Opinion Poll by SKDS for Latvijas Televīzija, 1–31 December 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” | 19.8% | 22.0% | 20.3–23.9% | 19.8–24.4% | 19.4–24.8% | 18.6–25.7% |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 9.9% | 15.6% | 14.1–17.2% | 13.7–17.7% | 13.3–18.1% | 12.7–18.9% |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 11.0% | 11.3% | 10.1–12.8% | 9.7–13.2% | 9.4–13.6% | 8.9–14.3% |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 13.6% | 10.3% | 9.1–11.8% | 8.8–12.1% | 8.5–12.5% | 8.0–13.2% |
| Attīstībai/Par! | 12.0% | 9.3% | 8.2–10.7% | 7.9–11.1% | 7.6–11.4% | 7.1–12.1% |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.0–9.3% | 6.6–9.6% | 6.4–10.0% | 5.9–10.6% |
| PROGRESĪVIE | 2.6% | 7.6% | 6.5–8.8% | 6.2–9.2% | 6.0–9.5% | 5.5–10.1% |
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.9–6.9% | 4.6–7.2% | 4.4–7.5% | 4.0–8.1% |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.4–5.1% | 3.2–5.4% | 3.0–5.6% | 2.7–6.1% |
| Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 14.2% | 3.7% | 3.0–4.6% | 2.8–4.9% | 2.6–5.1% | 2.3–5.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” | 23 | 25 | 23–27 | 23–28 | 22–29 | 21–30 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 11 | 17 | 16–19 | 15–20 | 15–21 | 14–22 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 13 | 13 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 10–16 |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 16 | 12 | 10–13 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 9–14 |
| Attīstībai/Par! | 13 | 10 | 8–11 | 8–13 | 7–14 | 7–14 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 8 | 9 | 8–10 | 8–11 | 7–11 | 7–11 |
| PROGRESĪVIE | 0 | 8 | 7–8 | 7–9 | 7–10 | 6–11 |
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība | 0 | 6 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–8 |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 22 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 23 | 7% | 96% | Last Result |
| 24 | 23% | 89% | |
| 25 | 43% | 66% | Median |
| 26 | 6% | 23% | |
| 27 | 12% | 17% | |
| 28 | 3% | 5% | |
| 29 | 2% | 3% | |
| 30 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 15 | 4% | 98.9% | |
| 16 | 6% | 95% | |
| 17 | 54% | 88% | Median |
| 18 | 18% | 34% | |
| 19 | 7% | 16% | |
| 20 | 5% | 9% | |
| 21 | 4% | 4% | |
| 22 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 26% | 99.0% | |
| 12 | 10% | 73% | |
| 13 | 39% | 63% | Last Result, Median |
| 14 | 22% | 24% | |
| 15 | 2% | 2% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 9 | 7% | 99.8% | |
| 10 | 9% | 93% | |
| 11 | 29% | 84% | |
| 12 | 14% | 54% | Median |
| 13 | 39% | 40% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Attīstībai/Par!
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Attīstībai/Par! page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 4% | 100% | |
| 8 | 6% | 96% | |
| 9 | 13% | 90% | |
| 10 | 59% | 77% | Median |
| 11 | 8% | 17% | |
| 12 | 3% | 9% | |
| 13 | 3% | 6% | Last Result |
| 14 | 3% | 3% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 3% | 100% | |
| 8 | 41% | 97% | Last Result |
| 9 | 21% | 56% | Median |
| 10 | 26% | 35% | |
| 11 | 9% | 9% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
PROGRESĪVIE
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 20% | 99.2% | |
| 8 | 74% | 80% | Median |
| 9 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 10 | 2% | 4% | |
| 11 | 2% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 90% | |
| 2 | 0% | 90% | |
| 3 | 0% | 90% | |
| 4 | 0% | 90% | |
| 5 | 0% | 90% | |
| 6 | 59% | 90% | Median |
| 7 | 29% | 31% | |
| 8 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 9 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Latvijas Krievu savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 92% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 8% | |
| 5 | 3% | 8% | |
| 6 | 4% | 6% | |
| 7 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Politiskā partija „KPV LV” page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 97% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 3% | |
| 5 | 2% | 3% | |
| 6 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 61 | 61 | 100% | 58–63 | 57–65 | 56–68 | 54–68 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! | 53 | 51 | 79% | 49–54 | 48–56 | 47–57 | 46–58 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 48 | 51 | 65% | 48–53 | 47–54 | 46–56 | 45–58 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 45 | 49 | 14% | 46–52 | 45–54 | 45–55 | 43–57 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! | 52 | 47 | 5% | 44–49 | 43–50 | 42–52 | 40–54 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 50 | 44 | 0.1% | 40–45 | 39–47 | 39–48 | 38–49 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 66 | 44 | 0.1% | 41–45 | 40–47 | 39–48 | 38–49 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 40 | 41 | 0% | 40–44 | 39–45 | 38–47 | 36–47 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 50 | 42 | 0.1% | 41–45 | 40–47 | 38–47 | 37–49 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! | 37 | 40 | 0% | 37–43 | 37–44 | 36–45 | 35–46 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 32 | 39 | 0% | 37–41 | 36–43 | 35–45 | 34–45 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! | 36 | 35 | 0% | 33–37 | 32–39 | 31–40 | 30–41 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 58 | 34 | 0% | 32–37 | 31–37 | 31–38 | 30–41 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 53 | 34 | 0% | 31–35 | 30–36 | 29–37 | 29–39 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 50 | 32 | 0% | 29–34 | 28–35 | 27–36 | 27–37 |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 53 | 31 | 0% | 28–33 | 28–34 | 27–35 | 26–36 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 39 | 25 | 0% | 23–27 | 23–29 | 22–29 | 21–30 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 1.2% | 99.2% | |
| 56 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 57 | 3% | 97% | |
| 58 | 6% | 93% | |
| 59 | 11% | 87% | |
| 60 | 13% | 76% | |
| 61 | 36% | 63% | Last Result, Median |
| 62 | 14% | 27% | |
| 63 | 5% | 13% | |
| 64 | 2% | 8% | |
| 65 | 2% | 6% | |
| 66 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 68 | 2% | 3% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par!

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 47 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 48 | 3% | 97% | |
| 49 | 5% | 94% | |
| 50 | 11% | 89% | |
| 51 | 29% | 79% | Majority |
| 52 | 16% | 49% | Median |
| 53 | 14% | 34% | Last Result |
| 54 | 11% | 19% | |
| 55 | 3% | 8% | |
| 56 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 57 | 3% | 4% | |
| 58 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 1.2% | 99.6% | |
| 46 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 47 | 4% | 97% | |
| 48 | 4% | 93% | Last Result |
| 49 | 12% | 89% | |
| 50 | 12% | 77% | |
| 51 | 37% | 65% | Median, Majority |
| 52 | 16% | 28% | |
| 53 | 6% | 12% | |
| 54 | 2% | 6% | |
| 55 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 56 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 58 | 2% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 44 | 1.3% | 99.1% | |
| 45 | 4% | 98% | Last Result |
| 46 | 4% | 94% | |
| 47 | 12% | 89% | |
| 48 | 12% | 77% | |
| 49 | 27% | 65% | Median |
| 50 | 25% | 38% | |
| 51 | 2% | 14% | Majority |
| 52 | 3% | 11% | |
| 53 | 3% | 9% | |
| 54 | 2% | 5% | |
| 55 | 3% | 3% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par!

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 42 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 43 | 5% | 96% | |
| 44 | 3% | 91% | |
| 45 | 7% | 88% | |
| 46 | 30% | 81% | |
| 47 | 22% | 51% | Median |
| 48 | 14% | 29% | |
| 49 | 7% | 15% | |
| 50 | 3% | 8% | |
| 51 | 2% | 5% | Majority |
| 52 | 1.2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 53 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 39 | 4% | 98% | |
| 40 | 6% | 94% | |
| 41 | 7% | 88% | |
| 42 | 13% | 82% | |
| 43 | 13% | 69% | |
| 44 | 33% | 56% | Median |
| 45 | 15% | 23% | |
| 46 | 3% | 9% | |
| 47 | 2% | 6% | |
| 48 | 3% | 4% | |
| 49 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 38 | 1.2% | 99.8% | |
| 39 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 40 | 5% | 96% | |
| 41 | 6% | 90% | |
| 42 | 12% | 84% | |
| 43 | 13% | 71% | |
| 44 | 33% | 58% | Median |
| 45 | 15% | 25% | |
| 46 | 3% | 10% | |
| 47 | 2% | 7% | |
| 48 | 3% | 5% | |
| 49 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 37 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 38 | 2% | 98% | |
| 39 | 6% | 96% | |
| 40 | 8% | 90% | Last Result |
| 41 | 33% | 82% | |
| 42 | 13% | 49% | Median |
| 43 | 20% | 36% | |
| 44 | 9% | 16% | |
| 45 | 3% | 7% | |
| 46 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 47 | 2% | 3% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 38 | 1.4% | 98.9% | |
| 39 | 2% | 97% | |
| 40 | 4% | 95% | |
| 41 | 19% | 92% | |
| 42 | 33% | 72% | Median |
| 43 | 11% | 40% | |
| 44 | 12% | 28% | |
| 45 | 7% | 16% | |
| 46 | 3% | 10% | |
| 47 | 5% | 7% | |
| 48 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 49 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par!

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 36 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 37 | 7% | 96% | Last Result |
| 38 | 9% | 89% | |
| 39 | 15% | 81% | |
| 40 | 27% | 66% | Median |
| 41 | 25% | 39% | |
| 42 | 3% | 14% | |
| 43 | 2% | 10% | |
| 44 | 5% | 9% | |
| 45 | 2% | 3% | |
| 46 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 33 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 36 | 6% | 97% | |
| 37 | 13% | 91% | |
| 38 | 12% | 78% | |
| 39 | 26% | 66% | Median |
| 40 | 27% | 40% | |
| 41 | 3% | 13% | |
| 42 | 2% | 9% | |
| 43 | 4% | 7% | |
| 44 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 45 | 2% | 3% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par!

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 1.2% | 99.6% | |
| 31 | 2% | 98% | |
| 32 | 5% | 97% | |
| 33 | 7% | 92% | |
| 34 | 24% | 85% | |
| 35 | 34% | 61% | Median |
| 36 | 8% | 27% | Last Result |
| 37 | 9% | 18% | |
| 38 | 4% | 9% | |
| 39 | 2% | 5% | |
| 40 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 41 | 2% | 2% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 31 | 4% | 98% | |
| 32 | 11% | 94% | |
| 33 | 8% | 82% | |
| 34 | 33% | 74% | |
| 35 | 10% | 42% | Median |
| 36 | 15% | 32% | |
| 37 | 12% | 17% | |
| 38 | 2% | 5% | |
| 39 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 40 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 41 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 2% | 95% | |
| 31 | 7% | 93% | |
| 32 | 12% | 86% | |
| 33 | 13% | 74% | |
| 34 | 39% | 61% | Median |
| 35 | 15% | 22% | |
| 36 | 4% | 8% | |
| 37 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 38 | 2% | 2% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 27 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 28 | 2% | 97% | |
| 29 | 11% | 94% | |
| 30 | 10% | 83% | |
| 31 | 11% | 73% | |
| 32 | 27% | 62% | Median |
| 33 | 23% | 36% | |
| 34 | 5% | 13% | |
| 35 | 4% | 8% | |
| 36 | 2% | 4% | |
| 37 | 2% | 2% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 27 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 28 | 8% | 96% | |
| 29 | 10% | 88% | |
| 30 | 15% | 78% | |
| 31 | 34% | 64% | Median |
| 32 | 16% | 30% | |
| 33 | 4% | 14% | |
| 34 | 6% | 9% | |
| 35 | 2% | 3% | |
| 36 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 22 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 23 | 7% | 96% | |
| 24 | 21% | 90% | |
| 25 | 42% | 68% | Median |
| 26 | 6% | 26% | |
| 27 | 12% | 20% | |
| 28 | 3% | 8% | |
| 29 | 3% | 5% | |
| 30 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: SKDS
- Commissioner(s): Latvijas Televīzija
- Fieldwork period: 1–31 December 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 900
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.59%