Opinion Poll by Factum Interactive, 26–31 May 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” |
19.8% |
18.2% |
16.3–20.4% |
15.7–21.0% |
15.3–21.6% |
14.4–22.7% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA |
6.7% |
16.8% |
15.0–19.0% |
14.4–19.6% |
14.0–20.1% |
13.2–21.2% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” |
11.0% |
14.1% |
12.3–16.1% |
11.9–16.6% |
11.5–17.1% |
10.7–18.2% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība |
9.9% |
13.4% |
11.7–15.3% |
11.2–15.9% |
10.8–16.4% |
10.1–17.4% |
Attīstībai/Par! |
12.0% |
11.8% |
10.2–13.7% |
9.8–14.2% |
9.4–14.7% |
8.7–15.7% |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
13.6% |
8.3% |
7.0–10.0% |
6.6–10.5% |
6.3–10.9% |
5.8–11.7% |
PROGRESĪVIE |
2.6% |
4.9% |
3.9–6.2% |
3.6–6.6% |
3.4–7.0% |
3.0–7.7% |
Latvijas Krievu savienība |
3.2% |
4.0% |
3.1–5.3% |
2.9–5.6% |
2.7–5.9% |
2.3–6.6% |
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība |
4.1% |
3.6% |
2.8–4.9% |
2.6–5.2% |
2.4–5.5% |
2.1–6.2% |
Likums un kārtība |
0.0% |
3.5% |
2.7–4.7% |
2.4–5.0% |
2.3–5.3% |
1.9–5.9% |
Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
14.2% |
0.7% |
0.4–1.4% |
0.3–1.6% |
0.3–1.8% |
0.2–2.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
17 |
0.7% |
99.7% |
|
18 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
19 |
5% |
98% |
|
20 |
16% |
93% |
|
21 |
22% |
77% |
|
22 |
18% |
54% |
Median |
23 |
8% |
37% |
Last Result |
24 |
11% |
29% |
|
25 |
16% |
18% |
|
26 |
0.3% |
1.2% |
|
27 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
28 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
15 |
3% |
99.5% |
|
16 |
2% |
97% |
|
17 |
16% |
95% |
|
18 |
28% |
79% |
|
19 |
30% |
52% |
Median |
20 |
12% |
21% |
|
21 |
2% |
9% |
|
22 |
3% |
7% |
|
23 |
2% |
4% |
|
24 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
25 |
0.1% |
1.1% |
|
26 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.8% |
99.7% |
|
13 |
5% |
99.0% |
Last Result |
14 |
17% |
94% |
|
15 |
11% |
77% |
|
16 |
26% |
66% |
Median |
17 |
30% |
39% |
|
18 |
3% |
9% |
|
19 |
4% |
6% |
|
20 |
2% |
2% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
22 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
1.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
12 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
13 |
8% |
97% |
|
14 |
8% |
89% |
|
15 |
7% |
81% |
|
16 |
7% |
74% |
|
17 |
49% |
67% |
Median |
18 |
6% |
18% |
|
19 |
8% |
12% |
|
20 |
4% |
5% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
22 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Attīstībai/Par!
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Attīstībai/Par! page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
1.2% |
100% |
|
10 |
3% |
98.7% |
|
11 |
10% |
95% |
|
12 |
6% |
86% |
|
13 |
3% |
80% |
Last Result |
14 |
44% |
78% |
Median |
15 |
18% |
34% |
|
16 |
6% |
15% |
|
17 |
9% |
9% |
|
18 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā konservatīvā partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
7 |
15% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
3% |
85% |
|
9 |
38% |
82% |
Median |
10 |
7% |
44% |
|
11 |
17% |
37% |
|
12 |
15% |
20% |
|
13 |
5% |
5% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
PROGRESĪVIE
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
72% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
28% |
|
2 |
0% |
28% |
|
3 |
0% |
28% |
|
4 |
0% |
28% |
|
5 |
2% |
28% |
|
6 |
7% |
26% |
|
7 |
17% |
19% |
|
8 |
2% |
3% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Latvijas Krievu savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
89% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
11% |
|
2 |
0% |
11% |
|
3 |
0% |
11% |
|
4 |
0% |
11% |
|
5 |
3% |
11% |
|
6 |
0.9% |
7% |
|
7 |
4% |
7% |
|
8 |
3% |
3% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
94% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
6% |
|
2 |
0% |
6% |
|
3 |
0% |
6% |
|
4 |
0% |
6% |
|
5 |
0% |
6% |
|
6 |
6% |
6% |
|
7 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Likums un kārtība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Likums un kārtība page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
96% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
4% |
|
2 |
0% |
4% |
|
3 |
0% |
4% |
|
4 |
0% |
4% |
|
5 |
2% |
4% |
|
6 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
7 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Politiskā partija „KPV LV” page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
61 |
75 |
100% |
69–80 |
67–80 |
64–80 |
64–80 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! |
45 |
66 |
100% |
59–69 |
58–70 |
57–70 |
56–72 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
48 |
61 |
99.9% |
55–65 |
53–65 |
53–65 |
51–68 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
50 |
59 |
99.4% |
53–63 |
53–63 |
51–63 |
50–64 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
66 |
59 |
99.4% |
53–63 |
53–63 |
51–63 |
50–64 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
53 |
57 |
89% |
50–60 |
49–62 |
46–62 |
46–62 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība |
32 |
52 |
64% |
46–54 |
44–55 |
44–56 |
44–58 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
50 |
49 |
19% |
44–51 |
44–52 |
43–53 |
41–55 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! |
37 |
47 |
7% |
42–50 |
40–51 |
39–52 |
38–52 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
52 |
47 |
2% |
41–50 |
40–50 |
38–50 |
37–52 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
53 |
44 |
0.8% |
40–48 |
39–48 |
39–49 |
38–51 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
53 |
42 |
0.1% |
38–47 |
37–47 |
36–49 |
35–49 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
40 |
43 |
0% |
37–46 |
36–48 |
35–48 |
34–48 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
58 |
40 |
0% |
36–43 |
34–43 |
33–43 |
33–44 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
50 |
39 |
0% |
35–42 |
34–42 |
33–42 |
31–42 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! |
36 |
36 |
0% |
33–39 |
31–39 |
30–40 |
29–41 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
39 |
22 |
0% |
20–25 |
19–25 |
19–25 |
17–27 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
64 |
3% |
99.8% |
|
65 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
66 |
0.5% |
96% |
|
67 |
4% |
96% |
|
68 |
0.9% |
91% |
|
69 |
4% |
90% |
|
70 |
3% |
86% |
|
71 |
4% |
83% |
|
72 |
6% |
79% |
|
73 |
8% |
74% |
|
74 |
3% |
66% |
|
75 |
17% |
63% |
Median |
76 |
8% |
46% |
|
77 |
6% |
37% |
|
78 |
8% |
32% |
|
79 |
13% |
24% |
|
80 |
10% |
11% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
82 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par!

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
57 |
3% |
99.3% |
|
58 |
5% |
96% |
|
59 |
3% |
91% |
|
60 |
2% |
88% |
|
61 |
2% |
86% |
|
62 |
6% |
84% |
|
63 |
7% |
78% |
|
64 |
5% |
71% |
|
65 |
7% |
66% |
|
66 |
21% |
59% |
Median |
67 |
16% |
39% |
|
68 |
12% |
23% |
|
69 |
4% |
11% |
|
70 |
5% |
7% |
|
71 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
51 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
Majority |
52 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
|
53 |
7% |
99.0% |
|
54 |
0.8% |
92% |
|
55 |
3% |
91% |
|
56 |
2% |
88% |
|
57 |
5% |
86% |
|
58 |
4% |
81% |
|
59 |
4% |
77% |
|
60 |
7% |
73% |
|
61 |
26% |
66% |
Median |
62 |
6% |
40% |
|
63 |
9% |
34% |
|
64 |
6% |
25% |
|
65 |
18% |
20% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
67 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
69 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
Last Result |
51 |
3% |
99.4% |
Majority |
52 |
0.6% |
96% |
|
53 |
7% |
95% |
|
54 |
3% |
89% |
|
55 |
2% |
86% |
|
56 |
9% |
84% |
|
57 |
6% |
75% |
|
58 |
17% |
69% |
Median |
59 |
14% |
52% |
|
60 |
16% |
37% |
|
61 |
9% |
22% |
|
62 |
1.0% |
13% |
|
63 |
11% |
12% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
67 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
51 |
3% |
99.4% |
Majority |
52 |
0.6% |
96% |
|
53 |
7% |
95% |
|
54 |
3% |
89% |
|
55 |
2% |
86% |
|
56 |
9% |
84% |
|
57 |
6% |
75% |
|
58 |
17% |
69% |
Median |
59 |
14% |
52% |
|
60 |
16% |
37% |
|
61 |
9% |
22% |
|
62 |
1.0% |
13% |
|
63 |
11% |
12% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
Last Result |
67 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
0.6% |
97% |
|
48 |
1.1% |
97% |
|
49 |
1.3% |
96% |
|
50 |
6% |
94% |
|
51 |
2% |
89% |
Majority |
52 |
6% |
86% |
|
53 |
5% |
80% |
Last Result |
54 |
8% |
76% |
|
55 |
7% |
67% |
|
56 |
2% |
60% |
Median |
57 |
18% |
58% |
|
58 |
12% |
40% |
|
59 |
9% |
28% |
|
60 |
12% |
20% |
|
61 |
0.5% |
8% |
|
62 |
8% |
8% |
|
63 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
44 |
5% |
99.6% |
|
45 |
0.9% |
94% |
|
46 |
5% |
93% |
|
47 |
2% |
88% |
|
48 |
5% |
86% |
|
49 |
4% |
81% |
|
50 |
13% |
77% |
|
51 |
9% |
64% |
Majority |
52 |
21% |
55% |
Median |
53 |
19% |
34% |
|
54 |
6% |
15% |
|
55 |
6% |
9% |
|
56 |
2% |
3% |
|
57 |
0.3% |
1.5% |
|
58 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
59 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
60 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
41 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
42 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
43 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
44 |
8% |
97% |
|
45 |
2% |
89% |
|
46 |
6% |
88% |
|
47 |
7% |
81% |
|
48 |
15% |
75% |
|
49 |
23% |
59% |
Median |
50 |
18% |
36% |
Last Result |
51 |
12% |
19% |
Majority |
52 |
3% |
7% |
|
53 |
2% |
4% |
|
54 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
55 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
57 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
58 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par!

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
38 |
1.1% |
99.6% |
|
39 |
3% |
98.5% |
|
40 |
1.5% |
96% |
|
41 |
4% |
94% |
|
42 |
3% |
90% |
|
43 |
8% |
88% |
|
44 |
6% |
79% |
|
45 |
8% |
73% |
|
46 |
7% |
64% |
|
47 |
9% |
58% |
Median |
48 |
32% |
49% |
|
49 |
0.8% |
17% |
|
50 |
9% |
16% |
|
51 |
5% |
7% |
Majority |
52 |
2% |
3% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
38 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
39 |
1.5% |
97% |
|
40 |
5% |
95% |
|
41 |
1.5% |
90% |
|
42 |
3% |
89% |
|
43 |
8% |
86% |
|
44 |
6% |
78% |
|
45 |
12% |
71% |
Median |
46 |
8% |
59% |
|
47 |
18% |
52% |
|
48 |
21% |
34% |
|
49 |
3% |
13% |
|
50 |
9% |
10% |
|
51 |
1.1% |
2% |
Majority |
52 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
Last Result |
53 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
37 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
38 |
1.0% |
99.6% |
|
39 |
6% |
98.6% |
|
40 |
3% |
92% |
|
41 |
2% |
89% |
|
42 |
9% |
88% |
|
43 |
8% |
79% |
|
44 |
30% |
71% |
Median |
45 |
8% |
41% |
|
46 |
13% |
33% |
|
47 |
3% |
20% |
|
48 |
14% |
17% |
|
49 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
50 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
51 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
Majority |
52 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
34 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
36 |
3% |
99.2% |
|
37 |
3% |
96% |
|
38 |
3% |
93% |
|
39 |
2% |
90% |
|
40 |
14% |
87% |
|
41 |
22% |
73% |
|
42 |
6% |
52% |
Median |
43 |
13% |
45% |
|
44 |
8% |
32% |
|
45 |
1.3% |
23% |
|
46 |
4% |
22% |
|
47 |
14% |
18% |
|
48 |
2% |
4% |
|
49 |
2% |
3% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
51 |
0% |
0.1% |
Majority |
52 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
33 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
34 |
0.8% |
99.5% |
|
35 |
3% |
98.7% |
|
36 |
4% |
96% |
|
37 |
2% |
92% |
|
38 |
6% |
90% |
|
39 |
6% |
84% |
|
40 |
6% |
78% |
Last Result |
41 |
10% |
73% |
|
42 |
10% |
63% |
Median |
43 |
20% |
53% |
|
44 |
9% |
33% |
|
45 |
14% |
24% |
|
46 |
0.8% |
10% |
|
47 |
4% |
9% |
|
48 |
6% |
6% |
|
49 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
3% |
99.6% |
|
34 |
3% |
96% |
|
35 |
3% |
94% |
|
36 |
5% |
91% |
|
37 |
10% |
86% |
|
38 |
6% |
76% |
|
39 |
6% |
70% |
Median |
40 |
24% |
64% |
|
41 |
14% |
39% |
|
42 |
8% |
25% |
|
43 |
16% |
18% |
|
44 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
47 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
27 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
29 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
31 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
32 |
0.6% |
99.2% |
|
33 |
3% |
98.6% |
|
34 |
1.5% |
96% |
|
35 |
8% |
95% |
|
36 |
8% |
86% |
|
37 |
21% |
79% |
|
38 |
5% |
57% |
|
39 |
10% |
53% |
Median |
40 |
16% |
43% |
|
41 |
13% |
27% |
|
42 |
14% |
15% |
|
43 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
44 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
46 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par!

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
28 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
29 |
1.0% |
99.7% |
|
30 |
1.4% |
98.7% |
|
31 |
4% |
97% |
|
32 |
3% |
94% |
|
33 |
8% |
91% |
|
34 |
5% |
82% |
|
35 |
24% |
78% |
|
36 |
11% |
54% |
Last Result, Median |
37 |
8% |
43% |
|
38 |
8% |
34% |
|
39 |
22% |
26% |
|
40 |
3% |
4% |
|
41 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
42 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
17 |
0.7% |
99.7% |
|
18 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
19 |
5% |
98% |
|
20 |
16% |
93% |
|
21 |
22% |
77% |
|
22 |
18% |
54% |
Median |
23 |
8% |
37% |
|
24 |
11% |
29% |
|
25 |
16% |
18% |
|
26 |
0.3% |
1.2% |
|
27 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
28 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Factum Interactive
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 26–31 May 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 576
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.16%