Opinion Poll by Factum Interactive, 26–31 May 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” | 19.8% | 18.2% | 16.3–20.4% | 15.7–21.0% | 15.3–21.6% | 14.4–22.7% |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 6.7% | 16.8% | 15.0–19.0% | 14.4–19.6% | 14.0–20.1% | 13.2–21.2% |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 11.0% | 14.1% | 12.3–16.1% | 11.9–16.6% | 11.5–17.1% | 10.7–18.2% |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 9.9% | 13.4% | 11.7–15.3% | 11.2–15.9% | 10.8–16.4% | 10.1–17.4% |
| Attīstībai/Par! | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.2–13.7% | 9.8–14.2% | 9.4–14.7% | 8.7–15.7% |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 13.6% | 8.3% | 7.0–10.0% | 6.6–10.5% | 6.3–10.9% | 5.8–11.7% |
| PROGRESĪVIE | 2.6% | 4.9% | 3.9–6.2% | 3.6–6.6% | 3.4–7.0% | 3.0–7.7% |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.1–5.3% | 2.9–5.6% | 2.7–5.9% | 2.3–6.6% |
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.8–4.9% | 2.6–5.2% | 2.4–5.5% | 2.1–6.2% |
| Likums un kārtība | 0.0% | 3.5% | 2.7–4.7% | 2.4–5.0% | 2.3–5.3% | 1.9–5.9% |
| Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 14.2% | 0.7% | 0.4–1.4% | 0.3–1.6% | 0.3–1.8% | 0.2–2.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” | 23 | 22 | 20–25 | 19–25 | 19–25 | 17–27 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 8 | 19 | 17–20 | 17–22 | 15–23 | 15–26 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 13 | 16 | 14–17 | 13–19 | 13–19 | 12–20 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 11 | 17 | 13–19 | 13–19 | 12–20 | 11–20 |
| Attīstībai/Par! | 13 | 14 | 11–16 | 11–17 | 10–17 | 9–17 |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 16 | 9 | 7–12 | 7–12 | 7–13 | 7–13 |
| PROGRESĪVIE | 0 | 0 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–8 | 0–8 |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 0 | 0 | 0–5 | 0–7 | 0–8 | 0–8 |
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–6 |
| Likums un kārtība | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–5 | 0–7 |
| Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 18 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 19 | 5% | 98% | |
| 20 | 16% | 93% | |
| 21 | 22% | 77% | |
| 22 | 18% | 54% | Median |
| 23 | 8% | 37% | Last Result |
| 24 | 11% | 29% | |
| 25 | 16% | 18% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 27 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 16 | 2% | 97% | |
| 17 | 16% | 95% | |
| 18 | 28% | 79% | |
| 19 | 30% | 52% | Median |
| 20 | 12% | 21% | |
| 21 | 2% | 9% | |
| 22 | 3% | 7% | |
| 23 | 2% | 4% | |
| 24 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 26 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 13 | 5% | 99.0% | Last Result |
| 14 | 17% | 94% | |
| 15 | 11% | 77% | |
| 16 | 26% | 66% | Median |
| 17 | 30% | 39% | |
| 18 | 3% | 9% | |
| 19 | 4% | 6% | |
| 20 | 2% | 2% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 1.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 12 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 13 | 8% | 97% | |
| 14 | 8% | 89% | |
| 15 | 7% | 81% | |
| 16 | 7% | 74% | |
| 17 | 49% | 67% | Median |
| 18 | 6% | 18% | |
| 19 | 8% | 12% | |
| 20 | 4% | 5% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 22 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Attīstībai/Par!
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Attīstībai/Par! page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 10 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 11 | 10% | 95% | |
| 12 | 6% | 86% | |
| 13 | 3% | 80% | Last Result |
| 14 | 44% | 78% | Median |
| 15 | 18% | 34% | |
| 16 | 6% | 15% | |
| 17 | 9% | 9% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 15% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 3% | 85% | |
| 9 | 38% | 82% | Median |
| 10 | 7% | 44% | |
| 11 | 17% | 37% | |
| 12 | 15% | 20% | |
| 13 | 5% | 5% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
PROGRESĪVIE
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 72% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 28% | |
| 2 | 0% | 28% | |
| 3 | 0% | 28% | |
| 4 | 0% | 28% | |
| 5 | 2% | 28% | |
| 6 | 7% | 26% | |
| 7 | 17% | 19% | |
| 8 | 2% | 3% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Latvijas Krievu savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 89% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 11% | |
| 2 | 0% | 11% | |
| 3 | 0% | 11% | |
| 4 | 0% | 11% | |
| 5 | 3% | 11% | |
| 6 | 0.9% | 7% | |
| 7 | 4% | 7% | |
| 8 | 3% | 3% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 94% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 6% | |
| 2 | 0% | 6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 6% | |
| 6 | 6% | 6% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Likums un kārtība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Likums un kārtība page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 96% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 4% | |
| 5 | 2% | 4% | |
| 6 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 7 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Politiskā partija „KPV LV” page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 61 | 75 | 100% | 69–80 | 67–80 | 64–80 | 64–80 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! | 45 | 66 | 100% | 59–69 | 58–70 | 57–70 | 56–72 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 48 | 61 | 99.9% | 55–65 | 53–65 | 53–65 | 51–68 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 50 | 59 | 99.4% | 53–63 | 53–63 | 51–63 | 50–64 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 66 | 59 | 99.4% | 53–63 | 53–63 | 51–63 | 50–64 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 53 | 57 | 89% | 50–60 | 49–62 | 46–62 | 46–62 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 32 | 52 | 64% | 46–54 | 44–55 | 44–56 | 44–58 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 50 | 49 | 19% | 44–51 | 44–52 | 43–53 | 41–55 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! | 37 | 47 | 7% | 42–50 | 40–51 | 39–52 | 38–52 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 52 | 47 | 2% | 41–50 | 40–50 | 38–50 | 37–52 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 53 | 44 | 0.8% | 40–48 | 39–48 | 39–49 | 38–51 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 53 | 42 | 0.1% | 38–47 | 37–47 | 36–49 | 35–49 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 40 | 43 | 0% | 37–46 | 36–48 | 35–48 | 34–48 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 58 | 40 | 0% | 36–43 | 34–43 | 33–43 | 33–44 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 50 | 39 | 0% | 35–42 | 34–42 | 33–42 | 31–42 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! | 36 | 36 | 0% | 33–39 | 31–39 | 30–40 | 29–41 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 39 | 22 | 0% | 20–25 | 19–25 | 19–25 | 17–27 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 67 | 4% | 96% | |
| 68 | 0.9% | 91% | |
| 69 | 4% | 90% | |
| 70 | 3% | 86% | |
| 71 | 4% | 83% | |
| 72 | 6% | 79% | |
| 73 | 8% | 74% | |
| 74 | 3% | 66% | |
| 75 | 17% | 63% | Median |
| 76 | 8% | 46% | |
| 77 | 6% | 37% | |
| 78 | 8% | 32% | |
| 79 | 13% | 24% | |
| 80 | 10% | 11% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par!

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 57 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 58 | 5% | 96% | |
| 59 | 3% | 91% | |
| 60 | 2% | 88% | |
| 61 | 2% | 86% | |
| 62 | 6% | 84% | |
| 63 | 7% | 78% | |
| 64 | 5% | 71% | |
| 65 | 7% | 66% | |
| 66 | 21% | 59% | Median |
| 67 | 16% | 39% | |
| 68 | 12% | 23% | |
| 69 | 4% | 11% | |
| 70 | 5% | 7% | |
| 71 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 52 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 53 | 7% | 99.0% | |
| 54 | 0.8% | 92% | |
| 55 | 3% | 91% | |
| 56 | 2% | 88% | |
| 57 | 5% | 86% | |
| 58 | 4% | 81% | |
| 59 | 4% | 77% | |
| 60 | 7% | 73% | |
| 61 | 26% | 66% | Median |
| 62 | 6% | 40% | |
| 63 | 9% | 34% | |
| 64 | 6% | 25% | |
| 65 | 18% | 20% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 51 | 3% | 99.4% | Majority |
| 52 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 53 | 7% | 95% | |
| 54 | 3% | 89% | |
| 55 | 2% | 86% | |
| 56 | 9% | 84% | |
| 57 | 6% | 75% | |
| 58 | 17% | 69% | Median |
| 59 | 14% | 52% | |
| 60 | 16% | 37% | |
| 61 | 9% | 22% | |
| 62 | 1.0% | 13% | |
| 63 | 11% | 12% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 51 | 3% | 99.4% | Majority |
| 52 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 53 | 7% | 95% | |
| 54 | 3% | 89% | |
| 55 | 2% | 86% | |
| 56 | 9% | 84% | |
| 57 | 6% | 75% | |
| 58 | 17% | 69% | Median |
| 59 | 14% | 52% | |
| 60 | 16% | 37% | |
| 61 | 9% | 22% | |
| 62 | 1.0% | 13% | |
| 63 | 11% | 12% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 67 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 48 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 49 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 50 | 6% | 94% | |
| 51 | 2% | 89% | Majority |
| 52 | 6% | 86% | |
| 53 | 5% | 80% | Last Result |
| 54 | 8% | 76% | |
| 55 | 7% | 67% | |
| 56 | 2% | 60% | Median |
| 57 | 18% | 58% | |
| 58 | 12% | 40% | |
| 59 | 9% | 28% | |
| 60 | 12% | 20% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 8% | |
| 62 | 8% | 8% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 5% | 99.6% | |
| 45 | 0.9% | 94% | |
| 46 | 5% | 93% | |
| 47 | 2% | 88% | |
| 48 | 5% | 86% | |
| 49 | 4% | 81% | |
| 50 | 13% | 77% | |
| 51 | 9% | 64% | Majority |
| 52 | 21% | 55% | Median |
| 53 | 19% | 34% | |
| 54 | 6% | 15% | |
| 55 | 6% | 9% | |
| 56 | 2% | 3% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 1.5% | |
| 58 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 42 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 43 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 44 | 8% | 97% | |
| 45 | 2% | 89% | |
| 46 | 6% | 88% | |
| 47 | 7% | 81% | |
| 48 | 15% | 75% | |
| 49 | 23% | 59% | Median |
| 50 | 18% | 36% | Last Result |
| 51 | 12% | 19% | Majority |
| 52 | 3% | 7% | |
| 53 | 2% | 4% | |
| 54 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par!

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 38 | 1.1% | 99.6% | |
| 39 | 3% | 98.5% | |
| 40 | 1.5% | 96% | |
| 41 | 4% | 94% | |
| 42 | 3% | 90% | |
| 43 | 8% | 88% | |
| 44 | 6% | 79% | |
| 45 | 8% | 73% | |
| 46 | 7% | 64% | |
| 47 | 9% | 58% | Median |
| 48 | 32% | 49% | |
| 49 | 0.8% | 17% | |
| 50 | 9% | 16% | |
| 51 | 5% | 7% | Majority |
| 52 | 2% | 3% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 38 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 39 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 40 | 5% | 95% | |
| 41 | 1.5% | 90% | |
| 42 | 3% | 89% | |
| 43 | 8% | 86% | |
| 44 | 6% | 78% | |
| 45 | 12% | 71% | Median |
| 46 | 8% | 59% | |
| 47 | 18% | 52% | |
| 48 | 21% | 34% | |
| 49 | 3% | 13% | |
| 50 | 9% | 10% | |
| 51 | 1.1% | 2% | Majority |
| 52 | 0.2% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 53 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 39 | 6% | 98.6% | |
| 40 | 3% | 92% | |
| 41 | 2% | 89% | |
| 42 | 9% | 88% | |
| 43 | 8% | 79% | |
| 44 | 30% | 71% | Median |
| 45 | 8% | 41% | |
| 46 | 13% | 33% | |
| 47 | 3% | 20% | |
| 48 | 14% | 17% | |
| 49 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 50 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 0.8% | Majority |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 36 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 37 | 3% | 96% | |
| 38 | 3% | 93% | |
| 39 | 2% | 90% | |
| 40 | 14% | 87% | |
| 41 | 22% | 73% | |
| 42 | 6% | 52% | Median |
| 43 | 13% | 45% | |
| 44 | 8% | 32% | |
| 45 | 1.3% | 23% | |
| 46 | 4% | 22% | |
| 47 | 14% | 18% | |
| 48 | 2% | 4% | |
| 49 | 2% | 3% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 34 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 35 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 36 | 4% | 96% | |
| 37 | 2% | 92% | |
| 38 | 6% | 90% | |
| 39 | 6% | 84% | |
| 40 | 6% | 78% | Last Result |
| 41 | 10% | 73% | |
| 42 | 10% | 63% | Median |
| 43 | 20% | 53% | |
| 44 | 9% | 33% | |
| 45 | 14% | 24% | |
| 46 | 0.8% | 10% | |
| 47 | 4% | 9% | |
| 48 | 6% | 6% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 34 | 3% | 96% | |
| 35 | 3% | 94% | |
| 36 | 5% | 91% | |
| 37 | 10% | 86% | |
| 38 | 6% | 76% | |
| 39 | 6% | 70% | Median |
| 40 | 24% | 64% | |
| 41 | 14% | 39% | |
| 42 | 8% | 25% | |
| 43 | 16% | 18% | |
| 44 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 32 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 33 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 34 | 1.5% | 96% | |
| 35 | 8% | 95% | |
| 36 | 8% | 86% | |
| 37 | 21% | 79% | |
| 38 | 5% | 57% | |
| 39 | 10% | 53% | Median |
| 40 | 16% | 43% | |
| 41 | 13% | 27% | |
| 42 | 14% | 15% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par!

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 30 | 1.4% | 98.7% | |
| 31 | 4% | 97% | |
| 32 | 3% | 94% | |
| 33 | 8% | 91% | |
| 34 | 5% | 82% | |
| 35 | 24% | 78% | |
| 36 | 11% | 54% | Last Result, Median |
| 37 | 8% | 43% | |
| 38 | 8% | 34% | |
| 39 | 22% | 26% | |
| 40 | 3% | 4% | |
| 41 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 18 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 19 | 5% | 98% | |
| 20 | 16% | 93% | |
| 21 | 22% | 77% | |
| 22 | 18% | 54% | Median |
| 23 | 8% | 37% | |
| 24 | 11% | 29% | |
| 25 | 16% | 18% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 27 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Factum Interactive
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 26–31 May 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 576
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.16%