Opinion Poll by SKDS for Latvijas Televīzija, 1–30 April 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” | 19.8% | 20.0% | 18.4–21.9% | 17.9–22.5% | 17.5–22.9% | 16.7–23.8% |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 11.0% | 13.4% | 12.0–15.1% | 11.6–15.5% | 11.3–15.9% | 10.7–16.8% |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 9.9% | 12.8% | 11.5–14.4% | 11.1–14.9% | 10.7–15.3% | 10.1–16.1% |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 6.7% | 11.6% | 10.3–13.2% | 10.0–13.6% | 9.6–14.0% | 9.0–14.8% |
| Attīstībai/Par! | 12.0% | 9.4% | 8.2–10.8% | 7.8–11.2% | 7.6–11.5% | 7.0–12.3% |
| PROGRESĪVIE | 2.6% | 7.4% | 6.4–8.7% | 6.1–9.1% | 5.9–9.4% | 5.4–10.1% |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 3.2% | 7.0% | 5.9–8.2% | 5.7–8.6% | 5.4–8.9% | 5.0–9.5% |
| Likums un kārtība | 0.0% | 7.0% | 5.9–8.2% | 5.7–8.6% | 5.4–8.9% | 5.0–9.5% |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 13.6% | 6.5% | 5.5–7.7% | 5.2–8.1% | 5.0–8.4% | 4.6–9.0% |
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.6–4.2% | 2.4–4.5% | 2.2–4.7% | 2.0–5.2% |
| Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 14.2% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.0–1.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” | 23 | 22 | 20–25 | 19–25 | 17–25 | 17–26 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 13 | 13 | 12–17 | 12–17 | 12–17 | 11–17 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 11 | 14 | 12–15 | 12–17 | 11–17 | 11–17 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 8 | 11 | 10–13 | 10–14 | 10–16 | 8–16 |
| Attīstībai/Par! | 13 | 10 | 8–13 | 8–13 | 7–13 | 7–14 |
| PROGRESĪVIE | 0 | 7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–9 | 5–9 |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 0 | 8 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 5–10 | 0–10 |
| Likums un kārtība | 0 | 7 | 6–10 | 6–10 | 5–10 | 0–11 |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 16 | 7 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 0–10 |
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–6 |
| Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 3% | 100% | |
| 18 | 2% | 97% | |
| 19 | 5% | 96% | |
| 20 | 12% | 91% | |
| 21 | 21% | 79% | |
| 22 | 28% | 58% | Median |
| 23 | 5% | 30% | Last Result |
| 24 | 0.6% | 24% | |
| 25 | 22% | 24% | |
| 26 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 27 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 12 | 23% | 99.2% | |
| 13 | 47% | 76% | Last Result, Median |
| 14 | 7% | 29% | |
| 15 | 6% | 23% | |
| 16 | 5% | 16% | |
| 17 | 11% | 11% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 12 | 11% | 96% | |
| 13 | 32% | 85% | |
| 14 | 35% | 53% | Median |
| 15 | 11% | 18% | |
| 16 | 2% | 7% | |
| 17 | 5% | 5% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 98% | |
| 10 | 10% | 98% | |
| 11 | 49% | 87% | Median |
| 12 | 26% | 38% | |
| 13 | 2% | 12% | |
| 14 | 5% | 10% | |
| 15 | 2% | 5% | |
| 16 | 3% | 3% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Attīstībai/Par!
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Attīstībai/Par! page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 3% | 100% | |
| 8 | 25% | 97% | |
| 9 | 22% | 73% | |
| 10 | 26% | 50% | Median |
| 11 | 4% | 24% | |
| 12 | 6% | 20% | |
| 13 | 13% | 14% | Last Result |
| 14 | 2% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
PROGRESĪVIE
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 6 | 9% | 98.6% | |
| 7 | 60% | 90% | Median |
| 8 | 25% | 30% | |
| 9 | 5% | 5% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Latvijas Krievu savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 5 | 11% | 99.0% | |
| 6 | 2% | 88% | |
| 7 | 2% | 86% | |
| 8 | 78% | 84% | Median |
| 9 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 10 | 5% | 5% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Likums un kārtība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Likums un kārtība page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 98% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 6 | 23% | 96% | |
| 7 | 37% | 74% | Median |
| 8 | 4% | 36% | |
| 9 | 15% | 32% | |
| 10 | 15% | 17% | |
| 11 | 2% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 98% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 25% | 98% | |
| 7 | 46% | 73% | Median |
| 8 | 9% | 26% | |
| 9 | 16% | 17% | |
| 10 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 2% | |
| 6 | 2% | 2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Politiskā partija „KPV LV” page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 61 | 55 | 99.6% | 53–60 | 53–60 | 52–62 | 51–65 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! | 45 | 47 | 28% | 45–53 | 45–53 | 45–56 | 45–58 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 48 | 45 | 12% | 43–51 | 43–51 | 41–52 | 41–57 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 53 | 43 | 0.1% | 42–48 | 41–48 | 40–49 | 39–49 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 50 | 41 | 0% | 40–45 | 39–45 | 39–48 | 37–48 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 66 | 41 | 0% | 40–45 | 39–45 | 39–48 | 37–48 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 32 | 38 | 0% | 37–44 | 36–45 | 35–47 | 35–50 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 52 | 39 | 0% | 36–41 | 34–42 | 34–43 | 30–46 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! | 37 | 36 | 0% | 34–41 | 34–41 | 33–42 | 32–42 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 50 | 34 | 0% | 32–38 | 32–39 | 32–41 | 30–41 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 40 | 34 | 0% | 32–39 | 31–39 | 31–39 | 30–41 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 50 | 35 | 0% | 34–38 | 33–38 | 31–39 | 29–40 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 53 | 32 | 0% | 30–36 | 30–36 | 29–38 | 27–40 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! | 36 | 32 | 0% | 29–35 | 27–35 | 27–36 | 24–39 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 58 | 30 | 0% | 29–33 | 28–33 | 27–35 | 25–37 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 53 | 28 | 0% | 27–31 | 26–31 | 25–32 | 23–32 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 39 | 22 | 0% | 20–25 | 19–25 | 17–25 | 17–26 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 99.6% | Majority |
| 52 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 53 | 34% | 97% | |
| 54 | 4% | 63% | |
| 55 | 19% | 59% | Median |
| 56 | 11% | 40% | |
| 57 | 0.7% | 29% | |
| 58 | 13% | 28% | |
| 59 | 3% | 16% | |
| 60 | 9% | 13% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 3% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 63 | 0% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 65 | 2% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par!

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 10% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 46 | 17% | 90% | |
| 47 | 29% | 73% | |
| 48 | 5% | 44% | Median |
| 49 | 11% | 40% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 28% | |
| 51 | 11% | 28% | Majority |
| 52 | 2% | 17% | |
| 53 | 10% | 15% | |
| 54 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 57 | 0% | 2% | |
| 58 | 2% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 43 | 22% | 96% | |
| 44 | 11% | 74% | |
| 45 | 23% | 63% | Median |
| 46 | 7% | 40% | |
| 47 | 15% | 33% | |
| 48 | 2% | 18% | Last Result |
| 49 | 3% | 16% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 13% | |
| 51 | 9% | 12% | Majority |
| 52 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 53 | 0% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0% | 2% | |
| 57 | 2% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 39 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 40 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 41 | 3% | 97% | |
| 42 | 31% | 94% | |
| 43 | 20% | 63% | |
| 44 | 5% | 43% | Median |
| 45 | 9% | 38% | |
| 46 | 3% | 29% | |
| 47 | 12% | 26% | |
| 48 | 11% | 15% | |
| 49 | 3% | 3% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 38 | 1.5% | 99.5% | |
| 39 | 5% | 98% | |
| 40 | 28% | 93% | |
| 41 | 19% | 65% | Median |
| 42 | 10% | 46% | |
| 43 | 7% | 36% | |
| 44 | 14% | 29% | |
| 45 | 11% | 15% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 48 | 3% | 3% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 38 | 1.5% | 99.5% | |
| 39 | 5% | 98% | |
| 40 | 28% | 93% | |
| 41 | 19% | 65% | Median |
| 42 | 10% | 46% | |
| 43 | 7% | 36% | |
| 44 | 14% | 29% | |
| 45 | 11% | 15% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 48 | 3% | 3% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 3% | 100% | |
| 36 | 5% | 97% | |
| 37 | 37% | 92% | |
| 38 | 28% | 55% | Median |
| 39 | 6% | 27% | |
| 40 | 4% | 21% | |
| 41 | 0.5% | 16% | |
| 42 | 2% | 16% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 14% | |
| 44 | 9% | 14% | |
| 45 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 46 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 50 | 2% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 33 | 0.9% | 98.7% | |
| 34 | 5% | 98% | |
| 35 | 2% | 92% | |
| 36 | 13% | 91% | |
| 37 | 6% | 78% | |
| 38 | 8% | 72% | |
| 39 | 16% | 64% | Median |
| 40 | 12% | 48% | |
| 41 | 31% | 36% | |
| 42 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 43 | 3% | 4% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 46 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par!

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 34 | 20% | 97% | |
| 35 | 6% | 77% | |
| 36 | 26% | 71% | |
| 37 | 9% | 45% | Last Result, Median |
| 38 | 7% | 36% | |
| 39 | 2% | 29% | |
| 40 | 11% | 26% | |
| 41 | 12% | 15% | |
| 42 | 3% | 3% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 32 | 22% | 98% | |
| 33 | 5% | 76% | |
| 34 | 27% | 71% | Median |
| 35 | 8% | 45% | |
| 36 | 7% | 37% | |
| 37 | 13% | 29% | |
| 38 | 11% | 16% | |
| 39 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 40 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 41 | 3% | 3% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 31 | 7% | 98% | |
| 32 | 24% | 91% | |
| 33 | 4% | 67% | |
| 34 | 22% | 63% | Median |
| 35 | 21% | 41% | |
| 36 | 3% | 20% | |
| 37 | 3% | 16% | |
| 38 | 2% | 13% | |
| 39 | 9% | 11% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 2% | Last Result |
| 41 | 2% | 2% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 31 | 2% | 98% | |
| 32 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 33 | 5% | 96% | |
| 34 | 11% | 91% | |
| 35 | 32% | 80% | |
| 36 | 20% | 48% | Median |
| 37 | 3% | 28% | |
| 38 | 21% | 25% | |
| 39 | 3% | 4% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 27 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 29 | 4% | 99.2% | |
| 30 | 28% | 96% | |
| 31 | 16% | 68% | Median |
| 32 | 12% | 52% | |
| 33 | 20% | 40% | |
| 34 | 4% | 20% | |
| 35 | 4% | 16% | |
| 36 | 9% | 12% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 40 | 2% | 2% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par!

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 27 | 5% | 98.8% | |
| 28 | 2% | 93% | |
| 29 | 13% | 91% | |
| 30 | 25% | 79% | |
| 31 | 3% | 54% | |
| 32 | 3% | 50% | Median |
| 33 | 8% | 47% | |
| 34 | 15% | 39% | |
| 35 | 21% | 24% | |
| 36 | 2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 39 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 25 | 1.3% | 99.7% | |
| 26 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 27 | 2% | 98% | |
| 28 | 3% | 96% | |
| 29 | 43% | 93% | |
| 30 | 7% | 50% | Median |
| 31 | 12% | 43% | |
| 32 | 6% | 30% | |
| 33 | 20% | 24% | |
| 34 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 35 | 2% | 3% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 37 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 22 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 24 | 1.4% | 99.4% | |
| 25 | 2% | 98% | |
| 26 | 5% | 96% | |
| 27 | 30% | 90% | |
| 28 | 16% | 60% | Median |
| 29 | 19% | 44% | |
| 30 | 6% | 25% | |
| 31 | 15% | 20% | |
| 32 | 4% | 5% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 3% | 100% | |
| 18 | 2% | 97% | |
| 19 | 5% | 96% | |
| 20 | 12% | 91% | |
| 21 | 21% | 79% | |
| 22 | 28% | 58% | Median |
| 23 | 5% | 30% | |
| 24 | 0.6% | 24% | |
| 25 | 22% | 24% | |
| 26 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 27 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: SKDS
- Commissioner(s): Latvijas Televīzija
- Fieldwork period: 1–30 April 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 833
- Simulations done: 131,072
- Error estimate: 3.90%