Opinion Poll by Latvijas Fakti, 9–19 April 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” |
19.8% |
19.0% |
17.5–20.7% |
17.1–21.2% |
16.7–21.6% |
16.0–22.4% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība |
9.9% |
15.1% |
13.7–16.6% |
13.3–17.0% |
13.0–17.4% |
12.3–18.2% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” |
11.0% |
12.8% |
11.5–14.2% |
11.1–14.6% |
10.8–15.0% |
10.3–15.7% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA |
6.7% |
12.8% |
11.5–14.2% |
11.1–14.6% |
10.8–15.0% |
10.3–15.7% |
Attīstībai/Par! |
12.0% |
11.0% |
9.8–12.3% |
9.5–12.7% |
9.2–13.1% |
8.6–13.7% |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
13.6% |
7.6% |
6.6–8.8% |
6.3–9.1% |
6.1–9.4% |
5.7–10.0% |
Likums un kārtība |
0.0% |
5.6% |
4.8–6.6% |
4.5–6.9% |
4.3–7.2% |
3.9–7.7% |
PROGRESĪVIE |
2.6% |
5.4% |
4.6–6.4% |
4.3–6.7% |
4.1–7.0% |
3.8–7.5% |
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība |
4.1% |
4.5% |
3.7–5.4% |
3.5–5.7% |
3.4–6.0% |
3.0–6.4% |
Latvijas Krievu savienība |
3.2% |
3.7% |
3.0–4.6% |
2.8–4.8% |
2.7–5.0% |
2.4–5.5% |
Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
14.2% |
2.3% |
1.8–3.0% |
1.6–3.2% |
1.5–3.4% |
1.3–3.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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
Confidence Intervals
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
18 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
19 |
3% |
97% |
|
20 |
15% |
94% |
|
21 |
14% |
79% |
|
22 |
13% |
65% |
|
23 |
24% |
52% |
Last Result, Median |
24 |
23% |
28% |
|
25 |
3% |
5% |
|
26 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
27 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
28 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
12 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
13 |
1.1% |
99.9% |
|
14 |
0.7% |
98.9% |
|
15 |
5% |
98% |
|
16 |
4% |
94% |
|
17 |
65% |
90% |
Median |
18 |
20% |
25% |
|
19 |
0.6% |
6% |
|
20 |
2% |
5% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
22 |
2% |
2% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
3% |
100% |
|
12 |
1.2% |
97% |
|
13 |
42% |
96% |
Last Result |
14 |
19% |
54% |
Median |
15 |
26% |
35% |
|
16 |
5% |
9% |
|
17 |
2% |
3% |
|
18 |
0% |
1.0% |
|
19 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
6% |
100% |
|
12 |
3% |
94% |
|
13 |
4% |
90% |
|
14 |
14% |
87% |
|
15 |
35% |
73% |
Median |
16 |
25% |
37% |
|
17 |
11% |
12% |
|
18 |
1.2% |
1.3% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Attīstībai/Par!
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Attīstībai/Par! page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
10 |
19% |
99.5% |
|
11 |
3% |
80% |
|
12 |
37% |
77% |
Median |
13 |
16% |
40% |
Last Result |
14 |
19% |
24% |
|
15 |
3% |
5% |
|
16 |
2% |
2% |
|
17 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā konservatīvā partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
7 |
23% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
8% |
77% |
|
9 |
51% |
69% |
Median |
10 |
3% |
17% |
|
11 |
0.6% |
14% |
|
12 |
13% |
13% |
|
13 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Likums un kārtība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Likums un kārtība page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
19% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
81% |
|
2 |
0% |
81% |
|
3 |
0% |
81% |
|
4 |
0% |
81% |
|
5 |
18% |
81% |
|
6 |
46% |
63% |
Median |
7 |
15% |
17% |
|
8 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
9 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
10 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
PROGRESĪVIE
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
43% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
57% |
|
2 |
0% |
57% |
|
3 |
0% |
57% |
|
4 |
0% |
57% |
|
5 |
2% |
57% |
|
6 |
22% |
54% |
Median |
7 |
31% |
33% |
|
8 |
1.2% |
1.4% |
|
9 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
70% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
30% |
|
2 |
0% |
30% |
|
3 |
0% |
30% |
|
4 |
0% |
30% |
|
5 |
0% |
30% |
|
6 |
29% |
30% |
|
7 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Latvijas Krievu savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98.6% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
1.4% |
|
2 |
0% |
1.4% |
|
3 |
0% |
1.4% |
|
4 |
0% |
1.4% |
|
5 |
0.8% |
1.4% |
|
6 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
7 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Politiskā partija „KPV LV” page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
61 |
68 |
100% |
63–71 |
61–72 |
61–76 |
57–76 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! |
45 |
59 |
99.4% |
56–61 |
53–63 |
52–66 |
50–67 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
48 |
55 |
94% |
52–59 |
49–59 |
49–60 |
47–63 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
53 |
52 |
70% |
48–56 |
48–57 |
47–60 |
46–62 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
50 |
50 |
43% |
46–54 |
45–54 |
43–55 |
42–59 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
66 |
50 |
43% |
46–54 |
45–54 |
43–55 |
42–59 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” |
32 |
47 |
4% |
43–48 |
42–50 |
40–51 |
39–52 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! |
37 |
43 |
2% |
40–46 |
40–48 |
40–50 |
38–53 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
52 |
43 |
0.3% |
40–47 |
39–48 |
38–49 |
37–50 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
50 |
42 |
0% |
39–44 |
37–45 |
34–46 |
34–48 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
50 |
40 |
0% |
37–41 |
36–42 |
35–45 |
34–46 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
40 |
40 |
0% |
37–44 |
37–44 |
36–44 |
34–48 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
53 |
38 |
0% |
35–42 |
33–42 |
31–42 |
31–46 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
53 |
36 |
0% |
33–40 |
32–40 |
31–40 |
29–41 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
58 |
35 |
0% |
32–39 |
30–39 |
30–40 |
30–44 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! |
36 |
34 |
0% |
32–38 |
30–38 |
30–40 |
29–41 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
39 |
23 |
0% |
20–24 |
19–25 |
18–25 |
18–27 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
|
60 |
0.5% |
99.1% |
|
61 |
4% |
98.7% |
Last Result |
62 |
1.4% |
95% |
|
63 |
4% |
93% |
|
64 |
9% |
89% |
|
65 |
11% |
80% |
|
66 |
17% |
69% |
|
67 |
1.4% |
52% |
Median |
68 |
16% |
51% |
|
69 |
7% |
35% |
|
70 |
8% |
27% |
|
71 |
13% |
19% |
|
72 |
2% |
6% |
|
73 |
0.8% |
4% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
4% |
|
75 |
0.4% |
4% |
|
76 |
3% |
3% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par!

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
Majority |
52 |
4% |
99.0% |
|
53 |
0.7% |
96% |
|
54 |
1.3% |
95% |
|
55 |
2% |
94% |
|
56 |
14% |
92% |
|
57 |
18% |
78% |
|
58 |
5% |
60% |
Median |
59 |
31% |
55% |
|
60 |
3% |
24% |
|
61 |
12% |
21% |
|
62 |
3% |
9% |
|
63 |
2% |
7% |
|
64 |
1.3% |
5% |
|
65 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
66 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
67 |
2% |
2% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
48 |
1.1% |
99.2% |
Last Result |
49 |
3% |
98% |
|
50 |
1.0% |
95% |
|
51 |
3% |
94% |
Majority |
52 |
8% |
91% |
|
53 |
7% |
83% |
|
54 |
21% |
77% |
|
55 |
19% |
56% |
Median |
56 |
13% |
37% |
|
57 |
2% |
24% |
|
58 |
4% |
22% |
|
59 |
14% |
18% |
|
60 |
2% |
4% |
|
61 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
1.1% |
|
63 |
0.9% |
1.0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
3% |
99.1% |
|
48 |
6% |
96% |
|
49 |
11% |
90% |
|
50 |
9% |
79% |
|
51 |
7% |
70% |
Majority |
52 |
19% |
63% |
Median |
53 |
12% |
45% |
Last Result |
54 |
10% |
32% |
|
55 |
3% |
23% |
|
56 |
13% |
19% |
|
57 |
2% |
6% |
|
58 |
0.5% |
4% |
|
59 |
0.5% |
4% |
|
60 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
61 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
62 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
43 |
3% |
99.5% |
|
44 |
1.4% |
96% |
|
45 |
1.0% |
95% |
|
46 |
8% |
94% |
|
47 |
5% |
86% |
|
48 |
12% |
82% |
|
49 |
16% |
70% |
|
50 |
11% |
54% |
Last Result, Median |
51 |
8% |
43% |
Majority |
52 |
8% |
35% |
|
53 |
8% |
27% |
|
54 |
16% |
19% |
|
55 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
1.5% |
|
58 |
0.3% |
1.3% |
|
59 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
43 |
3% |
99.5% |
|
44 |
1.4% |
96% |
|
45 |
1.0% |
95% |
|
46 |
8% |
94% |
|
47 |
5% |
86% |
|
48 |
12% |
82% |
|
49 |
16% |
70% |
|
50 |
11% |
54% |
Median |
51 |
8% |
43% |
Majority |
52 |
8% |
35% |
|
53 |
8% |
27% |
|
54 |
16% |
19% |
|
55 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
1.5% |
|
58 |
0.3% |
1.3% |
|
59 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
39 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
40 |
3% |
99.4% |
|
41 |
1.1% |
96% |
|
42 |
2% |
95% |
|
43 |
5% |
93% |
|
44 |
5% |
88% |
|
45 |
13% |
83% |
|
46 |
19% |
70% |
Median |
47 |
38% |
52% |
|
48 |
7% |
14% |
|
49 |
2% |
8% |
|
50 |
2% |
6% |
|
51 |
3% |
4% |
Majority |
52 |
1.1% |
1.3% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par!

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
37 |
0.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
38 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
39 |
1.0% |
99.5% |
|
40 |
9% |
98% |
|
41 |
13% |
89% |
|
42 |
7% |
77% |
|
43 |
21% |
69% |
Median |
44 |
26% |
49% |
|
45 |
6% |
22% |
|
46 |
8% |
16% |
|
47 |
3% |
8% |
|
48 |
1.0% |
6% |
|
49 |
2% |
5% |
|
50 |
0.5% |
3% |
|
51 |
1.3% |
2% |
Majority |
52 |
0.1% |
1.1% |
|
53 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
37 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
38 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
39 |
2% |
97% |
|
40 |
14% |
95% |
|
41 |
11% |
81% |
|
42 |
16% |
70% |
|
43 |
13% |
54% |
|
44 |
4% |
41% |
Median |
45 |
4% |
37% |
|
46 |
7% |
33% |
|
47 |
21% |
26% |
|
48 |
2% |
5% |
|
49 |
3% |
3% |
|
50 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
Majority |
52 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
0.9% |
97% |
|
36 |
0.7% |
96% |
|
37 |
1.3% |
95% |
|
38 |
1.2% |
94% |
|
39 |
19% |
93% |
|
40 |
14% |
74% |
|
41 |
9% |
60% |
Median |
42 |
27% |
51% |
|
43 |
4% |
24% |
|
44 |
12% |
20% |
|
45 |
5% |
8% |
|
46 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
47 |
2% |
2% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
49 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
34 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
35 |
2% |
98% |
|
36 |
2% |
96% |
|
37 |
9% |
94% |
|
38 |
13% |
84% |
|
39 |
21% |
72% |
|
40 |
21% |
50% |
Median |
41 |
21% |
29% |
|
42 |
4% |
8% |
|
43 |
1.0% |
5% |
|
44 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
45 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
46 |
2% |
2% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.8% |
99.8% |
|
35 |
0.4% |
98.9% |
|
36 |
2% |
98% |
|
37 |
10% |
96% |
|
38 |
11% |
86% |
|
39 |
24% |
75% |
|
40 |
20% |
51% |
Last Result, Median |
41 |
5% |
31% |
|
42 |
3% |
25% |
|
43 |
6% |
22% |
|
44 |
14% |
16% |
|
45 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
47 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
48 |
0.9% |
1.0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
0.9% |
97% |
|
33 |
1.2% |
96% |
|
34 |
2% |
95% |
|
35 |
9% |
92% |
|
36 |
8% |
83% |
|
37 |
19% |
75% |
|
38 |
24% |
55% |
Median |
39 |
12% |
32% |
|
40 |
4% |
20% |
|
41 |
2% |
16% |
|
42 |
13% |
14% |
|
43 |
0.2% |
1.2% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0.9% |
|
46 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
29 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
30 |
0.7% |
99.1% |
|
31 |
2% |
98% |
|
32 |
4% |
97% |
|
33 |
8% |
93% |
|
34 |
14% |
85% |
|
35 |
20% |
71% |
|
36 |
5% |
51% |
Median |
37 |
12% |
46% |
|
38 |
9% |
34% |
|
39 |
13% |
25% |
|
40 |
9% |
11% |
|
41 |
2% |
2% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
30 |
7% |
99.8% |
|
31 |
1.1% |
93% |
|
32 |
13% |
92% |
|
33 |
5% |
79% |
|
34 |
11% |
74% |
|
35 |
23% |
62% |
Median |
36 |
11% |
39% |
|
37 |
7% |
28% |
|
38 |
5% |
22% |
|
39 |
13% |
17% |
|
40 |
2% |
4% |
|
41 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
42 |
0.5% |
1.4% |
|
43 |
0% |
0.9% |
|
44 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par!

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
27 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
29 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
30 |
5% |
99.2% |
|
31 |
2% |
94% |
|
32 |
8% |
92% |
|
33 |
24% |
84% |
|
34 |
16% |
60% |
|
35 |
15% |
44% |
Median |
36 |
3% |
28% |
Last Result |
37 |
8% |
26% |
|
38 |
14% |
18% |
|
39 |
2% |
5% |
|
40 |
1.5% |
3% |
|
41 |
1.1% |
1.2% |
|
42 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
18 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
19 |
3% |
97% |
|
20 |
15% |
94% |
|
21 |
14% |
79% |
|
22 |
13% |
65% |
|
23 |
24% |
52% |
Median |
24 |
23% |
28% |
|
25 |
3% |
5% |
|
26 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
27 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
28 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Latvijas Fakti
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 9–19 April 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1003
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.07%