Opinion Poll by Factum Interactive, 26–31 May 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” |
19.8% |
18.2% |
16.3–20.4% |
15.7–21.0% |
15.3–21.6% |
14.4–22.7% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA |
6.7% |
16.8% |
15.0–19.0% |
14.4–19.6% |
14.0–20.1% |
13.2–21.2% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” |
11.0% |
14.1% |
12.3–16.1% |
11.9–16.6% |
11.5–17.1% |
10.7–18.2% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība |
9.9% |
13.4% |
11.7–15.3% |
11.2–15.9% |
10.8–16.4% |
10.1–17.4% |
Attīstībai/Par! |
12.0% |
11.8% |
10.2–13.7% |
9.8–14.2% |
9.4–14.7% |
8.7–15.7% |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
13.6% |
8.3% |
7.0–10.0% |
6.6–10.5% |
6.3–10.9% |
5.8–11.7% |
PROGRESĪVIE |
2.6% |
4.9% |
3.9–6.2% |
3.6–6.6% |
3.4–7.0% |
3.0–7.7% |
Latvijas Krievu savienība |
3.2% |
4.0% |
3.1–5.3% |
2.9–5.6% |
2.7–5.9% |
2.3–6.6% |
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība |
4.1% |
3.6% |
2.8–4.9% |
2.6–5.2% |
2.4–5.5% |
2.1–6.2% |
Likums un kārtība |
0.0% |
3.5% |
2.7–4.7% |
2.4–5.0% |
2.3–5.3% |
1.9–5.9% |
Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
14.2% |
0.7% |
0.4–1.4% |
0.3–1.6% |
0.3–1.8% |
0.2–2.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
17 |
0.7% |
99.7% |
|
18 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
19 |
5% |
98% |
|
20 |
16% |
93% |
|
21 |
22% |
77% |
|
22 |
18% |
54% |
Median |
23 |
8% |
37% |
Last Result |
24 |
11% |
29% |
|
25 |
16% |
18% |
|
26 |
0.3% |
1.2% |
|
27 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
28 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
15 |
3% |
99.5% |
|
16 |
2% |
97% |
|
17 |
16% |
95% |
|
18 |
28% |
79% |
|
19 |
30% |
52% |
Median |
20 |
12% |
21% |
|
21 |
2% |
9% |
|
22 |
3% |
7% |
|
23 |
2% |
4% |
|
24 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
25 |
0.1% |
1.1% |
|
26 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.8% |
99.7% |
|
13 |
5% |
99.0% |
Last Result |
14 |
17% |
94% |
|
15 |
11% |
77% |
|
16 |
26% |
66% |
Median |
17 |
30% |
39% |
|
18 |
3% |
9% |
|
19 |
4% |
6% |
|
20 |
2% |
2% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
22 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
1.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
12 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
13 |
8% |
97% |
|
14 |
8% |
89% |
|
15 |
7% |
81% |
|
16 |
7% |
74% |
|
17 |
49% |
67% |
Median |
18 |
6% |
18% |
|
19 |
8% |
12% |
|
20 |
4% |
5% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
22 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Attīstībai/Par!
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Attīstībai/Par! page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
1.2% |
100% |
|
10 |
3% |
98.7% |
|
11 |
10% |
95% |
|
12 |
6% |
86% |
|
13 |
3% |
80% |
Last Result |
14 |
44% |
78% |
Median |
15 |
18% |
34% |
|
16 |
6% |
15% |
|
17 |
9% |
9% |
|
18 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā konservatīvā partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
7 |
15% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
3% |
85% |
|
9 |
38% |
82% |
Median |
10 |
7% |
44% |
|
11 |
17% |
37% |
|
12 |
15% |
20% |
|
13 |
5% |
5% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
PROGRESĪVIE
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
72% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
28% |
|
2 |
0% |
28% |
|
3 |
0% |
28% |
|
4 |
0% |
28% |
|
5 |
2% |
28% |
|
6 |
7% |
26% |
|
7 |
17% |
19% |
|
8 |
2% |
3% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Latvijas Krievu savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
89% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
11% |
|
2 |
0% |
11% |
|
3 |
0% |
11% |
|
4 |
0% |
11% |
|
5 |
3% |
11% |
|
6 |
0.9% |
7% |
|
7 |
4% |
7% |
|
8 |
3% |
3% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
94% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
6% |
|
2 |
0% |
6% |
|
3 |
0% |
6% |
|
4 |
0% |
6% |
|
5 |
0% |
6% |
|
6 |
6% |
6% |
|
7 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Likums un kārtība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Likums un kārtība page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
96% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
4% |
|
2 |
0% |
4% |
|
3 |
0% |
4% |
|
4 |
0% |
4% |
|
5 |
2% |
4% |
|
6 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
7 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Politiskā partija „KPV LV” page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
61 |
75 |
100% |
69–80 |
67–80 |
64–80 |
64–80 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! |
45 |
66 |
100% |
59–69 |
58–70 |
57–70 |
56–72 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
48 |
61 |
99.9% |
55–65 |
53–65 |
53–65 |
51–68 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
50 |
59 |
99.4% |
53–63 |
53–63 |
51–63 |
50–64 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
66 |
59 |
99.4% |
53–63 |
53–63 |
51–63 |
50–64 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
53 |
57 |
89% |
50–60 |
49–62 |
46–62 |
46–62 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība |
32 |
52 |
64% |
46–54 |
44–55 |
44–56 |
44–58 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
50 |
49 |
19% |
44–51 |
44–52 |
43–53 |
41–55 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! |
37 |
47 |
7% |
42–50 |
40–51 |
39–52 |
38–52 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
52 |
47 |
2% |
41–50 |
40–50 |
38–50 |
37–52 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
53 |
44 |
0.8% |
40–48 |
39–48 |
39–49 |
38–51 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
53 |
42 |
0.1% |
38–47 |
37–47 |
36–49 |
35–49 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
40 |
43 |
0% |
37–46 |
36–48 |
35–48 |
34–48 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
58 |
40 |
0% |
36–43 |
34–43 |
33–43 |
33–44 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
50 |
39 |
0% |
35–42 |
34–42 |
33–42 |
31–42 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! |
36 |
36 |
0% |
33–39 |
31–39 |
30–40 |
29–41 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
39 |
22 |
0% |
20–25 |
19–25 |
19–25 |
17–27 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
64 |
3% |
99.8% |
|
65 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
66 |
0.5% |
96% |
|
67 |
4% |
96% |
|
68 |
0.9% |
91% |
|
69 |
4% |
90% |
|
70 |
3% |
86% |
|
71 |
4% |
83% |
|
72 |
6% |
79% |
|
73 |
8% |
74% |
|
74 |
3% |
66% |
|
75 |
17% |
63% |
Median |
76 |
8% |
46% |
|
77 |
6% |
37% |
|
78 |
8% |
32% |
|
79 |
13% |
24% |
|
80 |
10% |
11% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
82 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par!
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
57 |
3% |
99.3% |
|
58 |
5% |
96% |
|
59 |
3% |
91% |
|
60 |
2% |
88% |
|
61 |
2% |
86% |
|
62 |
6% |
84% |
|
63 |
7% |
78% |
|
64 |
5% |
71% |
|
65 |
7% |
66% |
|
66 |
21% |
59% |
Median |
67 |
16% |
39% |
|
68 |
12% |
23% |
|
69 |
4% |
11% |
|
70 |
5% |
7% |
|
71 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
51 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
Majority |
52 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
|
53 |
7% |
99.0% |
|
54 |
0.8% |
92% |
|
55 |
3% |
91% |
|
56 |
2% |
88% |
|
57 |
5% |
86% |
|
58 |
4% |
81% |
|
59 |
4% |
77% |
|
60 |
7% |
73% |
|
61 |
26% |
66% |
Median |
62 |
6% |
40% |
|
63 |
9% |
34% |
|
64 |
6% |
25% |
|
65 |
18% |
20% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
67 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
69 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
Last Result |
51 |
3% |
99.4% |
Majority |
52 |
0.6% |
96% |
|
53 |
7% |
95% |
|
54 |
3% |
89% |
|
55 |
2% |
86% |
|
56 |
9% |
84% |
|
57 |
6% |
75% |
|
58 |
17% |
69% |
Median |
59 |
14% |
52% |
|
60 |
16% |
37% |
|
61 |
9% |
22% |
|
62 |
1.0% |
13% |
|
63 |
11% |
12% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
67 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
51 |
3% |
99.4% |
Majority |
52 |
0.6% |
96% |
|
53 |
7% |
95% |
|
54 |
3% |
89% |
|
55 |
2% |
86% |
|
56 |
9% |
84% |
|
57 |
6% |
75% |
|
58 |
17% |
69% |
Median |
59 |
14% |
52% |
|
60 |
16% |
37% |
|
61 |
9% |
22% |
|
62 |
1.0% |
13% |
|
63 |
11% |
12% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
Last Result |
67 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
0.6% |
97% |
|
48 |
1.1% |
97% |
|
49 |
1.3% |
96% |
|
50 |
6% |
94% |
|
51 |
2% |
89% |
Majority |
52 |
6% |
86% |
|
53 |
5% |
80% |
Last Result |
54 |
8% |
76% |
|
55 |
7% |
67% |
|
56 |
2% |
60% |
Median |
57 |
18% |
58% |
|
58 |
12% |
40% |
|
59 |
9% |
28% |
|
60 |
12% |
20% |
|
61 |
0.5% |
8% |
|
62 |
8% |
8% |
|
63 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
44 |
5% |
99.6% |
|
45 |
0.9% |
94% |
|
46 |
5% |
93% |
|
47 |
2% |
88% |
|
48 |
5% |
86% |
|
49 |
4% |
81% |
|
50 |
13% |
77% |
|
51 |
9% |
64% |
Majority |
52 |
21% |
55% |
Median |
53 |
19% |
34% |
|
54 |
6% |
15% |
|
55 |
6% |
9% |
|
56 |
2% |
3% |
|
57 |
0.3% |
1.5% |
|
58 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
59 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
60 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
41 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
42 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
43 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
44 |
8% |
97% |
|
45 |
2% |
89% |
|
46 |
6% |
88% |
|
47 |
7% |
81% |
|
48 |
15% |
75% |
|
49 |
23% |
59% |
Median |
50 |
18% |
36% |
Last Result |
51 |
12% |
19% |
Majority |
52 |
3% |
7% |
|
53 |
2% |
4% |
|
54 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
55 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
57 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
58 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par!
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
38 |
1.1% |
99.6% |
|
39 |
3% |
98.5% |
|
40 |
1.5% |
96% |
|
41 |
4% |
94% |
|
42 |
3% |
90% |
|
43 |
8% |
88% |
|
44 |
6% |
79% |
|
45 |
8% |
73% |
|
46 |
7% |
64% |
|
47 |
9% |
58% |
Median |
48 |
32% |
49% |
|
49 |
0.8% |
17% |
|
50 |
9% |
16% |
|
51 |
5% |
7% |
Majority |
52 |
2% |
3% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
38 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
39 |
1.5% |
97% |
|
40 |
5% |
95% |
|
41 |
1.5% |
90% |
|
42 |
3% |
89% |
|
43 |
8% |
86% |
|
44 |
6% |
78% |
|
45 |
12% |
71% |
Median |
46 |
8% |
59% |
|
47 |
18% |
52% |
|
48 |
21% |
34% |
|
49 |
3% |
13% |
|
50 |
9% |
10% |
|
51 |
1.1% |
2% |
Majority |
52 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
Last Result |
53 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
37 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
38 |
1.0% |
99.6% |
|
39 |
6% |
98.6% |
|
40 |
3% |
92% |
|
41 |
2% |
89% |
|
42 |
9% |
88% |
|
43 |
8% |
79% |
|
44 |
30% |
71% |
Median |
45 |
8% |
41% |
|
46 |
13% |
33% |
|
47 |
3% |
20% |
|
48 |
14% |
17% |
|
49 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
50 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
51 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
Majority |
52 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
34 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
36 |
3% |
99.2% |
|
37 |
3% |
96% |
|
38 |
3% |
93% |
|
39 |
2% |
90% |
|
40 |
14% |
87% |
|
41 |
22% |
73% |
|
42 |
6% |
52% |
Median |
43 |
13% |
45% |
|
44 |
8% |
32% |
|
45 |
1.3% |
23% |
|
46 |
4% |
22% |
|
47 |
14% |
18% |
|
48 |
2% |
4% |
|
49 |
2% |
3% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
51 |
0% |
0.1% |
Majority |
52 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
33 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
34 |
0.8% |
99.5% |
|
35 |
3% |
98.7% |
|
36 |
4% |
96% |
|
37 |
2% |
92% |
|
38 |
6% |
90% |
|
39 |
6% |
84% |
|
40 |
6% |
78% |
Last Result |
41 |
10% |
73% |
|
42 |
10% |
63% |
Median |
43 |
20% |
53% |
|
44 |
9% |
33% |
|
45 |
14% |
24% |
|
46 |
0.8% |
10% |
|
47 |
4% |
9% |
|
48 |
6% |
6% |
|
49 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
3% |
99.6% |
|
34 |
3% |
96% |
|
35 |
3% |
94% |
|
36 |
5% |
91% |
|
37 |
10% |
86% |
|
38 |
6% |
76% |
|
39 |
6% |
70% |
Median |
40 |
24% |
64% |
|
41 |
14% |
39% |
|
42 |
8% |
25% |
|
43 |
16% |
18% |
|
44 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
47 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
27 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
29 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
31 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
32 |
0.6% |
99.2% |
|
33 |
3% |
98.6% |
|
34 |
1.5% |
96% |
|
35 |
8% |
95% |
|
36 |
8% |
86% |
|
37 |
21% |
79% |
|
38 |
5% |
57% |
|
39 |
10% |
53% |
Median |
40 |
16% |
43% |
|
41 |
13% |
27% |
|
42 |
14% |
15% |
|
43 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
44 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
46 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par!
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
28 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
29 |
1.0% |
99.7% |
|
30 |
1.4% |
98.7% |
|
31 |
4% |
97% |
|
32 |
3% |
94% |
|
33 |
8% |
91% |
|
34 |
5% |
82% |
|
35 |
24% |
78% |
|
36 |
11% |
54% |
Last Result, Median |
37 |
8% |
43% |
|
38 |
8% |
34% |
|
39 |
22% |
26% |
|
40 |
3% |
4% |
|
41 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
42 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
17 |
0.7% |
99.7% |
|
18 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
19 |
5% |
98% |
|
20 |
16% |
93% |
|
21 |
22% |
77% |
|
22 |
18% |
54% |
Median |
23 |
8% |
37% |
|
24 |
11% |
29% |
|
25 |
16% |
18% |
|
26 |
0.3% |
1.2% |
|
27 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
28 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Factum Interactive
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 26–31 May 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 576
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.16%