Opinion Poll by SKDS for Latvijas Televīzija, 1–31 July 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” | 19.8% | 19.0% | 17.8–20.2% | 17.5–20.6% | 17.2–20.9% | 16.7–21.5% |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 9.9% | 12.9% | 11.9–13.9% | 11.6–14.3% | 11.4–14.5% | 11.0–15.0% |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 6.7% | 12.8% | 11.9–13.9% | 11.6–14.2% | 11.4–14.5% | 10.9–15.0% |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 11.0% | 12.3% | 11.4–13.4% | 11.1–13.7% | 10.9–13.9% | 10.4–14.4% |
| Attīstībai/Par! | 12.0% | 9.4% | 8.6–10.3% | 8.3–10.6% | 8.1–10.8% | 7.7–11.3% |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 13.6% | 6.7% | 6.0–7.5% | 5.8–7.8% | 5.7–8.0% | 5.3–8.4% |
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.2–6.7% | 5.0–6.9% | 4.9–7.1% | 4.6–7.5% |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 3.2% | 5.9% | 5.2–6.7% | 5.0–6.9% | 4.9–7.1% | 4.6–7.5% |
| Likums un kārtība | 0.0% | 5.7% | 5.1–6.5% | 4.9–6.7% | 4.7–6.9% | 4.4–7.3% |
| PROGRESĪVIE | 2.6% | 5.0% | 4.4–5.7% | 4.2–5.9% | 4.1–6.1% | 3.8–6.5% |
| Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 14.2% | 1.5% | 1.2–1.9% | 1.1–2.1% | 1.0–2.2% | 0.9–2.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” | 23 | 21 | 19–23 | 19–23 | 19–23 | 17–24 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 11 | 13 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 11–17 | 11–17 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 8 | 14 | 12–17 | 11–17 | 11–17 | 11–17 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 13 | 14 | 13–14 | 13–15 | 12–15 | 11–17 |
| Attīstībai/Par! | 13 | 9 | 8–10 | 7–11 | 7–13 | 7–14 |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 16 | 7 | 7–8 | 7–9 | 6–9 | 6–10 |
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 0 | 8 | 7–8 | 5–8 | 0–8 | 0–8 |
| Likums un kārtība | 0 | 6 | 5–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 | 0–8 |
| PROGRESĪVIE | 0 | 0 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 |
| Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 19 | 12% | 98.9% | |
| 20 | 27% | 87% | |
| 21 | 32% | 60% | Median |
| 22 | 7% | 28% | |
| 23 | 20% | 21% | Last Result |
| 24 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 5% | 100% | Last Result |
| 12 | 10% | 95% | |
| 13 | 55% | 85% | Median |
| 14 | 5% | 30% | |
| 15 | 13% | 25% | |
| 16 | 8% | 12% | |
| 17 | 4% | 4% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 9% | 100% | |
| 12 | 13% | 90% | |
| 13 | 5% | 77% | |
| 14 | 36% | 73% | Median |
| 15 | 4% | 37% | |
| 16 | 9% | 33% | |
| 17 | 24% | 24% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 2% | 100% | |
| 12 | 3% | 98% | |
| 13 | 24% | 95% | Last Result |
| 14 | 62% | 71% | Median |
| 15 | 7% | 9% | |
| 16 | 2% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Attīstībai/Par!
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Attīstībai/Par! page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7% | 100% | |
| 8 | 3% | 93% | |
| 9 | 59% | 90% | Median |
| 10 | 24% | 30% | |
| 11 | 2% | 6% | |
| 12 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 13 | 2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 81% | 96% | Median |
| 8 | 9% | 16% | |
| 9 | 5% | 7% | |
| 10 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 92% | |
| 2 | 0% | 92% | |
| 3 | 0% | 92% | |
| 4 | 0% | 92% | |
| 5 | 0% | 92% | |
| 6 | 82% | 92% | Median |
| 7 | 9% | 9% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Latvijas Krievu savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 96% | |
| 2 | 0% | 96% | |
| 3 | 0% | 96% | |
| 4 | 0% | 96% | |
| 5 | 2% | 96% | |
| 6 | 3% | 95% | |
| 7 | 21% | 92% | |
| 8 | 70% | 70% | Median |
| 9 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Likums un kārtība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Likums un kārtība page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 95% | |
| 2 | 0% | 95% | |
| 3 | 0% | 95% | |
| 4 | 0% | 95% | |
| 5 | 31% | 95% | |
| 6 | 61% | 64% | Median |
| 7 | 3% | 3% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
PROGRESĪVIE
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 56% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 44% | |
| 2 | 0% | 44% | |
| 3 | 0% | 44% | |
| 4 | 0% | 44% | |
| 5 | 20% | 44% | |
| 6 | 12% | 24% | |
| 7 | 12% | 12% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Politiskā partija „KPV LV” page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 61 | 58 | 100% | 54–61 | 54–64 | 53–65 | 52–66 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! | 45 | 51 | 51% | 47–53 | 47–56 | 47–58 | 45–60 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 48 | 49 | 39% | 45–52 | 45–53 | 44–54 | 43–56 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 53 | 43 | 0.4% | 41–47 | 40–49 | 40–50 | 38–50 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 50 | 44 | 1.4% | 42–47 | 41–48 | 40–49 | 39–51 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 66 | 44 | 1.4% | 42–47 | 41–48 | 40–49 | 39–51 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 32 | 41 | 0% | 38–44 | 38–45 | 37–47 | 36–48 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 52 | 37 | 0% | 35–39 | 34–41 | 34–42 | 33–43 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 50 | 37 | 0% | 35–40 | 34–40 | 33–42 | 32–43 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! | 37 | 36 | 0% | 33–39 | 33–41 | 33–42 | 32–44 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 53 | 35 | 0% | 32–38 | 32–38 | 31–39 | 29–40 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 40 | 34 | 0% | 33–37 | 32–38 | 31–39 | 29–40 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 50 | 34 | 0% | 32–37 | 32–38 | 31–39 | 29–40 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 53 | 30 | 0% | 28–33 | 27–34 | 27–35 | 27–37 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 58 | 30 | 0% | 28–32 | 28–33 | 28–34 | 26–35 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! | 36 | 30 | 0% | 28–32 | 27–33 | 27–34 | 26–36 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 39 | 21 | 0% | 19–23 | 19–23 | 19–23 | 17–24 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | Majority |
| 52 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 54 | 8% | 97% | |
| 55 | 19% | 89% | |
| 56 | 4% | 69% | |
| 57 | 12% | 65% | Median |
| 58 | 4% | 53% | |
| 59 | 5% | 49% | |
| 60 | 31% | 44% | |
| 61 | 3% | 13% | Last Result |
| 62 | 3% | 10% | |
| 63 | 2% | 7% | |
| 64 | 2% | 5% | |
| 65 | 2% | 4% | |
| 66 | 2% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par!

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 1.1% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 46 | 1.3% | 98.8% | |
| 47 | 10% | 98% | |
| 48 | 18% | 87% | |
| 49 | 4% | 69% | |
| 50 | 14% | 65% | Median |
| 51 | 5% | 51% | Majority |
| 52 | 5% | 46% | |
| 53 | 31% | 41% | |
| 54 | 3% | 10% | |
| 55 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 56 | 2% | 6% | |
| 57 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 58 | 2% | 3% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 2% | 98% | |
| 45 | 13% | 96% | |
| 46 | 10% | 84% | |
| 47 | 10% | 74% | |
| 48 | 11% | 64% | Last Result, Median |
| 49 | 5% | 52% | |
| 50 | 8% | 47% | |
| 51 | 27% | 39% | Majority |
| 52 | 4% | 12% | |
| 53 | 4% | 7% | |
| 54 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 55 | 2% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 40 | 8% | 98.7% | |
| 41 | 4% | 91% | |
| 42 | 4% | 86% | |
| 43 | 44% | 82% | Median |
| 44 | 11% | 38% | |
| 45 | 7% | 28% | |
| 46 | 9% | 21% | |
| 47 | 4% | 12% | |
| 48 | 3% | 8% | |
| 49 | 2% | 5% | |
| 50 | 3% | 3% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 0.4% | Majority |
| 52 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 39 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 40 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 41 | 3% | 97% | |
| 42 | 25% | 94% | |
| 43 | 2% | 70% | |
| 44 | 21% | 67% | Median |
| 45 | 10% | 46% | |
| 46 | 4% | 36% | |
| 47 | 26% | 32% | |
| 48 | 2% | 6% | |
| 49 | 3% | 4% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 2% | Last Result |
| 51 | 1.3% | 1.4% | Majority |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 39 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 40 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 41 | 3% | 97% | |
| 42 | 25% | 94% | |
| 43 | 2% | 70% | |
| 44 | 21% | 67% | Median |
| 45 | 10% | 46% | |
| 46 | 4% | 36% | |
| 47 | 26% | 32% | |
| 48 | 2% | 6% | |
| 49 | 3% | 4% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 51 | 1.3% | 1.4% | Majority |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 2% | 98% | |
| 38 | 14% | 96% | |
| 39 | 8% | 82% | |
| 40 | 12% | 74% | |
| 41 | 13% | 63% | Median |
| 42 | 4% | 50% | |
| 43 | 11% | 46% | |
| 44 | 26% | 34% | |
| 45 | 4% | 8% | |
| 46 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 47 | 2% | 3% | |
| 48 | 1.2% | 1.5% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 7% | 99.4% | |
| 35 | 4% | 93% | |
| 36 | 24% | 89% | |
| 37 | 21% | 65% | Median |
| 38 | 16% | 44% | |
| 39 | 18% | 28% | |
| 40 | 3% | 10% | |
| 41 | 3% | 7% | |
| 42 | 2% | 3% | |
| 43 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 2% | 98% | |
| 34 | 2% | 97% | |
| 35 | 24% | 94% | |
| 36 | 8% | 70% | |
| 37 | 19% | 63% | Median |
| 38 | 12% | 44% | |
| 39 | 4% | 32% | |
| 40 | 24% | 28% | |
| 41 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 42 | 2% | 4% | |
| 43 | 2% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par!

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 33 | 9% | 98.7% | |
| 34 | 3% | 90% | |
| 35 | 4% | 86% | |
| 36 | 48% | 82% | Median |
| 37 | 11% | 34% | Last Result |
| 38 | 4% | 23% | |
| 39 | 10% | 19% | |
| 40 | 2% | 8% | |
| 41 | 3% | 6% | |
| 42 | 2% | 4% | |
| 43 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 44 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 31 | 2% | 98% | |
| 32 | 14% | 97% | |
| 33 | 8% | 83% | |
| 34 | 4% | 75% | |
| 35 | 30% | 71% | Median |
| 36 | 7% | 40% | |
| 37 | 3% | 33% | |
| 38 | 27% | 30% | |
| 39 | 2% | 3% | |
| 40 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 30 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 31 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 32 | 5% | 97% | |
| 33 | 21% | 92% | |
| 34 | 35% | 70% | Median |
| 35 | 9% | 35% | |
| 36 | 11% | 26% | |
| 37 | 8% | 15% | |
| 38 | 4% | 8% | |
| 39 | 2% | 4% | |
| 40 | 2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 41 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 31 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 32 | 10% | 97% | |
| 33 | 14% | 87% | |
| 34 | 37% | 73% | Median |
| 35 | 6% | 36% | |
| 36 | 18% | 30% | |
| 37 | 3% | 12% | |
| 38 | 4% | 8% | |
| 39 | 3% | 4% | |
| 40 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 6% | 99.7% | |
| 28 | 12% | 94% | |
| 29 | 13% | 82% | |
| 30 | 20% | 69% | Median |
| 31 | 10% | 49% | |
| 32 | 6% | 39% | |
| 33 | 26% | 33% | |
| 34 | 3% | 7% | |
| 35 | 2% | 3% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 37 | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 1.4% | 99.2% | |
| 28 | 9% | 98% | |
| 29 | 8% | 89% | |
| 30 | 53% | 81% | Median |
| 31 | 16% | 29% | |
| 32 | 6% | 13% | |
| 33 | 4% | 7% | |
| 34 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 35 | 2% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par!

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 27 | 7% | 99.4% | |
| 28 | 5% | 93% | |
| 29 | 25% | 88% | |
| 30 | 22% | 63% | Median |
| 31 | 18% | 42% | |
| 32 | 17% | 24% | |
| 33 | 4% | 6% | |
| 34 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 35 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 19 | 12% | 98.9% | |
| 20 | 27% | 87% | |
| 21 | 32% | 60% | Median |
| 22 | 7% | 28% | |
| 23 | 20% | 21% | |
| 24 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: SKDS
- Commissioner(s): Latvijas Televīzija
- Fieldwork period: 1–31 July 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1801
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.14%