Opinion Poll by SKDS for Latvijas Televīzija, 1–30 June 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” | 19.8% | 19.3% | 18.1–20.5% | 17.8–20.9% | 17.5–21.2% | 17.0–21.8% |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 9.9% | 14.9% | 13.9–16.0% | 13.6–16.3% | 13.3–16.6% | 12.8–17.2% |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 11.0% | 14.8% | 13.7–15.9% | 13.5–16.2% | 13.2–16.5% | 12.7–17.1% |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 6.7% | 11.5% | 10.6–12.5% | 10.3–12.8% | 10.1–13.1% | 9.7–13.6% |
| Attīstībai/Par! | 12.0% | 8.9% | 8.1–9.8% | 7.9–10.1% | 7.7–10.3% | 7.3–10.8% |
| PROGRESĪVIE | 2.6% | 6.9% | 6.2–7.7% | 6.0–8.0% | 5.8–8.2% | 5.5–8.6% |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 13.6% | 6.0% | 5.3–6.8% | 5.2–7.0% | 5.0–7.2% | 4.7–7.6% |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.7–6.1% | 4.5–6.2% | 4.3–6.4% | 4.1–6.8% |
| Likums un kārtība | 0.0% | 5.3% | 4.7–6.1% | 4.5–6.2% | 4.3–6.4% | 4.1–6.8% |
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.8–5.1% | 3.7–5.3% | 3.6–5.5% | 3.3–5.8% |
| Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 14.2% | 0.9% | 0.7–1.2% | 0.6–1.4% | 0.5–1.4% | 0.5–1.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” | 23 | 22 | 20–23 | 20–24 | 19–24 | 18–26 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 11 | 17 | 16–19 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 14–20 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 13 | 16 | 14–17 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 13–20 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 8 | 13 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 11–16 | 11–16 |
| Attīstībai/Par! | 13 | 9 | 8–11 | 7–11 | 7–13 | 7–14 |
| PROGRESĪVIE | 0 | 7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 6–9 |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 16 | 7 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 0–9 | 0–9 |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 0 | 7 | 0–8 | 0–8 | 0–8 | 0–8 |
| Likums un kārtība | 0 | 5 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 |
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība | 0 | 0 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–6 |
| Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 19 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 20 | 23% | 96% | |
| 21 | 20% | 73% | |
| 22 | 26% | 53% | Median |
| 23 | 21% | 27% | Last Result |
| 24 | 5% | 7% | |
| 25 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 26 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 15 | 4% | 98.9% | |
| 16 | 25% | 94% | |
| 17 | 40% | 70% | Median |
| 18 | 16% | 30% | |
| 19 | 12% | 14% | |
| 20 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 14 | 28% | 98% | |
| 15 | 6% | 70% | |
| 16 | 25% | 64% | Median |
| 17 | 30% | 39% | |
| 18 | 7% | 9% | |
| 19 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 20 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 11 | 41% | 99.8% | |
| 12 | 9% | 59% | |
| 13 | 26% | 50% | Median |
| 14 | 9% | 25% | |
| 15 | 13% | 16% | |
| 16 | 3% | 3% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Attīstībai/Par!
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Attīstībai/Par! page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 9% | 100% | |
| 8 | 11% | 91% | |
| 9 | 33% | 80% | Median |
| 10 | 35% | 46% | |
| 11 | 7% | 11% | |
| 12 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 13 | 1.4% | 3% | Last Result |
| 14 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
PROGRESĪVIE
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 67% | 99.4% | Median |
| 8 | 31% | 33% | |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 97% | |
| 2 | 0% | 97% | |
| 3 | 0% | 97% | |
| 4 | 0% | 97% | |
| 5 | 0% | 97% | |
| 6 | 16% | 97% | |
| 7 | 75% | 81% | Median |
| 8 | 2% | 6% | |
| 9 | 4% | 4% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Latvijas Krievu savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 33% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 67% | |
| 2 | 0% | 67% | |
| 3 | 0% | 67% | |
| 4 | 0% | 67% | |
| 5 | 2% | 67% | |
| 6 | 14% | 65% | |
| 7 | 8% | 51% | Median |
| 8 | 42% | 42% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Likums un kārtība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Likums un kārtība page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 47% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 53% | |
| 2 | 0% | 53% | |
| 3 | 0% | 53% | |
| 4 | 0% | 53% | |
| 5 | 12% | 53% | Median |
| 6 | 28% | 41% | |
| 7 | 13% | 14% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 77% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 23% | |
| 2 | 0% | 23% | |
| 3 | 0% | 23% | |
| 4 | 0% | 23% | |
| 5 | 0% | 23% | |
| 6 | 23% | 23% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Politiskā partija „KPV LV” page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 61 | 62 | 100% | 58–65 | 58–68 | 55–70 | 53–70 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! | 45 | 55 | 97% | 52–59 | 51–61 | 49–61 | 47–63 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 48 | 52 | 66% | 49–55 | 49–58 | 47–59 | 45–59 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 53 | 49 | 30% | 46–52 | 45–55 | 44–57 | 42–57 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 32 | 46 | 3% | 43–48 | 42–50 | 41–51 | 39–53 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 50 | 44 | 5% | 41–48 | 40–51 | 40–51 | 37–52 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 66 | 44 | 5% | 41–48 | 40–51 | 40–51 | 37–52 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! | 37 | 42 | 0.1% | 39–46 | 39–48 | 38–48 | 36–50 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 40 | 40 | 0% | 37–42 | 36–44 | 35–46 | 34–46 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 50 | 37 | 0% | 35–41 | 34–42 | 34–44 | 32–45 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 50 | 39 | 0% | 36–41 | 36–42 | 35–42 | 34–45 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 52 | 38 | 0% | 34–40 | 34–42 | 34–42 | 32–44 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 53 | 35 | 0% | 32–38 | 31–40 | 31–40 | 28–42 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 58 | 32 | 0% | 29–34 | 29–37 | 28–38 | 26–38 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! | 36 | 31 | 0% | 28–33 | 27–34 | 27–36 | 27–37 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 53 | 29 | 0% | 25–32 | 25–33 | 25–33 | 22–33 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 39 | 22 | 0% | 20–23 | 20–24 | 19–24 | 18–26 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 55 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 57 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 58 | 8% | 96% | |
| 59 | 23% | 88% | |
| 60 | 11% | 65% | |
| 61 | 3% | 55% | Last Result |
| 62 | 13% | 52% | Median |
| 63 | 10% | 39% | |
| 64 | 17% | 29% | |
| 65 | 3% | 11% | |
| 66 | 2% | 9% | |
| 67 | 1.0% | 7% | |
| 68 | 2% | 6% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 70 | 4% | 4% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par!
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 46 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 48 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 49 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 51 | 2% | 97% | Majority |
| 52 | 28% | 95% | |
| 53 | 7% | 67% | |
| 54 | 7% | 60% | |
| 55 | 13% | 53% | Median |
| 56 | 9% | 40% | |
| 57 | 19% | 32% | |
| 58 | 3% | 13% | |
| 59 | 1.5% | 10% | |
| 60 | 1.2% | 9% | |
| 61 | 5% | 8% | |
| 62 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 1.5% | 99.1% | |
| 47 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 48 | 0.6% | 97% | Last Result |
| 49 | 11% | 96% | |
| 50 | 19% | 85% | |
| 51 | 6% | 66% | Majority |
| 52 | 13% | 60% | |
| 53 | 13% | 47% | Median |
| 54 | 21% | 35% | |
| 55 | 5% | 13% | |
| 56 | 2% | 8% | |
| 57 | 2% | 7% | |
| 58 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 59 | 4% | 4% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 44 | 2% | 98% | |
| 45 | 2% | 97% | |
| 46 | 13% | 95% | |
| 47 | 13% | 82% | |
| 48 | 12% | 69% | |
| 49 | 21% | 57% | Median |
| 50 | 5% | 35% | |
| 51 | 16% | 30% | Majority |
| 52 | 5% | 14% | |
| 53 | 2% | 9% | Last Result |
| 54 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 55 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 57 | 4% | 4% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 40 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 41 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 42 | 4% | 97% | |
| 43 | 22% | 93% | |
| 44 | 8% | 71% | |
| 45 | 12% | 64% | |
| 46 | 15% | 51% | Median |
| 47 | 23% | 36% | |
| 48 | 4% | 13% | |
| 49 | 2% | 10% | |
| 50 | 5% | 8% | |
| 51 | 1.3% | 3% | Majority |
| 52 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 39 | 1.1% | 99.1% | |
| 40 | 7% | 98% | |
| 41 | 2% | 91% | |
| 42 | 11% | 89% | |
| 43 | 28% | 78% | |
| 44 | 6% | 50% | |
| 45 | 10% | 44% | Median |
| 46 | 8% | 35% | |
| 47 | 8% | 27% | |
| 48 | 11% | 19% | |
| 49 | 2% | 7% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 6% | Last Result |
| 51 | 4% | 5% | Majority |
| 52 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 39 | 1.1% | 99.1% | |
| 40 | 7% | 98% | |
| 41 | 2% | 91% | |
| 42 | 11% | 89% | |
| 43 | 28% | 78% | |
| 44 | 6% | 50% | |
| 45 | 10% | 44% | Median |
| 46 | 8% | 35% | |
| 47 | 8% | 27% | |
| 48 | 11% | 19% | |
| 49 | 2% | 7% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 51 | 4% | 5% | Majority |
| 52 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par!
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 1.0% | 99.0% | Last Result |
| 38 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 39 | 13% | 97% | |
| 40 | 3% | 83% | |
| 41 | 21% | 80% | |
| 42 | 20% | 58% | Median |
| 43 | 6% | 38% | |
| 44 | 16% | 32% | |
| 45 | 5% | 16% | |
| 46 | 4% | 11% | |
| 47 | 2% | 7% | |
| 48 | 4% | 6% | |
| 49 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 36 | 2% | 97% | |
| 37 | 15% | 95% | |
| 38 | 14% | 79% | |
| 39 | 15% | 66% | |
| 40 | 11% | 50% | Last Result, Median |
| 41 | 18% | 39% | |
| 42 | 11% | 21% | |
| 43 | 4% | 10% | |
| 44 | 2% | 6% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 46 | 3% | 3% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 33 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 34 | 8% | 98% | |
| 35 | 11% | 90% | |
| 36 | 24% | 79% | |
| 37 | 9% | 55% | |
| 38 | 10% | 46% | Median |
| 39 | 6% | 36% | |
| 40 | 10% | 30% | |
| 41 | 11% | 20% | |
| 42 | 5% | 9% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 44 | 2% | 3% | |
| 45 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 35 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 36 | 14% | 96% | |
| 37 | 16% | 82% | |
| 38 | 13% | 66% | |
| 39 | 17% | 53% | Median |
| 40 | 12% | 37% | |
| 41 | 19% | 24% | |
| 42 | 3% | 5% | |
| 43 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 33 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 34 | 10% | 98% | |
| 35 | 3% | 88% | |
| 36 | 18% | 85% | |
| 37 | 9% | 67% | |
| 38 | 24% | 59% | Median |
| 39 | 13% | 34% | |
| 40 | 14% | 22% | |
| 41 | 2% | 8% | |
| 42 | 4% | 6% | |
| 43 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 44 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 30 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 31 | 7% | 98% | |
| 32 | 5% | 91% | |
| 33 | 7% | 86% | |
| 34 | 22% | 79% | |
| 35 | 18% | 56% | |
| 36 | 10% | 39% | Median |
| 37 | 9% | 29% | |
| 38 | 13% | 20% | |
| 39 | 2% | 7% | |
| 40 | 4% | 6% | |
| 41 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 42 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 27 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 28 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 29 | 9% | 96% | |
| 30 | 18% | 87% | |
| 31 | 10% | 69% | |
| 32 | 21% | 59% | Median |
| 33 | 17% | 38% | |
| 34 | 12% | 21% | |
| 35 | 3% | 10% | |
| 36 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 37 | 2% | 6% | |
| 38 | 4% | 4% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par!
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 27 | 8% | 99.5% | |
| 28 | 4% | 92% | |
| 29 | 15% | 88% | |
| 30 | 9% | 73% | |
| 31 | 24% | 64% | Median |
| 32 | 16% | 40% | |
| 33 | 17% | 24% | |
| 34 | 3% | 6% | |
| 35 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 36 | 1.1% | 3% | Last Result |
| 37 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 22 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 24 | 1.3% | 99.4% | |
| 25 | 8% | 98% | |
| 26 | 11% | 90% | |
| 27 | 12% | 79% | |
| 28 | 10% | 67% | |
| 29 | 27% | 57% | Median |
| 30 | 8% | 30% | |
| 31 | 6% | 22% | |
| 32 | 10% | 16% | |
| 33 | 6% | 6% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 19 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 20 | 23% | 96% | |
| 21 | 20% | 73% | |
| 22 | 26% | 53% | Median |
| 23 | 21% | 27% | |
| 24 | 5% | 7% | |
| 25 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 26 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: SKDS
- Commissioner(s): Latvijas Televīzija
- Fieldwork period: 1–30 June 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1793
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.46%