Opinion Poll by Factum Interactive, 26–30 April 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA |
6.7% |
16.8% |
15.4–18.2% |
15.0–18.6% |
14.7–19.0% |
14.1–19.7% |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” |
19.8% |
15.2% |
13.9–16.6% |
13.6–17.0% |
13.3–17.4% |
12.7–18.1% |
Attīstībai/Par! |
12.0% |
12.2% |
11.1–13.5% |
10.7–13.9% |
10.5–14.2% |
9.9–14.9% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” |
11.0% |
11.9% |
10.7–13.2% |
10.4–13.5% |
10.2–13.9% |
9.6–14.5% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība |
9.9% |
10.1% |
9.0–11.3% |
8.7–11.6% |
8.5–11.9% |
8.0–12.6% |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
13.6% |
7.4% |
6.4–8.4% |
6.2–8.7% |
6.0–9.0% |
5.6–9.5% |
PROGRESĪVIE |
2.6% |
6.4% |
5.6–7.4% |
5.3–7.7% |
5.1–8.0% |
4.8–8.5% |
Likums un kārtība |
0.0% |
5.6% |
4.8–6.5% |
4.6–6.8% |
4.4–7.0% |
4.0–7.5% |
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība |
4.1% |
4.3% |
3.6–5.1% |
3.4–5.4% |
3.2–5.6% |
3.0–6.0% |
Latvijas Krievu savienība |
3.2% |
4.1% |
3.4–5.0% |
3.3–5.2% |
3.1–5.4% |
2.8–5.8% |
Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
14.2% |
1.0% |
0.7–1.5% |
0.7–1.7% |
0.6–1.8% |
0.5–2.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
16 |
1.1% |
99.8% |
|
17 |
8% |
98.7% |
|
18 |
18% |
91% |
|
19 |
19% |
73% |
|
20 |
25% |
54% |
Median |
21 |
12% |
28% |
|
22 |
8% |
17% |
|
23 |
7% |
9% |
|
24 |
2% |
2% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
15 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
16 |
9% |
99.4% |
|
17 |
19% |
90% |
|
18 |
34% |
71% |
Median |
19 |
12% |
38% |
|
20 |
16% |
25% |
|
21 |
3% |
9% |
|
22 |
4% |
6% |
|
23 |
2% |
2% |
Last Result |
24 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
Attīstībai/Par!
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Attīstībai/Par! page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
11 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
12 |
2% |
97% |
|
13 |
6% |
95% |
Last Result |
14 |
54% |
89% |
Median |
15 |
20% |
36% |
|
16 |
15% |
16% |
|
17 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
18 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
11 |
5% |
99.3% |
|
12 |
4% |
94% |
|
13 |
27% |
90% |
Last Result |
14 |
43% |
63% |
Median |
15 |
7% |
20% |
|
16 |
7% |
13% |
|
17 |
6% |
6% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
10 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
11 |
39% |
99.5% |
Last Result |
12 |
27% |
61% |
Median |
13 |
28% |
34% |
|
14 |
3% |
7% |
|
15 |
3% |
4% |
|
16 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā konservatīvā partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
42% |
100% |
|
8 |
15% |
58% |
Median |
9 |
37% |
43% |
|
10 |
3% |
6% |
|
11 |
2% |
3% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
13 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
PROGRESĪVIE
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
2% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
98% |
|
2 |
0% |
98% |
|
3 |
0% |
98% |
|
4 |
0% |
98% |
|
5 |
0% |
98% |
|
6 |
7% |
98% |
|
7 |
66% |
91% |
Median |
8 |
20% |
25% |
|
9 |
4% |
5% |
|
10 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Likums un kārtība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Likums un kārtība page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
25% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
75% |
|
2 |
0% |
75% |
|
3 |
0% |
75% |
|
4 |
0% |
75% |
|
5 |
3% |
75% |
|
6 |
17% |
72% |
|
7 |
46% |
54% |
Median |
8 |
7% |
8% |
|
9 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
10 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
86% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
14% |
|
2 |
0% |
14% |
|
3 |
0% |
14% |
|
4 |
0% |
14% |
|
5 |
0% |
14% |
|
6 |
14% |
14% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Latvijas Krievu savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
93% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
7% |
|
2 |
0% |
7% |
|
3 |
0% |
7% |
|
4 |
0% |
7% |
|
5 |
0.8% |
7% |
|
6 |
4% |
7% |
|
7 |
2% |
3% |
|
8 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Politiskā partija „KPV LV” page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
61 |
68 |
100% |
64–72 |
62–74 |
61–75 |
59–76 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība |
45 |
60 |
99.9% |
56–64 |
55–66 |
54–66 |
52–67 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
50 |
55 |
97% |
52–60 |
51–61 |
50–63 |
48–63 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
66 |
55 |
97% |
52–60 |
51–61 |
50–63 |
48–63 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
48 |
54 |
90% |
50–58 |
49–59 |
48–61 |
46–61 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
50 |
48 |
12% |
44–52 |
43–54 |
43–54 |
41–54 |
Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
53 |
48 |
16% |
46–52 |
44–52 |
44–53 |
42–55 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība |
32 |
46 |
8% |
42–49 |
41–51 |
40–52 |
39–52 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
53 |
41 |
0% |
39–45 |
37–47 |
36–49 |
35–49 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
53 |
42 |
0% |
39–46 |
38–46 |
38–47 |
35–49 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
52 |
41 |
0% |
38–44 |
37–47 |
37–47 |
35–48 |
Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība |
37 |
40 |
0% |
38–43 |
37–43 |
36–44 |
35–46 |
Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
58 |
36 |
0% |
34–40 |
33–40 |
32–40 |
31–43 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
40 |
34 |
0% |
32–36 |
31–38 |
30–38 |
29–40 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! |
36 |
32 |
0% |
30–35 |
30–37 |
29–38 |
27–39 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
50 |
30 |
0% |
28–33 |
28–34 |
27–34 |
26–37 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
39 |
18 |
0% |
17–20 |
16–22 |
16–22 |
15–23 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
61 |
1.4% |
98.8% |
Last Result |
62 |
3% |
97% |
|
63 |
2% |
94% |
|
64 |
3% |
92% |
|
65 |
4% |
89% |
|
66 |
8% |
85% |
|
67 |
16% |
77% |
|
68 |
26% |
61% |
Median |
69 |
7% |
35% |
|
70 |
12% |
28% |
|
71 |
4% |
16% |
|
72 |
2% |
12% |
|
73 |
3% |
10% |
|
74 |
2% |
7% |
|
75 |
4% |
5% |
|
76 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
77 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
80 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
Majority |
52 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
53 |
0.9% |
99.2% |
|
54 |
3% |
98% |
|
55 |
3% |
95% |
|
56 |
5% |
92% |
|
57 |
4% |
87% |
|
58 |
8% |
83% |
|
59 |
18% |
76% |
|
60 |
9% |
58% |
Median |
61 |
33% |
48% |
|
62 |
2% |
15% |
|
63 |
1.1% |
13% |
|
64 |
3% |
12% |
|
65 |
2% |
9% |
|
66 |
6% |
7% |
|
67 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
69 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
70 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
71 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
0.9% |
99.5% |
|
50 |
1.4% |
98.6% |
Last Result |
51 |
5% |
97% |
Majority |
52 |
3% |
92% |
|
53 |
5% |
89% |
|
54 |
13% |
85% |
|
55 |
22% |
72% |
|
56 |
5% |
50% |
Median |
57 |
16% |
45% |
|
58 |
13% |
29% |
|
59 |
4% |
16% |
|
60 |
3% |
12% |
|
61 |
3% |
8% |
|
62 |
0.5% |
5% |
|
63 |
4% |
4% |
|
64 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
0.9% |
99.5% |
|
50 |
1.4% |
98.6% |
|
51 |
5% |
97% |
Majority |
52 |
3% |
92% |
|
53 |
5% |
89% |
|
54 |
13% |
85% |
|
55 |
22% |
72% |
|
56 |
5% |
50% |
Median |
57 |
16% |
45% |
|
58 |
13% |
29% |
|
59 |
4% |
16% |
|
60 |
3% |
12% |
|
61 |
3% |
8% |
|
62 |
0.5% |
5% |
|
63 |
4% |
4% |
|
64 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
1.2% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
1.1% |
98.7% |
|
48 |
2% |
98% |
Last Result |
49 |
3% |
95% |
|
50 |
3% |
93% |
|
51 |
3% |
90% |
Majority |
52 |
11% |
87% |
|
53 |
23% |
76% |
|
54 |
26% |
53% |
Median |
55 |
6% |
26% |
|
56 |
8% |
20% |
|
57 |
0.9% |
12% |
|
58 |
5% |
11% |
|
59 |
2% |
6% |
|
60 |
2% |
5% |
|
61 |
3% |
3% |
|
62 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
63 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
41 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
42 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
43 |
4% |
98% |
|
44 |
5% |
94% |
|
45 |
7% |
89% |
|
46 |
10% |
82% |
|
47 |
16% |
72% |
|
48 |
20% |
56% |
Median |
49 |
10% |
36% |
|
50 |
15% |
27% |
Last Result |
51 |
1.3% |
12% |
Majority |
52 |
2% |
11% |
|
53 |
3% |
9% |
|
54 |
6% |
6% |
|
55 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
56 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
1.3% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
0.5% |
98.6% |
|
44 |
4% |
98% |
|
45 |
4% |
94% |
|
46 |
9% |
90% |
|
47 |
10% |
82% |
|
48 |
31% |
71% |
Median |
49 |
17% |
41% |
|
50 |
8% |
24% |
|
51 |
3% |
16% |
Majority |
52 |
9% |
13% |
|
53 |
2% |
4% |
Last Result |
54 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
55 |
1.0% |
1.3% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
38 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
39 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
40 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
41 |
3% |
97% |
|
42 |
5% |
94% |
|
43 |
7% |
89% |
|
44 |
8% |
83% |
|
45 |
23% |
74% |
|
46 |
22% |
51% |
Median |
47 |
14% |
29% |
|
48 |
6% |
16% |
|
49 |
0.8% |
10% |
|
50 |
1.2% |
9% |
|
51 |
5% |
8% |
Majority |
52 |
3% |
3% |
|
53 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
54 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
55 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
1.3% |
100% |
|
36 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
37 |
3% |
97% |
|
38 |
4% |
94% |
|
39 |
4% |
91% |
|
40 |
19% |
86% |
|
41 |
18% |
67% |
|
42 |
11% |
49% |
Median |
43 |
21% |
38% |
|
44 |
7% |
17% |
|
45 |
3% |
10% |
|
46 |
2% |
8% |
|
47 |
2% |
6% |
|
48 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
49 |
3% |
3% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
37 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
38 |
4% |
98% |
|
39 |
4% |
94% |
|
40 |
14% |
89% |
|
41 |
20% |
76% |
|
42 |
15% |
55% |
Median |
43 |
9% |
40% |
|
44 |
12% |
31% |
|
45 |
9% |
19% |
|
46 |
7% |
10% |
|
47 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
48 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
49 |
1.2% |
1.4% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.8% |
99.6% |
|
36 |
1.1% |
98.8% |
|
37 |
4% |
98% |
|
38 |
6% |
94% |
|
39 |
20% |
88% |
|
40 |
13% |
68% |
Median |
41 |
23% |
55% |
|
42 |
13% |
33% |
|
43 |
7% |
19% |
|
44 |
4% |
12% |
|
45 |
0.7% |
8% |
|
46 |
2% |
7% |
|
47 |
5% |
5% |
|
48 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
49 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
34 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
35 |
1.4% |
99.6% |
|
36 |
3% |
98% |
|
37 |
4% |
95% |
Last Result |
38 |
9% |
92% |
|
39 |
14% |
83% |
|
40 |
21% |
69% |
Median |
41 |
30% |
48% |
|
42 |
5% |
18% |
|
43 |
8% |
13% |
|
44 |
2% |
5% |
|
45 |
2% |
2% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
47 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
48 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
1.3% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
33 |
4% |
96% |
|
34 |
7% |
92% |
|
35 |
21% |
84% |
|
36 |
18% |
63% |
Median |
37 |
25% |
46% |
|
38 |
6% |
21% |
|
39 |
4% |
15% |
|
40 |
9% |
11% |
|
41 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
42 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
43 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
29 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
31 |
7% |
97% |
|
32 |
16% |
90% |
|
33 |
10% |
74% |
|
34 |
25% |
64% |
Median |
35 |
16% |
39% |
|
36 |
13% |
22% |
|
37 |
2% |
9% |
|
38 |
4% |
6% |
|
39 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
40 |
1.2% |
1.3% |
Last Result |
41 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par!

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
27 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
28 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
29 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
30 |
9% |
97% |
|
31 |
5% |
87% |
|
32 |
38% |
82% |
Median |
33 |
12% |
43% |
|
34 |
16% |
31% |
|
35 |
6% |
16% |
|
36 |
3% |
10% |
Last Result |
37 |
2% |
6% |
|
38 |
4% |
5% |
|
39 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
40 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
24 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
25 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
26 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
27 |
4% |
99.3% |
|
28 |
14% |
95% |
|
29 |
15% |
81% |
|
30 |
19% |
66% |
Median |
31 |
14% |
47% |
|
32 |
19% |
33% |
|
33 |
6% |
14% |
|
34 |
6% |
8% |
|
35 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
|
37 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
15 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
16 |
9% |
99.4% |
|
17 |
19% |
90% |
|
18 |
34% |
71% |
Median |
19 |
12% |
38% |
|
20 |
16% |
25% |
|
21 |
3% |
9% |
|
22 |
4% |
6% |
|
23 |
2% |
2% |
|
24 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Factum Interactive
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 26–30 April 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1170
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.06%