Opinion Poll by Factum Interactive, 27–31 July 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA 6.7% 16.2% 14.3–18.3% 13.8–18.9% 13.3–19.4% 12.5–20.5%
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” 19.8% 15.8% 14.0–17.9% 13.4–18.5% 13.0–19.1% 12.2–20.1%
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” 11.0% 14.4% 12.6–16.4% 12.1–17.0% 11.7–17.5% 10.9–18.6%
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība 9.9% 11.7% 10.1–13.6% 9.6–14.1% 9.3–14.6% 8.6–15.6%
Attīstībai/Par! 12.0% 11.5% 9.9–13.4% 9.5–13.9% 9.1–14.4% 8.4–15.4%
PROGRESĪVIE 2.6% 6.5% 5.3–8.0% 5.0–8.4% 4.7–8.8% 4.2–9.6%
Jaunā konservatīvā partija 13.6% 5.7% 4.7–7.2% 4.4–7.6% 4.1–8.0% 3.6–8.8%
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība 4.1% 4.1% 3.2–5.4% 3.0–5.8% 2.8–6.1% 2.4–6.8%
Likums un kārtība 0.0% 4.1% 3.2–5.4% 3.0–5.8% 2.8–6.1% 2.4–6.8%
Latvijas Krievu savienība 3.2% 3.4% 2.6–4.6% 2.4–5.0% 2.2–5.3% 1.9–5.9%
Politiskā partija „KPV LV” 14.2% 0.5% 0.3–1.2% 0.2–1.4% 0.2–1.6% 0.1–2.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA 8 19 17–22 17–23 16–24 15–26
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” 23 19 17–22 16–23 16–24 15–24
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” 13 17 14–20 14–20 13–21 13–22
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība 11 14 12–17 11–18 11–18 11–19
Attīstībai/Par! 13 14 11–16 10–16 10–17 10–17
PROGRESĪVIE 0 7 7–9 0–9 0–11 0–11
Jaunā konservatīvā partija 16 7 0–8 0–9 0–9 0–9
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība 0 0 0–6 0–6 0–7 0–7
Likums un kārtība 0 0 0–7 0–7 0–7 0–7
Latvijas Krievu savienība 0 0 0 0 0–7 0–8
Politiskā partija „KPV LV” 16 0 0 0 0 0

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100% Last Result
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0.1% 99.9%  
14 0.2% 99.9%  
15 1.0% 99.7%  
16 4% 98.6%  
17 18% 95%  
18 20% 77%  
19 16% 57% Median
20 25% 42%  
21 4% 17%  
22 6% 12%  
23 4% 7%  
24 2% 3%  
25 0.3% 1.3%  
26 0.8% 0.9%  
27 0% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa”

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.1% 100%  
15 0.6% 99.9%  
16 6% 99.3%  
17 10% 94%  
18 28% 84%  
19 8% 56% Median
20 19% 48%  
21 11% 29%  
22 9% 18%  
23 5% 9% Last Result
24 4% 4%  
25 0.1% 0.4%  
26 0.1% 0.2%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 3% 99.8% Last Result
14 11% 97%  
15 6% 86%  
16 26% 80%  
17 17% 54% Median
18 6% 37%  
19 8% 31%  
20 18% 23%  
21 4% 5%  
22 0.4% 0.6%  
23 0.2% 0.3%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 5% 99.9% Last Result
12 13% 95%  
13 27% 82%  
14 16% 55% Median
15 11% 39%  
16 11% 28%  
17 9% 17%  
18 8% 8%  
19 0.1% 0.5%  
20 0.1% 0.4%  
21 0.3% 0.3%  
22 0% 0%  

Attīstībai/Par!

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Attīstībai/Par! page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 9% 99.9%  
11 5% 91%  
12 12% 86%  
13 9% 74% Last Result
14 23% 65% Median
15 27% 42%  
16 10% 15%  
17 4% 4%  
18 0.2% 0.3%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

PROGRESĪVIE

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100% Last Result
1 0% 94%  
2 0% 94%  
3 0% 94%  
4 0% 94%  
5 0.3% 94%  
6 2% 94%  
7 44% 91% Median
8 34% 47%  
9 8% 13%  
10 1.3% 5%  
11 3% 3%  
12 0.2% 0.3%  
13 0% 0%  

Jaunā konservatīvā partija

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 26% 100%  
1 0% 74%  
2 0% 74%  
3 0% 74%  
4 0% 74%  
5 0% 74%  
6 0.4% 74%  
7 58% 73% Median
8 7% 15%  
9 8% 8%  
10 0.3% 0.5%  
11 0.1% 0.2%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 79% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 21%  
2 0% 21%  
3 0% 21%  
4 0% 21%  
5 0% 21%  
6 17% 21%  
7 4% 4%  
8 0.3% 0.5%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Likums un kārtība

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Likums un kārtība page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 68% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 32%  
2 0% 32%  
3 0% 32%  
4 0% 32%  
5 2% 32%  
6 2% 29%  
7 27% 28%  
8 0.4% 0.5%  
9 0% 0.1%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Latvijas Krievu savienība

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 3%  
2 0% 3%  
3 0% 3%  
4 0% 3%  
5 0% 3%  
6 0.2% 3%  
7 0.7% 3%  
8 2% 2%  
9 0% 0%  

Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Politiskā partija „KPV LV” page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija 61 69 100% 66–74 64–76 62–77 61–79
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! 45 64 100% 59–70 58–71 57–72 54–76
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija 48 55 96% 52–60 51–63 49–64 47–65
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija 50 55 92% 52–60 50–61 48–62 47–65
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” 66 55 92% 52–60 50–61 48–62 47–65
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija 53 50 44% 47–55 45–57 45–58 42–59
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība 32 51 50% 46–56 45–56 44–57 41–60
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” 50 50 41% 45–55 45–55 43–57 42–59
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! 37 45 6% 41–49 39–51 38–52 38–54
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” 53 41 0.2% 38–46 36–47 35–48 33–50
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija 52 39 0% 33–43 33–45 33–45 30–46
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” 53 38 0% 35–42 33–44 31–45 29–48
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija 40 37 0% 33–42 32–43 31–44 28–44
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” 58 36 0% 33–41 31–42 30–43 28–44
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” 50 34 0% 30–38 29–38 29–40 27–41
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! 36 33 0% 29–37 28–38 28–39 27–41
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” 39 19 0% 17–22 16–23 16–24 15–24

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 1.4% 99.7% Last Result
62 1.4% 98%  
63 1.1% 97%  
64 3% 96%  
65 2% 93%  
66 10% 91%  
67 2% 81%  
68 28% 79%  
69 5% 51%  
70 7% 46%  
71 9% 39% Median
72 5% 30%  
73 9% 25%  
74 6% 16%  
75 3% 9%  
76 1.5% 6%  
77 3% 5%  
78 0.8% 2%  
79 1.2% 1.5%  
80 0.1% 0.3%  
81 0.1% 0.2%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par!

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0% 100% Last Result
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100% Majority
52 0% 100%  
53 0.1% 99.9%  
54 0.6% 99.9%  
55 1.4% 99.3%  
56 0.3% 98%  
57 2% 98%  
58 2% 96%  
59 9% 94%  
60 3% 86%  
61 18% 83%  
62 6% 65%  
63 5% 59%  
64 6% 54% Median
65 5% 48%  
66 11% 43%  
67 5% 32%  
68 13% 28%  
69 5% 15%  
70 3% 10%  
71 4% 8%  
72 2% 4%  
73 0.9% 2%  
74 0.4% 1.1%  
75 0.1% 0.7%  
76 0.4% 0.6%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0% 100%  
46 0.1% 99.9%  
47 1.0% 99.8%  
48 1.2% 98.8% Last Result
49 1.1% 98%  
50 0.7% 96%  
51 2% 96% Majority
52 4% 93%  
53 16% 90%  
54 19% 73%  
55 5% 54%  
56 5% 49%  
57 14% 44% Median
58 9% 30%  
59 5% 21%  
60 7% 17%  
61 0.7% 10%  
62 3% 9%  
63 3% 6%  
64 3% 3%  
65 0.2% 0.5%  
66 0% 0.3%  
67 0.2% 0.3%  
68 0.1% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 99.9%  
44 0% 99.9%  
45 0.1% 99.9%  
46 0.2% 99.9%  
47 0.5% 99.7%  
48 2% 99.2%  
49 2% 97%  
50 3% 95% Last Result
51 2% 92% Majority
52 14% 90%  
53 3% 76%  
54 7% 74%  
55 23% 66%  
56 11% 43%  
57 7% 33% Median
58 6% 26%  
59 5% 19%  
60 6% 14%  
61 5% 8%  
62 2% 3%  
63 0.5% 2%  
64 0.2% 1.2%  
65 0.9% 1.0%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 99.9%  
44 0% 99.9%  
45 0.1% 99.9%  
46 0.2% 99.9%  
47 0.5% 99.7%  
48 2% 99.2%  
49 2% 97%  
50 3% 95%  
51 2% 92% Majority
52 14% 90%  
53 3% 76%  
54 7% 74%  
55 23% 66%  
56 11% 43%  
57 7% 33% Median
58 6% 26%  
59 5% 19%  
60 6% 14%  
61 5% 8%  
62 2% 3%  
63 0.5% 2%  
64 0.2% 1.2%  
65 0.9% 1.0%  
66 0% 0.1% Last Result
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  

Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 0.1% 99.9%  
41 0.2% 99.7%  
42 0.3% 99.5%  
43 0.3% 99.2%  
44 1.1% 98.9%  
45 3% 98%  
46 4% 95%  
47 3% 91%  
48 19% 87%  
49 18% 69%  
50 7% 51%  
51 7% 44% Majority
52 7% 37% Median
53 9% 30% Last Result
54 4% 20%  
55 7% 17%  
56 3% 9%  
57 4% 7%  
58 2% 3%  
59 0.4% 0.7%  
60 0.1% 0.2%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0.1%  
63 0.1% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100% Last Result
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0.1% 99.9%  
41 0.7% 99.8%  
42 0.4% 99.2%  
43 0.4% 98.8%  
44 1.1% 98%  
45 2% 97%  
46 7% 95%  
47 17% 88%  
48 7% 71%  
49 4% 64%  
50 10% 60% Median
51 10% 50% Majority
52 6% 41%  
53 17% 35%  
54 4% 18%  
55 3% 14%  
56 6% 11%  
57 3% 4%  
58 0.8% 2%  
59 0.5% 1.1%  
60 0.2% 0.5%  
61 0.1% 0.3%  
62 0.1% 0.2%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0% 100%  
41 0.3% 99.9%  
42 2% 99.7%  
43 0.8% 98%  
44 1.4% 97%  
45 13% 96%  
46 2% 83%  
47 7% 81%  
48 14% 74%  
49 9% 60%  
50 10% 51% Last Result, Median
51 5% 41% Majority
52 7% 36%  
53 6% 30%  
54 5% 24%  
55 14% 19%  
56 2% 5%  
57 1.2% 3%  
58 1.0% 2%  
59 0.6% 0.8%  
60 0.1% 0.2%  
61 0.1% 0.2%  
62 0.1% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  

Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par!

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.1% 100%  
36 0.1% 99.9%  
37 0.1% 99.8% Last Result
38 3% 99.6%  
39 2% 97%  
40 1.4% 95%  
41 7% 93%  
42 17% 86%  
43 6% 70%  
44 9% 64%  
45 8% 54% Median
46 7% 47%  
47 4% 39%  
48 20% 35%  
49 5% 15%  
50 3% 9%  
51 3% 6% Majority
52 0.7% 3%  
53 1.3% 2%  
54 0.5% 0.8%  
55 0.2% 0.3%  
56 0.1% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0.1% 100%  
32 0.1% 99.9%  
33 0.7% 99.8%  
34 1.0% 99.1%  
35 2% 98%  
36 2% 96%  
37 3% 94%  
38 3% 92%  
39 9% 89%  
40 25% 80%  
41 8% 55%  
42 15% 47%  
43 6% 32% Median
44 5% 27%  
45 7% 22%  
46 5% 14%  
47 7% 10%  
48 0.8% 3%  
49 0.5% 2%  
50 1.3% 2%  
51 0.1% 0.2% Majority
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0% Last Result

Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0% 100%  
29 0.1% 99.9%  
30 0.8% 99.8%  
31 0.3% 99.1%  
32 0.8% 98.7%  
33 10% 98%  
34 2% 88%  
35 8% 86%  
36 4% 78%  
37 10% 74%  
38 12% 64%  
39 15% 52%  
40 8% 38% Median
41 8% 29%  
42 8% 21%  
43 4% 13%  
44 3% 9%  
45 5% 6%  
46 1.5% 2%  
47 0.2% 0.3%  
48 0% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0% Majority
52 0% 0% Last Result

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.4% 100%  
29 0.3% 99.6%  
30 0.7% 99.3%  
31 1.1% 98.6%  
32 1.0% 97%  
33 2% 96%  
34 2% 94%  
35 12% 92%  
36 16% 79%  
37 8% 63%  
38 11% 55%  
39 4% 45%  
40 10% 41% Median
41 17% 31%  
42 5% 14%  
43 3% 9%  
44 3% 6%  
45 2% 3%  
46 0.5% 2%  
47 0.2% 1.0%  
48 0.7% 0.9%  
49 0.2% 0.2%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0% Majority
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0% Last Result

Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.1% 99.9%  
28 0.4% 99.8%  
29 0.4% 99.4%  
30 1.3% 99.0%  
31 2% 98%  
32 5% 96%  
33 11% 91%  
34 12% 80%  
35 8% 68%  
36 4% 60%  
37 17% 56%  
38 7% 39% Median
39 10% 33%  
40 6% 23% Last Result
41 6% 16%  
42 4% 10%  
43 2% 6%  
44 3% 4%  
45 0.2% 0.5%  
46 0.2% 0.3%  
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.1% 100%  
25 0.1% 99.9%  
26 0% 99.8%  
27 0.3% 99.8%  
28 0.3% 99.5%  
29 0.6% 99.3%  
30 2% 98.6%  
31 5% 97%  
32 2% 92%  
33 8% 90%  
34 4% 82%  
35 25% 77%  
36 9% 53%  
37 11% 44%  
38 9% 33% Median
39 4% 24%  
40 10% 20%  
41 5% 10%  
42 2% 5%  
43 2% 3%  
44 0.7% 1.1%  
45 0.4% 0.5%  
46 0% 0.1%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0% Majority
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0% Last Result

Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0% 100%  
27 0.6% 99.9%  
28 2% 99.3%  
29 3% 98%  
30 11% 95%  
31 16% 84%  
32 5% 68%  
33 9% 63% Median
34 16% 55%  
35 8% 38%  
36 13% 30%  
37 5% 17%  
38 8% 12%  
39 2% 5%  
40 2% 3%  
41 0.6% 1.0%  
42 0.1% 0.4%  
43 0.3% 0.3%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0% Last Result

Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par!

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.2% 100%  
27 2% 99.8%  
28 5% 98%  
29 5% 93%  
30 6% 88%  
31 9% 82%  
32 15% 73%  
33 17% 58% Median
34 8% 42%  
35 12% 33%  
36 6% 22% Last Result
37 8% 16%  
38 5% 8%  
39 2% 3%  
40 0.6% 1.2%  
41 0.5% 0.6%  
42 0% 0.1%  
43 0% 0.1%  
44 0% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  

Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.1% 100%  
15 0.6% 99.9%  
16 6% 99.3%  
17 10% 94%  
18 28% 84%  
19 8% 56% Median
20 19% 48%  
21 11% 29%  
22 9% 18%  
23 5% 9%  
24 4% 4%  
25 0.1% 0.4%  
26 0.1% 0.2%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations