 |
15% |
78% |
|
31 |
34% |
64% |
Median |
32 |
16% |
30% |
|
33 |
4% |
14% |
|
34 |
6% |
9% |
|
35 |
2% |
3% |
|
36 |
1.0% |
1.4% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
19 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
20 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
21 |
1.0% |
99.7% |
|
22 |
3% |
98.7% |
|
23 |
7% |
96% |
|
24 |
21% |
90% |
|
25 |
42% |
68% |
Median |
26 |
6% |
26% |
|
27 |
12% |
20% |
|
28 |
3% |
8% |
|
29 |
3% |
5% |
|
30 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
31 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
32 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
33 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: SKDS
- Commissioner(s): Latvijas Televīzija
- Fieldwork period: 1–31 December 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 900
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.59%